Updated Oct. 22, 2021, at 2:57 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Diamondbacks are done for the season.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
GiantsGiants107-55
DodgersDodgers106-561.0
PadresPadres79-8328.0
RockiesRockies74-8732.5
DbacksDiamondbacks52-11055.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Goudeau, Ashton
Goudeau
147321+0=145252%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Mejia, Humberto
Mejia
143823+24=143948%5
10/2Saturday, Oct. 28:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1476+17+0=149351%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1435+28+24=148749%11
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1475+71=148154%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
14367+21=145046%7
9/30Thursday, Sept. 309:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1437+10+0=144734%4
SFSFGiants
Kazmir, Scott
Kazmir
156120+24=156566%5
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1438+13+0=145132%0
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15606+24=157868%1
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 289:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1438+71=144429%4
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1559+15+23=159771%6
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1604+3+0=160772%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Mejia, Humberto
Mejia
143918+24=144528%0
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1608+9+0=161768%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1436+24+24=148432%7
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1607193=158568%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
14366+24=145432%2
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1549+23+0=157264%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1435+11+24=147036%6
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
15473+0=154459%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1437+16+24=147741%2
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
154533+0=151256%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1439+8+24=147144%1
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
1544+03=154163%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Mejia, Humberto
Mejia
144013+21=144837%4
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1441+23+0=146435%6
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
156010+24=157465%7
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
14396+0=143328%6
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1563+10+24=159772%4
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1439+61=144437%3
HOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
156247+22=153763%4
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 1510 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1440+21+0=146127%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1607+3+24=163473%5
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1441+9+0=145028%4
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
160720+24=161172%8
9/13Monday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1442+253=146427%1
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1606+7+24=163773%5
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1440+6+0=144640%5
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1490+1+24=151560%4
9/11Saturday, Sept. 119:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
14386+0=143237%7
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1493+7+24=152463%3
9/10Friday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1439+81=144638%4
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1492+16+22=153062%5
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 83:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
144416+0=142844%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1440+8+24=147256%5
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
1443112=143041%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1442+23+26=149159%1
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1491+5+0=149654%10
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1444+2+24=147046%4
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1489+19+0=150856%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
1446+0+24=147044%5
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1488+121=149952%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1447+11+26=148448%5
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 13:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1535+20+0=155562%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1444+6+24=147438%8
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1533+9+0=154257%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1445+24+24=149343%0
8/30Monday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
153213+0=151957%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1446+6+20=147243%5
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1448+14+0=146243%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
150417+24=151157%7
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Mejia, Humberto
Mejia
144913+0=143636%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1502+7+24=153364%7
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
1450+0+0=145037%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+18+24=154463%7
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1449+222=146947%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150336+24=149153%7
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1447+4+0=145150%5
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1425+3+24=145250%2
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1449+17+0=146653%2
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
14232+24=144547%4
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Mejia, Humberto
Mejia
1450153=143250%5
PITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
142211+21=143250%6
8/22Sunday, Aug. 223:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14487+0=144142%8
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1471+3+24=149858%4
8/21Saturday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1449+17+0=146647%2
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14696+24=148753%5
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1451+103=145845%4
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14671+26=149255%9
8/19Thursday, Aug. 193:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1505+46+0=155159%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1449+15+24=148841%6
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
150718+0=148953%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
14472+24=146947%4
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1508+62=151257%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14467+26=146543%3
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Stammen, Craig
Stammen
154319+0=152454%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1448+23+24=149546%2
8/14Saturday, Aug. 148:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1547+22+0=156964%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
14443+24=146536%7
8/13Friday, Aug. 139:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1548+3+0=155160%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1443+16+24=148340%3
8/12Thursday, Aug. 129:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1553+292=158068%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
143815+21=144432%12
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 119:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1440+30+0=147034%2
SFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1538+24+24=158666%7
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 109:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1441+26+0=146738%7
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
153712+22=154762%8
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1441+14+0=145534%0
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15535+24=157266%2
8/7Saturday, Aug. 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14428+0=143428%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1552+26+24=160272%6
8/6Friday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1440102=142833%8
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
155527+24=155267%5
8/5Thursday, Aug. 53:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15349+0=152555%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1441+24+24=148945%4
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1532+21+0=155359%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1443+27+24=149441%1
