Athletics | 2021 MLB Predictions

The Athletics have a 54% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1517, down 1 point from last week.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros15-15	3.5	65%	47%
Athletics Athletics19-12	—	54%	36%
Angels Angels13-15	4.5	20%	10%
Mariners Mariners17-15	2.5	11%	5%
Rangers Rangers15-17	4.5	5%	3%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/5Wednesday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ray	1523	+4	+0	=1527	46%
5/5Wednesday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1517	+17	+24	=1558	54%
5/6Thursday, May 63:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1523	+36	+0	=1559	53%
5/6Thursday, May 63:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1517	–6	+24	=1535	47%
5/7Friday, May 79:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Hill	1530	+7	–2	=1535	48%
5/7Friday, May 79:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1517	+9	+24	=1550	52%
5/8Saturday, May 84:07 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Glasnow	1530	+25	+0	=1555	53%
5/8Saturday, May 84:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1517	–7	+24	=1534	47%
5/9Sunday, May 94:07 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1530	–11	+0	=1519	46%
5/9Sunday, May 94:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1517	+8	+24	=1549	54%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1517	+17	–2	=1532	49%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1510	+4	+22	=1536	51%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1517	–6	+0	=1511	44%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1510	+19	+24	=1553	56%
5/13Thursday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1517	+9	+0	=1526	50%
5/13Thursday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Richards	1510	–10	+24	=1524	50%
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1517	–7	–3	=1507	43%
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Berrios	1523	+9	+22	=1554	57%
5/15Saturday, May 154:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1517	+8	+0	=1525	47%
5/15Saturday, May 154:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1523	+2	+24	=1549	53%
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	46%
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	54%
5/18Tuesday, May 189:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	–2	=1546	51%
5/18Tuesday, May 189:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+22	=1540	49%
5/19Wednesday, May 199:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+0	=1548	51%
5/19Wednesday, May 199:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	49%
5/20Thursday, May 203:37 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+0	=1548	51%
5/20Thursday, May 203:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	49%
5/21Friday, May 219:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–2	=1516	49%
5/21Friday, May 219:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	51%
5/22Saturday, May 2210:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	49%
5/22Saturday, May 2210:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	51%
5/23Sunday, May 234:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	49%
5/23Sunday, May 234:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	51%
5/24Monday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	–2	=1473	40%
5/24Monday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+22	=1540	60%
5/25Tuesday, May 259:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+0	=1475	40%
5/25Tuesday, May 259:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
5/26Wednesday, May 263:37 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+0	=1475	40%
5/26Wednesday, May 263:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
5/27Thursday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	–2	=1500	44%
5/27Thursday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	56%
5/28Friday, May 289:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+0	=1502	44%
5/28Friday, May 289:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	56%
5/29Saturday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+0	=1502	44%
5/29Saturday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	56%
5/30Sunday, May 304:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+0	=1502	44%
5/30Sunday, May 304:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	56%
5/31Monday, May 314:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–3	=1515	52%
5/31Monday, May 314:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+24	=1499	48%
6/1Tuesday, June 110:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	53%
6/1Tuesday, June 110:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+24	=1499	47%
6/2Wednesday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	53%
6/2Wednesday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+24	=1499	47%
6/4Friday, June 48:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–1	=1517	57%
6/4Friday, June 48:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1447	+0	+24	=1471	43%
6/5Saturday, June 59:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	57%
6/5Saturday, June 59:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1447	+0	+24	=1471	43%
6/6Sunday, June 63:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	57%
6/6Sunday, June 63:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1447	+0	+24	=1471	43%
6/8Tuesday, June 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1489	+1	–2	=1488	42%
6/8Tuesday, June 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+23	=1541	58%
6/9Wednesday, June 93:37 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1489	+1	+0	=1490	42%
6/9Wednesday, June 93:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	58%
6/10Thursday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1473	+0	–2	=1471	40%
6/10Thursday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
6/11Friday, June 119:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1473	+0	+0	=1473	40%
6/11Friday, June 119:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
6/12Saturday, June 124:07 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1473	+0	+0	=1473	40%
6/12Saturday, June 124:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
6/13Sunday, June 134:07 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1473	+0	+0	=1473	40%
6/13Sunday, June 134:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
6/14Monday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	–3	=1499	44%
6/14Monday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	56%
6/15Tuesday, June 159:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+0	=1502	44%
6/15Tuesday, June 159:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	56%
