Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Brewers have a 93% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1539, up 4 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers62-4393%89%
RedsReds55-507.023%8%
CardinalsCardinals52-529.55%2%
CubsCubs51-5511.52%<1%
PiratesPirates40-6421.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153923+0=151642%
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1534+17+24=157558%
8/2Monday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kranick, Max
Kranick
143262=142435%
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153931+21=152965%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1432+7+0=143931%
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1539+15+24=157869%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 42:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
143210+0=142228%
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1539+24+24=158772%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
153134=152440%
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1539+33+26=159860%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1531+9+0=154050%
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153923+24=154050%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
153111+0=152048%
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153931+24=153252%
8/9Monday, Aug. 98:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1539+151=155354%
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1491+7+24=152246%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1539+24+0=156361%
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
149128+24=148739%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 118:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1539+33+0=157255%
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1491+25+24=154045%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 122:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154154%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+2+24=151746%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+22=153962%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14321+24=145538%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154162%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14321+24=145538%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154162%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14321+24=145538%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+21=154054%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+24=151346%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154154%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+24=151346%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154154%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+24=151346%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
150791=149741%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+22=156359%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+0=149840%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156560%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15079+0=149840%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156560%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150741%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+26=156759%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150742%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156558%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 262:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150742%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156558%
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+22=153954%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+21=151046%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154154%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+24=151346%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154154%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+24=151346%
8/30Monday, Aug. 309:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+24=153748%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+20=155252%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 319:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154148%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155652%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 19:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154148%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155652%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 23:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154148%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155652%
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+0=148940%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+20=156160%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+0=148939%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156561%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+0=148939%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156561%
9/6Monday, Sept. 62:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+13=149840%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156560%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150141%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156559%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150141%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156559%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154153%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151947%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154153%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151947%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154153%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151947%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+1=154258%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+26=148842%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154158%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148642%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+23=149039%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156561%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+2+0=149340%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156560%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1491+2+0=149340%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156560%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
149452=148739%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156561%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+0=148939%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156561%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+0=148939%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156561%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 232:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+0=148939%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156561%
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153011=152845%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156555%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+0=152945%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156555%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15301+0=152945%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+24=156555%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154154%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+24=151346%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154154%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+24=151346%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 301:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154154%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
14945+24=151346%
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+24=153739%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+24=161561%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154140%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+24=161560%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1539+2+0=154140%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1590+1+24=161560%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 317:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1542+36+0=157854%1
ATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
15317+24=154846%8
7/30Friday, July 307:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1540+302=156855%9
ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
153322+21=153245%5
7/29Thursday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1537+11+0=154862%12
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1430+8+24=146238%0
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153630+0=150657%7
PITPITPirates
Kranick, Max
Kranick
1432+2+24=145843%3
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153327+0=150657%9
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Luis
Oviedo
1434+1+22=145743%0
7/25Sunday, July 257 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1539+25+0=156446%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1535+36+24=159554%1
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1541+18+0=155946%1
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1533+31+24=158854%6
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1544+11+1=155648%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+12+26=156852%7
7/21Wednesday, July 212:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+0+0=144739%6
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153232+24=152461%3
7/20Tuesday, July 204:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1445+9+0=145439%5
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153525+24=153461%2
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1532+27+0=155952%8
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1505+19+24=154848%0
7/17Saturday, July 177:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1530+39+0=156955%7
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1506+7+24=153745%4
7/16Friday, July 167:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152824+5=150945%11
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1509+5+29=154355%6
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1507+7+0=151439%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1530+40+24=159461%1
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
150524+0=148138%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1531+14+24=156962%3
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
1504+1+0=150547%2
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153333+24=152453%0
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1505+62=150947%3
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153124+21=152853%5
7/7Wednesday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
152926+0=150348%5
NYMNYMMets
Stock, Robert
Stock
153945+24=151852%0
7/7Wednesday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1530+27+2=155941%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1538+59+26=162359%4
7/5Monday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1531+422=157157%2
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153634+23=152543%4
7/4Sunday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1533+16+0=154963%0
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1423+11+24=145837%2
7/3Saturday, July 34:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153135+0=149657%11
PITPITPirates
Ponce, Cody
Ponce
14262+24=144843%2
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152926+0=150355%7
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1428+17+24=146945%2
7/1Thursday, July 17:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1527+272=155268%7
PITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
142927+21=142332%2
6/30Wednesday, June 302:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151018+0=149247%7
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
152532+24=151753%15
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1511+12+0=152341%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1524+41+24=158959%2
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1514+254=153547%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1521+15+24=156053%14
