Updated Oct. 22, 2021, at 2:57 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Indians are done for the season.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
White SoxWhite Sox93-69
IndiansIndians80-8213.0
TigersTigers77-8516.0
RoyalsRoyals74-8819.0
TwinsTwins73-8920.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1499+1+0=150053%6
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1442+15+24=148147%0
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1502+10+0=151258%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14406+24=145842%7
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150122=149755%9
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
14416+24=145945%6
9/30Thursday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1499+43+0=154258%6
KCKCRoyals
Zerpa, Angel
Zerpa
14738+24=148942%1
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1501+6+0=150753%5
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
147110+24=148547%10
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1503+03=150051%4
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1469+3+21=149349%6
9/27Monday, Sept. 271:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Kowar, Jackson
Kowar
1471371=143335%3
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1501+12+24=153765%8
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1535+15+0=155052%5
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1503+12+24=153948%2
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:15 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1538+25+0=156357%0
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150010+24=151443%6
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
15372+0=153545%1
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1501+42+24=156755%0
9/23Thursday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
153823+0=151548%3
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1500+7+24=153152%5
9/23Thursday, Sept. 231:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
153631+1=150645%7
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1502+12+26=154055%2
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
147110+0=146139%1
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1501+11+24=153661%4
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Payamps, Joel
Payamps
14698+0=146143%4
CLECLEIndians
Wittgren, Nick
Wittgren
150318+24=150957%2
9/20Monday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1467+13=146538%7
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1505+20+22=154762%2
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150017+0=148333%11
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1549+38+24=161167%1
9/18Saturday, Sept. 181:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1497+7+0=150442%11
NYYNYYYankees
Gil, Luis
Gil
155218+24=155858%3
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1499+61=150441%0
NYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15505+22=156759%8
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1496+8+0=150452%12
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149122+24=149348%3
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
149839+0=145945%3
MINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149020+24=149455%6
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 143:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1496+171=151250%3
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1491+4+21=151650%1
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
155020+0=153049%11
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1500+15+24=153951%1
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1548+29+0=157757%3
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1501+4+24=152943%0
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154616+0=153052%10
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
15048+24=152048%3
9/9Thursday, Sept. 96:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Albers, Andrew
Albers
149428+0=146641%1
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1502+3+24=152959%4
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
14929+0=148342%3
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1504+12+24=154058%0
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gant, John
Gant
14906+0=148442%3
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1506+14+24=154458%0
9/6Monday, Sept. 66:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1489+153=150151%5
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
150837+21=149249%2
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1505+5+0=151048%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
152321+24=152652%5
9/4Saturday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150613+0=149341%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1522+11+24=155759%4
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1508+73=151243%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1520+21+21=156257%8
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1506+9+0=151553%4
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1465+8+24=149747%2
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
150540+0=146550%5
KCKCRoyals
Kowar, Jackson
Kowar
146725+24=146650%3
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1503+01=150253%7
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
14698+22=148347%2
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1521+10+0=153152%5
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150211+24=151548%7
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1520+20+0=154051%5
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1503+7+24=153449%3
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1519+83=152457%4
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
150451+24=147743%3
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
143710+0=142740%6
CLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
150229+24=149760%10
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Latz, Jake
Latz
14388+0=143036%2
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1501+3+24=152864%7
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
1436143=141935%7
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
15043+26=152765%3
8/22Sunday, Aug. 227 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149840+0=145844%0
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1502+1+0=150356%3
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
150017+0=148343%1
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1501+6+24=153157%5
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
150351=149751%1
CLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
149833+23=148849%9
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 181:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1499+9+0=150852%7
MINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
149625+24=149548%8
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
149710+0=148745%3
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1498+0+24=152255%1
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1498+43=149948%4
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
14974+24=151752%5
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14952+0=149354%11
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
147228+24=146846%0
8/14Saturday, Aug. 146:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
149629+0=146747%4
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14716+24=148953%6
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1495+81=150252%7
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14729+22=148548%4
8/12Thursday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1531+18+0=154954%17
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
14995+24=151846%0
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1529+1+0=153050%6
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1500+4+24=152850%3
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1528+62=153252%4
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
15013+24=152248%3
8/9Monday, Aug. 96:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1513+152=152655%3
CLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
149929+24=149445%9
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14685+0=146340%5
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1498+11+24=153360%7
