Updated Oct. 16, 2021, at 11:19 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Dodgers have a 43% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
GiantsGiants107-55
DodgersDodgers106-561.0
PadresPadres79-8328.0
RockiesRockies74-8732.5
DbacksDiamondbacks52-11055.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/17Sunday, Oct. 177:38 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1614+30+0=164461%
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1561+1+24=158639%
10/19Tuesday, Oct. 195:08 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1561+232=158237%
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1614+15+22=165163%
10/20Wednesday, Oct. 208:08 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
156114+0=154732%
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1614+10+24=164868%
10/21Thursday, Oct. 218:08 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1561+6+0=156737%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
16141+24=163763%
10/23Saturday, Oct. 235:08 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1614+152=162757%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1561+5+22=158843%
10/24Sunday, Oct. 247:38 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1614+30+0=164456%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1561+26+24=161144%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/16Saturday, Oct. 168:08 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Knebel, Corey
Knebel
1615392=157442%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1559+27+31=161758%3
10/14Thursday, Oct. 149:07 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Knebel, Corey
Knebel
161341+0=157243%2
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1563+20+24=160757%1
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 129:07 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1565+9+0=157436%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1611+15+24=165064%7
10/11Monday, Oct. 119:37 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15624+0=155831%1
LADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1613+28+24=166569%0
10/9Saturday, Oct. 99:07 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1610+9+0=161953%9
SFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1566+12+24=160247%2
10/8Friday, Oct. 89:37 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1613+18+0=163154%0
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1563+15+31=160946%4
10/6Wednesday, Oct. 68:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1527+31+1=155930%1
LADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1612+30+29=167170%3
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
154233+0=150931%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1611+17+24=165269%10
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1544+35+0=157941%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1609+6+24=163959%8
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1545104=153135%6
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1608+5+24=163765%8
9/30Thursday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151919+0=150034%3
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
160615+24=161566%8
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
152039+0=148125%9
LADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1606+37+24=166775%11
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 2810 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1520+16+1=153735%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1605+12+24=164165%2
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1604+3+0=160772%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Mejia, Humberto
Mejia
143918+24=144528%0
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1608+9+0=161768%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1436+24+24=148432%7
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1607193=158568%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
14366+24=145432%2
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1606+40+0=164670%7
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14782+24=150030%5
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 228:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1609+15+0=162465%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1475+15+24=151435%10
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1609+11=160964%5
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1475+13+22=151036%4
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1608+5+0=161363%8
CINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
15057+24=152237%5
9/18Saturday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1606+38+0=164464%5
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1507+17+24=154836%1
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1608+182=162462%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1505+10+22=153738%3
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 1510 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1440+21+0=146127%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1607+3+24=163473%5
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1441+9+0=145028%4
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
160720+24=161172%8
9/13Monday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1442+253=146427%1
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1606+7+24=163773%5
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1531+19+0=155035%0
LADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1604+34+24=166265%8
9/11Saturday, Sept. 119:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
153212+0=152032%4
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1603+20+24=164768%5
9/10Friday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1533+21+1=155540%0
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1602+1+20=162360%3
9/9Thursday, Sept. 91:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
160318+0=158562%1
STLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
149819+24=150338%2
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
160441+0=156350%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1497+41+24=156250%5
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Knebel, Corey
Knebel
160338+0=156559%7
STLSTLCardinals
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149923+24=150041%2
9/6Monday, Sept. 64:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1601+304=162764%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1500+9+22=153136%1
9/5Sunday, Sept. 57 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1603+29+0=163263%4
SFSFGiants
Leone, Dominic
Leone
154121+24=154437%6
9/4Saturday, Sept. 49:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
16011+0=160058%6
SFSFGiants
Jackson, Jay
Jackson
154222+24=154442%1
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
160321+0=158252%2
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1541+3+24=156848%3
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 110:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1547+11+0=155837%3
LADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1602+26+24=165263%4
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1548+19+0=156737%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1601+31+24=165663%3
8/30Monday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1549224=152336%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
16001+24=162364%5
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14681+0=146733%5
LADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
160336+24=159167%0
8/28Saturday, Aug. 289:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1469+4+0=147334%2
LADLADDodgers
Knebel, Corey
Knebel
160239+24=158766%5
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1467+02=146533%4
LADLADDodgers
Graterol, Brusdar
Graterol
160539+23=158967%2
8/26Thursday, Aug. 269:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1603+20+0=162356%4
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1535+24+24=158344%0
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 2510 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1602+28+0=163059%5
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+5+24=156641%3
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 2410 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
16003+1=159856%5
SDSDPadres
Johnson, Pierce
Johnson
153811+26=155344%2
8/22Sunday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1516+9+0=152538%7
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
160318+24=160962%2
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1516+0+0=151632%3
LADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1603+22+24=164968%4
8/20Friday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15172+0=151531%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1602+28+24=165469%3
8/19Thursday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
151882=150839%1
LADLADDodgers
Knebel, Corey
Knebel
160138+24=158761%4
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1420+4+0=142429%0
LADLADDodgers
Bruihl, Justin
Bruihl
159939+24=158471%9
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
142113+0=140824%3
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159919+24=160476%4
8/16Monday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1421+194=143630%1
LADLADDodgers
Bruihl, Justin
Bruihl
159839+20=157970%2
8/15Sunday, Aug. 157 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1596+21+0=161760%14
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1520+6+24=155040%4
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1595+26+0=162163%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
152114+24=153137%1
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159461=158757%6
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152210+24=153643%5
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
159536+0=155957%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
150923+24=151043%2
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159318+0=157554%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1511+11+24=154646%2
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1591+212=161058%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1513+14+26=155342%0
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
150124+0=147728%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1590+27+24=164172%8
8/7Saturday, Aug. 79:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15022+0=150035%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
15894+24=160965%5
8/6Friday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1500+13=149836%4
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159118+26=159964%3
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15709+0=156140%5
LADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1590+19+24=163360%7
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1568+6+0=157440%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1592+27+24=164360%0
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
15907+0=158367%13
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14445+24=146333%0
7/31Saturday, July 318:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
158837+0=155158%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1446+24+24=149442%3
7/30Friday, July 309:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1589143=157261%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1445+25+23=149339%6
7/29Thursday, July 293:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159216+0=157656%0
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152916+24=153744%5
7/28Wednesday, July 289:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1589+23+0=161256%8
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1531+12+24=156744%0
7/27Tuesday, July 279:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
15919+0=158255%1
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
15308+26=154845%2
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1455+8+0=146334%2
LADLADDodgers
Gray, Josiah
Gray
159038+24=157666%3
7/24Saturday, July 249:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
145517+0=143829%0
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
158917+24=159671%1
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
1452331=141826%9
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159214+24=160274%6
7/22Thursday, July 2210:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1533+12+0=154537%5
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1594+20+24=163863%3
7/21Wednesday, July 2110:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
153210+0=152238%4
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159612+24=160862%2
7/20Tuesday, July 2010:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15339+0=152442%6
LADLADDodgers
Nunez, Darien
Nunez
159537+24=158258%8
7/19Monday, July 1910:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1530+354=156144%7
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159812+21=160756%2
7/18Sunday, July 183:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159916+0=158364%5
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1450+5+24=147936%6
7/17Saturday, July 178:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1598+17+0=161571%9
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
145220+24=145629%2
7/16Friday, July 168:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159712+4=158969%10
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
145329+28=145231%4
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1444+21+0=146530%4
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159611+24=160970%7
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1446+6+0=145226%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1594+14+24=163274%22
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
1443+72=144829%5
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159615+20=160171%2
7/8Thursday, July 812:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159514+0=158158%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1481+16+24=152142%1
