2021 MLB Predictions

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
11/2Tuesday, Nov. 28:09 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1566	+18	–1	=1583	48%	7
11/2Tuesday, Nov. 28:09 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1570	+3	+23	=1596	52%	0
10/31Sunday, Oct. 318:15 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1567	+0	+0	=1567	51%	9
10/31Sunday, Oct. 318:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Davidson	1569	–30	+24	=1563	49%	5
10/30Saturday, Oct. 308:09 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1569	–12	+0	=1557	49%	2
10/30Saturday, Oct. 308:09 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Lee	1567	–30	+24	=1561	51%	3
10/29Friday, Oct. 298:09 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1571	+2	–1	=1572	46%	0
10/29Friday, Oct. 298:09 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1565	+2	+23	=1590	54%	2
10/27Wednesday, Oct. 278:09 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1569	+21	+0	=1590	49%	2
10/27Wednesday, Oct. 278:09 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1567	+4	+24	=1595	51%	7
10/26Tuesday, Oct. 268:09 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1565	+22	+2	=1589	46%	6
10/26Tuesday, Oct. 268:09 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1571	+7	+31	=1609	54%	2
10/23Saturday, Oct. 238:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1611	+12	–2	=1621	57%	2
10/23Saturday, Oct. 238:08 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1563	+1	+22	=1586	43%	4
10/22Friday, Oct. 228:08 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1531	+20	–2	=1549	43%	0
10/22Friday, Oct. 228:08 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1568	–5	+22	=1585	57%	5
10/21Thursday, Oct. 218:08 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1568	+27	+0	=1595	52%	2
10/21Thursday, Oct. 218:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kelly	1606	–43	+24	=1587	48%	11
10/20Wednesday, Oct. 208:08 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Chavez	1561	–33	+0	=1528	29%	9
10/20Wednesday, Oct. 208:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1613	+11	+24	=1648	71%	2
10/20Wednesday, Oct. 205:08 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1563	+4	+0	=1567	49%	9
10/20Wednesday, Oct. 205:08 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1536	+13	+24	=1573	51%	1
10/19Tuesday, Oct. 198:08 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1559	–9	+0	=1550	48%	9
10/19Tuesday, Oct. 198:08 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1540	–3	+24	=1561	52%	2
10/19Tuesday, Oct. 195:08 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1563	+24	–2	=1585	38%	5
10/19Tuesday, Oct. 195:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1612	+15	+22	=1649	62%	6
10/18Monday, Oct. 188:08 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1564	+11	–2	=1573	52%	3
10/18Monday, Oct. 188:08 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1535	+8	+22	=1565	48%	12
10/17Sunday, Oct. 177:38 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Scherzer	1614	+30	+0	=1644	61%	4
10/17Sunday, Oct. 177:38 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1561	+1	+24	=1586	39%	5
10/16Saturday, Oct. 168:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Knebel	1615	–39	–2	=1574	42%	2
10/16Saturday, Oct. 168:08 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1559	+27	+31	=1617	58%	3
10/16Saturday, Oct. 164:20 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1531	+22	+0	=1553	43%	9
10/16Saturday, Oct. 164:20 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1568	+0	+24	=1592	57%	5
10/15Friday, Oct. 158:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1533	+16	+3	=1552	41%	4
10/15Friday, Oct. 158:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1566	+5	+26	=1597	59%	5
10/14Thursday, Oct. 149:07 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Knebel	1613	–41	+0	=1572	43%	2
10/14Thursday, Oct. 149:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1563	+20	+24	=1607	57%	1
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 129:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1565	+9	+0	=1574	36%	2
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 129:07 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1611	+15	+24	=1650	64%	7
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 125:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1537	–14	+0	=1523	34%	4
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 125:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1558	+26	+24	=1608	66%	5
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 122:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1562	+17	+2	=1581	49%	10
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 122:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1540	+19	+26	=1585	51%	1
10/11Monday, Oct. 119:37 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1562	–4	+0	=1558	31%	1
10/11Monday, Oct. 119:37 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Scherzer	1613	+28	+24	=1665	69%	0
10/11Monday, Oct. 117:07 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McHugh	1572	+2	+0	=1574	53%	5
10/11Monday, Oct. 117:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1531	+5	+24	=1560	47%	6
10/11Monday, Oct. 111:07 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1539	+2	–1	=1540	43%	0
10/11Monday, Oct. 111:07 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1556	–1	+23	=1578	57%	3
10/10Sunday, Oct. 108:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1565	+3	–1	=1567	51%	6
10/10Sunday, Oct. 108:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1536	+1	+23	=1560	49%	12
10/10Sunday, Oct. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1574	+18	–1	=1591	53%	4
10/10Sunday, Oct. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1529	+21	+23	=1573	47%	6
10/9Saturday, Oct. 99:07 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1610	+9	+0	=1619	53%	9
10/9Saturday, Oct. 99:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1566	+12	+24	=1602	47%	2
10/9Saturday, Oct. 95:07 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1554	+24	+0	=1578	49%	3
10/9Saturday, Oct. 95:07 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1542	+17	+24	=1583	51%	0