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146714+0=145341%2
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
14999+24=151459%1
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1469141=145441%1
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14972+22=151759%6
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14995+0=149443%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153719+24=154257%3
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150030+0=147040%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153617+24=154360%8
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1501+17+0=151841%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1534+20+24=157859%7
8/2Monday, Aug. 23:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
1499172=148036%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1536+18+24=157864%2
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15006+0=149446%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
153639+24=152154%2
7/31Saturday, July 317:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14992+0=149744%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153723+24=153856%11
7/30Friday, July 308:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150029+0=147134%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1536+26+22=158466%6
7/28Wednesday, July 281:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1497+13+0=151046%2
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1498+17+24=153954%7
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1496+20+0=151650%4
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
149911+26=151450%2
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15563+0=155355%2
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14984+24=151845%3
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
155419+0=153555%8
CLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150025+24=149945%2
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
155214+0=153849%10
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1502+20+24=154651%5
7/22Thursday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
1551233=152552%5
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150314+21=151048%4
7/21Wednesday, July 218:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150220+0=148234%5
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1567+6+24=159766%4
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1503+1+0=150437%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1565+6+24=159563%9
7/19Monday, July 198:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
1504254=147534%3
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1565+3+21=158966%4
7/18Sunday, July 184:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1502+19+0=152144%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1520+20+24=156456%2
7/17Saturday, July 174:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150118+0=148342%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15216+24=153958%2
7/16Friday, July 169:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150221+3=148440%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1521+7+27=155560%5
7/10Saturday, July 106:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1451+13+0=146444%6
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150018+24=150656%14
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14516+0=144540%1
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14998+24=151560%2
7/8Thursday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1453+203=147040%4
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1498+23+21=154260%7
7/7Wednesday, July 72:55 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
149928+0=147136%0
TBTBRays
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15494+24=156964%4
7/7Wednesday, July 712:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150117+2=148640%1
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154719+26=155460%8
7/5Monday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
1501423=145633%8
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1547+9+21=157767%9
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1569+0+0=156959%4
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150220+24=150641%3
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15686+0=156258%3
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150324+24=150342%2
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15673+0=156459%6
CLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
150427+24=150141%3
7/1Thursday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1565+03=156257%7
CLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150614+24=151643%2
6/30Wednesday, June 3010:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
145313+0=144043%7
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
150945+24=148857%1
6/30Wednesday, June 304:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
145020+2=143238%9
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151220+26=151862%4
6/28Monday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
145381=144441%5
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
151025+21=150659%13
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
151220+2=149447%2
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
150113+26=151453%8
6/25Friday, June 258:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151320+0=149348%7
MINMINTwins
Coulombe, Danny
Coulombe
150018+24=150652%8
6/24Thursday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
151126+0=148540%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1502+23+26=155160%1
6/22Tuesday, June 228:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
151330+0=148339%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1513+22+24=155961%7
6/21Monday, June 218:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1510+122=152045%4
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1516+15+24=155555%0
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
150927+0=148252%2
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1427+17+24=146848%1
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151220+0=149259%3
PITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
142521+24=142841%6
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
1513192=149258%10
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14248+24=144042%11
6/17Thursday, June 171:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14305+0=142539%3
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
151129+24=150661%10
6/16Wednesday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1431+10+0=144135%7
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1510+16+24=155065%8
6/15Tuesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143227+0=140536%2
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150926+24=150764%7
6/14Monday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
143363=142438%3
CLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150822+24=151062%4
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1464+3+0=146734%6
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1511+45+24=158066%2
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1465+10+0=147544%4
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151015+24=151956%5
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1467+131=147941%0
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1508+8+24=154059%7
6/9Wednesday, June 98:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
151015+0=149545%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1497+9+24=153055%8
6/8Tuesday, June 88:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1507+451=155156%10
STLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150014+26=151244%1
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151221+0=149156%5
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14306+24=144844%18
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1510+9+0=151952%10
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1433+48+24=150548%4
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
151121+3=149354%1
BALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1431+7+26=146446%3
6/1Tuesday, June 16:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153617+0=151942%5
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1510+43+24=157758%6
5/31Monday, May 316:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
