Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Do Not Sell My Info
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
The Brewers have a 54% chance of making the playoffs.
Their team rating is 1522, up 9 points from last week.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | BrewersBrewers6-4 | 1.0 | 54% | 41% | ||
![]() | RedsReds7-3 | — | 41% | 29% | ||
![]() | CardinalsCardinals5-5 | 2.0 | 27% | 18% | ||
![]() | CubsCubs4-6 | 3.0 | 20% | 12% | ||
![]() | PiratesPirates3-7 | 4.0 | <1% | <1% |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4/13Tuesday, April 137:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +34 | +0 | =1532 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +33 | +24 | =1579 | 57% | ||
4/14Wednesday, April 141:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –3 | +0 | =1495 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +26 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | ||
4/16Friday, April 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +5 | –2 | =1435 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –17 | +26 | =1531 | 64% | ||
4/17Saturday, April 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | –3 | +0 | =1429 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –9 | +24 | =1537 | 65% | ||
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | –4 | +0 | =1428 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –10 | +24 | =1536 | 65% | ||
4/19Monday, April 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +33 | –4 | =1551 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +10 | +24 | =1599 | 57% | ||
4/20Tuesday, April 2010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +26 | +0 | =1548 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –28 | +24 | =1561 | 52% | ||
4/21Wednesday, April 214:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –17 | +0 | =1505 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 62% | ||
4/23Friday, April 232:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –9 | –2 | =1511 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –24 | +24 | =1498 | 48% | ||
4/24Saturday, April 242:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | ||
4/25Sunday, April 252:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | ||
4/26Monday, April 267:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +0 | –4 | =1459 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +23 | =1545 | 62% | ||
4/27Tuesday, April 277:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +0 | +0 | =1463 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 62% | ||
4/28Wednesday, April 281:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +0 | +0 | =1463 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 62% | ||
4/29Thursday, April 297:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1604 | +0 | –4 | =1600 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 42% | ||
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1604 | +0 | +0 | =1604 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 42% | ||
5/1Saturday, May 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1604 | +0 | +0 | =1604 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 42% | ||
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1604 | +0 | +0 | =1604 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 42% | ||
5/3Monday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –3 | =1519 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +0 | +24 | =1534 | 52% | ||
5/4Tuesday, May 47:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +0 | +24 | =1534 | 52% | ||
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +0 | +24 | =1534 | 52% | ||
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +0 | +24 | =1534 | 52% | ||
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –3 | =1519 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +0 | +24 | =1487 | 45% | ||
5/8Saturday, May 86:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +0 | +24 | =1487 | 45% | ||
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +0 | +24 | =1487 | 45% | ||
5/11Tuesday, May 117:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +23 | =1545 | 56% | ||
5/12Wednesday, May 127:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | ||
5/13Thursday, May 131:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | ||
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +0 | –3 | =1529 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 52% | ||
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +0 | +0 | =1532 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 52% | ||
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +0 | +0 | =1532 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 52% | ||
5/18Tuesday, May 188:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | +0 | +24 | =1493 | 46% | ||
5/19Wednesday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | +0 | +24 | =1493 | 46% | ||
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –1 | =1521 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
5/24Monday, May 247:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | –4 | =1561 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +22 | =1544 | 48% | ||
5/25Tuesday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 47% | ||
5/26Wednesday, May 267:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 47% | ||
5/27Thursday, May 271:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 47% | ||
5/28Friday, May 287:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –3 | =1519 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +0 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +0 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
5/30Sunday, May 301:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +0 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1445 | +0 | –2 | =1443 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +21 | =1543 | 64% | ||
6/1Tuesday, June 17:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1445 | +0 | +0 | =1445 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 64% | ||
6/3Thursday, June 37:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +0 | –4 | =1481 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +26 | =1548 | 59% | ||
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +0 | +0 | =1485 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 59% | ||
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +0 | +0 | =1485 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 59% | ||
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +0 | +0 | =1485 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 59% | ||
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | –2 | =1430 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +22 | =1544 | 66% | ||
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +0 | =1432 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 66% | ||
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +0 | =1432 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 66% | ||
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | –2 | =1506 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | ||
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | ||
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | ||
6/17Thursday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –3 | =1519 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +0 | +24 | =1467 | 43% | ||
6/18Friday, June 188:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +0 | +24 | =1467 | 42% | ||
6/19Saturday, June 199:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +0 | +24 | =1467 | 42% | ||
6/20Sunday, June 203:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +0 | +24 | =1467 | 42% | ||
6/21Monday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –3 | =1519 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +0 | +24 | =1509 | 49% | ||
6/22Tuesday, June 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +0 | +24 | =1509 | 48% | ||
6/23Wednesday, June 233:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +0 | +24 | =1509 | 48% | ||
6/25Friday, June 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +0 | –2 | =1441 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +22 | =1544 | 64% | ||
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +0 | +0 | =1443 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 64% | ||
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +0 | +0 | =1443 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 64% | ||
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | –4 | =1494 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | ||
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | ||
6/30Wednesday, June 302:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | ||
7/1Thursday, July 17:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –2 | =1520 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +21 | =1453 | 40% | ||
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +24 | =1456 | 41% | ||
7/3Saturday, July 34:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +24 | =1456 | 41% | ||
7/4Sunday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +24 | =1456 | 41% | ||
7/5Monday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –2 | =1520 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +0 | +23 | =1559 | 56% | ||
7/6Tuesday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +0 | +24 | =1560 | 55% | ||
7/7Wednesday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +0 | +24 | =1560 | 55% | ||
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | –2 | =1506 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +21 | =1543 | 55% | ||