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144426+0=141838%0
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151941+24=150262%5
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14453+0=144239%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151724+24=151761%10
6/25Friday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+32=144734%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+25+22=156466%5
6/23Wednesday, June 233:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1516+41+0=155761%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1449+3+24=147639%2
6/22Tuesday, June 229:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1514+13+0=152752%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1452+36+24=151248%0
6/21Monday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1516203=149351%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1450+12+24=148649%5
6/20Sunday, June 203:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151541+0=147454%7
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144623+24=144746%6
6/19Saturday, June 199:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151422+0=149251%6
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1447+15+24=148649%5
6/18Friday, June 188:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1515+27+0=154261%5
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14462+24=146839%6
6/17Thursday, June 178:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+453=156060%3
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+23+24=149040%7
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1501+6+0=150744%2
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1519+8+24=155156%1
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
15005+0=149547%2
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
152028+24=151653%1
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
1497102=148547%10
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152341+24=150653%2
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
142828+0=140033%2
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152221+24=152567%5
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14294+0=142529%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1521+33+24=157871%7
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
De Jong, Chase
De Jong
1430202=140826%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1521+47+22=159074%7
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1519+9+0=152852%7
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
14947+24=151148%2
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
152027+0=149349%3
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
149214+24=150251%7
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151825+0=149344%5
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1494+19+24=153756%1
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14667+0=145935%0
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+28+24=156965%2
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1466+14+0=148035%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1516+50+24=159065%7
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
14684+0=146439%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1515+5+24=154461%5
6/3Thursday, June 37:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
1469124=145341%4
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151422+26=151859%7
6/1Tuesday, June 17:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1447+2+0=144942%10
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
151633+24=150758%7
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1448182=142831%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1515+27+21=156369%3
5/30Sunday, May 301:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1513+45+0=155848%3
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1508+41+24=157352%0
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151122+0=148947%6
WSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
151025+24=150953%2
5/29Saturday, May 292:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1510+01=150948%4
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151213+26=152552%1
5/27Thursday, May 271:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
157223+0=154956%5
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
150828+24=150444%6
5/26Wednesday, May 267:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
157125+0=154657%2
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
150935+24=149843%1
5/25Tuesday, May 257:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1569+7+0=157651%7
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1512+30+24=156649%1
5/24Monday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
157014=156549%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1510+44+22=157651%5
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1508+4+0=151250%9
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
14901+24=151350%4
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
150718+0=148943%4
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1491+23+24=153857%3
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1509201=148849%4
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
148918+24=149551%9
5/19Wednesday, May 198:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1511+29+0=154057%4
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14682+24=149043%6
5/18Tuesday, May 188:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1512+42+0=155461%0
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146613+24=147739%2
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
1525+1+0=152649%9
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15111+24=153451%10
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1524+14+0=153852%5
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151314+24=152348%1
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1522233=149647%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151518+24=152153%3
5/13Thursday, May 131:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1513+31+0=154446%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1516+28+24=156854%0
5/12Wednesday, May 127:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15149+0=150540%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1515+40+24=157960%4
5/11Tuesday, May 117:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1512+3+0=151547%6
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15187+23=153453%1
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151612+0=150448%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1475+17+24=151652%1
5/8Saturday, May 86:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151517+0=149852%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
147719+24=148248%2
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
1517103=150449%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1475+10+24=150951%6
5/6Thursday, May 61:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+39+0=155751%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1502+22+24=154849%2
5/5Wednesday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15195+0=151451%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150114+24=151149%5
5/4Tuesday, May 47:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152028+0=149241%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1500+30+24=155459%6
5/3Monday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1521193=149950%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
149922+24=150150%4
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159616+0=158058%16
MILMILBrewers
Bettinger, Alec
Bettinger
152426+24=152242%4
5/1Saturday, May 17:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
159725+0=157248%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1523+36+24=158352%6
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Uceta, Edwin
Uceta
159942+0=155753%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152212+24=153447%3
4/29Thursday, April 297:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1600+244=162065%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152033+24=151135%2
4/28Wednesday, April 281:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1470+16+0=148648%6
MILMILBrewers
Godley, Zack
Godley
152246+24=150052%2
4/27Tuesday, April 277:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
147012+0=145841%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152121+24=152459%5
4/26Monday, April 267:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1466+64=146834%8
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1526+33+23=158266%0
4/25Sunday, April 252:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1523+34+0=155754%6
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1504+0+24=152846%0
4/24Saturday, April 242:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152213+0=150948%4
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
15053+24=152652%3
4/23Friday, April 232:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1526102=151445%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1501+25+24=155055%15
4/21Wednesday, April 214:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152421+0=150338%4
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1556+10+24=159062%2
4/20Tuesday, April 2010:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1521+29+0=155050%6
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
155828+24=155450%0
4/19Monday, April 1910:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1520+334=154944%3
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1560+9+24=159356%1
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14377+0=143036%6
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152112+24=153364%5
4/17Saturday, April 177:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14392+0=143737%1
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151911+24=153263%7
4/16Friday, April 168:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1436+72=144137%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152219+26=152963%1
4/14Wednesday, April 141:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
14993+0=149640%0
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1520+25+24=156960%7
4/13Tuesday, April 137:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1498+4+0=150239%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1522+33+24=157961%2
4/12Monday, April 127:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
149982=148944%3
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152014+22=152856%6
4/11Sunday, April 112:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15189+0=150948%9
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
15055+24=152452%3
4/10Saturday, April 102:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151616+2=150248%9
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150717+26=151652%5
4/8Thursday, April 84:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+202=153551%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1506+0+21=152749%3
4/7Wednesday, April 72:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1516+30+0=154648%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1505+30+24=155952%2
4/6Tuesday, April 67:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
151315+0=149846%4
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
15087+24=152554%0
4/5Monday, April 57:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151541=151051%3
CHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
150625+24=150549%5
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1538+0+0=153852%8
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151714+24=152748%2
4/3Saturday, April 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+0+2=153947%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1519+15+26=156053%0
4/1Thursday, April 12:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1538+172=155347%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+34+24=157653%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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