Dodgers | 2021 MLB Predictions

The Dodgers have a 98% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1590, up 1 point from last week.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers64-44	3.5	98%	54%
Giants Giants67-40	—	96%	35%
Padres Padres62-47	6.0	84%	10%
Rockies Rockies47-60	20.0	<1%	<1%
Dbacks Diamondbacks34-74	33.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1570	–9	+0	=1561	40%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Scherzer	1590	+19	+24	=1633	60%
8/6Friday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1498	+3	–3	=1498	36%
8/6Friday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1590	–18	+26	=1598	64%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 79:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1498	+0	+0	=1498	36%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 79:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1590	–18	+24	=1596	64%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1498	+0	+0	=1498	34%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1590	–4	+24	=1610	66%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1590	+26	–2	=1614	65%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Anderson	1505	–23	+26	=1508	35%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Scherzer	1590	+19	+0	=1609	59%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1505	+18	+24	=1547	41%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1590	–18	+0	=1572	54%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1505	+13	+24	=1542	46%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1590	–18	–1	=1571	54%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1523	–7	+24	=1540	46%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1590	–4	+0	=1586	57%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Walker	1523	–13	+24	=1534	43%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 157 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	56%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 157 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1523	–1	+24	=1546	44%
8/16Monday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1430	+1	–4	=1427	26%
8/16Monday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+20	=1611	74%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1430	+1	+0	=1431	26%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	74%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1430	+1	+0	=1431	26%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	74%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1523	–1	–2	=1520	37%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	63%
8/20Friday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1523	–1	+0	=1522	37%
8/20Friday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	63%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 219:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1523	–1	+0	=1522	37%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 219:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	63%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1523	–1	+0	=1522	37%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	63%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 2410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+1	=1592	51%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 2410:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1556	+1	+26	=1583	49%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	51%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1556	+1	+24	=1581	49%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 269:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	51%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 269:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1556	+1	+24	=1581	49%
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1460	+0	–2	=1458	29%
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+23	=1614	71%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 289:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	29%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 289:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	71%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	29%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	71%
8/30Monday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1535	–5	–4	=1526	37%
8/30Monday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	63%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1535	–5	+0	=1530	38%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	62%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1535	–5	+0	=1530	38%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	62%
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	55%
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1532	+1	+24	=1557	45%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 49:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	55%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 49:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1532	+1	+24	=1557	45%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 57 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	55%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 57 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1532	+1	+24	=1557	45%
9/6Monday, Sept. 64:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	–4	=1587	61%
9/6Monday, Sept. 64:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1493	–6	+22	=1509	39%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	61%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1493	–6	+24	=1511	39%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	61%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1493	–6	+24	=1511	39%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 91:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	61%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 91:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1493	–6	+24	=1511	39%
9/10Friday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1556	+1	+1	=1558	42%
9/10Friday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+20	=1611	58%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 119:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1556	+1	+0	=1557	42%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 119:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	58%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1556	+1	+0	=1557	42%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	58%
9/13Monday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1443	+7	–3	=1447	27%
9/13Monday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	73%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1443	+7	+0	=1450	28%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	72%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1443	+7	+0	=1450	28%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	72%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	–2	=1589	58%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1506	+2	+22	=1530	42%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	58%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1506	+2	+24	=1532	42%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	58%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1506	+2	+24	=1532	42%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	–1	=1590	65%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1460	+0	+22	=1482	35%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 228:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	65%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 228:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	35%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	65%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	35%
