Updated Aug. 4, 2021, at 1:37 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Astros have a 98% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1570, up 3 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros65-4298%93%
AthleticsAthletics60-485.543%6%
MarinersMariners58-507.512%1%
AngelsAngels53-5412.01%<1%
RangersRangers39-6826.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15709+0=156140%
LADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1590+19+24=163360%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
1491133=147534%
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15703+21=158866%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
14915+0=148636%
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
15705+24=158964%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1491+12+0=150337%
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1570+4+24=159863%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1491+15+0=150636%
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1570+10+24=160464%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1460+71=146633%
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15709+26=158767%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1460+31+0=149136%
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15703+24=159164%
8/13Friday, Aug. 139:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
157051=156456%
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1498+3+24=152544%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 149:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1570+4+0=157458%
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1498+0+24=152242%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156957%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152243%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
157013=156663%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14544+24=147437%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156963%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14544+24=147437%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156963%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14544+24=147437%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156963%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14544+24=147437%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+82=149236%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+21=159064%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+0=149436%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159364%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+0=149436%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159364%
8/23Monday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
145443=144730%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159370%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14544+0=145030%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159370%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 252:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14544+0=145030%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159370%
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156966%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+21=145934%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156965%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+24=146235%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156965%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+24=146235%
8/30Monday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
157014=156557%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+24=151843%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156957%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+24=151843%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156957%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+24=151843%
9/3Friday, Sept. 310:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
157011=156848%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1556+1+24=158152%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156948%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1556+1+24=158152%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156948%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1556+1+24=158152%
9/6Monday, Sept. 67:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+83=149136%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+21=159064%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+0=149436%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159364%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 82:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+0=149436%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159364%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1498+01=149736%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+26=159564%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149836%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159364%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149836%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159364%
9/13Monday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
157012=156765%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+20=145835%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156965%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+24=146235%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156965%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+24=146235%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 168:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156965%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+24=146235%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1443+71=144930%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+22=159170%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1443+7+0=145030%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159370%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1443+7+0=145030%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159370%
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
157013=156656%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152244%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156957%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152243%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156957%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152243%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 239:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156957%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152243%
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
157012=156753%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1523+2+24=154947%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156953%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1523+2+24=154947%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+0=156953%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1523+2+24=154947%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
155661=154944%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+22=159156%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+0=155044%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159356%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+0=155044%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159356%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1523+22=152340%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159360%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1523+2+0=152540%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159360%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1523+2+0=152540%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15701+24=159360%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1568+6+0=157440%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1592+27+24=164360%0
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1570+9+0=157954%3
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
15313+24=155246%5
7/31Saturday, July 314:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1571+2+0=157354%6
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15296+24=154746%8
7/30Friday, July 309:45 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
156961=156248%9
SFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1531+22+24=157752%6
7/28Wednesday, July 283:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15679+0=155855%11
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1484+15+24=152345%4
7/27Tuesday, July 2710:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1566+5+0=157158%8
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1485+3+24=151242%6
7/26Monday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1568+114=157560%8
SEASEAMariners
McCaughan, Darren
McCaughan
14834+24=150340%11
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
144223+0=141927%1
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1568+1+24=159373%3
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1443+27+0=147034%1
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15679+24=158266%4
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
144423=143931%3
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156610+26=158269%7
7/21Wednesday, July 218:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150220+0=148234%5
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1567+6+24=159766%4
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1503+1+0=150437%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1565+6+24=159563%9
7/19Monday, July 198:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
1504254=147534%3
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1565+3+21=158966%4
7/18Sunday, July 182:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15678+0=155947%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1543+11+24=157853%4
7/17Saturday, July 177:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15704+0=156649%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1540+7+24=157151%10
7/16Friday, July 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1567+0+4=157153%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154218+28=155247%1
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15479+0=153843%7
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15664+24=158657%8
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1546+35+0=158148%1
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1568+1+24=159352%0
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1543464=149337%4
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15705+24=158963%0
7/8Thursday, July 82:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
151810+0=150838%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15723+24=159362%1
7/7Wednesday, July 78:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1518+8+0=152640%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1571+4+24=159960%4
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1520+242=154243%6
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1569+1+23=159357%9
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1569+0+0=156959%4
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150220+24=150641%3
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15686+0=156258%3
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150324+24=150342%2
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15673+0=156459%6
CLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
150427+24=150141%3
7/1Thursday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1565+03=156257%7
CLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150614+24=151643%2
6/30Wednesday, June 308:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143024+0=140625%5
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1568+6+24=159875%2
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lakins Sr., Travis
Lakins Sr.
