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The Braves have a 100% chance of winning the World Series.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BravesBraves88-73 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
PhilliesPhillies82-80 | 6.5 | — | — | |||
MetsMets77-85 | 11.5 | — | — | |||
MarlinsMarlins67-95 | 21.5 | — | — | |||
NationalsNationals65-97 | 23.5 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2Tuesday, Nov. 28:09 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1566 | +18 | –1 | =1583 | 48% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1570 | +3 | +23 | =1596 | 52% | 0 | |
10/31Sunday, Oct. 318:15 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1567 | +0 | +0 | =1567 | 51% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Davidson | 1569 | –30 | +24 | =1563 | 49% | 5 | |
10/30Saturday, Oct. 308:09 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1569 | –12 | +0 | =1557 | 49% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Lee | 1567 | –30 | +24 | =1561 | 51% | 3 | |
10/29Friday, Oct. 298:09 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1571 | +2 | –1 | =1572 | 46% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1565 | +2 | +23 | =1590 | 54% | 2 | |
10/27Wednesday, Oct. 278:09 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1569 | +21 | +0 | =1590 | 49% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1567 | +4 | +24 | =1595 | 51% | 7 | |
10/26Tuesday, Oct. 268:09 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1565 | +22 | +2 | =1589 | 46% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1571 | +7 | +31 | =1609 | 54% | 2 | |
10/23Saturday, Oct. 238:08 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Buehler | 1611 | +12 | –2 | =1621 | 57% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1563 | +1 | +22 | =1586 | 43% | 4 | |
10/21Thursday, Oct. 218:08 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1568 | +27 | +0 | =1595 | 52% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Kelly | 1606 | –43 | +24 | =1587 | 48% | 11 | |
10/20Wednesday, Oct. 208:08 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Chavez | 1561 | –33 | +0 | =1528 | 29% | 9 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1613 | +11 | +24 | =1648 | 71% | 2 | |
10/19Tuesday, Oct. 195:08 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1563 | +24 | –2 | =1585 | 38% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1612 | +15 | +22 | =1649 | 62% | 6 | |
10/17Sunday, Oct. 177:38 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Scherzer | 1614 | +30 | +0 | =1644 | 61% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1561 | +1 | +24 | =1586 | 39% | 5 | |
10/16Saturday, Oct. 168:08 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Knebel | 1615 | –39 | –2 | =1574 | 42% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1559 | +27 | +31 | =1617 | 58% | 3 | |
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 125:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1537 | –14 | +0 | =1523 | 34% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1558 | +26 | +24 | =1608 | 66% | 5 | |
10/11Monday, Oct. 111:07 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1539 | +2 | –1 | =1540 | 43% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1556 | –1 | +23 | =1578 | 57% | 3 | |
10/9Saturday, Oct. 95:07 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1554 | +24 | +0 | =1578 | 49% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1542 | +17 | +24 | =1583 | 51% | 0 | |
10/8Friday, Oct. 84:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1555 | +27 | +4 | =1586 | 48% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1540 | +31 | +27 | =1598 | 52% | 2 | |
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Syndergaard | 1511 | +6 | +0 | =1517 | 38% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1554 | +27 | +24 | =1605 | 62% | 5 | |
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:15 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1511 | –2 | +0 | =1509 | 45% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Chavez | 1553 | –33 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | 6 | |
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1510 | –20 | –3 | =1487 | 39% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1554 | –10 | +24 | =1568 | 61% | 3 | |
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1504 | –2 | +0 | =1502 | 39% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1553 | +0 | +24 | =1577 | 61% | 5 | |
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1505 | +10 | +0 | =1515 | 38% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1552 | +23 | +24 | =1599 | 62% | 7 | |
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1506 | +38 | –1 | =1543 | 42% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1551 | +24 | +22 | =1597 | 58% | 2 | |