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	–3	=1588	66%
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1443	+7	+24	=1474	34%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	66%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1443	+7	+24	=1474	34%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+0	=1591	66%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1443	+7	+24	=1474	34%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1556	+1	+1	=1558	42%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	58%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1556	+1	+0	=1557	42%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	58%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1556	+1	+0	=1557	42%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	58%
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1539	+3	–4	=1538	39%
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	61%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1539	+3	+0	=1542	40%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	60%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1539	+3	+0	=1542	40%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1590	+1	+24	=1615	60%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1568	+6	+0	=1574	40%	3
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1592	+27	+24	=1643	60%	0
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1590	–7	+0	=1583	67%	13
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1444	–5	+24	=1463	33%	0
7/31Saturday, July 318:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	White	1588	–37	+0	=1551	58%	8
7/31Saturday, July 318:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1446	+24	+24	=1494	42%	3
7/30Friday, July 309:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1589	–14	–3	=1572	61%	5
7/30Friday, July 309:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1445	+25	+23	=1493	39%	6
7/29Thursday, July 293:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1592	–16	+0	=1576	56%	0
7/29Thursday, July 293:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1529	–16	+24	=1537	44%	5
7/28Wednesday, July 289:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1589	+23	+0	=1612	56%	8
7/28Wednesday, July 289:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1531	+12	+24	=1567	44%	0
7/27Tuesday, July 279:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1591	–9	+0	=1582	55%	1
7/27Tuesday, July 279:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1530	–8	+26	=1548	45%	2
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1455	+8	+0	=1463	34%	2
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gray	1590	–38	+24	=1576	66%	3
7/24Saturday, July 249:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1455	–17	+0	=1438	29%	0
7/24Saturday, July 249:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1589	–17	+24	=1596	71%	1
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1452	–33	–1	=1418	26%	9
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1592	–14	+24	=1602	74%	6
7/22Thursday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1533	+12	+0	=1545	37%	5
7/22Thursday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1594	+20	+24	=1638	63%	3
7/21Wednesday, July 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1532	–10	+0	=1522	38%	4
7/21Wednesday, July 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1596	–12	+24	=1608	62%	2
7/20Tuesday, July 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1533	–9	+0	=1524	42%	6
7/20Tuesday, July 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Nunez	1595	–37	+24	=1582	58%	8
7/19Monday, July 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1530	+35	–4	=1561	44%	7
7/19Monday, July 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1598	–12	+21	=1607	56%	2
7/18Sunday, July 183:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1599	–16	+0	=1583	64%	5
7/18Sunday, July 183:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1450	+5	+24	=1479	36%	6
7/17Saturday, July 178:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1598	+17	+0	=1615	71%	9
7/17Saturday, July 178:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1452	–20	+24	=1456	29%	2
7/16Friday, July 168:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1597	–12	+4	=1589	69%	10
7/16Friday, July 168:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1453	–29	+28	=1452	31%	4
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1444	+21	+0	=1465	30%	4
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1596	–11	+24	=1609	70%	7
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1446	+6	+0	=1452	26%	1
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1594	+14	+24	=1632	74%	22
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Widener	1443	+7	–2	=1448	29%	5
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1596	–15	+20	=1601	71%	2
7/8Thursday, July 812:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1595	–14	+0	=1581	58%	6
7/8Thursday, July 812:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1481	+16	+24	=1521	42%	1
7/7Wednesday, July 77 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Reed	1597	–38	+0	=1559	62%	6
7/7Wednesday, July 77 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Detwiler	1479	–31	+24	=1472	38%	9
7/6Tuesday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1598	–13	+0	=1585	60%	1
7/6Tuesday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1478	+11	+24	=1513	40%	2
7/5Monday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1600	+17	–3	=1614	63%	4
7/5Monday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1476	+20	+21	=1517	37%	5
7/4Sunday, July 411:05 a.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Cleavinger	1598	–38	+0	=1560	54%	5
7/4Sunday, July 411:05 a.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Ross	1516	–7	+24	=1533	46%	1
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1597	+11	+0	=1608	62%	5
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Espino	1517	–17	+24	=1524	38%	3
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1595	–17	+0	=1578	49%	10
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1519	+41	+24	=1584	51%	5
7/1Thursday, July 17:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonzalez	1593	–38	–2	=1553	53%	6
7/1Thursday, July 17:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1521	–11	+24	=1534	47%	2
6/29Tuesday, June 2910 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1526	+38	+0	=1564	41%	1
6/29Tuesday, June 2910 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1592	+13	+24	=1629	59%	3
6/28Monday, June 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1527	+10	–2	=1535	36%	2
6/28Monday, June 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1591	+17	+24	=1632	64%	3
