Updated Apr. 13, 2021, at 1:14 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Blue Jays have a 31% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1518, down 5 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees5-51.581%60%
RaysRays5-51.546%19%
Blue JaysBlue Jays4-62.531%11%
Red SoxRed Sox6-327%10%
OriolesOrioles4-52.01%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 137:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1570+0+0=157049%
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1518+35+24=157751%
4/14Wednesday, April 143:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15709+0=156154%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15189+24=153346%
4/15Thursday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151655%
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
146915+24=147845%
4/16Friday, April 168:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15186+0=151250%
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1469+15+24=150850%
4/17Saturday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15181+0=151753%
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1469+4+24=149747%
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1518+35+0=155358%
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1469+5+24=149842%
4/20Tuesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
151891=150843%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1508+22+24=155457%
4/21Wednesday, April 217:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151950%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
150813+24=151950%
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
151861=151141%
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1528+25+23=157659%
4/24Saturday, April 246:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
4/27Tuesday, April 276:37 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151746%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+23=154254%
4/28Wednesday, April 286:37 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151746%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
4/30Friday, April 306:37 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+03=152948%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154552%
5/1Saturday, May 13:07 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153248%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/2Sunday, May 21:07 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153248%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/3Monday, May 39:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+14=151548%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153152%
5/4Tuesday, May 49:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153152%
5/5Wednesday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153152%
5/6Thursday, May 63:37 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153152%
5/7Friday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+14=151541%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157559%
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151942%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157858%
5/9Sunday, May 92:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151942%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157858%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:20 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+11=151844%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+26=155856%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:20 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155655%
5/13Thursday, May 1312:20 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155655%
5/14Friday, May 146:37 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+21=154055%
5/15Saturday, May 153:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151045%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
5/16Sunday, May 161:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151045%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
5/18Tuesday, May 186:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154555%
5/19Wednesday, May 196:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
5/20Thursday, May 206:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
5/21Friday, May 216:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+02=152648%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/22Saturday, May 223:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/23Sunday, May 231:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/24Monday, May 243:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+26=159661%
5/26Wednesday, May 267:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159461%
5/27Thursday, May 277:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159461%
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151747%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+23=153753%
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151947%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153853%
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151947%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153853%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:07 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
6/2Wednesday, June 27:07 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
6/4Friday, June 47:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155151%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154549%
6/5Saturday, June 53:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154348%
6/6Sunday, June 61:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155452%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154348%
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151946%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+26=154454%
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151947%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154253%
6/10Thursday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151947%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154253%
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151648%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
6/14Monday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
6/15Tuesday, June 157:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157054%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+22=154146%
6/16Wednesday, June 167:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157054%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154346%
6/17Thursday, June 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157054%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154346%
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151758%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+22=146142%
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+11=151855%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+23=148645%
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148745%
6/24Thursday, June 247:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143736%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+21=154064%
6/25Friday, June 257:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
6/26Saturday, June 263:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
6/27Sunday, June 271:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146939%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154561%
6/30Wednesday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146940%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154360%
7/1Thursday, July 11:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146940%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154360%
7/2Friday, July 27:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
7/3Saturday, July 33:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
7/4Sunday, July 41:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
7/6Tuesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+22=146142%
7/7Wednesday, July 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/8Thursday, July 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151644%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+26=155456%
7/10Saturday, July 101:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
7/16Friday, July 167:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+4=146038%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+28=154762%
7/17Saturday, July 173:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145638%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154362%
7/18Sunday, July 181:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145638%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154362%
7/19Monday, July 197:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+02=150645%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
7/21Wednesday, July 217:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151944%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+23=155956%
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151944%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156056%
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151944%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156056%
7/26Monday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151748%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153452%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
7/29Thursday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
7/30Friday, July 307:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146640%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+22=154160%
7/31Saturday, July 313:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146940%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154360%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146940%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154360%
8/2Monday, Aug. 23:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+02=151246%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151446%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151446%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151446%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+02=150645%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 73:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151747%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+25=153853%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 119:38 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151947%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153753%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 129:38 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151947%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153753%
8/13Friday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151653%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151954%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149346%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151954%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149346%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151746%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154354%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 184:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151947%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154153%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+02=144336%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154364%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 213:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144536%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154364%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144536%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154364%
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+03=151546%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151846%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151846%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151846%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154354%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151757%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146943%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151957%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146943%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151957%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146943%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143735%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+22=154165%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+02=150544%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154556%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 43:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150745%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150745%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151739%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159461%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159461%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159461%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159461%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151758%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+02=152648%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+22=154152%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+01=154049%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154551%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 183:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154350%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154350%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151645%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151643%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+22=156357%
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151943%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151943%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151943%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+3=157354%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+23=154246%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157054%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154346%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157054%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154346%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143735%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 23:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 127:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+493=161560%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15192+26=154340%1
4/10Saturday, April 107:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
151511+0=150446%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15168+24=153254%15
4/9Friday, April 97:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1512+2+0=151445%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Phelps, David
Phelps
1518+6+24=154855%1
4/8Thursday, April 87:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1510+82=151648%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15208+21=153352%5
4/7Wednesday, April 72:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1521+35+0=155661%1
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14586+24=147639%2
4/6Tuesday, April 68:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Roark, Tanner
Roark
152314+0=150953%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1457+6+24=148747%7
4/5Monday, April 54:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
1521153=150352%6
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1458+10+22=149048%2
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
1519+6+0=152543%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157221+24=157557%1
4/3Saturday, April 31:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15205+2=151739%3
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15713+26=159461%5
4/1Thursday, April 11:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1519+352=155238%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+44+24=164062%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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