Updated Apr. 11, 2021, at 10:17 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mariners have an 8% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1469, down 2 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros6-383%70%
AngelsAngels6-337%17%
AthleticsAthletics3-73.522%9%
MarinersMariners5-41.08%3%
RangersRangers3-63.03%1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 127:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+123=147852%
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1439+3+24=146648%
4/13Tuesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
146912+0=145744%
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1439+35+24=149856%
4/14Wednesday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1469+2+0=147154%
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143920+24=144346%
4/15Thursday, April 151:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+23+0=149255%
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14392+24=146145%
4/16Friday, April 1610:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1557+32=155860%
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14691+20=148840%
4/17Saturday, April 179:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1557+17+0=157466%
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146935+24=145834%
4/18Sunday, April 184:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1557+2+0=155958%
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+12+24=150542%
4/19Monday, April 1910:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
1604263=157563%
SEASEAMariners
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
146912+24=148137%
4/20Tuesday, April 204:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
160418+0=158663%
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1469+2+24=149537%
4/22Thursday, April 227:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146743%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150813+24=151957%
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
4/24Saturday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
4/26Monday, April 268:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+04=146534%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
4/27Tuesday, April 278:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
4/28Wednesday, April 288:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
4/29Thursday, April 292:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
4/30Friday, April 3010:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+02=150953%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+20=148947%
5/1Saturday, May 19:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
5/3Monday, May 310:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143642%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149358%
5/4Tuesday, May 410:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143942%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149358%
5/5Wednesday, May 53:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143942%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149358%
5/7Friday, May 78:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146749%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+21=147751%
5/8Saturday, May 87:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146948%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148052%
5/9Sunday, May 92:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146948%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148052%
5/11Tuesday, May 1110:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+01=146828%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+25=162972%
5/12Wednesday, May 1210:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146929%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162871%
5/13Thursday, May 1310:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+04=151153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+21=149047%
5/14Friday, May 1410:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
5/15Saturday, May 159:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151553%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+04=143742%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149358%
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144143%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149357%
5/19Wednesday, May 1910:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144143%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149357%
5/21Friday, May 2110:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+01=146833%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+26=159067%
5/22Saturday, May 228:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158866%
5/23Sunday, May 234:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158866%
5/24Monday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146742%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+22=152758%
5/25Tuesday, May 259:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146942%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
5/26Wednesday, May 263:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146942%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
5/27Thursday, May 2710:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+03=145345%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+21=149055%
5/28Friday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145645%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149355%
5/29Saturday, May 2910:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145645%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149355%
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145645%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149355%
5/31Monday, May 314:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+03=150251%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149349%
6/1Tuesday, June 110:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
6/2Wednesday, June 210:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
6/3Thursday, June 39:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146640%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153560%
6/4Friday, June 49:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
6/5Saturday, June 510:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
6/6Sunday, June 64:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146750%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146550%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146951%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
6/10Thursday, June 101:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146951%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146549%
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+01=146840%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153960%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146940%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153960%
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146940%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153960%
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153857%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+20=148943%
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
6/17Thursday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+04=152454%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149346%
6/18Friday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152855%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149345%
6/19Saturday, June 1910:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152855%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149345%
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152855%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149345%
6/22Tuesday, June 2210:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+01=144242%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+26=149558%
6/23Wednesday, June 234:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144343%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149357%
6/25Friday, June 258:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146740%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154160%
6/26Saturday, June 268:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146940%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154160%
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146940%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154160%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146939%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+26=154561%
6/30Wednesday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146939%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154361%
7/1Thursday, July 11:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146939%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+24=154361%
7/2Friday, July 210:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+03=145345%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+20=148955%
7/3Saturday, July 310:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145645%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149355%
7/4Sunday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145645%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149355%
7/6Tuesday, July 610:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+02=156760%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+26=149540%
7/7Wednesday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156961%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149339%
7/8Thursday, July 84:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+0=156961%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149339%
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+01=151052%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
7/16Friday, July 169:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+4=147341%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+28=153959%
7/17Saturday, July 179:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
7/18Sunday, July 184:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
7/20Tuesday, July 208:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+01=146850%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+26=146950%
7/21Wednesday, July 213:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146950%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146750%
7/22Thursday, July 2210:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+01=150452%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+21=149048%
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
7/24Saturday, July 2410:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
7/26Monday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+04=155359%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
7/27Tuesday, July 2710:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155759%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
7/28Wednesday, July 283:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155759%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
7/30Friday, July 308:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146748%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+26=148252%
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146948%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148052%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146948%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148052%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146638%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155262%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146938%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155262%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 41:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146938%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155262%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146633%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146933%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 71:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146933%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146933%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1569+0+24=159367%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+01=145545%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+22=149155%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145645%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149355%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145645%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149355%
8/13Friday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+03=151653%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+0=151954%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149346%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1519+0+0=151954%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149346%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146748%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+26=148252%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146948%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148052%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146948%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148052%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146734%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+21=157866%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
8/23Monday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+04=146541%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152959%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146942%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+04=146846%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+23=149254%
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147247%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149353%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147247%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149353%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147247%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149353%
8/30Monday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+04=155359%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155759%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155759%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149341%
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+01=146844%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+26=151356%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146944%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151156%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146944%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151156%
9/6Monday, Sept. 67:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146634%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+21=157866%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 82:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158166%
9/10Friday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+01=148649%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+22=149151%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 119:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148749%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149351%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148749%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149351%
9/13Monday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+04=150452%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150852%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 154:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150852%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146746%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149654%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146946%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149654%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146946%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149654%
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+04=146541%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+22=152759%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146942%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146942%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146942%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152958%
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+02=146740%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153560%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 259:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153559%
9/27Monday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+03=150252%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+21=149048%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150552%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+04=150752%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+26=149548%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149347%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146735+0=143232%8
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
15435+24=156268%6
4/10Saturday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14664+2=146435%4
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1545+1+26=157265%3
4/8Thursday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1468+293=149439%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+6+21=156961%10
4/7Wednesday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15196+0=151353%4
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1466+3+24=149347%8
4/6Tuesday, April 610:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1517+31+0=154854%10
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1468+32+24=152446%4
4/5Monday, April 510:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1514173=149447%6
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1471+15+26=151253%0
4/3Saturday, April 39:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
14825+0=147754%0
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146945+24=144846%4
4/2Friday, April 210:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
14803+0=147748%6
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14706+24=148852%3
4/1Thursday, April 110:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1481+133=149145%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+35+24=152855%8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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