6/27Sunday, June 277 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Alzolay	1516	+13	+0	=1529	37%	1
6/27Sunday, June 277 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1589	+8	+24	=1621	63%	7
6/26Saturday, June 267:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Mills	1517	+6	+0	=1523	40%	2
6/26Saturday, June 267:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1589	–17	+24	=1596	60%	3
6/25Friday, June 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Arrieta	1518	–20	+0	=1498	36%	2
6/25Friday, June 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1587	–14	+24	=1597	64%	6
6/24Thursday, June 2410:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Davies	1515	+6	–2	=1519	35%	4
6/24Thursday, June 2410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1590	+17	+23	=1630	65%	0
6/23Wednesday, June 2310 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1592	+21	+0	=1613	52%	3
6/23Wednesday, June 2310 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1563	+11	+24	=1598	48%	5
6/22Tuesday, June 2210 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1593	+9	+0	=1602	54%	2
6/22Tuesday, June 2210 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1562	–13	+24	=1573	46%	3
6/21Monday, June 2110 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1595	–13	–2	=1580	45%	2
6/21Monday, June 2110 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1560	+32	+24	=1616	55%	6
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1594	–18	+0	=1576	66%	9
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1450	–10	+24	=1464	34%	8
6/19Saturday, June 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1593	+11	+0	=1604	70%	9
6/19Saturday, June 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Peacock	1451	–16	+24	=1459	30%	3
6/18Friday, June 189:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1592	+17	+0	=1609	69%	3
6/18Friday, June 189:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1452	–1	+21	=1472	31%	0
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1504	+44	+0	=1548	39%	2
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1594	+10	+24	=1628	61%	0
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1505	–5	+0	=1500	35%	3
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1593	–9	+24	=1608	65%	5
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Howard	1506	–26	–4	=1476	33%	1
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1592	–16	+24	=1600	67%	3
6/13Sunday, June 134:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1456	+12	+0	=1468	29%	3
6/13Sunday, June 134:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1591	+11	+24	=1626	71%	5
6/12Saturday, June 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1449	–12	+0	=1437	23%	12
6/12Saturday, June 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1598	+22	+24	=1644	77%	1
6/11Friday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Foltynewicz	1451	+2	–1	=1452	27%	1
6/11Friday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1597	+6	+20	=1623	73%	12
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1596	–10	+0	=1586	69%	6
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1431	–8	+24	=1447	31%	3
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1595	–14	+0	=1581	66%	2
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Anderson	1431	+11	+24	=1466	34%	1
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1594	+7	+0	=1601	68%	5
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1432	+15	+26	=1473	32%	3
6/6Sunday, June 61:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1596	+24	+0	=1620	61%	2
6/6Sunday, June 61:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1522	–4	+24	=1542	39%	4
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1598	+7	+0	=1605	57%	4
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1520	+12	+24	=1556	43%	6
6/4Friday, June 47:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1596	–11	–2	=1583	54%	9
6/4Friday, June 47:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1522	+12	+24	=1558	46%	5
6/2Wednesday, June 29:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Martinez	1508	–7	+0	=1501	33%	3
6/2Wednesday, June 29:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1594	+9	+24	=1627	67%	14
6/1Tuesday, June 110:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Gant	1507	–2	+0	=1505	36%	3
6/1Tuesday, June 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1595	–16	+24	=1603	64%	2
5/31Monday, May 319:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1508	+27	–2	=1533	34%	4
5/31Monday, May 319:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1594	+26	+24	=1644	66%	9
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1511	+28	+0	=1539	37%	5
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1595	+10	+24	=1629	63%	4
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1508	–13	+0	=1495	33%	11
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1599	–8	+24	=1615	67%	6
5/28Friday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1505	–3	+0	=1502	32%	8
5/28Friday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1601	+6	+24	=1631	68%	5
5/27Thursday, May 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1506	–1	–2	=1503	37%	3
5/27Thursday, May 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1601	–22	+21	=1600	63%	4
5/26Wednesday, May 267:30 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1603	+26	+0	=1629	59%	2
5/26Wednesday, May 267:30 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1552	–7	+24	=1569	41%	5
5/25Tuesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1600	+5	–2	=1603	52%	9
5/25Tuesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1554	+8	+24	=1586	48%	2
5/23Sunday, May 234:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1598	–10	+0	=1588	58%	11
5/23Sunday, May 234:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1505	+6	+24	=1535	42%	5
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1597	+6	+0	=1603	63%	6
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Kazmir	1506	–17	+24	=1513	37%	3
5/21Friday, May 219:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1596	+27	–2	=1621	64%	2
5/21Friday, May 219:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1507	–2	+20	=1525	36%	1
5/20Thursday, May 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1479	+4	+0	=1483	34%	2
5/20Thursday, May 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Price	1596	–19	+24	=1601	66%	3
5/19Wednesday, May 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1480	+3	+0	=1483	31%	2
5/19Wednesday, May 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1595	+5	+24	=1624	69%	4
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Martin	1482	–27	+0	=1455	30%	1
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1593	–13	+24	=1604	70%	9
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1482	+11	–2	=1491	32%	1
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1593	+4	+24	=1621	68%	3
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1471	+12	+0	=1483	35%	3
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Nelson	1594	–28	+24	=1590	65%	2
5/15Saturday, May 159:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Holloway	1472	–18	+0	=1454	25%	0
5/15Saturday, May 159:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1593	+25	+24	=1642	75%	7
