Updated Oct. 16, 2021, at 11:19 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Blue Jays are done for the season.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
RaysRays100-62
YankeesYankees92-708.0
Red SoxRed Sox92-708.0
Blue JaysBlue Jays91-719.0
OriolesOrioles52-11048.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1411+4+0=141531%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
154512+24=155769%12
10/2Saturday, Oct. 23:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1413+38+0=145133%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1543+10+24=157767%10
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
1413212=139028%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
154312+24=155572%6
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15533+0=155043%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1545+29+24=159857%2
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1554+30+0=158449%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1544+21+24=158951%6
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15525+0=154748%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
15469+23=156052%2
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+9+0=155459%5
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149428+24=149041%2
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1543+28+0=157158%6
MINMINTwins
Gant, John
Gant
14963+24=151742%1
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1545+21+0=156655%1
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1494+10+24=152845%3
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
1547113=153351%2
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1492+15+22=152949%7
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Merryweather, Julian
Merryweather
154923+0=152643%1
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
156717+24=157457%7
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1547+10+0=155743%4
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1569+15+24=160857%2
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1549+323=157850%4
TBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
156817+24=157550%6
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Farrell, Luke
Farrell
148924+0=146533%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1548+19+24=159167%5
9/18Saturday, Sept. 183:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1491+11+0=150242%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
154613+24=155758%6
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1488+131=150040%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
15494+26=157160%3
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
157016+0=155444%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1547+28+24=159956%6
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1569+8+0=157748%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1549+17+24=159052%0
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
1572+52=157551%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+2+22=157049%8
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15439+0=153463%22
BALBALOrioles
Lowther, Zac
Lowther
1417+1+24=144237%7
9/11Saturday, Sept. 118:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Hatch, Thomas
Hatch
154124+0=151761%11
BALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
14197+24=143639%2
9/11Saturday, Sept. 114:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1540+7+0=154765%11
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14204+24=144035%10
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1543+322=157366%3
BALBALOrioles
Ellis, Chris
Ellis
1417+17+24=145834%6
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1541+15+0=155650%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
155323+24=155450%4
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1540+0+0=154046%6
NYYNYYYankees
Gil, Luis
Gil
155514+24=156554%3
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153714+0=152336%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1557+40+24=162164%1
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1534+32=153544%8
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
156112+24=157356%0
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152413+0=151139%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1531+31+24=158661%8
9/4Saturday, Sept. 43:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
152532+0=149339%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1531+16+24=157161%10
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152662=151843%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1530+9+26=156557%11
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1415+1+0=141633%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
152912+24=154167%5
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
141310+0=140329%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1531+3+24=155871%2
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Ellis, Chris
Ellis
1414+72=141928%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1530+29+22=158172%7
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1530+13+0=154357%2
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1467+0+24=149143%1
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1529+6+0=153559%3
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
146824+24=146841%2
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
1530122=151656%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146720+24=147144%2
8/26Thursday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1539+10+0=154947%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1532+13+24=156953%7
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1540+10+0=155046%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1531+26+24=158154%3
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153811+0=152743%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1532+18+24=157457%2
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1539+213=155750%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1531+3+24=155850%2
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
146534+0=143134%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153314+24=154366%3
8/21Saturday, Aug. 213:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14667+0=145935%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1532+11+24=156765%3
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146382=145332%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1535+22+24=158168%1
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 184:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+23+0=156057%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14966+24=151443%8
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1540+162=155457%6
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
149316+26=150343%12
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153715+0=152249%8
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1488+16+24=152851%3
8/14Saturday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1540+12+0=155255%3
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1485+11+24=152045%9
8/13Friday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1541+203=155858%2
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14846+24=150242%3
8/12Thursday, Aug. 129:38 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1543+29+0=157254%3
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1498+20+24=154246%6
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 119:38 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1541+12+0=155355%10
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15008+24=151645%2
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1539144=152157%4
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
150247+20=147543%0
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 106:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Rodriguez, Chris
Rodriguez
1500122=148641%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
154115+26=155259%3
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
152122+0=149938%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1540+18+24=158262%9
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1520+14+0=153442%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+26+24=159258%1
8/7Saturday, Aug. 73:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15211+0=152041%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1541+15+24=158059%1
