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| average simulated season | playoff chances | playoff chances | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
elo with top qb elo rating | 1-week change | current qb adj. | team | division | record sim. record | point diff. | make playoffs | win division | 1st-round bye | win super bowl | ||||
| 1729 | +17 |  | ChiefsChiefs7-1 | AFC West | 13-3 | +174.4 | >99% | 92% | 38% | 24% | ||||
| 1665 | +19 |  | SteelersSteelers7-0 | AFC North | 14-2 | +148.2 | >99% | 82% | 51% | 14% | ||||
| 1654 | +2 |  | BuccaneersBuccaneers6-2 | NFC South | 11-5 | +132.9 | 92% | 59% | 22% | 13% | ||||
| 1648 | +23 |  | SeahawksSeahawks6-1 | NFC West | 12-4 | +101.9 | 95% | 65% | 39% | 12% | ||||
| 1632 | -28 |  | RavensRavens5-2 | AFC North | 11-5 | +132.0 | 88% | 15% | 4% | 5% | ||||
| 1619 | +16 |  | SaintsSaints5-2 | NFC South | 10-6 | +43.2 | 83% | 40% | 13% | 7% | ||||
| 1592 | -26 |  | PackersPackers5-2 | NFC North | 11-5 | +77.0 | 83% | 62% | 11% | 5% | ||||
| 1580 | +24 |  | ColtsColts5-2 | AFC South | 10-6 | +83.7 | 69% | 45% | 2% | 3% | ||||
| 1576 | +3 |  | BillsBills6-2 | AFC East | 10-6 | +12.7 | 89% | 85% | 2% | 3% | ||||
| 1571 | -29 | -31 |  | 49ers49ers4-4 | NFC West | 8-8 | +40.1 | 31% | 3% | <1% | 1% | |||
| 1571 | -46 |  | TitansTitans5-2 | AFC South | 10-6 | +48.2 | 77% | 54% | 1% | 3% | ||||
| 1563 |  | CardinalsCardinals5-2 | NFC West | 10-6 | +78.8 | 72% | 22% | 7% | 3% | |||||
| 1558 | -40 |  | RamsRams5-3 | NFC West | 9-7 | +45.2 | 53% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||||
| 1536 | +23 |  | RaidersRaiders4-3 | AFC West | 9-7 | +0.7 | 52% | 6% | <1% | 1% | ||||
| 1527 | -14 |  | BearsBears5-3 | NFC North | 9-7 | +11.5 | 63% | 33% | 3% | 2% | ||||
| 1517 | -36 |  | BrownsBrowns5-3 | AFC North | 10-6 | -9.9 | 61% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1496 | +10 |  | BroncosBroncos3-4 | AFC West | 7-9 | -55.0 | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1489 | -6 |  | PatriotsPatriots2-5 | AFC East | 7-9 | -30.4 | 12% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1487 | +32 |  | VikingsVikings2-5 | NFC North | 7-9 | -18.6 | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1485 | +23 |  | FalconsFalcons2-6 | NFC South | 5-11 | -54.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1483 | -2 |  | EaglesEagles3-4-1 | NFC East | 7-8-1 | -28.0 | 70% | 70% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1470 | -6 |  | ChargersChargers2-5 | AFC West | 6-10 | -23.3 | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1454 | +36 |  | DolphinsDolphins4-3 | AFC East | 8-8 | +32.1 | 25% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1445 |  | TexansTexans1-6 | AFC South | 5-11 | -67.9 | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||
| 1430 | +47 |  | BengalsBengals2-5-1 | AFC North | 5-10-1 | -41.3 | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1430 | -22 | -70 |  | LionsLions3-4 | NFC North | 7-9 | -61.6 | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | |||
| 1422 | -33 |  | PanthersPanthers3-5 | NFC South | 6-10 | -57.3 | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1380 |  | WashingtonWashington2-5 | NFC East | 5-11 | -70.5 | 21% | 20% | <1% | <1% | |||||
| 1353 | -3 |  | GiantsGiants1-7 | NFC East | 4-12 | -105.4 | 3% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1332 | +2 | -76 |  | CowboysCowboys2-6 | NFC East | 4-12 | -140.4 | 7% | 7% | <1% | <1% | |||
| 1312 | -3 |  | JetsJets0-8 | AFC East | 2-14 | -216.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||
| 1306 | -108 |  | JaguarsJaguars1-6 | AFC South | 2-14 | -182.7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||
Forecast from
Week 9
Thursday, Nov. 5
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | -0.5 | 52% | |
| 49ers | 48% |
Sunday, Nov. 8
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -0.5 | 52% | |
| Colts | 48% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 12% | ||
| Chiefs | -13.5 | 88% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | 39% | ||
| Titans | -3 | 61% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 46% | ||
| Falcons | -1 | 54% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 28% | ||
| Vikings | -6.5 | 72% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | -8.5 | 77% | |
| Jaguars | 23% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | 38% | ||
| Washington | -3.5 | 62% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | -1 | 54% | |
| Bills | 46% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | -1.5 | 55% | |
| Chargers | 45% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 27% | ||
| Cardinals | -7 | 73% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | -15 | 89% | |
| Cowboys | 11% |
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | 40% | ||
| Buccaneers | -3 | 60% |
Monday, Nov. 9
| 8:15 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | -6 | 70% | |
| Jets | 30% |
Week 10
Thursday, Nov. 12
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | 46% | ||
| Titans | -1 | 54% |
Sunday, Nov. 15
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 32% | ||
| Browns | -5.5 | 68% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 8% | ||
| Packers | -17 | 92% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -5 | 67% | |
| Giants | 33% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -10.5 | 82% | |
| Panthers | 18% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 38% | ||