10/8Friday, Oct. 89:37 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1613	+18	+0	=1631	54%	0
10/8Friday, Oct. 89:37 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1563	+15	+31	=1609	46%	4
10/8Friday, Oct. 87:02 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1523	+24	+0	=1547	41%	14
10/8Friday, Oct. 87:02 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Baz	1579	–9	+24	=1594	59%	6
10/8Friday, Oct. 84:37 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1555	+27	+4	=1586	48%	1
10/8Friday, Oct. 84:37 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1540	+31	+27	=1598	52%	2
10/8Friday, Oct. 82:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1539	+18	+0	=1557	43%	4
10/8Friday, Oct. 82:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1563	+6	+24	=1593	57%	9
10/7Thursday, Oct. 78:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1525	+7	–1	=1531	35%	0
10/7Thursday, Oct. 78:07 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1577	+9	+28	=1614	65%	5
10/7Thursday, Oct. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1541	+19	+4	=1564	43%	1
10/7Thursday, Oct. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1560	+12	+31	=1603	57%	6
10/6Wednesday, Oct. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1527	+31	+1	=1559	30%	1
10/6Wednesday, Oct. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Scherzer	1612	+30	+29	=1671	70%	3
10/5Tuesday, Oct. 58 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1552	+28	+0	=1580	53%	2
10/5Tuesday, Oct. 58 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1522	+18	+24	=1564	47%	6
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:20 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1511	+6	+0	=1517	38%	0
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1554	+27	+24	=1605	62%	5
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Mills	1458	+9	+0	=1467	39%	3
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1528	–8	+24	=1544	61%	2
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1488	–17	+0	=1471	42%	7
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Anderson	1499	+4	+24	=1527	58%	3
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Anderson	1542	–33	+0	=1509	31%	3
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1611	+17	+24	=1652	69%	10
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Barnes	1493	–14	+0	=1479	53%	7
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Kowar	1471	–37	+24	=1458	47%	3
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1519	–21	+0	=1498	37%	6
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1559	+9	+24	=1592	63%	7
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Falter	1504	–27	+0	=1477	46%	4
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1458	+24	+24	=1506	54%	5
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1473	+0	+0	=1473	37%	5
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1544	+0	+24	=1568	63%	2
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Goudeau	1473	–21	+0	=1452	52%	4
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Mejia	1438	–23	+24	=1439	48%	5
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Zimmermann	1411	+4	+0	=1415	31%	4
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1545	–12	+24	=1557	69%	12
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1521	+26	+0	=1547	58%	7
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Adon	1478	–7	+24	=1495	42%	5
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Civale	1499	+1	+0	=1500	53%	6
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1442	+15	+24	=1481	47%	0
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Knehr	1518	–16	+0	=1502	36%	4
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1561	+14	+24	=1599	64%	11
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Sanmartin	1499	–13	+0	=1486	56%	6
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1426	–5	+24	=1445	44%	3
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Wacha	1578	–14	+0	=1564	49%	0
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1551	–2	+24	=1573	51%	1
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Diaz	1489	–13	+0	=1476	43%	4
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1498	+5	+24	=1527	57%	6
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1544	+35	+0	=1579	41%	3
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1609	+6	+24	=1639	59%	8
10/2Saturday, Oct. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1476	+17	+0	=1493	51%	2
10/2Saturday, Oct. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1435	+28	+24	=1487	49%	11
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Sampson	1457	+3	+0	=1460	40%	6
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Lester	1529	–23	+24	=1530	60%	5
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1511	–2	+0	=1509	45%	5
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Chavez	1553	–33	+24	=1544	55%	6
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Jax	1491	–26	+0	=1465	46%	4
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1474	–5	+24	=1493	54%	0
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1520	–32	+0	=1488	38%	4
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1558	–10	+24	=1572	62%	10
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Manning	1474	–20	+0	=1454	32%	4
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1543	+16	+24	=1583	68%	5
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	McKenzie	1502	+10	+0	=1512	58%	2
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1440	–6	+24	=1458	42%	7
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1501	+13	+0	=1514	59%	6
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Kranick	1424	+0	+24	=1448	41%	8
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Crouse	1505	–30	+0	=1475	52%	1
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1456	–20	+24	=1460	48%	3
10/2Saturday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1520	+10	+0	=1530	56%	5
10/2Saturday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1479	–13	+24	=1490	44%	3
10/2Saturday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1517	+19	+0	=1536	41%	3
10/2Saturday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1562	+12	+24	=1598	59%	2