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1523+212=154246%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1538+11+24=157354%12
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14995+0=149443%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153719+24=154257%3
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150030+0=147040%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153617+24=154360%8
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1501+17+0=151841%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1534+20+24=157859%7
8/2Monday, Aug. 23:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
1499172=148036%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1536+18+24=157864%2
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1457+1+0=145832%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1535+28+24=158768%5
7/31Saturday, July 313:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1458+10+0=146836%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1534+7+24=156564%4
7/30Friday, July 307:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1459163=144036%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153316+22=153964%6
7/29Thursday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1529+18+0=154747%13
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1534+9+24=156753%1
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153111+0=152044%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1533+6+24=156356%4
7/28Wednesday, July 282:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+19+2=155052%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
153421+26=153948%1
7/26Monday, July 267 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Hatch, Thomas
Hatch
1530122=151645%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15345+24=155355%5
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153118+0=151344%4
NYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
15344+24=155456%5
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1528+21+0=154949%10
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15376+24=155551%3
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153011+0=151947%0
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153522+23=153653%3
7/21Wednesday, July 217:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
152920+2=151140%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1532+21+26=157960%4
7/19Monday, July 197:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152522=152146%13
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153512+24=154754%4
7/18Sunday, July 183:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14541+0=145338%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153317+24=154062%10
7/18Sunday, July 181:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14556+2=145133%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1532+16+26=157467%5
7/16Friday, July 167:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145712+4=144932%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1530+18+28=157668%10
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1528+12+0=154043%3
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1554+9+24=158757%1
7/10Saturday, July 101:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15305+0=152543%2
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15534+24=157357%5
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1532+91=154046%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
15516+26=157154%7
7/7Wednesday, July 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1530+17+0=154765%10
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143220+24=143635%2
7/6Tuesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153212+0=152059%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1431+6+22=145941%7
7/4Sunday, July 41:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15455+0=154046%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1534+10+24=156854%1
7/3Saturday, July 33:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
15466+0=154049%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15327+24=154951%6
7/2Friday, July 27:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
154921+0=152847%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15291+24=155253%11
7/1Thursday, July 11:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1479+18+0=149738%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1532+25+24=158162%2
6/30Wednesday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
147713+0=146438%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15348+24=155062%7
6/29Tuesday, June 297:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147913+0=146636%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1532+9+26=156764%9
6/27Sunday, June 271:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14232+0=142132%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15317+24=154868%5
6/26Saturday, June 263:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1425+1+0=142629%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1530+26+24=158071%12
6/25Friday, June 257:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
142327+0=139630%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15328+24=154870%5
6/24Thursday, June 247:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1425+12=142434%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
153011+21=154066%9
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1528+9+0=153753%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1476+18+24=151847%1
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
152781=151850%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1477+15+23=151550%1
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1526+26+0=155267%7
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143129+24=142633%4
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1525+2+0=152760%10
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14322+24=145440%7
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+102=153764%1
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
142814+22=143636%7
6/17Thursday, June 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
154942+0=150744%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
15315+24=155056%4
6/16Wednesday, June 167:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1548+47+0=159557%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153212+24=154443%2
6/15Tuesday, June 157:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15474+0=154344%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1533+27+22=158256%5
6/14Monday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15345+0=152947%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1517+8+24=154953%2
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1530+9+0=153950%18
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
15217+24=153850%4
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15278+0=151946%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15242+24=154654%2
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1528113=151446%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15234+24=154354%6
6/10Thursday, June 108 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1530+31+0=156153%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153619+24=154147%5
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15277+0=152040%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1539+29+24=159260%2
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+7+0=153646%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1537+2+26=156554%6
6/6Sunday, June 61:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1556+6+0=156251%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15313+24=155249%3
6/5Saturday, June 53:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1558+5+0=156353%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
152913+24=154047%6
6/4Friday, June 47:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1554+63=155744%13
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1533+38+26=159756%1
6/2Wednesday, June 27:07 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1475+12+0=148740%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1533+0+24=155760%6
6/1Tuesday, June 17:07 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1476+13+3=149241%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1531+2+24=155759%5
