Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Athletics have a 44% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1524, up 3 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros64-4198%92%
AthleticsAthletics59-475.544%7%
MarinersMariners56-498.09%<1%
AngelsAngels52-5211.52%<1%
RangersRangers37-6726.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
152442+0=148246%
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
149915+24=150854%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15516+0=154548%
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1524+11+24=155952%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 43:37 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1551+17+0=156853%
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15241+24=154747%
8/6Friday, Aug. 69:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1441144=142331%
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1524+14+26=156469%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1441+14+0=145537%
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15244+24=154463%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14417+0=143435%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154565%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1524+112=153352%
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
15006+24=151848%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15241+0=152351%
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15006+24=151849%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152150%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151950%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152433=151859%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+20=145741%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152159%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146141%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152159%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+24=146141%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152433=151844%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156156%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152144%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156156%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152144%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156156%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152144%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156156%
8/20Friday, Aug. 209:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+1=153349%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+20=154151%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153248%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154552%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 224:07 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153248%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154552%
8/23Monday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+84=148642%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154558%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+0=149042%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154558%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
154732=154249%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+26=154751%
8/27Friday, Aug. 279:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154450%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154550%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154450%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154550%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154450%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154550%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152432=151955%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148645%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152155%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148645%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 21:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152155%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148645%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152432=151943%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+26=156957%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 43:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152143%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156757%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152143%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156757%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153549%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+22=154351%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153749%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154551%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 93:37 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153749%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154551%
9/10Friday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144141=143635%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154565%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143735%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154565%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143735%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154565%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152432=151956%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147744%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147744%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 162:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+24=147744%
9/17Friday, Sept. 179:38 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152433=151849%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+20=152251%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 189:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152149%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+24=152651%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 194:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152149%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+24=152651%
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+84=148642%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+22=154358%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+0=149042%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154558%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+0=149042%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154558%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+0=149042%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154558%
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+02=156853%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154547%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157053%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154547%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157053%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+24=154547%
9/27Monday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152433=151851%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+21=151149%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152151%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+24=151449%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152151%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1482+8+24=151449%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
152432=151940%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159460%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152140%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159460%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15243+0=152140%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159460%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 314:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15257+0=151850%0
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
14985+24=151750%1
7/30Friday, July 309:38 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1524+12+0=153651%2
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1499+2+24=152549%0
7/29Thursday, July 299:38 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
152251=151650%4
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
150112+24=151350%0
7/28Wednesday, July 284:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1519+10+0=152942%10
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15591+24=158258%4
7/27Tuesday, July 2710:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1520+51=152445%4
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
155718+22=156155%7
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15212+0=151951%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1482+8+24=151449%4
7/24Saturday, July 2410:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1522+17+0=153951%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1481+28+24=153349%5
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15236+0=151750%3
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1479+12+24=151550%4
7/22Thursday, July 2210:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1522+41=152553%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1481+2+21=150447%1
7/20Tuesday, July 203:37 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
150142+0=145938%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15201+24=154362%6
7/19Monday, July 199:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1502+152=151547%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15194+24=153953%4
7/18Sunday, July 184:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1502+19+0=152144%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1520+20+24=156456%2
7/17Saturday, July 174:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150118+0=148342%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15216+24=153958%2
7/16Friday, July 169:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150221+3=148440%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1521+7+27=155560%5
7/11Sunday, July 112:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1519+17+0=153659%4
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14587+24=147541%1
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1518+4+0=152256%8
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14604+24=148044%4
7/9Friday, July 98:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
151952=151256%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145915+26=147044%3
7/8Thursday, July 82:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
151810+0=150838%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15723+24=159362%1
7/7Wednesday, July 78:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1518+8+0=152640%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1571+4+24=159960%4
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1520+242=154243%6
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1569+1+23=159357%9
7/4Sunday, July 44:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15306+0=152448%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15214+24=154152%0
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
153121+0=151046%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15205+24=153954%7
7/2Friday, July 29:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1530+64=153250%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
152110+24=153550%2
7/1Thursday, July 13:37 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1457+3+0=146036%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1524+13+24=156164%3
6/30Wednesday, June 309:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14587+0=145134%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1523+21+24=156866%3
6/29Tuesday, June 299:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
145752=145036%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15252+25=154864%4
6/27Sunday, June 274:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152311+0=151247%6
SFSFGiants
Long, Sammy
Long
152918+24=153553%2
6/26Saturday, June 2610:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
152410+0=151447%5
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
152816+24=153653%6
6/25Friday, June 259:45 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1525+144=153550%0
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152618+24=153250%2