| Lions | -3.5 | 62% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 46% | ||
| Cardinals | -1 | 54% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 39% | ||
| Raiders | -3 | 61% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 46% | ||
| Dolphins | -1 | 54% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 20% | ||
| Steelers | -9.5 | 80% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | -1 | 54% | |
| Rams | 46% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | 33% | ||
| Saints | -5 | 67% |
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -4.5 | 65% | |
| Patriots | 35% |
Monday, Nov. 16
| 8:15 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 39% | ||
| Bears | -3 | 61% |
Week 11
Thursday, Nov. 19
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | 33% | ||
| Seahawks | -5 | 67% |
Sunday, Nov. 22
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 30% | ||
| Saints | -5.5 | 70% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | -0.5 | 52% | |
| Washington | 48% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 46% | ||
| Panthers | -1 | 54% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | 47% | ||
| Colts | -1 | 53% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | PK | 51% | |
| Texans | 49% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 40% | ||
| Browns | -2.5 | 60% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | -15.5 | 90% | |
| Jaguars | 10% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | 36% | ||
| Ravens | -4 | 64% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 38% | ||
| Broncos | -3.5 | 62% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 27% | ||
| Chargers | -7 | 73% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 26% | ||
| Vikings | -7 | 74% |
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -7 | 74% | |
| Raiders | 26% |
Monday, Nov. 23
| 8:15 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | 31% | ||
| Buccaneers | -5.5 | 69% |
Thursday, Nov. 26
| 12:30 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 47% | ||
| Lions | -1 | 53% |
Week 12
Thursday, Nov. 26
| 4:30 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | -0.5 | 51% | |
| Cowboys | 49% |
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | 41% | ||
| Steelers | -2.5 | 59% |
Sunday, Nov. 29
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -1.5 | 55% | |
| Patriots | 45% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 36% | ||
| Vikings | -4 | 64% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | -9.5 | 80% | |
| Jaguars | 20% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 27% | ||
| Bills | -7 | 73% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | -4 | 65% | |
| Jets | 35% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | 38% | ||
| Bengals | -3.5 | 62% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | -0.5 | 52% | |
| Falcons | 48% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | 44% | ||
| Colts | -1.5 | 56% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | -3.5 | 62% | |
| Broncos | 38% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | 46% | ||
| Rams | -1 | 54% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -1.5 | 55% | |
| Buccaneers | 45% |
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | 40% | ||
| Packers | -3 | 60% |
Monday, Nov. 30
| 8:15 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | -5 | 67% | |
| Eagles | 33% |
Week 13
Thursday, Dec. 3
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 13% | ||
| Ravens | -13.5 | 87% |
Sunday, Dec. 6
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 41% | ||
| Dolphins | -2.5 | 59% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | 37% | ||
| Titans | -3.5 | 63% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 35% | ||
| Bears | -4 | 65% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -3 | 60% | |
| Texans | 40% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 16% | ||
| Vikings | -11.5 | 84% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | -4 | 64% | |
| Falcons | 36% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | -7.5 | 74% | |
| Jets | 26% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 14% | ||
| Steelers | -12.5 | 86% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | 44% | ||
| Cardinals | -1.5 | 56% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | 13% | ||
| Seahawks | -13.5 | 87% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 47% | ||
| Chargers | -1 | 53% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 30% | ||
| Packers | -6 | 70% |
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 18% | ||
| Chiefs | -10.5 | 82% |
Monday, Dec. 7
| 8:15 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 49% | ||
| 49ers | -0.5 | 51% |
Week 14
Thursday, Dec. 10
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 34% | ||
| Rams | -4.5 | 66% |
Sunday, Dec. 13
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -6.5 | 72% | |
| Giants | 28% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 32% | ||
| Bengals | -5.5 | 68% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | -0.5 | 52% | |
| Panthers | 48% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | -5 | 68% | |
| Lions | 32% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 34% | ||
| Bears | -4.5 | 66% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -9.5 | 80% | |
| Dolphins | 20% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 21% | ||