5/30Sunday, May 303:55 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15325+0=152753%5
CLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
150926+24=150747%6
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153017+2=151545%4
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1511+13+26=155055%1
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1528+382=156457%11
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
151422+23=151543%2
5/27Thursday, May 277:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+5+0=153444%3
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15619+24=157656%5
5/27Thursday, May 274:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15278+2=152142%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156316+26=157358%0
5/25Tuesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
152592=151439%6
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15651+26=159061%2
5/24Monday, May 241:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154814+0=153449%14
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
15278+24=154351%8
5/23Sunday, May 231:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154619+0=152741%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1529+40+24=159359%4
5/22Saturday, May 227:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
154415+0=152946%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1530+3+24=155754%1
5/21Friday, May 217:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1543+252=156652%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
15323+24=155348%7
5/20Thursday, May 207:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15156+0=150944%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15337+24=155056%7
5/19Wednesday, May 197:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15138+0=150544%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153511+24=154856%3
5/18Tuesday, May 187:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1515+14+0=152941%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1533+34+26=159359%8
5/16Sunday, May 161:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150716+0=149140%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1532+4+24=156060%10
5/15Saturday, May 157:37 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1509+24+0=153348%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
153011+24=154352%4
5/14Friday, May 147:37 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1507182=148742%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153210+21=154358%1
5/13Thursday, May 1312:20 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153010+0=152045%8
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1524+8+24=155655%4
5/12Wednesday, May 127:20 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1529+35+0=156453%4
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15258+24=154147%1
5/11Tuesday, May 117:20 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1527+61=153251%5
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
152729+26=152449%3
5/9Sunday, May 92:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pearson, Nate
Pearson
152917+0=151240%4
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1549+7+24=158060%7
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15269+0=151740%8
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1551+10+24=158560%4
5/7Friday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
152884=151642%4
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1549+4+21=157458%10
5/6Thursday, May 63:37 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1526+36+0=156254%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
15157+24=153246%4
5/5Wednesday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1523+4+0=152746%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1517+17+24=155854%4
5/4Tuesday, May 49:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
15258+0=151747%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15163+24=153753%4
5/3Monday, May 39:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
152684=151447%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15156+24=153353%5
5/2Sunday, May 21:07 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1525+20+0=154551%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
152411+24=153749%7
5/1Saturday, May 17:37 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1527+20+0=154751%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Bergen, Travis
Bergen
15236+24=154149%6
4/30Friday, April 307:37 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1529203=150644%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1520+0+26=154656%13
4/28Wednesday, April 287:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151125+0=148642%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15233+24=154458%2
4/27Tuesday, April 277:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1513+38+0=155152%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
15215+23=153948%9
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1520+35+0=155553%1
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153017+24=153747%0
4/24Saturday, April 246:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15211+0=152047%3
TBTBRays
Honeywell Jr., Brent
Honeywell Jr.
152912+24=154153%5
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
152031=151641%5
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1530+27+23=158059%3
4/21Wednesday, April 217:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
15186+0=151248%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151513+24=152652%3
4/20Tuesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1519+381=155649%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1514+22+24=156051%4
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15212+0=151953%0
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+3+24=150147%2
4/17Saturday, April 176:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Milone, Tommy
Milone
152223+0=149954%2
KCKCRoyals
Santana, Ervin
Santana
147322+24=147546%3
4/17Saturday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15206+2=151650%5
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1474+14+26=151450%1
4/15Thursday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
152133=151555%5
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
147316+24=148145%7
4/14Wednesday, April 141:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15688+0=156051%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
1520+7+24=155149%5
4/13Tuesday, April 137:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1570+0+0=157049%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1518+35+24=157751%7
4/12Monday, April 127:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+493=161560%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15192+26=154340%1
4/10Saturday, April 107:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
151511+0=150446%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15168+24=153254%15
4/9Friday, April 97:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1512+2+0=151445%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Phelps, David
Phelps
1518+6+24=154855%1
4/8Thursday, April 87:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1510+82=151648%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15208+21=153352%5
4/7Wednesday, April 72:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1521+35+0=155661%1
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14586+24=147639%2
4/6Tuesday, April 68:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Roark, Tanner
Roark
152314+0=150953%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1457+6+24=148747%7
4/5Monday, April 54:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
1521153=150352%6
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1458+10+22=149048%2
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
1519+6+0=152543%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157221+24=157557%1
4/3Saturday, April 31:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15205+2=151739%3
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15713+26=159461%5
4/1Thursday, April 11:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1519+352=155238%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+44+24=164062%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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