7/7Wednesday, July 77 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Reed, Jake
Reed
159738+0=155962%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
147931+24=147238%9
7/6Tuesday, July 67:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159813+0=158560%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1478+11+24=151340%2
7/5Monday, July 56:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1600+173=161463%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1476+20+21=151737%5
7/4Sunday, July 411:05 a.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Cleavinger, Garrett
Cleavinger
159838+0=156054%5
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
15167+24=153346%1
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1597+11+0=160862%5
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
151717+24=152438%3
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159517+0=157849%10
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1519+41+24=158451%5
7/1Thursday, July 17:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonzalez, Victor
Gonzalez
1593382=155353%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
152111+24=153447%2
6/29Tuesday, June 2910 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1526+38+0=156441%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1592+13+24=162959%3
6/28Monday, June 2810:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1527+102=153536%2
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1591+17+24=163264%3
6/27Sunday, June 277 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1516+13+0=152937%1
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1589+8+24=162163%7
6/26Saturday, June 267:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1517+6+0=152340%2
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
158917+24=159660%3
6/25Friday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151820+0=149836%2
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
158714+24=159764%6
6/24Thursday, June 2410:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1515+62=151935%4
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1590+17+23=163065%0
6/23Wednesday, June 2310 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1592+21+0=161352%3
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1563+11+24=159848%5
6/22Tuesday, June 2210 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1593+9+0=160254%2
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
156213+24=157346%3
6/21Monday, June 2110 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1595132=158045%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1560+32+24=161655%6
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159418+0=157666%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
145010+24=146434%8
6/19Saturday, June 1910:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1593+11+0=160470%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Peacock, Matt
Peacock
145116+24=145930%3
6/18Friday, June 189:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1592+17+0=160969%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14521+21=147231%0
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1504+44+0=154839%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1594+10+24=162861%0
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15055+0=150035%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
15939+24=160865%5
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
1506264=147633%1
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159216+24=160067%3
6/13Sunday, June 134:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1456+12+0=146829%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1591+11+24=162671%5
6/12Saturday, June 1210:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
144912+0=143723%12
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1598+22+24=164477%1
6/11Friday, June 1110:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1451+21=145227%1
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1597+6+20=162373%12
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159610+0=158669%6
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14318+24=144731%3
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159514+0=158166%2
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1431+11+24=146634%1
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1594+7+0=160168%5
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1432+15+26=147332%3
6/6Sunday, June 61:20 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1596+24+0=162061%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15224+24=154239%4
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1598+7+0=160557%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1520+12+24=155643%6
6/4Friday, June 47:20 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1596112=158354%9
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1522+12+24=155846%5
6/2Wednesday, June 29:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
15087+0=150133%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1594+9+24=162767%14
6/1Tuesday, June 110:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15072+0=150536%3
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159516+24=160364%2
5/31Monday, May 319:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1508+272=153334%4
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1594+26+24=164466%9
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1511+28+0=153937%5
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1595+10+24=162963%4
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
150813+0=149533%11
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
15998+24=161567%6
5/28Friday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15053+0=150232%8
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1601+6+24=163168%5
5/27Thursday, May 2710:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
150612=150337%3
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
160122+21=160063%4
5/26Wednesday, May 267:30 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1603+26+0=162959%2
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15527+24=156941%5
5/25Tuesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1600+52=160352%9
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1554+8+24=158648%2
5/23Sunday, May 234:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159810+0=158858%11
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1505+6+24=153542%5
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1597+6+0=160363%6
SFSFGiants
Kazmir, Scott
Kazmir
150617+24=151337%3
5/21Friday, May 219:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1596+272=162164%2
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15072+20=152536%1
5/20Thursday, May 2010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1479+4+0=148334%2
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
159619+24=160166%3
