Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
| Chance of making ... | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current rating | Full-strength rating | Team | Conference | PlayoffsPlayoffs | Conf. SemisMake Conf. Semis | Conf. FinalsMake Conf. Finals | FinalsMake Finals | Chance of Winning FinalsWin Finals | ||
| 1632 | 1698 |  | Lakers4-1, 4-1, 4-1, 4-2 | West | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
| 1736 | 1765 |  | Heat4-0, 4-1, 4-2, 2-4 | East | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | |
| 1789 | 1789 |  | Celtics4-0, 4-3, 2-4 | East | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | |
| 1721 | 1721 |  | Nuggets4-3, 4-3, 1-4 | West | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | |
| 1762 | 1771 |  | Rockets4-3, 1-4 | West | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1728 | 1728 |  | Clippers4-2, 3-4 | West | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1686 | 1686 |  | Raptors4-0, 3-4 | East | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1661 | 1661 |  | Bucks4-1, 1-4 | East | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1649 | 1730 |  | 76ers0-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1614 | 1637 |  | Mavericks2-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1612 | 1612 |  | Jazz3-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1568 | 1584 |  | Pacers0-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1564 | 1574 |  | Trail Blazers1-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1507 | 1560 |  | Magic1-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1489 | 1489 |  | Thunder3-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1359 | 1584 |  | Nets0-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1607 | 1607 |  | Pelicans | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1573 | 1573 |  | Suns | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1521 | 1510 |  | Kings | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1483 | 1535 |  | Warriors | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1479 | 1479 |  | Timberwolves | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1450 | 1450 |  | Hawks | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1436 | 1453 |  | Bulls | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1429 | 1478 |  | Spurs | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1422 | 1446 |  | Grizzlies | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1373 | 1373 |  | Pistons | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1347 | 1347 |  | Cavaliers | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1332 | 1332 |  | Hornets | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1317 | 1441 |  | Wizards | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1293 | 1293 |  | Knicks | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
Forecast from
Sunday, Oct. 11Finals
| Game 6 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers4-2 | 35% | 106 | |||
| Heat | -4 | 65% | 93 | ||
Completed games
Friday, Oct. 9Finals
| Game 5 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | -3 | 61% | 111 | ||
| Lakers3-2 | 39% | 108 | |||
Tuesday, Oct. 6Finals
| Game 4 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers3-1 | 42% | 102 | |||
| Heat | -2 | 58% | 96 | ||
Sunday, Oct. 4Finals
| Game 3 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers2-1 | -3 | 63% | 104 | ||
| Heat | 37% | 115 | |||
Friday, Oct. 2Finals
| Game 2 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | 43% | 114 | |||
| Lakers2-0 | -2 | 57% | 124 | ||
Wednesday, Sept. 30Finals
| Game 1 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | -5 | 68% | 98 | ||
| Lakers1-0 | 32% | 116 | |||
Sunday, Sept. 27Conference Finals
| Game 6 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | -1 | 54% | 113 | ||
| Heat4-2 | 46% | 125 | |||
Saturday, Sept. 26Conference Finals
| Game 5 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -3.5 | 64% | 107 | ||
| Lakers4-1 | 36% | 117 | |||
Comments