6/16Wednesday, June 163:37 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+0	=1502	44%
6/16Wednesday, June 163:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	56%
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–2	=1516	40%
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1566	+0	+22	=1588	60%
6/19Saturday, June 191:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	40%
6/19Saturday, June 191:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	60%
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	40%
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	60%
6/21Monday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–3	=1515	54%
6/21Monday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+24	=1487	46%
6/22Tuesday, June 228:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	54%
6/22Tuesday, June 228:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+24	=1487	46%
6/23Wednesday, June 238:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	54%
6/23Wednesday, June 238:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+24	=1487	46%
6/24Thursday, June 242:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	54%
6/24Thursday, June 242:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+24	=1487	46%
6/25Friday, June 259:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–4	=1514	50%
6/25Friday, June 259:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1494	+0	+24	=1518	50%
6/26Saturday, June 2610:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	50%
6/26Saturday, June 2610:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1494	+0	+24	=1518	50%
6/27Sunday, June 274:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	50%
6/27Sunday, June 274:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1494	+0	+24	=1518	50%
6/29Tuesday, June 299:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	–2	=1461	38%
6/29Tuesday, June 299:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+25	=1543	62%
6/30Wednesday, June 309:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+0	=1463	39%
6/30Wednesday, June 309:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	61%
7/1Thursday, July 13:37 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+0	=1463	39%
7/1Thursday, July 13:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	61%
7/2Friday, July 29:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1510	+0	–4	=1506	45%
7/2Friday, July 29:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	55%
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	45%
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	55%
7/4Sunday, July 44:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	45%
7/4Sunday, July 44:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	55%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–2	=1516	42%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+23	=1571	58%
7/7Wednesday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	42%
7/7Wednesday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	58%
7/8Thursday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	42%
7/8Thursday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	58%
7/9Friday, July 98:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–2	=1516	54%
7/9Friday, July 98:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+26	=1489	46%
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	54%
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+24	=1487	46%
7/11Sunday, July 112:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	54%
7/11Sunday, July 112:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+24	=1487	46%
7/16Friday, July 169:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1516	+1	+3	=1520	46%
7/16Friday, July 169:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+27	=1545	54%
7/17Saturday, July 174:07 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	46%
7/17Saturday, July 174:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	54%
7/18Sunday, July 184:07 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	46%
7/18Sunday, July 184:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	54%
7/19Monday, July 199:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	–2	=1500	44%
7/19Monday, July 199:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	56%
7/20Tuesday, July 203:37 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+0	=1502	44%
7/20Tuesday, July 203:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	56%
7/22Thursday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–1	=1517	53%
7/22Thursday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+21	=1496	47%
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	53%
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+24	=1499	47%
7/24Saturday, July 2410:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	53%
7/24Saturday, July 2410:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+24	=1499	47%
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	53%
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+24	=1499	47%
7/27Tuesday, July 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–1	=1517	41%
7/27Tuesday, July 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1558	+1	+22	=1581	59%
7/28Wednesday, July 284:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	41%
7/28Wednesday, July 284:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1558	+1	+24	=1583	59%
7/29Thursday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–1	=1517	49%
7/29Thursday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	51%
7/30Friday, July 309:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	49%
7/30Friday, July 309:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	51%
7/31Saturday, July 314:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	49%
7/31Saturday, July 314:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	51%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	49%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	51%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1558	+1	+0	=1559	52%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	48%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 43:37 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1558	+1	+0	=1559	52%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 43:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	48%
8/6Friday, Aug. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	–4	=1459	38%
