Updated Nov. 2, 2021, at 11:36 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Chance of making …
Team rating
1-week change
Div. SeriesMake Div. Series
League champ.Make league champ.
World SeriesMake W.S.
Win World SeriesWin W.S.
Braves3-1, 4-2, 4-2
NL East1570
Astros3-1, 4-2, 2-4
AL West1566
NL West1609
AL East1528
NL West1561
AL East1570
NL Central1536
AL Central1535
AL East1549
NL Central1525
AL East1546
AL West1496
AL West1518
NL Central1500
NL East1503
AL Central1502
NL West1516
AL Central1475
NL East1509
AL West1490
NL West1472
AL Central1470
AL Central1495
NL Central1459
NL East1459
NL East1477
NL Central1424
AL West1440
AL East1409
NL West1439
Forecast from

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.