6/24Thursday, June 242:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1524+22+0=154660%5
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14524+24=147240%1
6/23Wednesday, June 238:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1525+0+0=152558%3
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14505+24=146942%5
6/22Tuesday, June 228:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15239+0=151458%13
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
145222+24=145442%6
6/21Monday, June 218:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
152543=151852%3
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1450+29+24=150348%8
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1526+10+0=153645%1
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15516+24=156955%2
6/19Saturday, June 191:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1527+21+0=154848%5
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154913+24=156052%7
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
152622=152245%5
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
155115+22=155855%3
6/16Wednesday, June 163:37 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1504+0+0=150445%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15246+24=154255%8
6/15Tuesday, June 159:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1505+10+0=151546%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15237+24=154054%6
6/14Monday, June 149:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
150623=150142%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1522+11+24=155758%8
6/13Sunday, June 134:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
147111+0=146035%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1521+23+24=156865%6
6/12Saturday, June 124:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Kowar, Jackson
Kowar
147321+0=145238%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15188+24=153462%11
6/11Friday, June 119:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+5+0=147942%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15186+24=153658%4
6/10Thursday, June 109:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+162=148643%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15209+24=153557%1
6/9Wednesday, June 93:37 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
14649+0=145536%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1519+10+24=155364%4
6/8Tuesday, June 89:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
1465192=144433%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1518+25+23=156667%5
6/6Sunday, June 63:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15199+0=151053%1
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1444+24+24=149247%3
6/5Saturday, June 59:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15188+0=151058%6
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
144513+24=145642%3
6/4Friday, June 48:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
151681=150755%9
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1447+5+24=147645%5
6/2Wednesday, June 210:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1514+7+0=152158%6
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146925+24=146842%0
6/1Tuesday, June 110:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1512+31+0=154353%12
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1471+27+24=152247%6
5/31Monday, May 314:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
151313=150953%5
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14707+24=148747%6
5/30Sunday, May 304:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
149515+0=148043%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15158+24=153157%2
5/29Saturday, May 294:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14931+0=149244%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15179+24=153256%0
5/28Friday, May 289:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1494+10+0=150444%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1516+3+24=154356%3
5/27Thursday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1495182=147538%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1514+24+24=156262%5
5/26Wednesday, May 263:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
146612+0=145439%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15136+24=153161%6
5/25Tuesday, May 259:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14659+0=145638%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1515+1+24=154062%3
5/24Monday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1463+72=146841%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15165+22=153359%2
5/23Sunday, May 234:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1517+3+0=152049%5
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1492+9+24=152551%6
5/22Saturday, May 2210:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1516+22+0=153856%6
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1493+3+24=152044%2
5/21Friday, May 219:38 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
151492=150349%8
LAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
149514+24=150551%4
5/20Thursday, May 203:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15588+0=155050%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1516+9+24=154950%4
5/19Wednesday, May 199:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1555+2+0=155753%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15184+24=153847%1
5/18Tuesday, May 189:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1556+52=155952%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1517+4+22=154348%6
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1516+23+0=153950%7
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1513+5+24=154250%6
5/15Saturday, May 154:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1517+4+0=152146%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1513+9+24=154654%5
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
151573=150548%6
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
151515+22=152252%1
5/13Thursday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1517+14+0=153151%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151010+24=152449%8
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
151517+0=149842%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1512+17+24=155358%1
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1514+192=153149%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1513+1+22=153651%2
5/9Sunday, May 94:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
153013+0=151746%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1515+7+24=154654%3
5/8Saturday, May 84:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1532+23+0=155554%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15148+24=153046%6
5/7Friday, May 79:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1533+62=153749%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1513+10+24=154751%2
5/6Thursday, May 63:37 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1526+36+0=156254%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
15157+24=153246%4
5/5Wednesday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1523+4+0=152746%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1517+17+24=155854%4
5/4Tuesday, May 49:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
15258+0=151747%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15163+24=153753%4
5/3Monday, May 39:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
152684=151447%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15156+24=153353%5
5/2Sunday, May 24:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
144514+0=143133%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1514+13+24=155167%7
5/1Saturday, May 14:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144213+0=142936%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
151710+24=153164%4
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1441+404=147742%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
15184+20=153458%2
4/29Thursday, April 291:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1517+15+0=153249%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
153018+24=153651%2
4/28Wednesday, April 287:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15187+0=151141%0
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1529+24+24=157759%2
4/27Tuesday, April 277:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15198+0=151147%3
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152817+24=153553%4
4/26Monday, April 267:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1518+113=152646%2
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1529+4+24=155754%1
4/25Sunday, April 251:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
152010+0=151052%1
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1438+38+24=150048%8
4/24Saturday, April 247:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1519+15+0=153462%7
BALBALOrioles
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
143917+24=144638%2
4/23Friday, April 237:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
151892=150759%3
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144022+23=144141%1
4/21Wednesday, April 213:37 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1531+11+0=154250%12
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15171+24=154050%13
4/20Tuesday, April 209:25 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1532+5+0=153752%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
151617+24=152348%1
4/20Tuesday, April 206:30 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
15348+5=153148%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1513+8+26=154752%7
4/18Sunday, April 184:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1446+8+0=145436%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1513+15+24=155264%3
4/17Saturday, April 174:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1448+3+0=145140%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
151116+24=151960%7
4/16Friday, April 169:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14492+0=144738%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15092+24=153162%3
4/15Thursday, April 159:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
145074=143936%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1508+9+23=154064%8
4/13Tuesday, April 133:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
15077+0=150044%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1485+35+24=154456%5
4/12Monday, April 129:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1505+161=152052%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14878+24=150348%5
4/10Saturday, April 104:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15025+0=149737%7
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1560+3+24=158763%3
4/9Friday, April 98:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1500+6+0=150639%6
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1563+0+24=158761%2
4/8Thursday, April 88:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1501134=148437%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15615+23=157963%6
4/7Wednesday, April 73:37 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1603+22+0=162565%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14998+24=151535%4
4/6Tuesday, April 69:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1601+4+0=160559%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1501+20+24=154541%1
4/5Monday, April 59:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
1599293=156755%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1503+1+24=152845%3
4/4Sunday, April 44:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1559+4+0=156354%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1506+8+24=153846%2
4/3Saturday, April 34:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15562+0=155455%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
150814+24=151845%1
4/2Friday, April 29:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15546+0=154853%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
15108+24=152647%5
4/1Thursday, April 110:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1552+144=156251%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1513+17+24=155449%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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