8/6Friday, Aug. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+26	=1544	62%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+0	=1463	39%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	61%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+0	=1463	39%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	61%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–2	=1516	46%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1516	+1	+26	=1543	54%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	47%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	53%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	47%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	53%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–3	=1515	54%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+20	=1483	46%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	54%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+24	=1487	46%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	54%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+24	=1487	46%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–3	=1515	45%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1524	+0	+24	=1548	55%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	46%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1524	+0	+24	=1548	54%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	46%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1524	+0	+24	=1548	54%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	46%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1524	+0	+24	=1548	54%
8/20Friday, Aug. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1494	+0	+1	=1495	44%
8/20Friday, Aug. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+20	=1538	56%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1494	+0	+0	=1494	43%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	57%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 224:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1494	+0	+0	=1494	43%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 224:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	57%
8/23Monday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	–4	=1471	40%
8/23Monday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+0	=1475	40%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1566	+0	–2	=1564	53%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+26	=1544	47%
8/27Friday, Aug. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1566	+0	+0	=1566	54%
8/27Friday, Aug. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	46%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1566	+0	+0	=1566	54%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	46%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1566	+0	+0	=1566	54%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	46%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–2	=1516	58%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1435	+0	+26	=1461	42%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	58%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1435	+0	+24	=1459	42%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 21:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	58%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 21:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1435	+0	+24	=1459	42%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–2	=1516	45%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1523	+1	+26	=1550	55%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 43:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	46%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 43:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1523	+1	+24	=1548	54%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	46%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1523	+1	+24	=1548	54%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1524	+0	–2	=1522	48%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+22	=1540	52%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1524	+0	+0	=1524	47%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	53%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 93:37 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1524	+0	+0	=1524	47%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 93:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	53%
9/10Friday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	–1	=1462	39%
9/10Friday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	61%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+0	=1463	39%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	61%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1463	+0	+0	=1463	39%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	61%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–2	=1516	53%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1473	+0	+24	=1497	47%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	53%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1473	+0	+24	=1497	47%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 162:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	53%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 162:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1473	+0	+24	=1497	47%
9/17Friday, Sept. 179:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–3	=1515	49%
9/17Friday, Sept. 179:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+20	=1522	51%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 189:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	49%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 189:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	51%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 194:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	49%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 194:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	51%
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	–4	=1471	40%
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+22	=1540	60%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+0	=1475	40%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+0	=1475	40%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:37 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+0	=1475	40%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	60%
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	–2	=1546	50%
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	50%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+0	=1548	51%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	49%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+0	=1548	51%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+24	=1542	49%
9/27Monday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–3	=1515	53%
