UPDATED Oct. 22, 2019 at 10:00 AM

NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:2019-20 NBA predictions Our RAPTOR player ratings

			Percentile
Height	6'5"
Weight	180
Draft position	11

Scoring
True shooting %	56%
Free throw %	81%
Usage %	18%

Tendencies
3 pt. frequency	20%
FT frequency	28%

Passing/ball handling
Assist %	18%
Turnover %	14%

Defense/rebounding
Rebound %	6%
Block %	1.7%
Steal %	2.1%
Defensive +/-	-0.1

Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the highest possible degree of similarity. Plus-minus is derived from our Robust Algorithm using Player Tracking and On-off Ratings (RAPTOR), a measure of the number of points per 100 possessions that a player contributed to his team, relative to an average NBA player. All player ages are as of Feb. 1, 2020. Read More »

Sources: NBA.com and Basketball-Reference.com.

Design and development by Allison McCann, Jay Boice and Aaron Bycoffe. Statistical model by Nate Silver. Additional contributions by Neil Paine.

NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander

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NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander

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