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UPDATED Jan. 23, 2020, at 12:26 AM

2019-20 NBA Predictions

Powered by FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR player ratings

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:2019-20 RAPTOR player ratingsOur preseason player projections

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Regular SeasonReg. SeasonPlayoffs
Current ratingTeamConferenceFull-strength ratingProj. RecordProj. Point Diff/GChance of Making PlayoffsMake play-offsFull-strength ratingChance of Making FinalsMake FinalsChance of Winning FinalsWin Finals
1736Bucks39-6East170365-17+9.9>99%176146%24%
1702Lakers35-9West172261-21+6.9>99%177738%22%
1595Clippers31-14West171657-25+6.2>99%178236%21%
160776ers29-17East170854-28+4.8>99%176536%17%
1687Rockets27-16West168453-29+4.8>99%172415%7%
1622Celtics29-14East165754-28+5.7>99%16809%3%
1635Raptors30-14East163555-27+5.4>99%16578%2%
1627Jazz31-13West162755-27+4.9>99%16635%2%
1557Nuggets30-14West161752-30+3.1>99%16543%<1%
1616Mavericks27-16West164350-32+5.1>99%16631%<1%
1508Pacers29-16East156249-33+2.3>99%1581<1%<1%
1579Thunder26-19West157647-35+1.899%1608<1%<1%
1575Pelicans17-28West158639-43-0.454%1622<1%<1%
1489Heat31-13East154051-31+2.5>99%1550<1%<1%
1428Trail Blazers19-26West157137-45-1.424%1597<1%<1%
1527Timberwolves15-29West152333-49-2.43%1541<1%<1%
1518Magic21-24East155739-43-0.293%1545<1%<1%
1416Nets18-24East154836-46-1.875%1568<1%<1%
1422Bulls17-29East146632-50-2.318%1467<1%<1%
1451Spurs20-23West145835-47-2.211%1457<1%<1%
1441Wizards14-29East142729-53-4.47%1436<1%<1%
1383Pistons17-28East142329-53-3.16%1433<1%<1%
1442Grizzlies20-24West144633-49-3.75%1447<1%<1%
1478Suns18-26West147432-50-2.33%1480<1%<1%
1475Kings15-29West148831-51-3.02%1502<1%<1%
1323Hornets15-30East132325-57-7.2<1%1324<1%<1%
1323Hawks11-34East139125-57-7.0<1%1392<1%<1%
1348Cavaliers12-32East133923-59-7.9<1%1351<1%<1%
1369Warriors10-36West154324-58-6.3<1%1583<1%<1%
1318Knicks12-33East130722-60-7.7<1%1306<1%<1%
Forecast from

Thursday, Jan. 23

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 42%
Cavaliers -258%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -5.570%
Nets 30%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks -362%
Trail Blazers 38%

Friday, Jan. 24

3 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -14.591%
Hornets 9%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics PK51%
Magic 49%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 43%
Pistons -1.557%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -878%
Knicks 22%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 11%
Thunder -12.589%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 34%
Pelicans -466%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -258%
Timberwolves 42%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -0.551%
Heat 49%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 43%
Bulls -1.557%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 40%
Spurs -2.560%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers -1.556%
Warriors 44%

Saturday, Jan. 25

5 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 32%
Jazz -4.568%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets -0.552%
Pistons 48%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 40%
Cavaliers -2.560%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 42%
Timberwolves -258%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers PK51%
76ers 49%

Sunday, Jan. 26

3:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 49%
Nuggets -0.551%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -2.560%
Spurs 40%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets -1.555%
Knicks 45%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 45%
Pelicans -155%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -2.559%
Magic 41%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 42%
Grizzlies -258%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 49%
Hawks -0.551%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 42%
Trail Blazers -258%

Monday, Jan. 27

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 31%
Pistons -569%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 31%
Heat -569%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 44%
Thunder -1.556%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 34%
Bulls -466%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 30%
Timberwolves -5.570%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 33%
Jazz -4.567%

Tuesday, Jan. 28

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 11%
76ers -1389%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 35%
Hornets -465%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 12%
Raptors -12.588%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -363%
Heat 37%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans -6.573%
Cavaliers 27%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -0.553%
Grizzlies 47%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 11%
Bucks -1389%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 24%
Mavericks -776%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 39%
Lakers -361%

Wednesday, Jan. 29

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 26%
Pacers -6.574%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 25%
Nets -775%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies -1.556%
Knicks 44%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -2.560%
Spurs 40%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -466%
Trail Blazers 34%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 50%
Kings PK50%

Completed games

Wednesday, Jan. 22

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 42%120
Magic -258%114
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers 33%95
Raptors -4.568%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings -258%106
Pistons 42%127
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 47%95
Hawks -153%102
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -10.585%100
Knicks 15%92
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 21%95
Celtics -8.579%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 37%129
Heat -363%134
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 20%105
Rockets -8.580%121
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves -0.552%110
Bulls 48%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 37%112
Suns -3.563%87
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 25%121
Pelicans -6.575%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -672%129
Warriors 28%96

Tuesday, Jan. 21

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 34%110
Mavericks -466%107

Monday, Jan. 20

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 31%100
Wizards -569%106
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -673%122
Hawks 28%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -465%117
Nets 35%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 8%98
Bucks -1592%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 39%126
Grizzlies -2.561%116
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 31%106
Cavaliers -569%86
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 21%112
Rockets -879%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic -2.561%106
Hornets 39%83
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings -0.552%113
Heat 48%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -2.561%107
Celtics 39%139
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 27%107
Timberwolves -673%100
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 18%88
Jazz -9.582%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 23%120
Suns -7.577%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 38%124
Trail Blazers -362%129

Sunday, Jan. 19

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat -0.552%102
Spurs 48%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 31%115
Nuggets -569%107

Saturday, Jan. 18

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -2.559%133
Pelicans 41%130
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -6.574%117
Nets 26%97
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 22%123
Celtics -878%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 43%136
Hawks -1.557%103
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -5.571%90
Knicks 29%87
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 30%116
Bulls -570%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -258%122
Timberwolves 42%112
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 29%124
Rockets -5.571%115
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic -466%95
Warriors 34%109
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 20%106
Thunder -8.580%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 18%101
Jazz -9.582%123

Friday, Jan. 17

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 15%89
76ers -10.585%100
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 28%114
Pacers -672%116
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 19%111
Raptors -981%140
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 22%109
Grizzlies -878%113
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 32%115
Thunder -4.568%108
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 30%121
Spurs -5.570%120
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 21%112
Mavericks -879%120

Thursday, Jan. 16

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns -2.559%121
Knicks 41%98
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 14%123
Bucks -1186%128
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -154%132
Pelicans 46%138
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 49%134
Warriors -0.551%131
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 19%95
Clippers -981%122

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