Updated Oct. 22, 2021, at 2:57 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Brewers are done for the season.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers95-67
CardinalsCardinals90-725.0
RedsReds83-7912.0
CubsCubs71-9124.0
PiratesPirates61-10134.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 125:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153714+0=152334%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1558+26+24=160866%5
10/11Monday, Oct. 111:07 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1539+21=154043%0
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
15561+23=157857%3
10/9Saturday, Oct. 95:07 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1554+24+0=157849%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1542+17+24=158351%0
10/8Friday, Oct. 84:37 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1555+27+4=158648%1
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1540+31+27=159852%2
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154233+0=150931%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1611+17+24=165269%10
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1544+35+0=157941%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1609+6+24=163959%8
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1545104=153135%6
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1608+5+24=163765%8
9/30Thursday, Sept. 301:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154536+0=150946%3
STLSTLCardinals
Happ, J.A.
Happ
152717+24=153454%4
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154319+0=152445%4
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+8+24=156255%0
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1545+19+0=156447%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1528+33+24=158553%6
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1509+3+0=151242%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1543+2+24=156958%8
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1510+9+0=151939%1
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1543+32+24=159961%2
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1511171=149342%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154114+24=155158%5
9/23Thursday, Sept. 232:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1520+38+0=155852%8
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154321+24=154648%5
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1516+4+0=152047%10
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154629+24=154153%2
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
151518+0=149737%2
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1547+16+24=158763%1
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Lester, Jon
Lester
1513242=148737%5
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1550+3+24=157763%2
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14633+0=146036%6
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
155216+24=156064%4
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1463+3+0=146631%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1551+35+24=161069%6
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
146553=145736%5
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
155017+24=155764%8
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1552+15+0=156763%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147223+24=147337%4
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15532+1=155259%0
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14707+26=148941%1
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
155020+0=153049%11
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1500+15+24=153951%1
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1548+29+0=157757%3
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1501+4+24=152943%0
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154616+0=153052%10
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
15048+24=152048%3
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1509+5+0=151442%3
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1545+3+24=157258%4
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1512+15+0=152748%0
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154223+24=154352%10
9/6Monday, Sept. 62:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1508+373=154242%12
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1546+24+24=159458%0
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Lester, Jon
Lester
150127+0=147433%5
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1546+31+24=160167%6
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1503+5+0=150845%0
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154424+24=154455%4
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1499+39+0=153844%15
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1548+8+20=157656%4
9/2Thursday, Sept. 23:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
155026+0=152442%1
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1540+15+24=157958%5
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 19:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154825+0=152341%5
SFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1542+18+24=158459%2
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 319:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1546+25+0=157152%6
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
154413+24=155548%2
8/30Monday, Aug. 309:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1544+304=157054%3
SFSFGiants
Alvarez, Jose
Alvarez
154521+20=154446%1
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154340+0=150350%6
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149417+24=150150%2
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154423+0=152154%4
MINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149321+24=149646%6
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1545262=151754%0
MINMINTwins
Albers, Andrew
Albers
149121+21=149146%2
8/26Thursday, Aug. 262:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1514+9+0=152347%5
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154824+24=154853%1
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1516+6+0=152240%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1546+22+24=159260%4
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1517+4+0=152138%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1545+33+26=160462%7
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Nolin, Sean
Nolin
149920+0=147941%3
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154423+24=154559%7
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
150018+0=148242%6
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154226+24=154058%9
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1498161=148141%4
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154424+22=154259%1
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1547+27+0=157462%4
STLSTLCardinals
Lester, Jon
Lester
149935+24=148838%8
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1545+12+0=155750%6
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1500+33+24=155750%4
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1544+301=157353%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1502+30+24=155647%0
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154330+0=151362%2
PITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
142216+24=143038%1
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154148+0=149358%6
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14249+24=143942%0
8/14Saturday, Aug. 142:30 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154621+0=152560%4
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1420+8+26=145440%14
8/12Thursday, Aug. 122:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1542+29+0=157156%17
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1476+29+24=152944%4
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 118:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1540+24+0=156463%10
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
147829+24=147337%0
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153851+0=148746%6
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1480+11+24=151554%3
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 102:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1537+13+1=155156%4
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14812+26=150544%2
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
153612+0=152448%5
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153822+24=154052%4
