Updated Oct. 24, 2021, at 1:44 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mariners are done for the season.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros95-67
MarinersMariners90-725.0
AthleticsAthletics86-769.0
AngelsAngels77-8518.0
RangersRangers60-10235.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
148817+0=147142%7
SEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1499+4+24=152758%3
10/2Saturday, Oct. 29:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Diaz, Jhonathan
Diaz
148913+0=147643%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1498+5+24=152757%6
10/1Friday, Oct. 110:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
1487224=146139%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1499+18+26=154361%1
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1520+24+0=154452%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1498+7+24=152948%4
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1522+26+0=154853%2
SEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1496+4+24=152447%4
9/27Monday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1525193=150347%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1493+8+21=152253%13
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1491+16+0=150746%5
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1490+24+24=153854%1
9/25Saturday, Sept. 259:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1495+14+0=150950%1
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
14865+24=150550%14
9/24Friday, Sept. 249:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1494+82=150051%6
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
148722+24=148949%5
9/23Thursday, Sept. 233:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14935+0=148838%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1520+27+24=157162%5
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1491+2+0=149344%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152214+24=153256%1
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1489+14+0=150348%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
152434+24=151452%2
9/20Monday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1487+104=149342%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1526+2+22=155058%2
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1485+5+0=149054%7
KCKCRoyals
Kowar, Jackson
Kowar
146927+24=146646%1
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1488+1+0=148952%1
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146615+24=147548%8
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1486+32=148751%6
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jon
Heasley
14688+24=148449%2
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 154:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1518+12+0=153050%9
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1488+15+24=152750%4
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1517+27+0=154453%8
SEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1490+12+24=152647%4
9/13Monday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1518+64=152050%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1489+4+24=151750%5
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1440+6+0=144640%5
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1490+1+24=151560%4
9/11Saturday, Sept. 119:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
14386+0=143237%7
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1493+7+24=152463%3
9/10Friday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1439+81=144638%4
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1492+16+22=153062%5
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 82:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1490+15+0=150538%8
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1561+7+24=159262%5
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1491+3+0=149439%4
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156014+24=157061%5
9/6Monday, Sept. 67:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1493+53=149538%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1558+5+21=158462%11
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1491+5+0=149654%10
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1444+2+24=147046%4
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1489+19+0=150856%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
1446+0+24=147044%5
9/3Friday, Sept. 39:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1488+121=149952%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1447+11+26=148448%5
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156217+0=154555%0
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14873+24=150845%1
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1564+4+0=156858%0
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1485+1+24=151042%4
8/30Monday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1563+104=156958%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1486+6+24=151642%3
8/29Sunday, Aug. 294:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
14693+0=146641%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1485+23+24=153259%4
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1468+2+0=147042%4
SEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1487+15+24=152658%2
8/27Friday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146619+0=144740%8
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1488+4+24=151660%7
8/26Thursday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
146524=145942%6
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1490+1+23=151458%4
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1487+2+0=148942%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15277+24=154458%1
8/23Monday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1486+234=150549%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
152840+24=151251%3
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1484+15+0=149937%6
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15711+24=159463%3
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1487+11+0=149839%1
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156819+24=157361%15
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1489+82=149536%3
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1566+6+21=159364%12
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14884+0=148454%9
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
14344+24=145446%8
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1487+20+0=150758%3
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14356+24=145342%1
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1486+112=149555%3
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
14363+26=145945%1
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153715+0=152249%8
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1488+16+24=152851%3
8/14Saturday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1540+12+0=155255%3
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1485+11+24=152045%9
8/13Friday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1541+203=155858%2
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14846+24=150242%3
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14358+0=142737%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1483+16+24=152363%3
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
14366+0=143038%1
SEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1482+11+24=151762%2
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
143481=142536%5
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1484+18+22=152464%4
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1482+11+0=149342%2
NYYNYYYankees
Gil, Luis
Gil
155227+24=154958%0
8/7Saturday, Aug. 71:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14832+0=148140%4
NYYNYYYankees
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
155127+24=154860%5
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1484+12+0=149644%2
NYYNYYYankees
Peralta, Wandy
Peralta
155037+24=153756%3
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1485+123=149444%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
154937+24=153656%5
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 41:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1486+21+0=150742%3
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