9/27Monday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+21	=1496	47%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	53%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+24	=1499	47%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	53%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1476	–1	+24	=1499	47%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	–2	=1516	42%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	58%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	42%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	58%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1517	+1	+0	=1518	42%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	58%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
5/4Tuesday, May 49:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kay	1525	–8	+0	=1517	47%	1
5/4Tuesday, May 49:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1516	–3	+24	=1537	53%	4
5/3Monday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Matz	1526	–8	–4	=1514	47%	4
5/3Monday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1515	–6	+24	=1533	53%	5
5/2Sunday, May 24:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Zimmermann	1445	–14	+0	=1431	33%	5
5/2Sunday, May 24:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1514	+13	+24	=1551	67%	7
5/1Saturday, May 14:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Harvey	1442	–13	+0	=1429	36%	8
5/1Saturday, May 14:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1517	–10	+24	=1531	64%	4
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Means	1441	+40	–4	=1477	42%	3
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1518	–4	+20	=1534	58%	2
4/29Thursday, April 291:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1517	+15	+0	=1532	49%	3
4/29Thursday, April 291:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1530	–18	+24	=1536	51%	2
4/28Wednesday, April 287:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1518	–7	+0	=1511	41%	0
4/28Wednesday, April 287:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Glasnow	1529	+24	+24	=1577	59%	2
4/27Tuesday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1519	–8	+0	=1511	47%	3
4/27Tuesday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Wacha	1528	–17	+24	=1535	53%	4
4/26Monday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1518	+11	–3	=1526	46%	2
4/26Monday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Hill	1529	+4	+24	=1557	54%	1
4/25Sunday, April 251:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1520	–10	+0	=1510	52%	1
4/25Sunday, April 251:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Means	1438	+38	+24	=1500	48%	8
4/24Saturday, April 247:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1519	+15	+0	=1534	62%	7
4/24Saturday, April 247:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	LeBlanc	1439	–17	+24	=1446	38%	2
4/23Friday, April 237:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1518	–9	–2	=1507	59%	3
4/23Friday, April 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lopez	1440	–22	+23	=1441	41%	1
4/21Wednesday, April 213:37 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1531	+11	+0	=1542	50%	12
4/21Wednesday, April 213:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1517	–1	+24	=1540	50%	13
4/20Tuesday, April 209:25 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Berrios	1532	+5	+0	=1537	52%	0
4/20Tuesday, April 209:25 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1516	–17	+24	=1523	48%	1
4/20Tuesday, April 206:30 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Shoemaker	1534	–8	+5	=1531	48%	0
4/20Tuesday, April 206:30 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1513	+8	+26	=1547	52%	7
4/18Sunday, April 184:07 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Boyd	1446	+8	+0	=1454	36%	2
4/18Sunday, April 184:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1513	+15	+24	=1552	64%	3
4/17Saturday, April 174:07 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Mize	1448	+3	+0	=1451	40%	0
4/17Saturday, April 174:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1511	–16	+24	=1519	60%	7
4/16Friday, April 169:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Urena	1449	–2	+0	=1447	38%	0
4/16Friday, April 169:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1509	–2	+24	=1531	62%	3
4/15Thursday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1450	–7	–4	=1439	36%	4
4/15Thursday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1508	+9	+23	=1540	64%	8
4/13Tuesday, April 133:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1507	–7	+0	=1500	44%	7
4/13Tuesday, April 133:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1485	+35	+24	=1544	56%	5
4/12Monday, April 129:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1505	+16	–1	=1520	52%	9
4/12Monday, April 129:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1487	–8	+24	=1503	48%	5
4/10Saturday, April 104:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1502	–5	+0	=1497	37%	7
4/10Saturday, April 104:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1560	+3	+24	=1587	63%	3
4/9Friday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1500	+6	+0	=1506	39%	6
4/9Friday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1563	+0	+24	=1587	61%	2
4/8Thursday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1501	–13	–4	=1484	37%	2
4/8Thursday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1561	–5	+23	=1579	63%	6
4/7Wednesday, April 73:37 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1603	+22	+0	=1625	65%	3
4/7Wednesday, April 73:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1499	–8	+24	=1515	35%	4
4/6Tuesday, April 69:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1601	+4	+0	=1605	59%	5
4/6Tuesday, April 69:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1501	+20	+24	=1545	41%	1
4/5Monday, April 59:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1599	–29	–3	=1567	55%	10
4/5Monday, April 59:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1503	+1	+24	=1528	45%	3
4/4Sunday, April 44:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1559	+4	+0	=1563	54%	9
4/4Sunday, April 44:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1506	+8	+24	=1538	46%	2
4/3Saturday, April 34:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1556	–2	+0	=1554	55%	9
4/3Saturday, April 34:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1508	–14	+24	=1518	45%	1
4/2Friday, April 29:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1554	–6	+0	=1548	53%	9
4/2Friday, April 29:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1510	–8	+24	=1526	47%	5
4/1Thursday, April 110:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1552	+14	–4	=1562	51%	8
4/1Thursday, April 110:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1513	+17	+24	=1554	49%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

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2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Team rating

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