1425+16+0=144128%13
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1573+6+24=160372%3
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
1422113=140825%9
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1576+2+21=159975%7
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157710+0=156763%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14511+24=147437%2
6/26Saturday, June 266:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15764+0=157266%3
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
145217+24=145934%2
6/26Saturday, June 261:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15781+2=157963%1
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1450+12+26=148837%3
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1576+62=158067%12
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
145216+24=146033%3
6/23Wednesday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1574+1+0=157568%13
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
14279+24=144232%0
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1573+1+0=157468%3
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14288+24=144432%1
6/21Monday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1572143=155564%10
BALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1430+4+24=145836%2
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153912+0=152741%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15702+24=159259%8
6/19Saturday, June 197:15 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1541+26+0=156746%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1568+2+24=159454%7
6/18Friday, June 188:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1542+7+0=154943%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1567+6+24=159757%2
6/17Thursday, June 178:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1544203=152140%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1565+1+24=159060%10
6/16Wednesday, June 168:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145412+0=144230%4
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1564+5+24=159370%8
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1455+271=148135%3
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1563+0+23=158665%6
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1559+2+0=156152%14
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1506+15+24=154548%3
6/12Saturday, June 127:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1561+11+0=157254%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1504+19+24=154746%5
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
156013=155656%6
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
150514+24=151544%4
6/10Thursday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1562+8+0=157053%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1521+4+24=154947%12
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156015+0=154549%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1523+7+24=155451%3
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15584+0=155451%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
15255+24=154449%1
6/6Sunday, June 61:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1556+6+0=156251%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15313+24=155249%3
6/5Saturday, June 53:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1558+5+0=156353%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
152913+24=154047%6
6/4Friday, June 47:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1554+63=155744%13
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1533+38+26=159756%1
6/3Thursday, June 32:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151710+0=150741%5
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
155611+24=156959%1
6/2Wednesday, June 28 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15186+0=151241%1
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15558+24=157159%2
6/1Tuesday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15196+0=151341%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15541+24=157759%5
5/31Monday, May 314 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1522+72=152743%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1551+3+24=157857%11
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15756+0=156949%4
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1550+6+24=158051%7
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1574+36+0=161057%11
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
155111+24=156443%8
5/28Friday, May 288:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1571+53=157350%10
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15546+26=157450%3
5/26Wednesday, May 267:30 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1603+26+0=162959%2
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15527+24=156941%5
5/25Tuesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1600+52=160352%9
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1554+8+24=158648%2
5/23Sunday, May 232:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1556+4+0=156060%2
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1464+0+24=148840%3
5/22Saturday, May 224:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1558+7+0=156564%4
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146217+24=146936%8
5/21Friday, May 218:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Ivey, Tyler
Ivey
1559274=152854%5
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+18+24=150246%7
5/20Thursday, May 203:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15588+0=155050%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1516+9+24=154950%4
5/19Wednesday, May 199:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1555+2+0=155753%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15184+24=153847%1
5/18Tuesday, May 189:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1556+52=155952%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1517+4+22=154348%6
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1462+18+0=148035%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1555+6+24=158565%6
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1463+16+0=147937%5
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15547+24=157163%6
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Benjamin, Wes
Benjamin
146412+0=145233%4
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1553+2+24=157967%10
5/13Thursday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1465+72=147035%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1552+5+24=158165%4
5/12Wednesday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1500+13+0=151341%1
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1550+5+24=157959%9
5/11Tuesday, May 118:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1502+2+0=150440%1
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1548+3+24=157560%5
5/10Monday, May 108 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1500213=147637%5
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15504+24=157063%4
5/9Sunday, May 92:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pearson, Nate
Pearson
152917+0=151240%4
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1549+7+24=158060%7
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15269+0=151740%8
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1551+10+24=158560%4
5/7Friday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
152884=151642%4
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1549+4+21=157458%10
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1547+3+0=155037%7
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1566+54+24=164463%4
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15488+0=154045%3
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156512+24=157755%6
5/4Tuesday, May 47 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1550+91=155849%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156322+26=156751%7
5/2Sunday, May 21:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1551+12+0=156351%4
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1524+5+24=155349%5
5/1Saturday, May 14:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1550+0+0=155050%3
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
15261+24=154950%1
4/30Friday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
154713=154349%9
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15293+24=155051%2
4/29Thursday, April 292:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14768+0=146837%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
154811+24=156163%0
4/28Wednesday, April 288:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1477+4+0=148135%5
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1548+14+24=158665%7
4/27Tuesday, April 278:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1478+27+0=150539%0
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1547+8+24=157961%2
4/26Monday, April 268:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1479+124=148738%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1545+2+24=157162%5
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1503+13+0=151643%4
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15473+24=156857%2
4/24Saturday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1507+5+0=151243%2
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15445+24=156357%16
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1508+9+0=151741%4
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1543+14+24=158159%5
4/22Thursday, April 228:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151043=150341%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1541+3+21=156559%8
4/21Wednesday, April 213:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1543+6+0=154962%3
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14446+24=146238%6
4/20Tuesday, April 208:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1545151=152958%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1442+7+26=147542%6
4/18Sunday, April 184:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15483+0=154559%2
SEASEAMariners
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
147216+24=148041%7
4/17Saturday, April 179:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1547+11+0=155864%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147337+24=146036%0
4/16Friday, April 1610:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1548+72=155359%5
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14712+20=148941%6
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
144811+0=143731%6
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1551+4+24=157969%4
4/13Tuesday, April 138:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+5+0=145032%8
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554+4+24=158268%2
4/12Monday, April 128:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
144153=143328%6
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1557+17+26=160072%2
4/10Saturday, April 104:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15025+0=149737%7
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1560+3+24=158763%3
4/9Friday, April 98:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1500+6+0=150639%6
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1563+0+24=158761%2
4/8Thursday, April 88:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1501134=148437%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15615+23=157963%6
4/6Tuesday, April 64:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1560+17+0=157754%4
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1512+15+24=155146%2
4/5Monday, April 59:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1561142=154553%6
LAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15118+24=152747%7
4/4Sunday, April 44:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1559+4+0=156354%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1506+8+24=153846%2
4/3Saturday, April 34:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15562+0=155455%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
150814+24=151845%1
4/2Friday, April 29:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15546+0=154853%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
15108+24=152647%5
4/1Thursday, April 110:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1552+144=156251%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1513+17+24=155449%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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