Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.

More NBA:2019-20 RAPTOR player ratingsOur preseason player projections

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
| Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
| Kawhi Leonard | K. Leonard | 0 | 0 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 39 | SAME | +4.4 | +3.2 | |||||||
| Paul George | P. George | 0 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 37 | SAME | +2.4 | +3.8 | |||||||
| Patrick Beverley | P. Beverley | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | SAME | +0.4 | +3.1 | |||||||
| Marcus Morris | M. Morris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | 31 | SAME | -0.3 | +0.5 | |||||||
| Lou Williams | L. Williams | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | SAME | +1.8 | -3.3 | |||||||
| Ivica Zubac | I. Zubac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | SAME | -1.7 | +2.6 | |||||||
| Landry Shamet | L. Shamet | 2 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 23 | SAME | -2.4 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Montrezl Harrell | M. Harrell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | SAME | -1.2 | +0.8 | |||||||
| JaMychal Green | J. Green | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 16 | SAME | -1.7 | -1.1 | |||||||
| Reggie Jackson | R. Jackson | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | SAME | +0.4 | -1.7 | |||||||
| Patrick Patterson | P. Patterson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.6 | -0.9 | |||||||
| Rodney McGruder | R. McGruder | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.8 | -0.7 | |||||||
| Joakim Noah | J. Noah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.4 | +1.2 | |||||||
| Terance Mann | T. Mann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
| Amir Coffey | A. Coffey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.3 | -0.9 | |||||||
| Mfiondu Kabengele | M. Kabengele | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.7 | +0.2 | |||||||
| Johnathan Motley | J. Motley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.5 | -0.9 | |||||||
| Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +3.3 | +5.7 | |||||||||||||
| Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 111-102 | ||||||||||||||
| Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 62 | ||||||||||||||
| Team rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Team rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1723 | ||||||||||||||
| Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1728 | ||||||||||||||
| Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
| Kawhi Leonard | K. Leonard | 0 | 0 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 39 | +4.4 | +3.2 | ||||
| Paul George | P. George | 0 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 37 | +2.4 | +3.8 | ||||
| Patrick Beverley | P. Beverley | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | +0.4 | +3.1 | ||||
| Marcus Morris | M. Morris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | 31 | -0.3 | +0.5 | ||||
| Lou Williams | L. Williams | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | +1.8 | -3.3 | ||||
| Ivica Zubac | I. Zubac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | -1.7 | +2.6 | ||||
| Landry Shamet | L. Shamet | 2 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 23 | -2.4 | -0.1 | ||||
| Montrezl Harrell | M. Harrell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | -1.2 | +0.8 | ||||
| JaMychal Green | J. Green | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 16 | -1.7 | -1.1 | ||||
| Reggie Jackson | R. Jackson | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +0.4 | -1.7 | ||||
| Patrick Patterson | P. Patterson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | -0.9 | ||||
| Rodney McGruder | R. McGruder | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 | -0.7 | ||||
| Joakim Noah | J. Noah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 | +1.2 | ||||
| Terance Mann | T. Mann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| Amir Coffey | A. Coffey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | -0.9 | ||||
| Mfiondu Kabengele | M. Kabengele | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 | +0.2 | ||||
| Johnathan Motley | J. Motley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 | -0.9 | ||||
| Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +3.3 | +5.7 | |||||||||
| Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 111-102 | ||||||||||
| Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 62 | ||||||||||
| Team rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Team rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1723 | ||||||||||
| Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1728 | ||||||||||
Comments