| Buccaneers | -9 | 79% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | -12 | 85% | |
| Jaguars | 15% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | PK | 51% | |
| Raiders | 49% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 10% | ||
| Seahawks | -15 | 90% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 46% | ||
| Chargers | -1 | 54% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | -4 | 64% | |
| Eagles | 36% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 24% | ||
| 49ers | -8 | 76% |
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | -2 | 58% | |
| Bills | 42% |
Monday, Dec. 14
| 8:15 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -3 | 61% | |
| Browns | 39% |
Week 15
Thursday, Dec. 17
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 36% | ||
| Raiders | -4 | 64% |
Sunday, Dec. 20
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -1.5 | 56% | |
| Broncos | 44% |
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 23% | ||
| Packers | -8 | 77% |
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 27% | ||
| Titans | -7 | 73% |
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 27% | ||
| Colts | -7 | 73% |
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 16% | ||
| Rams | -11.5 | 84% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | PK | 51% | |
| Vikings | 49% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | -5 | 68% | |
| Giants | 32% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 8% | ||
| Ravens | -17 | 92% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 50% | ||
| Dolphins | PK | 50% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | -9 | 79% | |
| Washington | 21% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -8 | 76% | |
| Falcons | 24% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 33% | ||
| Cardinals | -5 | 67% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -3 | 60% | |
| Saints | 40% |
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | -7 | 73% | |
| Cowboys | 27% |
Monday, Dec. 21
| 8:15 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | -8 | 76% | |
| Bengals | 24% |
Week 16
Friday, Dec. 25
| 4:30 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 27% | ||
| Saints | -7 | 73% |
Sunday, Dec. 27
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | -7 | 73% | |
| Jets | 27% |
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 49% | ||
| Chargers | -0.5 | 51% |
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 33% | ||
| Raiders | -5 | 67% |
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | 44% | ||
| Cardinals | -2 | 56% |
| Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -10 | 81% | |
| Lions | 19% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 17% | ||
| Chiefs | -11 | 83% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | -0.5 | 51% | |
| Washington | 49% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | -10 | 81% | |
| Jaguars | 19% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 43% | ||
| Texans | -2 | 57% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | 34% | ||
| Steelers | -5 | 66% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | 14% | ||
| Ravens | -12.5 | 86% |
| 4:05 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | 33% | ||
| Seahawks | -5 | 67% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -4.5 | 66% | |
| Cowboys | 34% |
| 8:20 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | 42% | ||
| Packers | -2 | 58% |
Monday, Dec. 28
| 8:15 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -2 | 58% | |
| Patriots | 42% |
Week 17
Sunday, Jan. 3, 2021
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 24% | ||
| Buccaneers | -8 | 76% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -6.5 | 72% | |
| Bengals | 28% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 42% | ||
| Giants | -2.5 | 58% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | -1 | 54% | |
| Bears | 46% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 10% | ||
| Colts | -15 | 90% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 15% | ||
| Chiefs | -12 | 85% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 28% | ||
| Bills | -6.5 | 72% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | -1 | 53% | |
| Lions | 47% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | -6.5 | 72% | |
| Panthers | 28% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 23% | ||
| Patriots | -8.5 | 77% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | -4.5 | 66% | |
| Browns | 34% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | -3.5 | 63% | |
| Texans | 37% |
| 1 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 31% | ||
| Eagles | -5.5 | 69% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | 46% | ||
| Rams | -1 | 54% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | PK | 51% | |
| Broncos | 49% |
| 4:25 p.m. Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | -2 | 56% | |
| 49ers | 44% |
Completed
Week 8
Thursday, Oct. 29
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 46% | 25 | |
| Panthers | -1 | 54% | 17 |
Sunday, Nov. 1
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -4 | 63% | 41 |
| Lions | 37% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | -4.5 | 66% | 17 |
| Dolphins | 34% | 28 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 27% | 28 | |
| Packers | -7 | 73% | 22 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 34% | 21 | |
| Bills | -4.5 | 66% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 8% | 9 | |