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Chavez | 1549 | –33 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | 4 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1522 | +19 | +24 | =1565 | 57% | 3 | |
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1548 | –3 | +0 | =1545 | 53% | 10 |
SDPadres | Velasquez | 1523 | –20 | +24 | =1527 | 47% | 8 | |
9/24Friday, Sept. 2411 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1546 | +18 | –4 | =1560 | 54% | 4 |
SDPadres | Knehr | 1525 | –16 | +20 | =1529 | 46% | 0 | |
9/24Friday, Sept. 245:20 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Knehr | 1524 | –15 | –4 | =1505 | 45% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Wilson | 1547 | –30 | +20 | =1537 | 55% | 5 | |
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1549 | +23 | +0 | =1572 | 64% | 4 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1435 | +11 | +24 | =1470 | 36% | 6 | |
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1547 | –3 | +0 | =1544 | 59% | 9 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1437 | +16 | +24 | =1477 | 41% | 2 | |
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Chavez | 1545 | –33 | +0 | =1512 | 56% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Weaver | 1439 | +8 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 1 | |
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1544 | +0 | –3 | =1541 | 63% | 11 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Mejia | 1440 | –13 | +21 | =1448 | 37% | 4 | |
9/19Sunday, Sept. 194:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1542 | +14 | +0 | =1556 | 45% | 3 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1555 | +9 | +24 | =1588 | 55% | 0 | |
9/18Saturday, Sept. 189:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1543 | +25 | +0 | =1568 | 50% | 0 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1554 | –10 | +24 | =1568 | 50% | 2 | |
9/17Friday, Sept. 179:45 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1544 | –1 | –2 | =1541 | 43% | 5 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1553 | +16 | +24 | =1593 | 57% | 6 | |
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1472 | +12 | +0 | =1484 | 38% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1545 | +0 | +24 | =1569 | 62% | 2 | |
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:20 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gray | 1471 | +8 | –1 | =1478 | 41% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1547 | –31 | +26 | =1542 | 59% | 4 | |
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1471 | –23 | +0 | =1448 | 32% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1546 | +13 | +24 | =1583 | 68% | 5 | |
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1469 | –3 | +0 | =1466 | 32% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1548 | +25 | +24 | =1597 | 68% | 4 | |
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1470 | +23 | –3 | =1490 | 39% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1547 | –2 | +24 | =1569 | 61% | 6 | |
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1486 | –16 | +0 | =1470 | 37% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1546 | –3 | +24 | =1567 | 63% | 7 | |
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Nolin | 1485 | –12 | +0 | =1473 | 40% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1548 | –30 | +24 | =1542 | 60% | 2 | |
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1486 | –4 | –3 | =1479 | 36% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1546 | +12 | +23 | =1581 | 64% | 8 | |
9/5Sunday, Sept. 53:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1545 | +22 | +0 | =1567 | 63% | 9 |
COLRockies | Feltner | 1473 | –26 | +24 | =1471 | 37% | 2 | |
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1546 | +5 | +0 | =1551 | 55% | 6 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1471 | +17 | +24 | =1512 | 45% | 7 | |
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1547 | –4 | +0 | =1543 | 56% | 3 |
COLRockies | Senzatela | 1470 | +7 | +24 | =1501 | 44% | 4 | |
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1546 | –28 | –3 | =1515 | 57% | 6 |
COLRockies | Gonzalez | 1471 | –29 | +21 | =1463 | 43% | 5 | |
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 110:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1547 | +11 | +0 | =1558 | 37% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Scherzer | 1602 | +26 | +24 | =1652 | 63% | 4 | |
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1548 | +19 | +0 | =1567 | 37% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1601 | +31 | +24 | =1656 | 63% | 3 | |
8/30Monday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1549 | –22 | –4 | =1523 | 36% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1600 | –1 | +24 | =1623 | 64% | 5 | |
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:20 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1548 | +5 | +0 | =1553 | 47% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1546 | +2 | +24 | =1572 | 53% | 9 | |
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:20 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1545 | +8 | +0 | =1553 | 48% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1548 | –6 | +24 | =1566 | 52% | 0 | |
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:20 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Gausman | 1546 | +16 | –3 | =1559 | 46% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1547 | +11 | +29 | =1587 | 54% | 6 | |
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:20 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Heaney | 1564 | –27 | +0 | =1537 | 42% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1548 | +21 | +24 | =1593 | 58% | 4 | |
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:20 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1562 | –2 | –1 | =1559 | 49% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1550 | –8 | +21 | =1563 | 51% | 1 | |
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1549 | –30 | +0 | =1519 | 57% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Means | 1413 | +36 | +24 | =1473 | 43% | 1 | |
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1549 | –21 | +0 | =1528 | 63% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Harvey | 1413 | +1 | +24 | =1438 | 37% | 4 | |
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1548 | +5 | –1 | =1552 | 68% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Akin | 1414 | –15 | +21 | =1420 | 32% | 0 | |
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1547 | +21 | +0 | =1568 | 63% | 11 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1473 | –22 | +24 | =1475 | 37% | 9 | |
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1545 | –10 | +0 | =1535 | 53% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1474 | +16 | +24 | =1514 | 47% | 0 | |
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1542 | –31 | –3 | =1508 | 54% | 12 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1478 | –18 | +24 | =1484 | 46% | 2 | |
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1541 | –18 | +0 | =1523 | 52% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1494 | –10 | +24 | =1508 | 48% | 5 | |
8/14Saturday, Aug. 146:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1538 | +3 | +0 | =1541 | 55% | 12 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1497 | –15 | +24 | =1506 | 45% | 2 | |
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1537 | +21 | –3 | =1555 | 56% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1498 | –9 | +22 | =1511 | 44% | 2 | |
8/12Thursday, Aug. 125:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1508 | –14 | +0 | =1494 | 41% | 12 |
ATLBraves | Muller | 1541 | –5 | +24 | =1560 | 59% | 3 | |
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1509 | +6 | +0 | =1515 | 48% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1540 | –33 | +24 | =1531 | 52% | 8 | |
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1510 | +10 | –3 | =1517 | 46% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Smyly | 1539 | –22 | +26 | =1543 | 54% | 3 | |
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1502 | –17 | +0 | =1485 | 39% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1538 | +1 | +24 | =1563 | 61% | 5 | |
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1500 | –15 | +0 | =1485 | 37% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1540 | +18 | +24 | =1582 | 63% | 2 | |
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1502 | –18 | –3 | =1481 | 40% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Muller | 1538 | –4 | +22 | =1556 | 60% | 8 | |
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1536 | –31 | +0 | =1505 | 52% | 8 |
STLCardinals | LeBlanc | 1492 | –21 | +24 | =1495 | 48% | 4 | |
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1535 | –19 | +0 | =1516 | 53% | 7 |
STLCardinals | Happ | 1493 | –25 | +24 | =1492 | 47% | 4 | |
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1533 | –2 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Lester | 1495 | –30 | +26 | =1491 | 44% | 1 | |
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Anderson | 1539 | –23 | +0 | =1516 | 42% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1534 | +17 | +24 | =1575 | 58% | 1 | |
7/31Saturday, July 317:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1542 | +36 | +0 | =1578 | 54% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Muller | 1531 | –7 | +24 | =1548 | 46% | 8 | |
7/30Friday, July 307:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1540 | +30 | –2 | =1568 | 55% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1533 | –22 | +21 | =1532 | 45% | 5 | |
7/29Thursday, July 2912:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1531 | –17 | +0 | =1514 | 45% | 6 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1533 | –10 | +24 | =1547 | 55% | 3 | |
