Updated Apr. 13, 2021, at 1:14 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Astros have a 79% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1554, down 6 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros6-41.079%63%
AngelsAngels7-342%22%
AthleticsAthletics4-73.526%11%
MarinersMariners5-41.58%3%
RangersRangers3-74.03%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 138:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+5+0=145032%
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554+4+24=158268%
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
144510+0=143530%
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1554+3+24=158170%
4/16Friday, April 1610:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1554+52=155760%
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14691+20=148840%
4/17Saturday, April 179:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1554+8+0=156265%
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146935+24=145835%
4/18Sunday, April 184:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554+4+0=155858%
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+12+24=150542%
4/20Tuesday, April 208:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1554+31=155661%
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1443+11+26=148039%
4/21Wednesday, April 213:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1554+5+0=155964%
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14434+24=146336%
4/22Thursday, April 228:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1513173=149337%
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1554+8+21=158363%
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
15133+0=151040%
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554+4+24=158260%
4/24Saturday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151341%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151341%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
4/26Monday, April 268:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+04=146534%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157866%
4/27Tuesday, April 278:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146935%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
4/28Wednesday, April 288:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146935%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
4/29Thursday, April 292:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146935%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
4/30Friday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155150%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155250%
5/1Saturday, May 11:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155450%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155250%
5/2Sunday, May 27:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155450%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155250%
5/4Tuesday, May 47 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+01=155344%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+26=159656%
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159456%
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159456%
5/7Friday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+14=151541%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157559%
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151942%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157858%
5/9Sunday, May 92:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151942%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157858%
5/10Monday, May 108:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+03=151040%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
5/11Tuesday, May 118:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151341%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
5/12Wednesday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151341%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
5/13Thursday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+02=145433%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157867%
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145633%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157867%
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145633%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157867%
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145633%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157867%
5/18Tuesday, May 189:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+02=155253%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+22=152947%
5/19Wednesday, May 199:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153147%
5/20Thursday, May 203:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153147%
5/21Friday, May 218:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+04=155060%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148040%
5/22Saturday, May 224:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155461%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148039%
5/23Sunday, May 232:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155461%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148039%
5/25Tuesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+02=160253%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157847%
5/26Wednesday, May 267:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160454%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157846%
5/28Friday, May 288:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156247%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+26=158053%
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156548%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157852%
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156548%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157852%
5/31Monday, May 314:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+04=150439%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157861%
6/1Tuesday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150840%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
6/2Wednesday, June 28:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150840%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
6/3Thursday, June 32:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150840%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
6/4Friday, June 47:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155151%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154549%
6/5Saturday, June 53:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154348%
6/6Sunday, June 61:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154348%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153247%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153247%
6/10Thursday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153247%
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155148%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156552%
6/12Saturday, June 127:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155448%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156552%
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155448%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156552%
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+01=145533%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+23=157767%
6/16Wednesday, June 168:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145633%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157867%
6/17Thursday, June 178:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+03=151541%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
6/18Friday, June 188:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151841%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
6/19Saturday, June 197:15 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151841%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151841%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
6/21Monday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155162%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146338%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155463%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146337%
6/23Wednesday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155463%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146337%
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+02=155262%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146938%
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155462%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146938%
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155462%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146938%
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155462%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146938%
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143631%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157569%
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143931%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157869%
6/30Wednesday, June 308:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143931%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157869%
7/1Thursday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155152%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153848%
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153848%
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153848%
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153848%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+02=150540%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+23=157760%
7/7Wednesday, July 78:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150740%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
7/8Thursday, July 82:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150740%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+04=156648%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157852%
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157049%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157851%
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157049%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157851%
7/16Friday, July 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+4=155852%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+28=154648%
7/17Saturday, July 177:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154248%
7/18Sunday, July 182:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154248%
7/19Monday, July 198:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+04=151041%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157559%
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151441%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
7/21Wednesday, July 218:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151441%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+03=145332%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+26=158068%
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145633%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157867%
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145633%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157867%
7/26Monday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+04=155058%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149342%
7/27Tuesday, July 2710:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
7/28Wednesday, July 283:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
7/30Friday, July 309:45 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+01=155357%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+24=150743%
7/31Saturday, July 314:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155457%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+24=150743%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155457%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+24=150743%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155440%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162860%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155440%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162860%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153845%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157555%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154145%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157855%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154145%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157855%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154145%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157855%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+01=144231%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+26=158069%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144331%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157869%
8/13Friday, Aug. 139:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+01=155352%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153748%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 149:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153748%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153748%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155158%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149342%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146735%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157565%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146935%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146935%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
8/23Monday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146634%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157866%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146935%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 252:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146935%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155461%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+21=147739%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155461%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148039%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155461%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148039%
8/30Monday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+04=155058%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149342%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
9/3Friday, Sept. 310:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+01=155345%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158955%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155445%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158955%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155445%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158955%
9/6Monday, Sept. 67:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146635%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157565%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146935%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 82:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146935%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+01=151240%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+26=158060%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151341%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151341%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157859%
9/13Monday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+02=155261%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+20=147639%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155461%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148039%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155461%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148039%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 168:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155461%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148039%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+01=148437%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+22=157663%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148537%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157863%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148537%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157863%
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155152%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153748%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153748%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153748%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 239:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153748%
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+02=155253%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153147%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153147%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153147%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152743%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+22=157657%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152843%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157857%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152843%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157857%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+02=150540%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150740%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150740%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 128:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
144153=143328%6
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1557+17+26=160072%2
4/10Saturday, April 104:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15025+0=149737%7
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1560+3+24=158763%3
4/9Friday, April 98:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1500+6+0=150639%6
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1563+0+24=158761%2
4/8Thursday, April 88:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1501134=148437%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15615+23=157963%6
4/6Tuesday, April 64:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1560+17+0=157754%4
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1512+15+24=155146%2
4/5Monday, April 59:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1561142=154553%6
LAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15118+24=152747%7
4/4Sunday, April 44:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1559+4+0=156354%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1506+8+24=153846%2
4/3Saturday, April 34:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15562+0=155455%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
150814+24=151845%1
4/2Friday, April 29:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15546+0=154853%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
15108+24=152647%5
4/1Thursday, April 110:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1552+144=156251%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1513+17+24=155449%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

Comments