| Chiefs | -17.5 | 92% | 35 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | 39% | 16 | |
| Browns | -3 | 61% | 6 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | 40% | 28 | |
| Ravens | -3 | 60% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | -8 | 76% | 20 |
| Bengals | 24% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 43% | 30 | |
| Broncos | -2 | 57% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | -1 | 54% | 26 |
| Bears | 46% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | 41% | 27 | |
| Seahawks | -2.5 | 59% | 37 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 18% | 9 | |
| Eagles | -11 | 82% | 23 |
Monday, Nov. 2
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -13 | 87% | 25 |
| Giants | 13% | 23 |
Week 7
Thursday, Oct. 22
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | 29% | 21 | |
| Eagles | -6.5 | 71% | 22 |
Sunday, Oct. 25
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -7.5 | 74% | 18 |
| Jets | 26% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 24% | 24 | |
| Saints | -8 | 76% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | -5 | 66% | 37 |
| Bengals | 34% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 47% | 3 | |
| Washington | -1 | 53% | 25 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 41% | 23 | |
| Falcons | -2.5 | 59% | 22 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | -4 | 63% | 35 |
| Texans | 37% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | 45% | 27 | |
| Titans | -1.5 | 55% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -3 | 60% | 45 |
| Raiders | 40% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 25% | 29 | |
| Chargers | -8 | 75% | 39 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -6.5 | 72% | 43 |
| Broncos | 28% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | 46% | 33 | |
| Patriots | -1 | 54% | 6 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | -3.5 | 63% | 34 |
| Cardinals | 37% | 37 |
Monday, Oct. 26
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | 44% | 10 | |
| Rams | -1.5 | 56% | 24 |
Week 6
Sunday, Oct. 18
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 34% | 40 | |
| Vikings | -4.5 | 66% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -5.5 | 69% | 30 |
| Eagles | 31% | 28 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | -1.5 | 55% | 23 |
| Panthers | 45% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 25% | 27 | |
| Colts | -7.5 | 75% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | 37% | 7 | |
| Steelers | -3.5 | 63% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 32% | 18 | |
| Patriots | -5.5 | 68% | 12 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | -2.5 | 59% | 34 |
| Jaguars | 41% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 24% | 36 | |
| Titans | -8 | 76% | 42 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 46% | 19 | |
| Giants | -1 | 54% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 23% | 0 | |
| Dolphins | -8.5 | 77% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | -3 | 60% | 10 |
| Buccaneers | 40% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | -2 | 56% | 16 |
| 49ers | 44% | 24 |
Monday, Oct. 19
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -2.5 | 60% | 26 |
| Bills | 40% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -3 | 61% | 38 |
| Cowboys | 39% | 10 |
Week 5
Thursday, Oct. 8
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -2.5 | 59% | 19 |
| Bears | 41% | 20 |
Sunday, Oct. 11
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -3.5 | 62% | 30 |
| Jets | 38% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 47% | 23 | |
| Falcons | -1 | 53% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 17% | 3 | |
| Ravens | -11 | 83% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 35% | 14 | |
| Texans | -4 | 65% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | -7 | 74% | 30 |
| Washington | 26% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | 17% | 40 | |
| Chiefs | -11 | 83% | 32 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 28% | 29 | |
| Steelers | -6.5 | 72% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 24% | 43 | |
| 49ers | -8 | 76% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | 50% | 23 | |
| Browns | PK | 50% | 32 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | 22% | 34 | |
| Cowboys | -8.5 | 78% | 37 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 26% | 26 | |
| Seahawks | -7 | 74% | 27 |
Monday, Oct. 12
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 27% | 27 | |
| Saints | -7 | 73% | 30 |
Tuesday, Oct. 13
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 47% | 16 | |
| Titans | -1 | 53% | 42 |
Week 4
Thursday, Oct. 1
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 38% | 37 | |
| Jets | -3.5 | 62% | 28 |
Sunday, Oct. 4
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -1.5 | 55% | 21 |
| Panthers | 45% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -9.5 | 80% | 31 |
| Washington | 20% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | 38% | 49 | |
| Cowboys | -3.5 | 62% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 45% | 25 | |
| Bengals | -1.5 | 55% | 33 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 31% | 31 | |
| Buccaneers | -5.5 | 69% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 47% | 31 | |
| Texans | -1 | 53% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | -4 | 64% | 35 |