5/19Wednesday, May 1910:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1480+3+0=148331%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1595+5+24=162469%4
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Martin, Corbin
Martin
148227+0=145530%1
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159313+24=160470%9
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1482+112=149132%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1593+4+24=162168%3
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1471+12+0=148335%3
LADLADDodgers
Nelson, Jimmy
Nelson
159428+24=159065%2
5/15Saturday, May 159:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Holloway, Jordan
Holloway
147218+0=145425%0
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1593+25+24=164275%7
5/14Friday, May 1410:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1473+182=148931%6
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1592+9+26=162769%9
5/12Wednesday, May 1210:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1472+6+0=147833%1
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159115+24=160067%7
5/11Tuesday, May 1110:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1473+31=147530%4
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1590+7+25=162270%6
5/9Sunday, May 94:07 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1592+24+0=161666%1
LAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
149921+24=150234%2
5/8Saturday, May 89:07 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1590+8+0=159858%14
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1500+16+24=154042%11
5/7Friday, May 79:38 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1593112=158058%2
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1497+1+24=152242%9
5/5Wednesday, May 57:30 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1595+6+0=160159%5
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1502+9+24=153541%6
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1596+26+0=162264%3
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
15013+24=152236%4
5/4Tuesday, May 42:20 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1599+13+1=161360%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1498+18+24=154040%7
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159616+0=158058%16
MILMILBrewers
Bettinger, Alec
Bettinger
152426+24=152242%4
5/1Saturday, May 17:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
159725+0=157248%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1523+36+24=158352%6
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Uceta, Edwin
Uceta
159942+0=155753%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152212+24=153447%3
4/29Thursday, April 297:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1600+244=162065%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152033+24=151135%2
4/28Wednesday, April 284:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1503+18+0=152135%0
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1599+10+24=163365%8
4/27Tuesday, April 2710:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
150217+0=148530%6
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1600+7+24=163170%5
4/26Monday, April 2610:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1500+74=150335%5
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
160217+24=160965%3
4/25Sunday, April 257 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1557+9+0=156645%8
LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
160429+24=159955%7
4/24Saturday, April 249:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1558+1+0=155937%4
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1603+26+24=165363%5
4/23Friday, April 2310:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1555+31+0=158642%6
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1606+11+24=164158%1
4/22Thursday, April 2210:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
1554261=152735%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1607+5+23=163565%2
4/20Tuesday, April 204:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
160623+0=158359%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1476+22+24=152241%0
4/19Monday, April 1910:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
1608273=157859%3
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1475+13+24=151241%4
4/18Sunday, April 184:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1610+27+0=163758%2
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1558+2+24=158442%5
4/17Saturday, April 178:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1608+10+0=161851%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1559+29+24=161249%0
4/16Friday, April 1610:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1606+91=161459%11
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
156130+20=155141%6
4/15Thursday, April 1510:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14423+0=143927%5
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
160619+24=161173%7
4/14Wednesday, April 1410:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1442+13+0=145530%2
LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
160527+24=160270%4
4/13Tuesday, April 1310:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14433+0=144023%0
LADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1604+23+26=165377%7
4/11Sunday, April 114:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1516+24+0=154037%0
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1603+7+24=163463%3
4/10Saturday, April 109:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
15182+0=151637%5
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
160216+24=161063%9
4/9Friday, April 94:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1518142=150232%0
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1601+7+24=163268%1
4/7Wednesday, April 73:37 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1603+22+0=162565%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14998+24=151535%4
4/6Tuesday, April 69:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1601+4+0=160559%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1501+20+24=154541%1
4/5Monday, April 59:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
1599293=156755%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1503+1+24=152845%3
4/4Sunday, April 43:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159819+0=157966%4
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14445+24=146334%2
4/3Saturday, April 38:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1597+9+0=160668%6
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1444+5+24=147332%5
4/2Friday, April 28:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1597+26+0=162371%11
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14454+24=146529%6
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1599+103=160666%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+25+24=149234%8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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