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UPDATED Nov. 17, 2019, at 1:09 AM

2019-20 NBA Predictions

Powered by FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR player ratings

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:2019-20 RAPTOR player ratingsOur preseason player projections

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Regular SeasonReg. SeasonPlayoffs
Current ratingTeamConferenceFull-strength ratingProj. RecordProj. Point Diff/GChance of Making PlayoffsMake play-offsFull-strength ratingChance of Making FinalsMake FinalsChance of Winning FinalsWin Finals
1681Bucks9-3East171962-20+8.3>99%177454%31%
1699Clippers8-5West173558-24+7.1>99%178347%28%
168576ers7-5East168555-27+5.5>99%173129%14%
1655Rockets10-3West167556-26+5.1>99%171524%11%
1635Lakers10-2West165853-29+4.297%170815%7%
1626Jazz8-4West162653-29+4.798%16536%2%
1490Raptors8-4East159851-31+3.598%16387%2%
1602Nuggets8-3West160351-31+3.295%16414%1%
1551Heat9-3East157850-32+3.298%16134%1%
1552Celtics10-1East158349-33+2.697%16274%<1%
1576Mavericks7-5West157645-37+1.674%15931%<1%
1560Suns7-4West156945-37+1.872%1581<1%<1%
1459Pacers7-6East155842-40+0.782%15841%<1%
1551Magic5-7East156643-39+1.285%15811%<1%
1483Trail Blazers5-8West155938-44-0.927%1592<1%<1%
1443Pelicans3-9West152937-45-1.124%1549<1%<1%
1534Timberwolves7-6West154241-41-0.450%1552<1%<1%
1289Warriors2-11West158729-53-4.53%1629<1%<1%
1430Nets5-7East154438-44-1.155%1556<1%<1%
1521Thunder5-7West153740-42-0.140%1545<1%<1%
1452Pistons4-9East145933-49-2.624%1468<1%<1%
1446Bulls4-9East145533-49-2.722%1472<1%<1%
1434Wizards3-7East145332-50-3.019%1462<1%<1%
1472Kings4-7West148935-47-2.514%1493<1%<1%
1424Cavaliers4-7East141630-52-3.812%1446<1%<1%
1351Hawks4-8East141429-53-5.28%1410<1%<1%
1452Grizzlies5-7West145232-50-4.26%1466<1%<1%
1427Spurs5-8West142729-53-4.42%1419<1%<1%
1325Hornets6-7East132725-57-7.02%1321<1%<1%
1269Knicks3-10East128018-64-9.4<1%1273<1%<1%
Forecast from

Sunday, Nov. 17

3 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -5.571%
Cavaliers 29%
3:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 48%
Kings -0.552%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -257%
Grizzlies 43%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 22%
Magic -878%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 23%
Pelicans -7.577%
9:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 8%
Lakers -1592%

Monday, Nov. 18

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers -0.551%
Knicks 49%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 19%
Raptors -981%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 41%
Nets -2.559%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -569%
Bulls 31%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 18%
Rockets -982%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 20%
Mavericks -981%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 28%
Suns -5.572%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 22%
Jazz -878%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 17%
Clippers -1083%

Tuesday, Nov. 19

8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 18%
Grizzlies -9.582%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 29%
Pelicans -5.571%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 42%
Kings -258%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 19%
Lakers -981%

Wednesday, Nov. 20

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 5%
76ers -1895%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 34%
Wizards -466%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 19%
Nets -981%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 20%
Heat -8.580%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 8%
Mavericks -15.592%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -8.580%
Hawks 20%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 46%
Raptors -154%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 35%
Bulls -3.565%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz 48%
Timberwolves -0.552%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 43%
Nuggets -1.557%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 17%
Clippers -1083%

Thursday, Nov. 21

8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 19%
Bucks -981%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 28%
Suns -672%

Friday, Nov. 22

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 24%
Pistons -7.576%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 23%
Wizards -7.577%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 34%
Nets -466%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers PK51%
Thunder 49%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat -0.553%
Bulls 47%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 12%
76ers -12.588%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 18%
Mavericks -9.582%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 24%
Nuggets -776%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 6%
Jazz -16.594%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 31%
Clippers -569%

Saturday, Nov. 23

5 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 37%
Timberwolves -363%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls -154%
Hornets 46%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 45%
Pacers -155%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 24%
76ers -776%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs -0.552%
Knicks 48%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -5.570%
Hawks 30%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -1.556%
Grizzlies 44%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers -153%
Cavaliers 47%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 10%
Bucks -13.590%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 23%
Jazz -7.577%

Completed games

Saturday, Nov. 16

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 27%117
Bulls -673%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -6.574%102
Pacers 26%83
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 42%103
Knicks -258%102
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 41%125
Timberwolves -259%105
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 23%94
Heat -7.577%109
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers -0.551%121
Spurs 49%116
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 24%102
Mavericks -776%110
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 14%101
Clippers -1186%150

Friday, Nov. 15

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons -154%106
Hornets 46%109
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 18%109
Magic -9.582%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 15%102
Rockets -1185%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -362%119
Thunder 38%127
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -3.564%106
Grizzlies 36%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 19%137
Timberwolves -981%116
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -466%105
Warriors 34%100
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 18%97
Lakers -982%99

Thursday, Nov. 14

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat PK50%108
Cavaliers 50%97
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 9%115
Bucks -1491%124
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks -981%103
Knicks 19%106
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 36%127
Pelicans -3.564%132
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 13%112
Suns -11.587%128
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 13%93
Nuggets -1287%101

Wednesday, Nov. 13

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 46%119
Hornets -154%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers 31%97
Magic -569%112
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 32%93
Rockets -4.568%102
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 17%133
Celtics -1083%140
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 23%114
Timberwolves -7.577%129
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 21%94
Lakers -8.579%120
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 42%114
Trail Blazers -258%106

Tuesday, Nov. 12

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 17%97
76ers -1083%98
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 46%85
Pacers -154%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 23%108
Heat -7.577%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 19%102
Bulls -981%120
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 7%125
Nuggets -1693%121
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 17%114
Jazz -1083%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 48%123
Suns -0.552%115
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 41%99
Kings -2.559%107

Monday, Nov. 11

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 44%120
Pistons -1.556%114
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 34%106
Celtics -466%116
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 32%113
Spurs -4.568%109
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -465%122
Pelicans 35%116
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 16%88
Clippers -10.584%98
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -981%122
Warriors 19%108

Sunday, Nov. 10

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 48%100
Timberwolves -0.552%98
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 6%106
76ers -17.594%114
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 24%109
Magic -7.576%102
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -5.570%121
Thunder 30%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers -257%108
Knicks 43%87
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 30%112
Suns -5.570%138
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 17%113
Trail Blazers -1083%124
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 17%113
Lakers -9.583%104

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