155617+24=156358%4
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1484+12+0=149640%4
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
155814+24=156860%2
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
148123=147637%8
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
156114+24=157163%2
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1482+10+0=149256%3
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
144114+24=145144%4
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1483+14+0=149757%4
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
144016+24=144843%5
7/30Friday, July 308:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1481+262=150556%9
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14417+26=146044%5
7/28Wednesday, July 283:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15679+0=155855%11
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1484+15+24=152345%4
7/27Tuesday, July 2710:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1566+5+0=157158%8
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1485+3+24=151242%6
7/26Monday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1568+114=157560%8
SEASEAMariners
McCaughan, Darren
McCaughan
14834+24=150340%11
7/25Sunday, July 254:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15212+0=151951%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1482+8+24=151449%4
7/24Saturday, July 2410:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1522+17+0=153951%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1481+28+24=153349%5
7/23Friday, July 2310:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15236+0=151750%3
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1479+12+24=151550%4
7/22Thursday, July 2210:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1522+41=152553%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1481+2+21=150447%1
7/21Wednesday, July 213:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Middleton, Keynan
Middleton
14835+0=147850%3
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1451+4+24=147950%6
7/20Tuesday, July 208:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1481+71=148746%6
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1452+36+26=151454%4
7/18Sunday, July 184:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1479+24+0=150347%7
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
15044+24=152453%4
7/17Saturday, July 179:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1481+16+0=149745%4
LAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1502+7+24=153355%9
7/16Friday, July 169:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14802+4=148243%6
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1503+2+28=153357%5
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
150045+0=145545%7
SEASEAMariners
Santiago, Hector
Santiago
148320+24=148755%1
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
15026+0=149650%0
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14818+24=149750%2
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1504+71=151050%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1480+10+24=151450%7
7/8Thursday, July 84:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15462+0=154454%0
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1477+13+24=151446%4
7/7Wednesday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Nelson, Nick
Nelson
154434+0=151048%5
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1478+23+24=152552%4
7/6Tuesday, July 610 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1541112=152855%12
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
148214+26=149445%1
7/4Sunday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14623+0=145945%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
148012+24=149255%4
7/3Saturday, July 310:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145915+0=144439%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1483+19+24=152661%3
7/2Friday, July 210:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+313=148847%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1482+10+20=151253%5
7/1Thursday, July 11:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1479+18+0=149738%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1532+25+24=158162%2
6/30Wednesday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
147713+0=146438%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15348+24=155062%7
6/29Tuesday, June 297:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147913+0=146636%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1532+9+26=156764%9
6/27Sunday, June 275:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
148025+0=145539%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Burr, Ryan
Burr
153134+24=152161%7
6/26Saturday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1478+7+0=148537%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1533+24+24=158163%2
6/25Friday, June 258:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1475+162=148938%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1536+12+24=157262%3
6/23Wednesday, June 234:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1444+26+0=147047%5
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
147711+24=149053%2
6/22Tuesday, June 2210:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1445271=141740%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147616+26=148660%2
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
155417+0=153753%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1474+19+24=151747%6
6/19Saturday, June 1910:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
1555+0+0=155557%5
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1473+10+24=150743%6
6/18Friday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155719+0=153854%1
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1471+13+24=150846%5
6/17Thursday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1559+164=157160%5
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1469+6+24=149940%6
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
149710+0=148749%7
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
14714+24=149151%2
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15016+0=149554%0
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146823+24=146946%10
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1502+93=150850%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1467+24+20=151150%4
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1464+3+0=146734%6
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1511+45+24=158066%2
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1465+10+0=147544%4
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151015+24=151956%5
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1467+131=147941%0
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1508+8+24=154059%7
6/10Thursday, June 101:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+2+0=147153%3
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
144718+24=145347%8
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146725+0=144244%9
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1449+9+24=148256%6
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+272=149454%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14484+24=146846%5
6/6Sunday, June 64:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14672+0=146544%9
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
149817+24=150556%5
6/5Saturday, June 510:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1469+9+0=147843%5
LAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1496+4+24=152457%12
6/4Friday, June 49:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
147021+0=144939%2
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1495+10+24=152961%3
6/3Thursday, June 39:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1467+13=146542%6
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1498+2+24=152458%2
6/2Wednesday, June 210:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1514+7+0=152158%6
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146925+24=146842%0
6/1Tuesday, June 110:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1512+31+0=154353%12
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1471+27+24=152247%6
5/31Monday, May 314:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