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
153422+0=151238%9
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1540+30+24=159462%6
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
153534=152841%1
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1540+22+26=158859%2
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 42:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1430+15+0=144532%2
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1539+14+24=157768%4
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kranick, Max
Kranick
14287+0=142134%8
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154127+24=153866%5
8/2Monday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1429+02=142736%2
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154031+21=153064%6
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153923+0=151642%2
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+17+24=157558%1
7/31Saturday, July 317:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1542+36+0=157854%1
ATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
15317+24=154846%8
7/30Friday, July 307:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1540+302=156855%9
ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
153322+21=153245%5
7/29Thursday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1537+11+0=154862%12
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1430+8+24=146238%0
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153630+0=150657%7
PITPITPirates
Kranick, Max
Kranick
1432+2+24=145843%3
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153327+0=150657%9
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Luis
Oviedo
1434+1+22=145743%0
7/25Sunday, July 257 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1539+25+0=156446%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1535+36+24=159554%1
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1541+18+0=155946%1
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1533+31+24=158854%6
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1544+11+1=155648%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+12+26=156852%7
7/21Wednesday, July 212:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+0+0=144739%6
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153232+24=152461%3
7/20Tuesday, July 204:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1445+9+0=145439%5
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153525+24=153461%2
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1532+27+0=155952%8
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1505+19+24=154848%0
7/17Saturday, July 177:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1530+39+0=156955%7
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1506+7+24=153745%4
7/16Friday, July 167:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152824+5=150945%11
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1509+5+29=154355%6
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1507+7+0=151439%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1530+40+24=159461%1
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
150524+0=148138%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1531+14+24=156962%3
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
1504+1+0=150547%2
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153333+24=152453%0
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1505+62=150947%3
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153124+21=152853%5
7/7Wednesday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
152926+0=150348%5
NYMNYMMets
Stock, Robert
Stock
153945+24=151852%0
7/7Wednesday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1530+27+2=155941%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1538+59+26=162359%4
7/5Monday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1531+422=157157%2
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153634+23=152543%4
7/4Sunday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1533+16+0=154963%0
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1423+11+24=145837%2
7/3Saturday, July 34:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153135+0=149657%11
PITPITPirates
Ponce, Cody
Ponce
14262+24=144843%2
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152926+0=150355%7
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1428+17+24=146945%2
7/1Thursday, July 17:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1527+272=155268%7
PITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
142927+21=142332%2
6/30Wednesday, June 302:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151018+0=149247%7
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
152532+24=151753%15
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1511+12+0=152341%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1524+41+24=158959%2
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1514+254=153547%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1521+15+24=156053%14
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144426+0=141838%0
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151941+24=150262%5
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14453+0=144239%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151724+24=151761%10
6/25Friday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+32=144734%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+25+22=156466%5
6/23Wednesday, June 233:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1516+41+0=155761%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1449+3+24=147639%2
6/22Tuesday, June 229:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1514+13+0=152752%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1452+36+24=151248%0
6/21Monday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1516203=149351%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1450+12+24=148649%5
6/20Sunday, June 203:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151541+0=147454%7
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144623+24=144746%6
6/19Saturday, June 199:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151422+0=149251%6
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1447+15+24=148649%5
6/18Friday, June 188:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1515+27+0=154261%5
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14462+24=146839%6
6/17Thursday, June 178:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+453=156060%3
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+23+24=149040%7
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1501+6+0=150744%2
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1519+8+24=155156%1
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
15005+0=149547%2
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
152028+24=151653%1
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
1497102=148547%10
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152341+24=150653%2
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
142828+0=140033%2
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152221+24=152567%5
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14294+0=142529%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1521+33+24=157871%7
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
De Jong, Chase
De Jong
1430202=140826%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1521+47+22=159074%7
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1519+9+0=152852%7
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
14947+24=151148%2
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
152027+0=149349%3
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
149214+24=150251%7
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151825+0=149344%5
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1494+19+24=153756%1
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14667+0=145935%0
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+28+24=156965%2
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1466+14+0=148035%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1516+50+24=159065%7
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
14684+0=146439%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1515+5+24=154461%5
6/3Thursday, June 37:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
1469124=145341%4
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151422+26=151859%7
6/1Tuesday, June 17:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1447+2+0=144942%10