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1532 | –6 | +0 | =1526 | 47% | 1 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1532 | –8 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | 2 | |
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1529 | +17 | +0 | =1546 | 54% | 12 |
NYMMets | Eickhoff | 1534 | –39 | +24 | =1519 | 46% | 5 | |
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wilson | 1530 | –31 | +0 | =1499 | 46% | 0 |
NYMMets | Loup | 1533 | –31 | +24 | =1526 | 54% | 1 | |
7/26Monday, July 265:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Muller | 1529 | –12 | –1 | =1516 | 43% | 2 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1535 | +1 | +24 | =1560 | 57% | 0 | |
7/25Sunday, July 251:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1530 | –31 | +0 | =1499 | 44% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1504 | +9 | +24 | =1537 | 56% | 2 | |
7/24Saturday, July 246:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1526 | –17 | +0 | =1509 | 49% | 15 |
PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1508 | –19 | +24 | =1513 | 51% | 3 | |
7/23Friday, July 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1527 | –3 | +0 | =1524 | 43% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1506 | +43 | +24 | =1573 | 57% | 5 | |
7/22Thursday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1525 | +17 | –3 | =1539 | 57% | 7 |
PHIPhillies | Moore | 1508 | –37 | +23 | =1494 | 43% | 2 | |
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:20 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Paddack | 1559 | –22 | +0 | =1537 | 50% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Muller | 1527 | –13 | +24 | =1538 | 50% | 2 | |
7/20Tuesday, July 207:20 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1560 | +33 | –1 | =1592 | 62% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1525 | –40 | +26 | =1511 | 38% | 2 | |
7/18Sunday, July 181:20 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Hill | 1551 | +9 | +0 | =1560 | 54% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Smyly | 1526 | –17 | +24 | =1533 | 46% | 5 | |
7/17Saturday, July 177:20 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Fleming | 1554 | –5 | +0 | =1549 | 51% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1523 | –6 | +24 | =1541 | 49% | 9 | |
7/16Friday, July 167:20 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Wacha | 1553 | –16 | +5 | =1542 | 45% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1524 | +21 | +28 | =1573 | 55% | 6 | |
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1526 | +14 | +0 | =1540 | 53% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1477 | +15 | +24 | =1516 | 47% | 7 | |
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1525 | –5 | +0 | =1520 | 49% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1478 | +23 | +24 | =1525 | 51% | 4 | |
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1523 | +15 | –1 | =1537 | 58% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Bass | 1480 | –22 | +24 | =1482 | 42% | 0 | |
7/7Wednesday, July 712:35 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1521 | –15 | +0 | =1506 | 61% | 14 |
PITPirates | Crowe | 1431 | –25 | +24 | =1430 | 39% | 3 | |
7/6Tuesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1522 | +14 | +0 | =1536 | 62% | 1 |
PITPirates | Kuhl | 1429 | –3 | +24 | =1450 | 38% | 2 | |
7/5Monday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1527 | –1 | –2 | =1524 | 63% | 1 |
PITPirates | De Jong | 1425 | –19 | +24 | =1430 | 37% | 11 | |
7/4Sunday, July 41:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Thompson | 1477 | –2 | +0 | =1475 | 37% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1526 | +16 | +24 | =1566 | 63% | 8 | |
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1476 | +15 | +0 | =1491 | 43% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Muller | 1527 | –14 | +24 | =1537 | 57% | 2 | |
7/2Friday, July 27:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1477 | +14 | –1 | =1490 | 44% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Smyly | 1526 | –20 | +24 | =1530 | 56% | 1 | |
7/1Thursday, July 17:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1533 | +59 | +0 | =1592 | 54% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1525 | +13 | +24 | =1562 | 46% | 4 | |
6/30Wednesday, June 307:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1538 | –26 | +0 | =1512 | 45% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1521 | –1 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | 20 | |
6/29Tuesday, June 297:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1537 | –37 | –3 | =1497 | 41% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1522 | +17 | +24 | =1563 | 59% | 3 | |
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Muller | 1520 | –23 | +0 | =1497 | 45% | 4 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1501 | +8 | +24 | =1533 | 55% | 0 | |
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1522 | +13 | +0 | =1535 | 52% | 1 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1499 | –1 | +24 | =1522 | 48% | 4 | |
