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UPDATED Jul. 6, 2020, at 2:55 PM

2019-20 NBA Predictions

Powered by FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR player ratings

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:2019-20 RAPTOR player ratingsOur preseason player projections

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Regular SeasonReg. SeasonPlayoffs
Current ratingTeamConferenceFull-strength ratingProj. RecordProj. Point Diff/GChance of Making PlayoffsMake play-offsFull-strength ratingChance of Making FinalsMake FinalsChance of Winning FinalsWin Finals
1706Lakers49-14West170854-17+7.0178044%30%
1716Clippers44-20West173249-23+6.4179036%24%
1694Bucks53-12East169458-15+10.6175037%15%
169276ers39-26East169245-28+2.7175433%14%
1694Rockets40-24West170145-27+3.8174713%7%
1682Celtics43-21East168249-23+6.2171021%6%
1630Raptors46-18East163050-22+5.816599%2%
1638Nuggets43-22West163847-26+2.816773%1%
1630Mavericks40-27West164344-31+5.6>99%16592%<1%
1579Thunder40-24West158344-28+2.21629<1%<1%
1584Jazz41-23West158445-27+2.91613<1%<1%
1607Pelicans28-36West161133-39-0.346%1638<1%<1%
1535Heat41-24East153544-29+2.61541<1%<1%
1511Pacers39-26East158642-31+1.51604<1%<1%
1496Magic30-35East154733-40-1.199%1545<1%<1%
1374Nets30-34East156032-40-1.393%1585<1%<1%
1468Grizzlies32-33West145635-38-1.537%1461<1%<1%
1535Trail Blazers29-37West156632-42-1.79%1607<1%<1%
1395Wizards24-40East143226-46-4.39%1438<1%<1%
1525Kings28-36West151231-41-2.07%1515<1%<1%
1434Spurs27-36West147229-42-2.3<1%1483<1%<1%
1493Suns26-39West151329-44-1.6<1%1540<1%<1%
1504Warriors15-50West149315-50-8.71538
1489Timberwolves19-45West146819-45-4.31489
1458Hawks20-47East144220-47-8.01458
1455Bulls22-43East144322-43-3.11455
1373Pistons20-46East136720-46-3.61373
1346Cavaliers19-46East134719-46-7.91346
1327Hornets23-42East132123-42-6.81327
1298Knicks21-45East130021-45-6.51298
Forecast from

Thursday, July 30

6:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz 47%
Pelicans -153%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -0.552%
Lakers 49%

Friday, July 31

2:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic -4.567%
Nets 33%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 41%
Trail Blazers -2.559%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns -3.564%
Wizards 36%
6:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 48%
Bucks -0.552%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings -3.563%
Spurs 37%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -2.559%
Mavericks 41%

Saturday, Aug. 1

1 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 36%
Nuggets -3.564%
3:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz PK51%
Thunder 49%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 35%
Clippers -465%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -6.574%
Pacers 26%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -2.561%
Raptors 39%

Sunday, Aug. 2

2 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards -0.553%
Nets 47%
3:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 30%
Celtics -5.570%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 45%
Grizzlies -155%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings -154%
Magic 46%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks 50%
Rockets PK50%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks -569%
Suns 31%

Monday, Aug. 3

1:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -3.563%
Heat 37%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -258%
Thunder 42%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers -672%
Wizards 28%
6:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 25%
Pelicans -6.575%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 15%
76ers -1185%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -4.567%
Jazz 33%

Tuesday, Aug. 4

1:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 14%
Bucks -11.586%
2:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks -465%
Kings 35%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 21%
Clippers -879%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic -155%
Pacers 45%
6:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -775%
Heat 25%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -5.572%
Trail Blazers 28%

Wednesday, Aug. 5

2:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 34%
Jazz -466%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -7.576%
Spurs 24%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -10.585%
Wizards 15%
6:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 33%
Lakers -4.567%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -6.574%
Magic 26%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 15%
Celtics -1185%

Completed games

Wednesday, March 11

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 8%106
76ers -15.592%124
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 17%109
Heat -1083%98
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 21%136
Hawks -879%131
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 47%97
Mavericks -153%113

Tuesday, March 10

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -155%114
Pacers 45%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 18%115
Wizards -9.582%122
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 27%103
Bulls -673%108
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks -2.561%109
Spurs 39%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 7%111
Rockets -1693%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 42%120
Grizzlies -258%115
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 40%105
Trail Blazers -2.560%121
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 12%104
Lakers -12.588%102
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -14.591%131
Warriors 9%107

Monday, March 9

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 31%138
Hawks -569%143
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks 20%95
Nuggets -8.580%109
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 33%101
Jazz -4.567%92

Sunday, March 8

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 39%107
Nets -2.561%110
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 32%112
Clippers -568%103
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans -5.570%120
Timberwolves 30%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -258%131
Suns 42%140
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 31%105
Celtics -569%104
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 25%112
Mavericks -6.575%109
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 49%100
Wizards -0.551%89
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 20%126
Rockets -8.580%106
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 29%84
Knicks -5.571%96
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 48%129
Cavaliers -0.552%132
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -258%118
Kings 42%113

Saturday, March 7

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -8.579%99
Hornets 21%108
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -5.570%111
Pistons 30%105
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -8.580%102
Cavaliers 20%104
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 30%101
Grizzlies -5.570%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -1.556%114
Warriors 44%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 48%123
Trail Blazers -0.552%111

Friday, March 6

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 23%112
Wizards -7.577%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder -776%126
Knicks 24%103
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 31%120
Nets -569%139
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 48%108
Bulls -0.552%102
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 33%104
Pelicans -4.567%110
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic PK50%132
Timberwolves 50%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz 35%99
Celtics -3.565%94
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 24%96
Mavericks -7.576%121
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 37%117
Suns -3.563%127
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks 39%103
Lakers -361%113

Thursday, March 5

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -879%114
Hornets 21%112
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 40%120
Rockets -2.560%105
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers 30%125
Kings -5.570%108
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -8.580%121
Warriors 20%113

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