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | ||
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | ||
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | ||
7/16Friday, July 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +5 | =1527 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +29 | =1537 | 52% | ||
7/17Saturday, July 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1469 | +0 | +0 | =1469 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 61% | ||
7/21Wednesday, July 212:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1469 | +0 | +0 | =1469 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 61% | ||
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +0 | +1 | =1519 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +26 | =1548 | 54% | ||
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +0 | +0 | =1518 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 54% | ||
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +0 | +0 | =1518 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 54% | ||
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +22 | =1454 | 40% | ||
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +24 | =1456 | 41% | ||
7/29Thursday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +24 | =1456 | 41% | ||
7/30Friday, July 307:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –2 | =1520 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +0 | +21 | =1553 | 55% | ||
7/31Saturday, July 317:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +0 | +24 | =1556 | 55% | ||
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +0 | +24 | =1556 | 55% | ||
8/2Monday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | –2 | =1430 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +21 | =1543 | 66% | ||
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +0 | =1432 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 66% | ||
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 42:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +0 | =1432 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 66% | ||
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +0 | –4 | =1479 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +26 | =1548 | 60% | ||
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +0 | +0 | =1483 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 59% | ||
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +0 | +0 | =1483 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 59% | ||
8/9Monday, Aug. 98:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –1 | =1521 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | ||
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | ||
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 118:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | ||
8/12Thursday, Aug. 122:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | ||
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –2 | =1520 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +24 | =1456 | 41% | ||
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +24 | =1456 | 41% | ||
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +24 | =1456 | 41% | ||
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –1 | =1521 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +24 | =1525 | 50% | ||
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +24 | =1525 | 50% | ||
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +24 | =1525 | 50% | ||
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +0 | –1 | =1516 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +22 | =1544 | 54% | ||
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +0 | +0 | =1517 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 54% | ||
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +0 | +0 | =1517 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 54% | ||
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +0 | =1508 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +26 | =1548 | 56% | ||
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | ||
8/26Thursday, Aug. 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | ||
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –2 | =1520 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +0 | +21 | =1562 | 56% | ||
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +0 | +24 | =1565 | 56% | ||
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +0 | +24 | =1565 | 56% | ||
8/30Monday, Aug. 309:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –4 | =1518 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +0 | +20 | =1503 | 48% | ||
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 319:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +0 | +24 | =1507 | 48% | ||
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 19:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +0 | +24 | =1507 | 48% | ||
9/2Thursday, Sept. 23:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +0 | +24 | =1507 | 48% | ||
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +20 | =1542 | 56% | ||
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | ||
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | ||
9/6Monday, Sept. 62:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +0 | –3 | =1507 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | ||
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +0 | +0 | =1510 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | ||
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +0 | +0 | =1510 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | ||
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +0 | +24 | =1538 | 52% | ||
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +0 | +24 | =1538 | 52% | ||
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +0 | +24 | =1538 | 52% | ||
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +1 | =1523 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1445 | +0 | +26 | =1471 | 43% | ||
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1445 | +0 | +24 | =1469 | 42% | ||
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | –3 | =1495 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | ||
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | ||
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | ||
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | –2 | =1499 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | ||
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | ||
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | ||
9/23Thursday, Sept. 232:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | ||
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +0 | –1 | =1535 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 52% | ||
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +0 | +0 | =1536 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 51% | ||
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +0 | +0 | =1536 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 51% | ||
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +24 | =1525 | 50% | ||
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +24 | =1525 | 50% | ||
9/30Thursday, Sept. 301:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +0 | +24 | =1525 | 50% | ||
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | –4 | =1518 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1604 | +0 | +24 | =1628 | 65% | ||
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1604 | +0 | +24 | =1628 | 65% | ||
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +0 | =1522 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1604 | +0 | +24 | =1628 | 65% |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4/12Monday, April 127:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –8 | –2 | =1489 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –14 | +22 | =1528 | 56% | 6 | |
4/11Sunday, April 112:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –9 | +0 | =1509 | 48% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –5 | +24 | =1524 | 52% | 3 | |
4/10Saturday, April 102:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | –16 | +2 | =1502 | 48% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | –17 | +26 | =1516 | 52% | 5 | |
4/8Thursday, April 84:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +20 | –2 | =1535 | 51% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +0 | +21 | =1527 | 49% | 3 | |
4/7Wednesday, April 72:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +30 | +0 | =1546 | 48% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +30 | +24 | =1559 | 52% | 2 | |
4/6Tuesday, April 67:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –15 | +0 | =1498 | 46% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –7 | +24 | =1525 | 54% | 0 | |
4/5Monday, April 57:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –4 | –1 | =1510 | 51% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | –25 | +24 | =1505 | 49% | 5 | |
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 52% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –14 | +24 | =1527 | 48% | 2 | |
4/3Saturday, April 37:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +2 | =1539 | 47% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +15 | +26 | =1560 | 53% | 0 | |
4/1Thursday, April 12:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +17 | –2 | =1553 | 47% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +34 | +24 | =1576 | 53% | 6 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments