Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Braves have a 30% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1534, up 4 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets55-4857%55%
BravesBraves52-534.030%27%
PhilliesPhillies51-534.515%14%
NationalsNationals48-567.54%4%
MarlinsMarlins44-6011.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153923+0=151642%
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+17+24=157558%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15342+0=153251%
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1494+7+26=152749%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153418+0=151650%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+24=151350%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
153430+0=150451%
STLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
149422+24=149649%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1507203=148440%
ATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
15344+22=155260%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+0=149839%
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+17+24=157561%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
150718+0=148940%
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15342+24=155660%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1505+123=151446%
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153418+26=154254%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
1505+4+0=150947%
ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
153430+24=152853%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 125:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150743%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155357%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153453=152651%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+22=152049%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 146:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152951%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+24=152249%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152951%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+24=152249%
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153453=152654%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150146%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152954%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150146%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152954%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150146%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153451=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+21=146341%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152959%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146641%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152959%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146641%
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:20 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
154733=154149%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+21=155051%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:20 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154449%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155351%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+13=152946%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+29=155854%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153247%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155353%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153247%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155353%
8/30Monday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153454=152537%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+24=161563%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152938%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+24=161562%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 110:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152938%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+24=161562%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153453=152657%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+21=148043%
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152957%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+24=148343%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152957%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+24=148343%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 53:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152957%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+24=148343%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
150793=149542%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+23=155258%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+0=149842%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155358%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+0=149842%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155358%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+13=147439%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155361%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+0=147739%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155361%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+0=147739%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155361%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+01=145836%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+26=155564%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145937%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155363%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 1612:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145937%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155363%
9/17Friday, Sept. 179:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153454=152546%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155654%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 189:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152946%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155654%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 194:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152946%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155654%
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153453=152658%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+21=147342%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152957%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+24=147643%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152957%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+24=147643%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152957%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1444+8+24=147643%
9/24Friday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153452=152743%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
15511+24=157457%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152943%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
15511+24=157457%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152943%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
15511+24=157457%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+11=150043%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+22=155157%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150143%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155357%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150143%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155357%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153013=152646%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155354%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+0=152947%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155353%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+0=152947%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+24=155353%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 317:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1542+36+0=157854%1
ATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
15317+24=154846%8
7/30Friday, July 307:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1540+302=156855%9
ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
153322+21=153245%5
7/29Thursday, July 2912:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153117+0=151445%6
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153310+24=154755%3
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15326+0=152647%1
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
15328+24=154853%2
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1529+17+0=154654%12
NYMNYMMets
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
153439+24=151946%5
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
153031+0=149946%0
NYMNYMMets
Loup, Aaron
Loup
153331+24=152654%1
7/26Monday, July 265:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
1529121=151643%2
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1535+1+24=156057%0
7/25Sunday, July 251:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
153031+0=149944%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1504+9+24=153756%2
7/24Saturday, July 246:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152617+0=150949%15
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150819+24=151351%3
7/23Friday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15273+0=152443%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1506+43+24=157357%5
7/22Thursday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1525+173=153957%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150837+23=149443%2
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
155922+0=153750%3
ATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
152713+24=153850%2
7/20Tuesday, July 207:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1560+331=159262%1
ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
152540+26=151138%2
7/18Sunday, July 181:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1551+9+0=156054%7
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152617+24=153346%5
7/17Saturday, July 177:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
15545+0=154951%0
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15236+24=154149%9
7/16Friday, July 167:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155316+5=154245%7
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1524+21+28=157355%6
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1526+14+0=154053%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1477+15+24=151647%7
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15255+0=152049%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1478+23+24=152551%4
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1523+151=153758%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Bass, Anthony
Bass
148022+24=148242%0
7/7Wednesday, July 712:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152115+0=150661%14
PITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
143125+24=143039%3
7/6Tuesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1522+14+0=153662%1
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14293+24=145038%2
7/5Monday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
152712=152463%1
PITPITPirates
De Jong, Chase
De Jong
142519+24=143037%11
7/4Sunday, July 41:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14772+0=147537%7
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1526+16+24=156663%8
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1476+15+0=149143%3
ATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
152714+24=153757%2
7/2Friday, July 27:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1477+141=149044%0
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152620+24=153056%1
7/1Thursday, July 17:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1533+59+0=159254%3
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1525+13+24=156246%4
6/30Wednesday, June 307:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153826+0=151245%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15211+24=154455%20
6/29Tuesday, June 297:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1537373=149741%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1522+17+24=156359%3
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
152023+0=149745%4
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1501+8+24=153355%0
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1522+13+0=153552%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
14991+24=152248%4
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152021+0=149949%3
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
150018+24=150651%2
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
1522323=148749%3
CINCINReds
Santillan, Tony
Santillan
149927+23=149551%5
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
152437+0=148745%3
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153840+24=152255%7
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1522+13+0=153546%3
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15403+24=156154%0
6/21Monday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1521+11+0=153251%1
NYMNYMMets
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
154142+24=152349%0
6/21Monday, June 215:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
1521253=149333%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1540+56+22=161867%4
6/20Sunday, June 207 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1498+1+0=149947%0
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152025+24=151953%1
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1494+14+2=151048%9
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
152424+26=152652%1
6/18Friday, June 187:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
149713+0=148442%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15213+24=154258%9
6/17Thursday, June 177:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
1498102=148640%0
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1520+9+24=155360%4
6/16Wednesday, June 167 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15195+0=151443%10
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1521+16+24=156157%8
6/15Tuesday, June 157:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1518+43=151948%10
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
152317+23=152952%8
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152127+0=149448%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1474+13+24=151152%4
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15231+0=152257%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
147220+24=147643%4
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1524+113=153253%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1471+13+24=150847%4
6/10Thursday, June 101:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1525+11+0=153646%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1501+40+24=156554%4
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
152624+0=150247%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15004+24=152053%2
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1524251=149843%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+18+26=154657%5
6/6Sunday, June 61:20 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1596+24+0=162061%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15224+24=154239%4
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1598+7+0=160557%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1520+12+24=155643%6
6/4Friday, June 47:20 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1596112=158354%9
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1522+12+24=155846%5
6/3Thursday, June 312:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
150914+0=149547%1
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
152032+24=151253%5
6/2Wednesday, June 27:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
150723+0=148444%5
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152222+24=152456%3
6/1Tuesday, June 17:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1505+24+0=152947%11
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15241+24=154753%6
5/31Monday, May 315:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1506183=148539%3
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1523+14+23=156061%5
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1527+15+3=154548%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15341+26=155952%13
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152823+0=150546%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15187+24=153554%9
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1527+81=153450%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15196+24=153750%1
5/23Sunday, May 231:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1432+13+0=144536%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15253+24=154664%7
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
143311+0=142236%1
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
152427+24=152164%6
5/21Friday, May 217:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1436+16+0=145235%1
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1521+15+24=156065%20
5/20Thursday, May 207:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
1435142=141935%6
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152320+24=152765%4
5/19Wednesday, May 197:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153622+0=151445%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1522+6+24=155255%5
5/18Tuesday, May 187:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Castro, Miguel
Castro
153545+0=149047%4
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
152335+24=151253%3
5/17Monday, May 177 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153442=152848%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15244+21=154152%1
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
1525+1+0=152649%9
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15111+24=153451%10
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1524+14+0=153852%5
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151314+24=152348%1
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1522233=149647%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151518+24=152153%3
5/13Thursday, May 1312:20 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153010+0=152045%8
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1524+8+24=155655%4
5/12Wednesday, May 127:20 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1529+35+0=156453%4
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15258+24=154147%1
5/11Tuesday, May 117:20 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1527+61=153251%5
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
152729+26=152449%3
5/9Sunday, May 97 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1507+29+0=153648%1
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
15252+24=154752%6
5/8Saturday, May 87:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150822+0=148639%7
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1524+17+24=156561%8
5/7Friday, May 77:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150423=149940%12
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1528+17+21=156660%2
5/6Thursday, May 64:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152726+0=150148%3
WSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
151420+24=151852%2
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
152610+0=151650%5
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151522+24=151750%3
5/4Tuesday, May 47:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
15239+0=151448%6
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
151813+26=153152%1
5/2Sunday, May 21:07 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1525+20+0=154551%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
152411+24=153749%7
5/1Saturday, May 17:37 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1527+20+0=154751%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Bergen, Travis
Bergen
15236+24=154149%6
4/30Friday, April 307:37 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1529203=150644%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1520+0+26=154656%13
4/29Thursday, April 297:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1496+3+0=149945%9
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
153225+24=153155%3
4/28Wednesday, April 287:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1499+24+0=152349%0
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
152919+24=153451%10
4/27Tuesday, April 277:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
150117+0=148439%0
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1527+10+24=156161%5
4/26Monday, April 267 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
150123=149639%7
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1526+22+24=157261%8
4/25Sunday, April 254 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14928+0=148442%7
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152914+24=153958%0
4/25Sunday, April 251:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1489+34+2=152549%5
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
153222+26=153651%0
4/23Friday, April 237:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1490+42=149245%4
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
153126+23=152855%5
4/21Wednesday, April 216:30 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1529+4+0=153344%4
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
156112+24=157356%1
4/20Tuesday, April 206:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1530+201=154945%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15604+26=158255%3
4/18Sunday, April 187 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
152616+0=151043%13
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1499+35+24=155857%4
4/17Saturday, April 172:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
153016+0=151453%4
CHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
149523+24=149647%13
4/16Friday, April 162:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
1528393=148645%5
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1497+2+25=152455%2
4/15Thursday, April 1512:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
14674+0=146337%6
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1527+6+24=155763%7
4/14Wednesday, April 147:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
146613+0=145333%6
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1529+20+24=157367%5
4/13Tuesday, April 137:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1463+11+0=147439%14
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15327+24=154961%8
4/12Monday, April 127:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1461+171=147742%5
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
153326+24=153158%3
4/11Sunday, April 117:08 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150936+0=147340%7
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153516+24=154360%6
4/10Saturday, April 107:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15104+0=150642%4
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1534+7+24=156558%5
4/9Friday, April 97:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1512+271=153845%1
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1532+15+23=157055%8
4/7Wednesday, April 73:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
153035+0=149538%2
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1520+33+24=157762%0
4/7Wednesday, April 712:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1529+0+0=152952%7
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152132+24=151348%6
4/6Tuesday, April 64:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153018+0=151242%5
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1520+26+24=157058%6
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1531+5+0=153652%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15099+24=152448%2
4/3Saturday, April 34:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1533+16+2=155149%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1507+22+26=155551%4
4/1Thursday, April 13:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
153413=153046%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+26+24=155654%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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