Updated Apr. 11, 2021, at 10:17 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Diamondbacks have an 8% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1487, the same as last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers8-297%77%
PadresPadres7-31.080%21%
GiantsGiants6-31.512%1%
DbacksDiamondbacks4-64.08%<1%
RockiesRockies3-75.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 129:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1505+161=152052%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14878+24=150348%
4/13Tuesday, April 133:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
15057+0=149847%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1487+6+24=151753%
4/15Thursday, April 157:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
148752=148043%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
15156+21=153057%
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
14878+0=147938%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1515+26+24=156562%
4/17Saturday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1487+7+0=149444%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153956%
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14878+0=147937%
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1515+35+24=157463%
4/20Tuesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1487+6+0=149342%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1507+18+26=155158%
4/21Wednesday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14875+0=148243%
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15073+24=152857%
4/22Thursday, April 2212:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148744%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153156%
4/23Friday, April 237:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148540%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+23=155660%
4/24Saturday, April 247:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148740%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155760%
4/25Sunday, April 251:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148740%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155760%
4/27Tuesday, April 279:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+22=150942%
4/28Wednesday, April 289:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
4/29Thursday, April 299:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+03=144040%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151160%
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144340%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151160%
5/1Saturday, May 18:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144340%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151160%
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144340%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151160%
5/4Tuesday, May 46:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148550%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+23=148450%
5/5Wednesday, May 56:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148750%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148550%
5/6Thursday, May 66:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148750%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148550%
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+03=148440%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+21=155760%
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148740%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156060%
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148740%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156060%
5/10Monday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+04=145743%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+20=150757%
5/11Tuesday, May 119:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146143%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151157%
5/12Wednesday, May 129:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146143%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151157%
5/13Thursday, May 139:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146143%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151157%
5/14Friday, May 149:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+04=151150%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151150%
5/15Saturday, May 158:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151551%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151149%
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151551%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151149%
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148530%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162870%
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148731%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162869%
5/19Wednesday, May 1910:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148731%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162869%
5/20Thursday, May 2010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148731%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162869%
5/21Friday, May 218:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+03=148453%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+23=146647%
5/22Saturday, May 223:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148753%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146747%
5/23Sunday, May 233:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148753%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146747%
5/25Tuesday, May 259:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+01=148446%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+23=151054%
5/26Wednesday, May 269:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148546%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151154%
5/27Thursday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+04=149948%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151152%
5/28Friday, May 289:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150349%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151151%
5/29Saturday, May 2910:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150349%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151151%
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150349%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151151%
5/31Monday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+04=153253%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151147%
6/1Tuesday, June 19:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153654%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151146%
6/2Wednesday, June 23:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153654%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151146%
6/3Thursday, June 37:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+04=148341%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+26=154659%
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148742%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154458%
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148742%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154458%
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148742%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154458%
6/8Tuesday, June 89:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148544%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+23=152856%
6/9Wednesday, June 93:37 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148744%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152956%
6/11Friday, June 119:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151150%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+23=151050%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151150%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151150%
6/13Sunday, June 134:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151150%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151150%
6/14Monday, June 149:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+03=148447%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+20=150553%
6/15Tuesday, June 159:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148747%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150953%
6/16Wednesday, June 169:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148747%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150953%
6/17Thursday, June 173:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148747%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150953%
6/18Friday, June 189:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160463%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+21=150837%
6/19Saturday, June 1910:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160463%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151137%
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160463%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151137%
6/21Monday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+03=151751%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151149%
6/22Tuesday, June 229:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152051%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151149%
6/23Wednesday, June 233:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152051%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151149%
6/25Friday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+26=159064%
6/26Saturday, June 2610:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
6/27Sunday, June 274:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
6/28Monday, June 288:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+04=148344%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152756%
6/29Tuesday, June 298:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148744%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152756%
6/30Wednesday, June 301:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148744%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152756%
7/1Thursday, July 19:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148547%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+21=150853%
7/2Friday, July 29:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148546%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151154%
7/3Saturday, July 310:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148546%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151154%
7/4Sunday, July 49:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148546%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151154%
7/6Tuesday, July 69:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+01=144240%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+26=151360%
7/7Wednesday, July 79:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144340%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151160%
7/8Thursday, July 83:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144340%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151160%
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148531%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+20=162469%
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148731%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162869%
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148731%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162869%
7/16Friday, July 169:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+3=150248%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+29=151652%
7/17Saturday, July 178:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149948%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151152%
7/18Sunday, July 184:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149948%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151152%
7/19Monday, July 199:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+04=142938%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151162%
7/20Tuesday, July 209:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143339%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151161%
7/21Wednesday, July 213:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143339%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151161%
7/23Friday, July 232:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148545%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+22=152155%
7/24Saturday, July 242:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148745%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152355%
7/25Sunday, July 252:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148745%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152355%
7/27Tuesday, July 278:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+01=148651%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148049%
7/28Wednesday, July 288:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148751%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148049%
7/30Friday, July 309:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+03=160163%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+23=151037%
7/31Saturday, July 318:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160463%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151137%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160463%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151137%
8/2Monday, Aug. 29:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+03=148246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151154%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148546%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151154%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148546%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151154%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 53:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148546%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151154%
8/6Friday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148536%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 109:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148747%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+22=150753%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 119:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148747%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150953%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 129:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+02=156258%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+21=150842%
8/13Friday, Aug. 139:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 148:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150849%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+26=151351%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151050%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151150%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 193:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151050%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151150%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+03=148452%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+26=146948%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148753%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146747%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 223:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148753%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146747%
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+03=148454%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+21=145446%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148754%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145746%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148754%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145746%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148543%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148743%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148743%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148743%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153457%
8/30Monday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+20=150742%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 13:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+01=146844%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+26=151356%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146944%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151156%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146944%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151156%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+02=145442%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+26=151358%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 83:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145642%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151158%
9/10Friday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+01=148649%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+22=149151%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 119:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148749%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149351%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148749%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149351%
9/13Monday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+03=148430%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162870%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148731%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162869%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 1510:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148731%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162869%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+01=148637%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+22=157963%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148737%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158163%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148737%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158163%
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+03=153053%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+21=150847%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153353%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151147%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153353%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151147%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153353%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151147%
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+03=160163%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151137%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160463%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151137%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160463%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151137%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 289:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+01=148647%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+23=150853%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148747%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150953%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 309:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148747%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150953%
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+01=144241%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+21=150859%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 28:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144340%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151160%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144340%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151160%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 114:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
De Leon, Jose
De Leon
151019+0=149147%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1484+1+24=150953%7
4/10Saturday, April 108:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151220+0=149249%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
14828+24=149851%8
4/9Friday, April 99:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
151172=150250%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14832+21=150250%5
4/8Thursday, April 83:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1485+11+0=149653%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1445+7+24=147647%7
4/7Wednesday, April 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14886+0=148254%0
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14428+24=145846%8
4/6Tuesday, April 68:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
148711=148549%10
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+23+26=149251%8
4/4Sunday, April 44:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14859+0=147638%3
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156525+24=156462%1
4/3Saturday, April 38:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14878+0=147935%0
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
15632+24=158565%7
4/2Friday, April 210:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1488+13+0=150137%2
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1562+10+24=159663%4
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148912=148632%7
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1561+33+24=161868%8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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