153837+0=150149%1
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150923+24=151051%3
5/31Monday, May 313:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1537+52=154053%8
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151017+24=151747%6
5/30Sunday, May 303:55 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15325+0=152753%5
CLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
150926+24=150747%6
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153017+2=151545%4
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1511+13+26=155055%1
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1528+382=156457%11
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
151422+23=151543%2
5/27Thursday, May 271:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+39+0=155161%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1442+6+24=147239%2
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151424+0=149054%0
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14414+24=146146%1
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1512+10+0=152260%4
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
144216+24=145040%1
5/24Monday, May 247:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
1511271=148350%6
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1443+20+21=148450%5
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15114+0=150743%8
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1513+18+24=155557%5
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1512+3+0=151541%3
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+42+24=157859%5
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
1508134=149146%10
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151619+22=151954%0
5/19Wednesday, May 198:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1515+6+0=152149%3
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1496+10+24=153051%2
5/18Tuesday, May 189:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1514+21+0=153550%6
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1497+10+24=153150%5
5/17Monday, May 179:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
1515193=149350%4
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
149520+20=149550%7
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1517+43+0=156062%2
SEASEAMariners
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
147420+24=147838%3
5/15Saturday, May 159:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151915+0=150450%3
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1472+7+24=150350%7
5/14Friday, May 1410:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1521+5+0=152658%3
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147024+24=147042%7
5/13Thursday, May 1310:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1520+164=153256%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14712+21=149044%2
5/12Wednesday, May 121:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1503+1+0=150448%1
CLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
151925+24=151852%2
5/11Tuesday, May 116:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1503+13+0=151639%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1518+45+29=159261%3
5/8Saturday, May 86:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+6+0=150845%2
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1516+3+24=154355%9
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
15009+0=149142%3
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1518+11+21=155058%0
5/6Thursday, May 62:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151618+0=149848%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1473+15+24=151252%0
5/5Wednesday, May 58:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1515+51+0=156658%5
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1474+11+24=150942%4
5/4Tuesday, May 48:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Maton, Phil
Maton
151322+0=149148%7
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1476+6+24=150652%3
5/3Monday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1512+72=151755%8
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
147718+22=148145%6
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1509+9+0=151844%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1524+15+24=156356%0
5/1Saturday, May 14:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151113+0=149839%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1523+31+24=157861%7
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1510+51+0=156153%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152410+24=153847%3
4/28Wednesday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1522+3+0=152554%10
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151242+24=149446%2
4/27Tuesday, April 276:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1523+2+0=152548%4
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1511+5+24=154052%7
4/26Monday, April 266:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1525+83=153049%3
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1509+5+24=153851%5
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15633+0=156056%3
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
150710+24=152144%7
4/24Saturday, April 246:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1562+52+0=161455%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1508+50+24=158245%1
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15616+0=155558%5
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
150935+24=149842%3
4/22Thursday, April 226:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1559262=153149%6
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1511+4+26=154151%3
4/20Tuesday, April 206:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
151753=150945%8
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1513+7+24=154455%5
4/18Sunday, April 181:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1511+47+0=155855%6
CINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
151010+24=152445%3
4/17Saturday, April 174:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151212+0=150042%2
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1509+26+24=155958%3
4/16Friday, April 167:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
1514322=148046%3
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
150622+22=150654%10
4/15Thursday, April 152:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1513+1+0=151442%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1520+30+24=157458%2
4/14Wednesday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1516+16+0=153251%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
151716+24=152549%8
4/13Tuesday, April 138:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1514+40+0=155447%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1518+30+24=157253%0
4/12Monday, April 128:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1515132=150045%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15179+24=153255%4
4/11Sunday, April 111:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14431+0=144242%2
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151437+24=150158%5
4/10Saturday, April 106:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1445+5+0=145038%3
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15122+24=153462%11
4/9Friday, April 97:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
144613+1=143434%1
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1511+15+26=155266%4
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
147320+2=145533%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1510+42+26=157867%4
4/5Monday, April 54:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1472+23=147146%3
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151237+23=149854%0
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15102+0=150855%9
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1450+2+24=147645%3
4/3Saturday, April 31:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1512+16+2=153060%2
DETDETTigers
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
144813+26=146140%5
4/1Thursday, April 11:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1513+441=155662%2
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14461+24=146938%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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