| Lions | 36% | 29 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | -5.5 | 68% | 31 |
| Dolphins | 32% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | 19% | 9 | |
| Rams | -10.5 | 81% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -2 | 57% | 30 |
| Raiders | 43% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | 42% | 19 | |
| Bears | -2 | 58% | 11 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 30% | 25 | |
| 49ers | -5.5 | 70% | 20 |
Monday, Oct. 5
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 19% | 10 | |
| Chiefs | -10 | 81% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 23% | 16 | |
| Packers | -8.5 | 77% | 30 |
Week 3
Thursday, Sept. 24
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 44% | 31 | |
| Jaguars | -1.5 | 56% | 13 |
Sunday, Sept. 27
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | -1 | 54% | 30 |
| Falcons | 46% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 32% | 23 | |
| Eagles | -5.5 | 68% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 28% | 21 | |
| Steelers | -6.5 | 72% | 28 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | 45% | 32 | |
| Bills | -1.5 | 55% | 35 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | 38% | 20 | |
| Patriots | -3.5 | 62% | 36 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | -4 | 64% | 36 |
| Giants | 36% | 9 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | -2.5 | 59% | 31 |
| Vikings | 41% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 31% | 20 | |
| Browns | -5.5 | 69% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 33% | 21 | |
| Chargers | -5 | 67% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 30% | 7 | |
| Colts | -6 | 70% | 36 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 38% | 31 | |
| Seahawks | -3.5 | 62% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 30% | 26 | |
| Cardinals | -5.5 | 70% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -5.5 | 69% | 28 |
| Broncos | 31% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | 47% | 37 | |
| Saints | -1 | 53% | 30 |
Monday, Sept. 28
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 46% | 34 | |
| Ravens | -1 | 54% | 20 |
Week 2
Thursday, Sept. 17
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 32% | 30 | |
| Browns | -5.5 | 68% | 35 |
Sunday, Sept. 20
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 36% | 39 | |
| Cowboys | -4 | 64% | 40 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -4.5 | 65% | 31 |
| Dolphins | 35% | 28 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 31% | 17 | |
| Buccaneers | -5.5 | 69% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 30% | 21 | |
| Steelers | -6 | 70% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 25% | 21 | |
| Packers | -7.5 | 75% | 42 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 26% | 30 | |
| Titans | -7.5 | 74% | 33 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | -0.5 | 51% | 37 |
| Eagles | 49% | 19 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 48% | 11 | |
| Colts | -0.5 | 52% | 28 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | 27% | 13 | |
| Bears | -7 | 73% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | -4 | 63% | 31 |
| Jets | 37% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 32% | 15 | |
| Cardinals | -5 | 68% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -5.5 | 69% | 33 |
| Texans | 31% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -6 | 72% | 23 |
| Chargers | 28% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 42% | 30 | |
| Seahawks | -2.5 | 58% | 35 |
Monday, Sept. 21
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | -4 | 65% | 24 |
| Raiders | 35% | 34 |
Week 1
Thursday, Sept. 10
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 25% | 20 | |
| Chiefs | -7.5 | 75% | 34 |
Sunday, Sept. 13
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | -1.5 | 56% | 27 |
| Lions | 44% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | 26% | 6 | |
| Ravens | -7.5 | 74% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | 47% | 43 | |
| Vikings | -1 | 53% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -4 | 65% | 20 |
| Jaguars | 35% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 29% | 11 | |
| Patriots | -6 | 71% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 35% | 17 | |
| Bills | -4.5 | 65% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | 50% | 34 | |
| Panthers | PK | 50% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -5.5 | 69% | 17 |
| Washington | 31% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | -0.5 | 51% | 38 |
| Falcons | 49% | 25 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | -1 | 54% | 16 |
| Bengals | 46% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | 27% | 24 | |
| 49ers | -7 | 73% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | 44% | 23 | |
| Saints | -1.5 | 56% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 47% | 17 | |
| Rams | -0.5 | 53% | 20 |
Monday, Sept. 14
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | -5 | 67% | 26 |
| Giants | 33% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | -1 | 54% | 16 |
| Broncos | 46% | 14 |
Quarterback ratings
The top quarterbacks for each team and their value in Elo points, which are used in our quarterback-adjusted model. Our ratings are a rolling average of recent performances and incorporate both passing and running. Undrafted rookies begin their careers with an Elo value of zero.
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