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151633+24=150758%7
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1448182=142831%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1515+27+21=156369%3
5/30Sunday, May 301:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1513+45+0=155848%3
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1508+41+24=157352%0
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151122+0=148947%6
WSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
151025+24=150953%2
5/29Saturday, May 292:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1510+01=150948%4
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151213+26=152552%1
5/27Thursday, May 271:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
157223+0=154956%5
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
150828+24=150444%6
5/26Wednesday, May 267:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
157125+0=154657%2
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
150935+24=149843%1
5/25Tuesday, May 257:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1569+7+0=157651%7
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1512+30+24=156649%1
5/24Monday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
157014=156549%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1510+44+22=157651%5
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1508+4+0=151250%9
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
14901+24=151350%4
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
150718+0=148943%4
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1491+23+24=153857%3
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1509201=148849%4
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
148918+24=149551%9
5/19Wednesday, May 198:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1511+29+0=154057%4
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14682+24=149043%6
5/18Tuesday, May 188:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1512+42+0=155461%0
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146613+24=147739%2
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
1525+1+0=152649%9
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15111+24=153451%10
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1524+14+0=153852%5
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151314+24=152348%1
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1522233=149647%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151518+24=152153%3
5/13Thursday, May 131:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1513+31+0=154446%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1516+28+24=156854%0
5/12Wednesday, May 127:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15149+0=150540%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1515+40+24=157960%4
5/11Tuesday, May 117:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1512+3+0=151547%6
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15187+23=153453%1
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151612+0=150448%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1475+17+24=151652%1
5/8Saturday, May 86:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151517+0=149852%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
147719+24=148248%2
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
1517103=150449%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1475+10+24=150951%6
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+39+0=155751%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1502+22+24=154849%2
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15195+0=151451%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150114+24=151149%5
5/4Tuesday, May 47:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152028+0=149241%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1500+30+24=155459%6
5/3Monday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1521193=149950%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
149922+24=150150%4
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159616+0=158058%16
MILMILBrewers
Bettinger, Alec
Bettinger
152426+24=152242%4
5/1Saturday, May 17:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
159725+0=157248%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1523+36+24=158352%6
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Uceta, Edwin
Uceta
159942+0=155753%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152212+24=153447%3
4/29Thursday, April 297:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1600+244=162065%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152033+24=151135%2
4/28Wednesday, April 281:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1470+16+0=148648%6
MILMILBrewers
Godley, Zack
Godley
152246+24=150052%2
4/27Tuesday, April 277:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
147012+0=145841%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152121+24=152459%5
4/26Monday, April 267:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1466+64=146834%8
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1526+33+23=158266%0
4/25Sunday, April 252:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1523+34+0=155754%6
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1504+0+24=152846%0
4/24Saturday, April 242:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152213+0=150948%4
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
15053+24=152652%3
4/23Friday, April 232:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1526102=151445%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1501+25+24=155055%15
4/21Wednesday, April 214:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152421+0=150338%4
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1556+10+24=159062%2
4/20Tuesday, April 2010:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1521+29+0=155050%6
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
155828+24=155450%0
4/19Monday, April 1910:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1520+334=154944%3
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1560+9+24=159356%1
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14377+0=143036%6
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152112+24=153364%5
4/17Saturday, April 177:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14392+0=143737%1
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151911+24=153263%7
4/16Friday, April 168:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1436+72=144137%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152219+26=152963%1
4/14Wednesday, April 141:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
14993+0=149640%0
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1520+25+24=156960%7
4/13Tuesday, April 137:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1498+4+0=150239%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1522+33+24=157961%2
4/12Monday, April 127:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
149982=148944%3
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152014+22=152856%6
4/11Sunday, April 112:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15189+0=150948%9
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
15055+24=152452%3
4/10Saturday, April 102:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151616+2=150248%9
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150717+26=151652%5
4/8Thursday, April 84:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+202=153551%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1506+0+21=152749%3
4/7Wednesday, April 72:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1516+30+0=154648%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1505+30+24=155952%2
4/6Tuesday, April 67:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
151315+0=149846%4
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
15087+24=152554%0
4/5Monday, April 57:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151541=151051%3
CHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
150625+24=150549%5
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1538+0+0=153852%8
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151714+24=152748%2
4/3Saturday, April 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+0+2=153947%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1519+15+26=156053%0
4/1Thursday, April 12:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1538+172=155347%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+34+24=157653%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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