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1520 | –21 | +0 | =1499 | 49% | 3 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1500 | –18 | +24 | =1506 | 51% | 2 | |
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Chavez | 1522 | –32 | –3 | =1487 | 49% | 3 |
CINReds | Santillan | 1499 | –27 | +23 | =1495 | 51% | 5 | |
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1524 | –37 | +0 | =1487 | 45% | 3 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1538 | –40 | +24 | =1522 | 55% | 7 | |
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1522 | +13 | +0 | =1535 | 46% | 3 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1540 | –3 | +24 | =1561 | 54% | 0 | |
6/21Monday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1521 | +11 | +0 | =1532 | 51% | 1 |
NYMMets | Eickhoff | 1541 | –42 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | 0 | |
6/21Monday, June 215:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Muller | 1521 | –25 | –3 | =1493 | 33% | 2 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1540 | +56 | +22 | =1618 | 67% | 4 | |
6/20Sunday, June 207 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Kim | 1498 | +1 | +0 | =1499 | 47% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Smyly | 1520 | –25 | +24 | =1519 | 53% | 1 | |
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1494 | +14 | +2 | =1510 | 48% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Wilson | 1524 | –24 | +26 | =1526 | 52% | 1 | |
6/18Friday, June 187:20 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Martinez | 1497 | –13 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1521 | –3 | +24 | =1542 | 58% | 9 | |
6/17Thursday, June 177:20 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Gant | 1498 | –10 | –2 | =1486 | 40% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1520 | +9 | +24 | =1553 | 60% | 4 | |
6/16Wednesday, June 167 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Richards | 1519 | –5 | +0 | =1514 | 43% | 10 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1521 | +16 | +24 | =1561 | 57% | 8 | |
6/15Tuesday, June 157:20 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Rodriguez | 1518 | +4 | –3 | =1519 | 48% | 10 |
ATLBraves | Davidson | 1523 | –17 | +23 | =1529 | 52% | 8 | |
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1521 | –27 | +0 | =1494 | 48% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1474 | +13 | +24 | =1511 | 52% | 4 | |
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1523 | –1 | +0 | =1522 | 57% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Thompson | 1472 | –20 | +24 | =1476 | 43% | 4 | |
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1524 | +11 | –3 | =1532 | 53% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1471 | +13 | +24 | =1508 | 47% | 4 | |
6/10Thursday, June 101:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1525 | +11 | +0 | =1536 | 46% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1501 | +40 | +24 | =1565 | 54% | 4 | |
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Davidson | 1526 | –24 | +0 | =1502 | 47% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1500 | –4 | +24 | =1520 | 53% | 2 | |
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1524 | –25 | –1 | =1498 | 43% | 9 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1502 | +18 | +26 | =1546 | 57% | 5 | |
6/6Sunday, June 61:20 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Bauer | 1596 | +24 | +0 | =1620 | 61% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1522 | –4 | +24 | =1542 | 39% | 4 | |
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1598 | +7 | +0 | =1605 | 57% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1520 | +12 | +24 | =1556 | 43% | 6 | |
6/4Friday, June 47:20 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1596 | –11 | –2 | =1583 | 54% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1522 | +12 | +24 | =1558 | 46% | 5 | |
6/3Thursday, June 312:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1509 | –14 | +0 | =1495 | 47% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Davidson | 1520 | –32 | +24 | =1512 | 53% | 5 | |
6/2Wednesday, June 27:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Lester | 1507 | –23 | +0 | =1484 | 44% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Smyly | 1522 | –22 | +24 | =1524 | 56% | 3 | |
6/1Tuesday, June 17:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1505 | +24 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | 11 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1524 | –1 | +24 | =1547 | 53% | 6 | |
5/31Monday, May 315:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Ross | 1506 | –18 | –3 | =1485 | 39% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1523 | +14 | +23 | =1560 | 61% | 5 | |
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1527 | +15 | +3 | =1545 | 48% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1534 | –1 | +26 | =1559 | 52% | 13 | |
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1528 | –23 | +0 | =1505 | 46% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1518 | –7 | +24 | =1535 | 54% | 9 | |
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1527 | +8 | –1 | =1534 | 50% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Richards | 1519 | –6 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | 1 | |
5/23Sunday, May 231:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1432 | +13 | +0 | =1445 | 36% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1525 | –3 | +24 | =1546 | 64% | 7 | |
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1433 | –11 | +0 | =1422 | 36% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Wilson | 1524 | –27 | +24 | =1521 | 64% | 6 | |
5/21Friday, May 217:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Anderson | 1436 | +16 | +0 | =1452 | 35% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1521 | +15 | +24 | =1560 | 65% | 20 | |
5/20Thursday, May 207:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Crowe | 1435 | –14 | –2 | =1419 | 35% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Smyly | 1523 | –20 | +24 | =1527 | 65% | 4 | |
5/19Wednesday, May 197:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1536 | –22 | +0 | =1514 | 45% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1522 | +6 | +24 | =1552 | 55% | 5 | |
5/18Tuesday, May 187:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Castro | 1535 | –45 | +0 | =1490 | 47% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Davidson | 1523 | –35 | +24 | =1512 | 53% | 3 | |
5/17Monday, May 177 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1534 | –4 | –2 | =1528 | 48% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1524 | –4 | +21 | =1541 | 52% | 1 | |
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1525 | +1 | +0 | =1526 | 49% | 9 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1511 | –1 | +24 | =1534 | 51% | 10 | |
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1524 | +14 | +0 | =1538 | 52% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Anderson | 1513 | –14 | +24 | =1523 | 48% | 1 | |
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1522 | –23 | –3 | =1496 | 47% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1515 | –18 | +24 | =1521 | 53% | 3 | |
5/13Thursday, May 1312:20 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1530 | –10 | +0 | =1520 | 45% | 8 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1524 | +8 | +24 | =1556 | 55% | 4 | |
5/12Wednesday, May 127:20 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1529 | +35 | +0 | =1564 | 53% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1525 | –8 | +24 | =1541 | 47% | 1 | |
5/11Tuesday, May 117:20 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1527 | +6 | –1 | =1532 | 51% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Wilson | 1527 | –29 | +26 | =1524 | 49% | 3 | |
5/9Sunday, May 97 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1507 | +29 | +0 | =1536 | 48% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1525 | –2 | +24 | =1547 | 52% | 6 | |
5/8Saturday, May 87:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1508 | –22 | +0 | =1486 | 39% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1524 | +17 | +24 | =1565 | 61% | 8 | |
5/7Friday, May 77:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1504 | –2 | –3 | =1499 | 40% | 12 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1528 | +17 | +21 | =1566 | 60% | 2 | |
5/6Thursday, May 64:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1527 | –26 | +0 | =1501 | 48% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Lester | 1514 | –20 | +24 | =1518 | 52% | 2 | |
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1526 | –10 | +0 | =1516 | 50% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1515 | –22 | +24 | =1517 | 50% | 3 | |
5/4Tuesday, May 47:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1523 | –9 | +0 | =1514 | 48% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Ross | 1518 | –13 | +26 | =1531 | 52% | 1 | |
5/2Sunday, May 21:07 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1525 | +20 | +0 | =1545 | 51% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1524 | –11 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 7 | |
5/1Saturday, May 17:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1527 | +20 | +0 | =1547 | 51% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Bergen | 1523 | –6 | +24 | =1541 | 49% | 6 | |
4/30Friday, April 307:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1529 | –20 | –3 | =1506 | 44% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1520 | +0 | +26 | =1546 | 56% | 13 | |
4/29Thursday, April 297:20 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Alzolay | 1496 | +3 | +0 | =1499 | 45% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Wilson | 1532 | –25 | +24 | =1531 | 55% | 3 | |
4/28Wednesday, April 287:20 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1499 | +24 | +0 | =1523 | 49% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1529 | –19 | +24 | =1534 | 51% | 10 | |
4/27Tuesday, April 277:20 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Williams | 1501 | –17 | +0 | =1484 | 39% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1527 | +10 | +24 | =1561 | 61% | 5 | |
4/26Monday, April 267 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Davies | 1501 | –2 | –3 | =1496 | 39% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1526 | +22 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | 8 | |
4/25Sunday, April 254 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1492 | –8 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Smyly | 1529 | –14 | +24 | =1539 | 58% | 0 | |
4/25Sunday, April 251:20 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1489 | +34 | +2 | =1525 | 49% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Wilson | 1532 | –22 | +26 | =1536 | 51% | 0 | |
4/23Friday, April 237:20 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Weaver | 1490 | +4 | –2 | =1492 | 45% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1531 | –26 | +23 | =1528 | 55% | 5 | |
4/21Wednesday, April 216:30 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1529 | +4 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Kluber | 1561 | –12 | +24 | =1573 | 56% | 1 | |
4/20Tuesday, April 206:35 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1530 | +20 | –1 | =1549 | 45% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1560 | –4 | +26 | =1582 | 55% | 3 | |
4/18Sunday, April 187 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wilson | 1526 | –16 | +0 | =1510 | 43% | 13 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1499 | +35 | +24 | =1558 | 57% | 4 | |
4/17Saturday, April 172:20 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1530 | –16 | +0 | =1514 | 53% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Williams | 1495 | –23 | +24 | =1496 | 47% | 13 | |
4/16Friday, April 162:20 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1528 | –39 | –3 | =1486 | 45% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Davies | 1497 | +2 | +25 | =1524 | 55% | 2 | |
4/15Thursday, April 1512:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1467 | –4 | +0 | =1463 | 37% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1527 | +6 | +24 | =1557 | 63% | 7 | |
4/14Wednesday, April 147:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Neidert | 1466 | –13 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1529 | +20 | +24 | =1573 | 67% | 5 | |
4/13Tuesday, April 137:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1463 | +11 | +0 | =1474 | 39% | 14 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1532 | –7 | +24 | =1549 | 61% | 8 | |
4/12Monday, April 127:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1461 | +17 | –3 | =1475 | 42% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1533 | –26 | +24 | =1531 | 58% | 3 | |
4/11Sunday, April 117:08 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Moore | 1509 | –36 | +0 | =1473 | 40% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Smyly | 1535 | –16 | +24 | =1543 | 60% | 6 | |
4/10Saturday, April 107:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1510 | –4 | +0 | =1506 | 42% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1534 | +7 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | 5 | |
4/9Friday, April 97:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1512 | +27 | –1 | =1538 | 45% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1532 | +15 | +23 | =1570 | 55% | 8 | |
4/7Wednesday, April 73:45 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1530 | –35 | +0 | =1495 | 38% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1520 | +33 | +24 | =1577 | 62% | 0 | |
4/7Wednesday, April 712:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 52% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1521 | –32 | +24 | =1513 | 48% | 6 | |
4/6Tuesday, April 64:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1530 | –18 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1520 | +26 | +24 | =1570 | 58% | 6 | |
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1531 | +5 | +0 | =1536 | 52% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1509 | –9 | +24 | =1524 | 48% | 2 | |
4/3Saturday, April 34:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1533 | +16 | +2 | =1551 | 49% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1507 | +22 | +26 | =1555 | 51% | 4 | |
4/1Thursday, April 13:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1534 | –1 | –3 | =1530 | 46% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1506 | +26 | +24 | =1556 | 54% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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