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
153411+0=152357%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1441+11+24=147643%3
8/2Monday, Aug. 29:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1532+93=153861%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14425+24=146139%8
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
15907+0=158367%13
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14445+24=146333%0
7/31Saturday, July 318:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
158837+0=155158%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1446+24+24=149442%3
7/30Friday, July 309:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1589143=157261%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1445+25+23=149339%6
7/28Wednesday, July 288:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1444+8+0=145250%3
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
144212+24=145450%2
7/27Tuesday, July 278:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
1445+41=144846%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1442+13+24=147954%5
7/25Sunday, July 252:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14463+0=144342%1
CHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
149418+24=150058%5
7/24Saturday, July 242:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1444+24+0=146841%7
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1496+9+24=152959%3
7/23Friday, July 232:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1446+312=147543%3
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1494+7+22=152357%8
7/21Wednesday, July 213:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kranick, Max
Kranick
1430+5+0=143544%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1445+7+24=147656%6
7/20Tuesday, July 209:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1432+16+0=144846%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
1443+8+24=147554%11
7/19Monday, July 199:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
De Jong, Chase
De Jong
1433174=141243%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14427+24=145957%4
7/18Sunday, July 184:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1499+8+0=150753%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1440+21+24=148547%6
7/17Saturday, July 174:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1497+7+0=150451%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1441+30+24=149549%2
7/16Friday, July 169:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1496+27+3=152657%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1443+5+29=147743%1
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1444+21+0=146530%4
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159611+24=160970%7
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1446+6+0=145226%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1594+14+24=163274%22
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
1443+72=144829%5
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159615+20=160171%2
7/8Thursday, July 83:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144627+0=141943%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Faria, Jake
Faria
1446+0+24=147057%3
7/7Wednesday, July 79:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14477+0=144046%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
14453+24=146654%6
7/6Tuesday, July 69:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1448+21=144944%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1444+21+26=149156%4
7/4Sunday, July 49:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1527+9+0=153658%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1445+7+24=147642%2
7/3Saturday, July 310:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Long, Sammy
Long
152618+0=150855%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Faria, Jake
Faria
1446+3+24=147345%5
7/2Friday, July 29:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
152312+0=151151%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1449+34+24=150749%4
7/1Thursday, July 19:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152513+0=151254%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1448+18+21=148746%5
6/30Wednesday, June 301:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
144919+0=143038%4
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1489+1+24=151462%7
6/29Tuesday, June 298:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1450+5+0=145545%2
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
148822+24=149055%3
6/28Monday, June 288:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Faria, Jake
Faria
1452+04=144845%1
STLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
148627+24=148355%7
6/27Sunday, June 274:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1452+37+0=148932%4
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1561+36+24=162168%5
6/26Saturday, June 2610:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1448+15+0=146331%10
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1566+8+24=159869%1
6/25Friday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Martin, Corbin
Martin
144925+0=142430%5
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156519+26=157270%11
6/23Wednesday, June 233:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1516+41+0=155761%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1449+3+24=147639%2
6/22Tuesday, June 229:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1514+13+0=152752%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1452+36+24=151248%0
6/21Monday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1516203=149351%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1450+12+24=148649%5
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159418+0=157666%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
145010+24=146434%8
6/19Saturday, June 1910:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1593+11+0=160470%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
145116+24=145930%3
6/18Friday, June 189:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1592+17+0=160969%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14521+21=147231%0
6/17Thursday, June 173:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1454+42+0=149639%3
SFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1519+34+24=157761%10
6/16Wednesday, June 169:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1456+15+0=147139%7
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1517+6+24=154761%13
6/15Tuesday, June 159:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
145710+0=144741%8
SFSFGiants
Littell, Zack
Littell
151627+24=151359%9
6/14Monday, June 149:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
1458123=144339%2
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
151510+20=152561%5
6/13Sunday, June 134:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
150415+0=148953%10
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
146119+24=146647%3
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1503+3+0=150654%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14614+24=148146%7
6/11Friday, June 119:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1502+11+0=151352%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1462+12+23=149748%5
6/9Wednesday, June 93:37 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
14649+0=145536%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1519+10+24=155364%4
6/8Tuesday, June 89:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
1465192=144433%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1518+25+23=156667%5
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14667+0=145935%0
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+28+24=156965%2
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1466+14+0=148035%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1516+50+24=159065%7
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
14684+0=146439%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1515+5+24=154461%5
6/3Thursday, June 37:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
1469124=145341%4
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151422+26=151859%7
6/2Wednesday, June 23:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153726+0=151152%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1470+4+24=149848%6
6/1Tuesday, June 19:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15386+0=153257%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
146912+24=148143%6
5/31Monday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1537+502=158561%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1470+13+24=150739%2
