The Toronto Raptors have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

	Expected minutes per game									PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game		PLAYER RATING
Player	PG	SG	SF	PF	C	TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Kyle Lowry	K. Lowry	37	0	0	0	0	37	SAME			+4.1	+2.7
Pascal Siakam	P. Siakam	0	0	0	33	5	38	SAME			+0.1	+0.9
Fred VanVleet	F. VanVleet	3	31	0	0	0	34	SAME			+1.6	+1.1
OG Anunoby	O. Anunoby	0	0	30	0	0	30	SAME			-0.5	+1.0
Marc Gasol	M. Gasol	0	0	0	0	28	28	SAME			-1.9	+2.9
Serge Ibaka	S. Ibaka	0	0	0	14	14	28	SAME			-0.1	+0.8
Norman Powell	N. Powell	0	12	12	0	0	24	SAME			+0.4	-0.4
Patrick McCaw	P. McCaw	8	5	6	0	0	19	SAME			-2.4	-0.5
Matt Thomas	M. Thomas	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-0.4	-1.3
Terence Davis	T. Davis	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			+0.2	0.0
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	R. Hollis-Jefferson	0	0	0	1	0	1	SAME			-0.5	+1.5
Chris Boucher	C. Boucher	0	0	0	0	1	1	SAME			+0.1	+0.7
Stanley Johnson	S. Johnson	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-2.1	+0.7
Oshae Brissett	O. Brissett	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-1.9	-0.9
Malcolm Miller	M. Miller	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-0.8	-0.7
Dewan Hernandez	D. Hernandez	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-2.5	-0.3
Paul Watson	P. Watson	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-1.5	-1.3
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.									Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+1.9	+5.4
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.									Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			108-101
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.									Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			58
Team rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.									Team rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1682
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.									Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1686

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

	Expected minutes per game							PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game		PLAYER RATING
Player	PG	SG	SF	PF	C	TOTAL		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Kyle Lowry	K. Lowry	37	0	0	0	0	37		+4.1	+2.7
Pascal Siakam	P. Siakam	0	0	0	33	5	38		+0.1	+0.9
Fred VanVleet	F. VanVleet	3	31	0	0	0	34		+1.6	+1.1
OG Anunoby	O. Anunoby	0	0	30	0	0	30		-0.5	+1.0
Marc Gasol	M. Gasol	0	0	0	0	28	28		-1.9	+2.9
Serge Ibaka	S. Ibaka	0	0	0	14	14	28		-0.1	+0.8
Norman Powell	N. Powell	0	12	12	0	0	24		+0.4	-0.4
Patrick McCaw	P. McCaw	8	5	6	0	0	19		-2.4	-0.5
Matt Thomas	M. Thomas	0	0	0	0	0	0		-0.4	-1.3
Terence Davis	T. Davis	0	0	0	0	0	0		+0.2	0.0
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	R. Hollis-Jefferson	0	0	0	1	0	1		-0.5	+1.5
Chris Boucher	C. Boucher	0	0	0	0	1	1		+0.1	+0.7
Stanley Johnson	S. Johnson	0	0	0	0	0	0		-2.1	+0.7
Oshae Brissett	O. Brissett	0	0	0	0	0	0		-1.9	-0.9
Malcolm Miller	M. Miller	0	0	0	0	0	0		-0.8	-0.7
Dewan Hernandez	D. Hernandez	0	0	0	0	0	0		-2.5	-0.3
Paul Watson	P. Watson	0	0	0	0	0	0		-1.5	-1.3
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.							Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+1.9	+5.4
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.							Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			108-101
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.							Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			58
Team rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.							Team rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1682
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.							Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1686

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2019-20 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

The Toronto Raptors have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

Comments

2019-20 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

The Toronto Raptors have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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Comments