10/2Saturday, Oct. 23:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Means	1413	+38	+0	=1451	33%	1
10/2Saturday, Oct. 23:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1543	+10	+24	=1577	67%	10
10/2Saturday, Oct. 21:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Baz	1575	–8	+0	=1567	48%	12
10/2Saturday, Oct. 21:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1555	+3	+24	=1582	52%	2
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1487	–22	–4	=1461	39%	2
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1499	+18	+26	=1543	61%	1
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1545	–10	–4	=1531	35%	6
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1608	+5	+24	=1637	65%	8
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Avila	1518	–3	–2	=1513	38%	0
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1561	+10	+24	=1595	62%	3
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1475	+7	–1	=1481	54%	9
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1436	–7	+21	=1450	46%	7
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Abbott	1457	+7	–3	=1461	37%	3
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hudson	1528	+3	+24	=1555	63%	4
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gant	1493	–3	–2	=1488	50%	6
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1471	–7	+24	=1488	50%	11
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1519	+5	–2	=1522	40%	8
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1559	+8	+24	=1591	60%	6
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Peralta	1475	+0	–2	=1473	34%	1
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1541	+19	+26	=1586	66%	8
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Morgan	1501	–2	–2	=1497	55%	9
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1441	–6	+24	=1459	45%	6
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1510	–20	–3	=1487	39%	4
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Ynoa	1554	–10	+24	=1568	61%	3
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1503	+11	–3	=1511	49%	5
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1459	+36	+21	=1516	51%	0
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Eshelman	1413	–21	–2	=1390	28%	4
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Matz	1543	–12	+24	=1555	72%	6
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1519	+7	–1	=1525	54%	4
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Rogers	1480	–8	+22	=1494	46%	2
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1574	+9	–3	=1580	52%	4
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1556	–10	+22	=1568	48%	3
10/1Friday, Oct. 16:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Castillo	1504	+18	+0	=1522	63%	2
10/1Friday, Oct. 16:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Crowe	1420	–13	+24	=1431	37%	9
9/30Thursday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Velasquez	1519	–19	+0	=1500	34%	3
9/30Thursday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1606	–15	+24	=1615	66%	8
9/30Thursday, Sept. 309:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1437	+10	+0	=1447	34%	4
9/30Thursday, Sept. 309:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Kazmir	1561	–20	+24	=1565	66%	5
9/30Thursday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Bieber	1499	+43	+0	=1542	58%	6
9/30Thursday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Zerpa	1473	–8	+24	=1489	42%	1
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1473	+8	+0	=1481	43%	10
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1495	+13	+24	=1532	57%	7
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1504	–2	+0	=1502	39%	3
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1553	+0	+24	=1577	61%	5
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1461	–24	+0	=1437	35%	3
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Hill	1508	+11	+24	=1543	65%	12
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McHugh	1575	+2	+0	=1577	48%	2
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1558	+11	+24	=1593	52%	3
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Kluber	1553	–3	+0	=1550	43%	6
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ray	1545	+29	+24	=1598	57%	2
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1521	–1	+0	=1520	64%	2
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1411	–16	+24	=1419	36%	6
9/30Thursday, Sept. 306:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1454	–3	+0	=1451	49%	9
9/30Thursday, Sept. 306:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Yajure	1424	+13	+24	=1461	51%	0
9/30Thursday, Sept. 302:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Cobb	1489	+15	+0	=1504	57%	6
9/30Thursday, Sept. 302:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1440	–7	+24	=1457	43%	7
9/30Thursday, Sept. 301:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Anderson	1545	–36	+0	=1509	46%	3
9/30Thursday, Sept. 301:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Happ	1527	–17	+24	=1534	54%	4
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1520	+24	+0	=1544	52%	2
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1498	+7	+24	=1529	48%	4
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1520	–39	+0	=1481	25%	9
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Scherzer	1606	+37	+24	=1667	75%	11
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1438	+13	+0	=1451	32%	0
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1560	–6	+24	=1578	68%	1
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Plesac	1501	+6	+0	=1507	53%	5
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1471	–10	+24	=1485	47%	10
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1572	+13	+0	=1585	49%	7
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1561	+8	+24	=1593	51%	0
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Gray	1506	+16	+0	=1522	42%	1
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1540	+16	+24	=1580	58%	6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Completed games

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2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Completed games

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