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1511+3+0=151455%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
146711+24=148045%9
5/29Saturday, May 2910:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1510+6+0=151655%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Frankoff, Seth
Frankoff
146914+24=147945%4
5/28Friday, May 289:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
150833+0=147546%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1470+9+24=150354%6
5/27Thursday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
1507114=149252%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
147113+24=148248%4
5/26Wednesday, May 269:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
150511+0=149449%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1472+8+24=150451%4
5/25Tuesday, May 259:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1503+271=152958%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Martin, Corbin
Martin
147427+23=147042%0
5/23Sunday, May 233:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14753+0=147249%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+9+24=147951%4
5/22Saturday, May 223:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1477+11+0=148853%6
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14454+24=146547%7
5/21Friday, May 218:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Frankoff, Seth
Frankoff
1479113=146548%1
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+12+23=147852%7
5/20Thursday, May 2010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1479+4+0=148334%2
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159619+24=160166%3
5/19Wednesday, May 1910:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1480+3+0=148331%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1595+5+24=162469%4
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Martin, Corbin
Martin
148227+0=145530%1
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159313+24=160470%9
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1482+112=149132%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1593+4+24=162168%3
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151327+0=148647%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14843+24=150553%0
5/15Saturday, May 158:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
151614+0=150251%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Frankoff, Seth
Frankoff
148112+24=149349%11
5/14Friday, May 149:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1513+384=154757%17
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
148514+24=149543%2
5/13Thursday, May 139:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1471+13+0=148446%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1487+1+24=151254%1
5/12Wednesday, May 129:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
147014+0=145644%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
148814+24=149856%2
5/11Tuesday, May 119:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1473+15+0=148846%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1486+5+24=151554%11
5/10Monday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Holloway, Jordan
Holloway
1474164=145444%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14848+20=149656%5
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
148513+0=147231%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1536+52+24=161269%4
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1486+4+0=149045%2
NYMNYMMets
Hunter, Tommy
Hunter
153537+24=152255%4
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1487+333=151748%4
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153423+21=153252%5
5/6Thursday, May 66:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1489+3+0=149247%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1474+14+24=151253%3
5/5Wednesday, May 56:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14924+0=148853%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
147025+24=146947%8
5/4Tuesday, May 46:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
1494112=148146%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1468+17+23=150854%9
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144819+0=142937%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1493+4+24=152163%8
5/1Saturday, May 18:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14449+0=143533%14
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1497+36+24=155767%6
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1446+15+0=146142%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14951+24=151858%7
4/29Thursday, April 299:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
144773=143739%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14942+24=151661%5
4/28Wednesday, April 289:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
155716+0=154154%12
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
149711+24=151046%3
4/27Tuesday, April 279:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
155931+0=152851%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1495+1+22=151849%5
4/25Sunday, April 254 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14928+0=148442%7
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152914+24=153958%0
4/25Sunday, April 251:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1489+34+2=152549%5
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
153222+26=153651%0
4/23Friday, April 237:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1490+42=149245%4
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
153126+23=152855%5
4/22Thursday, April 2212:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
1489+2+0=149147%14
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
150521+24=150853%11
4/21Wednesday, April 216:50 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1487+3+0=149044%8
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1507+0+24=153156%5
4/20Tuesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1486+34+0=152046%5
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1508+15+26=154954%4
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148410+0=147444%5
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
151626+24=151456%2
4/17Saturday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1485+7+0=149248%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151432+24=150652%6
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14864+0=148238%0
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1514+29+24=156762%1
4/15Thursday, April 157:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1484+72=148944%11
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
15165+21=153256%6
4/13Tuesday, April 133:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
15077+0=150044%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1485+35+24=154456%5
4/12Monday, April 129:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1505+161=152052%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14878+24=150348%5
4/11Sunday, April 114:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
De Leon, Jose
De Leon
151019+0=149147%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1484+1+24=150953%7
4/10Saturday, April 108:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151220+0=149249%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
14828+24=149851%8
4/9Friday, April 99:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
151172=150250%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14832+21=150250%5
4/8Thursday, April 83:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1485+11+0=149653%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1445+7+24=147647%7
4/7Wednesday, April 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14886+0=148254%0
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14428+24=145846%8
4/6Tuesday, April 68:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
148711=148549%10
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+23+26=149251%8
4/4Sunday, April 44:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14859+0=147638%3
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156525+24=156462%1
4/3Saturday, April 38:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14878+0=147935%0
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
15632+24=158565%7
4/2Friday, April 210:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1488+13+0=150137%2
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1562+10+24=159663%4
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148912=148632%7
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1561+33+24=161868%8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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