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UPDATED Jan. 27, 2020, at 7:22 AM

2019-20 NBA Predictions

Powered by FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR player ratings

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:2019-20 RAPTOR player ratingsOur preseason player projections

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Regular SeasonReg. SeasonPlayoffs
Current ratingTeamConferenceFull-strength ratingProj. RecordProj. Point Diff/GChance of Making PlayoffsMake play-offsFull-strength ratingChance of Making FinalsMake FinalsChance of Winning FinalsWin Finals
1617Clippers33-14West172258-24+6.5>99%178740%23%
158576ers30-17East172755-27+5.2>99%178143%22%
1697Lakers36-10West171661-21+6.8>99%176834%20%
1721Bucks40-6East169365-17+9.8>99%174739%19%
1694Rockets28-17West169253-29+4.9>99%173015%7%
1548Celtics30-15East165354-28+5.6>99%16788%3%
1642Raptors32-14East163255-27+5.4>99%16608%2%
1638Jazz32-13West162555-27+4.8>99%16645%2%
1562Nuggets32-14West161954-28+3.5>99%16573%1%
1629Mavericks28-17West164050-32+5.2>99%16622%<1%
1497Heat31-14East153751-31+2.5>99%1550<1%<1%
1509Pacers30-17East156949-33+2.4>99%1581<1%<1%
1505Thunder28-19West156847-35+2.199%1602<1%<1%
1589Pelicans18-29West158939-43-0.354%1626<1%<1%
1487Trail Blazers20-27West158038-44-1.227%1604<1%<1%
1525Magic21-26East156439-43-0.394%1549<1%<1%
1487Nets19-26East154736-46-2.079%1566<1%<1%
1357Bulls18-30East145731-51-2.616%1456<1%<1%
1455Grizzlies22-24West145635-47-3.48%1461<1%<1%
1456Spurs20-25West145634-48-2.37%1457<1%<1%
1443Wizards15-30East141629-53-4.77%1423<1%<1%
1377Pistons17-30East141428-54-3.63%1427<1%<1%
1476Kings16-29West148832-50-2.82%1500<1%<1%
1471Suns19-27West146532-50-2.32%1469<1%<1%
1525Timberwolves15-31West152231-51-2.71%1539<1%<1%
1375Hawks12-35East139825-57-6.9<1%1401<1%<1%
1332Hornets15-31East133225-57-7.1<1%1332<1%<1%
1338Knicks13-34East131923-59-7.3<1%1320<1%<1%
1342Cavaliers12-34East133422-60-8.3<1%1340<1%<1%
1339Warriors10-37West151922-60-6.8<1%1567<1%<1%
Forecast from

Monday, Jan. 27

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 31%
Pistons -569%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 35%
Heat -465%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks -0.553%
Thunder 47%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 43%
Bulls -1.557%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 30%
Timberwolves -5.570%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 33%
Jazz -4.567%

Tuesday, Jan. 28

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 12%
76ers -12.588%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 38%
Hornets -362%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 11%
Raptors -1389%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 48%
Heat -0.552%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans -775%
Cavaliers 25%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets PK51%
Grizzlies 49%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 11%
Bucks -1389%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 23%
Mavericks -7.577%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 27%
Lakers -673%

Wednesday, Jan. 29

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 20%
Pacers -8.580%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 24%
Nets -7.576%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies -153%
Knicks 47%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -2.560%
Spurs 40%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -465%
Trail Blazers 35%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 44%
Kings -1.556%

Thursday, Jan. 30

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 24%
Wizards -776%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -6.575%
Cavaliers 25%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -569%
Hawks 31%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 11%
Celtics -1389%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 11%
Clippers -1389%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz 31%
Nuggets -569%

Friday, Jan. 31

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -465%
Pistons 35%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 24%
Nets -7.576%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 30%
Rockets -570%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 21%
Pelicans -879%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 20%
Bucks -980%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 46%
Suns -154%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 14%
Lakers -1186%

Saturday, Feb. 1

3:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 15%
Clippers -1185%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 37%
Magic -3.563%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 13%
Pacers -11.587%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 38%
Wizards -362%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 39%
Cavaliers -361%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 15%
Mavericks -10.585%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers 38%
Celtics -362%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 21%
Spurs -8.579%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -361%
Kings 39%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -3.563%
Trail Blazers 37%

Sunday, Feb. 2

12:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -5.570%
Pistons 30%
2 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 24%
Rockets -776%
2 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 14%
Bucks -11.586%
3 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 13%
Raptors -1287%

Completed games

Sunday, Jan. 26

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 50%110
Nuggets PK50%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -3.564%110
Spurs 36%106
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 37%97
Knicks -363%110
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 29%108
Pelicans -5.571%123
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 41%112
Magic -2.559%97
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 41%109
Grizzlies -2.559%114
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards PK51%133
Hawks 49%152
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 34%129
Trail Blazers -466%139

Saturday, Jan. 25

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 30%107
Jazz -570%112
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets -2.560%121
Pistons 40%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 32%118
Cavaliers -4.568%106
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 24%113
Timberwolves -776%104
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 49%91
76ers PK51%108

Friday, Jan. 24

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -1592%116
Hornets 8%103
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 28%109
Magic -672%98
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies -2.559%125
Pistons 41%112
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -981%118
Knicks 19%112
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 13%111
Thunder -11.587%140
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 34%113
Pelicans -466%106
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -2.560%131
Timberwolves 40%124
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -2.560%122
Heat 40%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings -0.551%98
Bulls 49%81
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 39%103
Spurs -2.561%99
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers -2.559%129
Warriors 41%118

Thursday, Jan. 23

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 42%124
Cavaliers -258%112
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -4.567%128
Nets 33%113
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks -3.563%133
Trail Blazers 37%125

Wednesday, Jan. 22

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 42%120
Magic -258%114
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers 33%95
Raptors -4.568%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings -258%106
Pistons 42%127
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 47%95
Hawks -153%102
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -10.585%100
Knicks 15%92
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 21%95
Celtics -8.579%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 37%129
Heat -363%134
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 20%105
Rockets -8.580%121
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves -0.552%110
Bulls 48%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 37%112
Suns -3.563%87
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 25%121
Pelicans -6.575%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -672%129
Warriors 28%96

Tuesday, Jan. 21

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 34%110
Mavericks -466%107

Monday, Jan. 20

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 31%100
Wizards -569%106
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -673%122
Hawks 28%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -465%117
Nets 35%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 8%98
Bucks -1592%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 39%126
Grizzlies -2.561%116
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 31%106
Cavaliers -569%86
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 21%112
Rockets -879%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic -2.561%106
Hornets 39%83
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings -0.552%113
Heat 48%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -2.561%107
Celtics 39%139
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 27%107
Timberwolves -673%100
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 18%88
Jazz -9.582%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 23%120
Suns -7.577%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 38%124
Trail Blazers -362%129

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