5/14Friday, May 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1473	+18	–2	=1489	31%	6
5/14Friday, May 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1592	+9	+26	=1627	69%	9
5/12Wednesday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1472	+6	+0	=1478	33%	1
5/12Wednesday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1591	–15	+24	=1600	67%	7
5/11Tuesday, May 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1473	+3	–1	=1475	30%	4
5/11Tuesday, May 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1590	+7	+25	=1622	70%	6
5/9Sunday, May 94:07 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1592	+24	+0	=1616	66%	1
5/9Sunday, May 94:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Quintana	1499	–21	+24	=1502	34%	2
5/8Saturday, May 89:07 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1590	+8	+0	=1598	58%	14
5/8Saturday, May 89:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1500	+16	+24	=1540	42%	11
5/7Friday, May 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1593	–11	–2	=1580	58%	2
5/7Friday, May 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1497	+1	+24	=1522	42%	9
5/5Wednesday, May 57:30 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1595	+6	+0	=1601	59%	5
5/5Wednesday, May 57:30 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Alzolay	1502	+9	+24	=1535	41%	6
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1596	+26	+0	=1622	64%	3
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Thompson	1501	–3	+24	=1522	36%	4
5/4Tuesday, May 42:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1599	+13	+1	=1613	60%	1
5/4Tuesday, May 42:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1498	+18	+24	=1540	40%	7
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1596	–16	+0	=1580	58%	16
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Bettinger	1524	–26	+24	=1522	42%	4
5/1Saturday, May 17:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1597	–25	+0	=1572	48%	5
5/1Saturday, May 17:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1523	+36	+24	=1583	52%	6
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Uceta	1599	–42	+0	=1557	53%	1
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1522	–12	+24	=1534	47%	3
4/29Thursday, April 297:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1600	+24	–4	=1620	65%	1
4/29Thursday, April 297:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1520	–33	+24	=1511	35%	2
4/28Wednesday, April 284:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Gray	1503	+18	+0	=1521	35%	0
4/28Wednesday, April 284:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1599	+10	+24	=1633	65%	8
4/27Tuesday, April 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Hoffman	1502	–17	+0	=1485	30%	6
4/27Tuesday, April 2710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1600	+7	+24	=1631	70%	5
4/26Monday, April 2610:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1500	+7	–4	=1503	35%	5
4/26Monday, April 2610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1602	–17	+24	=1609	65%	3
4/25Sunday, April 257 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1557	+9	+0	=1566	45%	8
4/25Sunday, April 257 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1604	–29	+24	=1599	55%	7
4/24Saturday, April 249:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1558	+1	+0	=1559	37%	4
4/24Saturday, April 249:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1603	+26	+24	=1653	63%	5
4/23Friday, April 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1555	+31	+0	=1586	42%	6
4/23Friday, April 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1606	+11	+24	=1641	58%	1
4/22Thursday, April 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1554	–26	–1	=1527	35%	3
4/22Thursday, April 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1607	+5	+23	=1635	65%	2
4/20Tuesday, April 204:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1606	–23	+0	=1583	59%	1
4/20Tuesday, April 204:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1476	+22	+24	=1522	41%	0
4/19Monday, April 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1608	–27	–3	=1578	59%	3
4/19Monday, April 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1475	+13	+24	=1512	41%	4
4/18Sunday, April 184:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1610	+27	+0	=1637	58%	2
4/18Sunday, April 184:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1558	+2	+24	=1584	42%	5
4/17Saturday, April 178:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1608	+10	+0	=1618	51%	2
4/17Saturday, April 178:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1559	+29	+24	=1612	49%	0
4/16Friday, April 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1606	+9	–1	=1614	59%	11
4/16Friday, April 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1561	–30	+20	=1551	41%	6
4/15Thursday, April 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1442	–3	+0	=1439	27%	5
4/15Thursday, April 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1606	–19	+24	=1611	73%	7
4/14Wednesday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1442	+13	+0	=1455	30%	2
4/14Wednesday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1605	–27	+24	=1602	70%	4
4/13Tuesday, April 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1443	–3	+0	=1440	23%	0
4/13Tuesday, April 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1604	+23	+26	=1653	77%	7
4/11Sunday, April 114:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1516	+24	+0	=1540	37%	0
4/11Sunday, April 114:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1603	+7	+24	=1634	63%	3
4/10Saturday, April 109:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1518	–2	+0	=1516	37%	5
4/10Saturday, April 109:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1602	–16	+24	=1610	63%	9
4/9Friday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Ross	1518	–14	–2	=1502	32%	0
4/9Friday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1601	+7	+24	=1632	68%	1
4/7Wednesday, April 73:37 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1603	+22	+0	=1625	65%	3
4/7Wednesday, April 73:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1499	–8	+24	=1515	35%	4
4/6Tuesday, April 69:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1601	+4	+0	=1605	59%	5
4/6Tuesday, April 69:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1501	+20	+24	=1545	41%	1
4/5Monday, April 59:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1599	–29	–3	=1567	55%	10
4/5Monday, April 59:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1503	+1	+24	=1528	45%	3
4/4Sunday, April 43:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1598	–19	+0	=1579	66%	4
4/4Sunday, April 43:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1444	–5	+24	=1463	34%	2
4/3Saturday, April 38:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1597	+9	+0	=1606	68%	6
4/3Saturday, April 38:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1444	+5	+24	=1473	32%	5
4/2Friday, April 28:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Bauer	1597	+26	+0	=1623	71%	11
4/2Friday, April 28:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1445	–4	+24	=1465	29%	6
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1599	+10	–3	=1606	66%	5
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1443	+25	+24	=1492	34%	8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments