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UPDATED Jan. 23, 2020, at 7:22 AM

2019-20 NBA Predictions

Powered by FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR player ratings

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:2019-20 RAPTOR player ratingsOur preseason player projections

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Regular SeasonReg. SeasonPlayoffs
Current ratingTeamConferenceFull-strength ratingProj. RecordProj. Point Diff/GChance of Making PlayoffsMake play-offsFull-strength ratingChance of Making FinalsMake FinalsChance of Winning FinalsWin Finals
1742Bucks39-6East171165-17+9.9>99%176445%23%
1698Lakers35-9West171861-21+6.9>99%177036%21%
1594Clippers31-14West171757-25+6.3>99%177536%20%
162276ers29-17East172455-27+5.0>99%177436%19%
1691Rockets27-16West168753-29+4.9>99%173117%8%
1622Celtics29-14East165354-28+5.6>99%16839%3%
1638Raptors30-14East163855-27+5.4>99%16658%2%
1623Jazz31-13West162355-27+4.8>99%16635%2%
1548Nuggets30-14West161252-30+3.1>99%16553%1%
1611Mavericks27-16West163950-32+5.0>99%16551%<1%
1579Thunder26-19West157647-35+1.999%1610<1%<1%
1516Pacers29-16East157050-32+2.4>99%1588<1%<1%
1568Pelicans17-28West157739-43-0.553%1608<1%<1%
1475Heat31-13East152851-31+2.3>99%1537<1%<1%
1522Magic21-24East155940-42-0.193%1546<1%<1%
1424Trail Blazers19-26West156737-45-1.425%1592<1%<1%
1518Timberwolves15-29West151432-50-2.53%1535<1%<1%
1416Nets18-24East154936-46-1.874%1568<1%<1%
1421Bulls17-29East146732-50-2.418%1468<1%<1%
1448Spurs20-23West145435-47-2.312%1454<1%<1%
1452Wizards14-29East143330-52-4.38%1444<1%<1%
1384Pistons17-28East142429-53-3.16%1434<1%<1%
1440Grizzlies20-24West144433-49-3.85%1445<1%<1%
1470Suns18-26West146632-50-2.42%1468<1%<1%
1470Kings15-29West148331-51-3.12%1495<1%<1%
1324Hornets15-30East132425-57-7.3<1%1323<1%<1%
1342Hawks11-34East140725-57-6.7<1%1409<1%<1%
1355Cavaliers12-32East134724-58-7.7<1%1354<1%<1%
1365Warriors10-36West154024-58-6.4<1%1579<1%<1%
1318Knicks12-33East130522-60-7.7<1%1307<1%<1%
Forecast from

Thursday, Jan. 23

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 42%
Cavaliers -258%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -570%
Nets 31%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks -362%
Trail Blazers 38%

Friday, Jan. 24

3 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -1592%
Hornets 8%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics PK50%
Magic 50%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 43%
Pistons -1.557%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -879%
Knicks 21%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 13%
Thunder -1287%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 34%
Pelicans -466%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -2.560%
Timberwolves 40%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -153%
Heat 47%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 43%
Bulls -257%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 39%
Spurs -361%
10:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers -258%
Warriors 42%

Saturday, Jan. 25

5 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 32%
Jazz -4.568%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets -0.552%
Pistons 48%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 38%
Cavaliers -362%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 43%
Timberwolves -1.557%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 48%
76ers -0.552%

Sunday, Jan. 26

3:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets PK50%
Nuggets 50%
4 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -2.561%
Spurs 39%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nets -1.556%
Knicks 44%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 46%
Pelicans -154%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -259%
Magic 41%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 41%
Grizzlies -259%
6 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 48%
Hawks -0.552%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 44%
Trail Blazers -1.556%

Monday, Jan. 27

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 32%
Pistons -4.568%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 33%
Heat -4.567%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 43%
Thunder -1.557%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 34%
Bulls -466%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 30%
Timberwolves -570%
9 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 34%
Jazz -466%

Tuesday, Jan. 28

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 10%
76ers -13.590%
7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 35%
Hornets -465%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 13%
Raptors -1287%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -3.564%
Heat 36%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans -5.571%
Cavaliers 29%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -0.552%
Grizzlies 48%
8 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 11%
Bucks -1389%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 24%
Mavericks -776%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 39%
Lakers -2.561%

Wednesday, Jan. 29

7 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 25%
Pacers -775%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 24%
Nets -776%
7:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies -1.556%
Knicks 44%
8:30 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -2.560%
Spurs 40%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -4.567%
Trail Blazers 34%
10 p.m. EasternRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder PK50%
Kings 50%

Completed games

Wednesday, Jan. 22

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 42%120
Magic -258%114
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers 33%95
Raptors -4.568%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings -258%106
Pistons 42%127
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 47%95
Hawks -153%102
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -10.585%100
Knicks 15%92
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 21%95
Celtics -8.579%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 37%129
Heat -363%134
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 20%105
Rockets -8.580%121
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves -0.552%110
Bulls 48%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 37%112
Suns -3.563%87
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 25%121
Pelicans -6.575%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -672%129
Warriors 28%96

Tuesday, Jan. 21

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 34%110
Mavericks -466%107

Monday, Jan. 20

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 31%100
Wizards -569%106
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -673%122
Hawks 28%117
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -465%117
Nets 35%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 8%98
Bucks -1592%111
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 39%126
Grizzlies -2.561%116
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 31%106
Cavaliers -569%86
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 21%112
Rockets -879%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic -2.561%106
Hornets 39%83
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings -0.552%113
Heat 48%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -2.561%107
Celtics 39%139
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 27%107
Timberwolves -673%100
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 18%88
Jazz -9.582%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 23%120
Suns -7.577%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 38%124
Trail Blazers -362%129

Sunday, Jan. 19

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat -0.552%102
Spurs 48%107
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 31%115
Nuggets -569%107

Saturday, Jan. 18

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -2.559%133
Pelicans 41%130
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -6.574%117
Nets 26%97
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 22%123
Celtics -878%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 43%136
Hawks -1.557%103
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -5.571%90
Knicks 29%87
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 30%116
Bulls -570%118
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -258%122
Timberwolves 42%112
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 29%124
Rockets -5.571%115
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic -466%95
Warriors 34%109
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 20%106
Thunder -8.580%119
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 18%101
Jazz -9.582%123

Friday, Jan. 17

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 15%89
76ers -10.585%100
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 28%114
Pacers -672%116
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 19%111
Raptors -981%140
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 22%109
Grizzlies -878%113
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 32%115
Thunder -4.568%108
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 30%121
Spurs -5.570%120
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 21%112
Mavericks -879%120

Thursday, Jan. 16

FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Suns -2.559%121
Knicks 41%98
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 14%123
Bucks -1186%128
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -154%132
Pelicans 46%138
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 49%134
Warriors -0.551%131
FINALRAPTOR spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 19%95
Clippers -981%122

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