UPDATED Oct. 22, 2019 at 10:00 AM

2019-20 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:2019-20 NBA predictions Our RAPTOR player ratings

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			Percentile
Height	6'5.5"
Weight	225
Draft position	18

Scoring
True shooting %	50%
Free throw %	73%
Usage %	16%

Tendencies
3 pt. frequency	60%
FT frequency	10%

Passing/ball handling
Assist %	10%
Turnover %	11%

Defense/rebounding
Rebound %	5%
Block %	0.8%
Steal %	1.9%
Defensive +/-	-1.6

Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the highest possible degree of similarity. Plus-minus is derived from our Robust Algorithm using Player Tracking and On-off Ratings (RAPTOR), a measure of the number of points per 100 possessions that a player contributed to his team, relative to an average NBA player. All player ages are as of Feb. 1, 2020. Read More »

Sources: NBA.com and Basketball-Reference.com.

Design and development by Allison McCann, Jay Boice and Aaron Bycoffe. Statistical model by Nate Silver. Additional contributions by Neil Paine.

2019-20 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

JR Smith

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2019-20 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

JR Smith

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