151313=150953%5
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14707+24=148747%6
5/30Sunday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Yang, Hyeon-Jong
Yang
145915+0=144442%2
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1469+7+24=150058%4
5/29Saturday, May 2910:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1460+8+0=146845%2
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1468+10+24=150255%3
5/28Friday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146115+0=144643%2
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1467+4+24=149557%3
5/27Thursday, May 2710:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
1463163=144448%0
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146529+21=145752%5
5/26Wednesday, May 263:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
146612+0=145439%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15136+24=153161%6
5/25Tuesday, May 259:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14659+0=145638%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1515+1+24=154062%3
5/24Monday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1463+72=146841%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15165+22=153359%2
5/23Sunday, May 234:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1465+10+0=147529%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1569+36+24=162971%9
5/22Saturday, May 228:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1466+10+0=147636%4
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
156819+24=157364%6
5/21Friday, May 2110:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1468211=144634%1
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156629+26=156366%16
5/19Wednesday, May 1910:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
144118+0=142341%6
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14717+24=148859%2
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1439+13+0=145243%5
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1473+5+24=150257%0
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
143714=143240%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1475+5+24=150460%1
5/16Sunday, May 164:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1517+43+0=156062%2
SEASEAMariners
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
147420+24=147838%3
5/15Saturday, May 159:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151915+0=150450%3
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1472+7+24=150350%7
5/14Friday, May 1410:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1521+5+0=152658%3
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147024+24=147042%7
5/13Thursday, May 1310:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1520+164=153256%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
14712+21=149044%2
5/12Wednesday, May 1210:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1472+6+0=147833%1
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159115+24=160067%7
5/11Tuesday, May 1110:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1473+31=147530%4
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1590+7+25=162270%6
5/9Sunday, May 92:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1476+11+0=148748%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1465+14+24=150352%10
5/8Saturday, May 87:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
147719+0=145848%8
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
146415+24=147352%9
5/7Friday, May 78:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1476252=144944%5
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1465+7+21=149356%4
5/5Wednesday, May 53:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1444+41+0=148548%6
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1478+0+24=150252%0
5/4Tuesday, May 410:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144521+0=142438%2
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1477+5+24=150662%5
5/3Monday, May 310:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
144453=143644%5
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
147923+24=148056%3
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1506+17+0=152352%0
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1477+9+24=151048%2
5/1Saturday, May 19:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1504+1+0=150551%10
SEASEAMariners
Newsome, Ljay
Newsome
14798+24=149549%5
4/30Friday, April 3010:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1506+162=152057%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147725+20=147243%7
4/29Thursday, April 292:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14768+0=146837%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
154811+24=156163%0
4/28Wednesday, April 288:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1477+4+0=148135%5
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1548+14+24=158665%7
4/27Tuesday, April 278:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1478+27+0=150539%0
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1547+8+24=157961%2
4/26Monday, April 268:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1479+124=148738%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1545+2+24=157162%5
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
148016+0=146437%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1509+23+24=155663%5
4/24Saturday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147734+0=144336%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1512+7+24=154364%2
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14774+0=147344%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151118+24=151756%6
4/22Thursday, April 227:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1475+32=147643%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151314+24=152357%3
4/20Tuesday, April 204:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
160623+0=158359%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1476+22+24=152241%0
4/19Monday, April 1910:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
1608273=157859%3
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1475+13+24=151241%4
4/18Sunday, April 184:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15483+0=154559%2
SEASEAMariners
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
147216+24=148041%7
4/17Saturday, April 179:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1547+11+0=155864%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147337+24=146036%0
4/16Friday, April 1610:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1548+72=155359%5
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14712+20=148941%6
4/15Thursday, April 153:45 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1470+2+0=147252%2
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14372+24=145948%1
4/15Thursday, April 1512:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+23+2=149457%4
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143920+26=144543%2
4/13Tuesday, April 137:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
147013+0=145749%6
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1438+3+24=146551%7
4/13Tuesday, April 134:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+121=148047%4
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1439+35+26=150053%3
4/11Sunday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146735+0=143232%8
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
15435+24=156268%6
4/10Saturday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14664+2=146435%4
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1545+1+26=157265%3
4/8Thursday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1468+293=149439%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+6+21=156961%10
4/7Wednesday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15196+0=151353%4
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1466+3+24=149347%8
4/6Tuesday, April 610:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1517+31+0=154854%10
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1468+32+24=152446%4
4/5Monday, April 510:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1514173=149447%6
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1471+15+26=151253%0
4/3Saturday, April 39:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
14825+0=147754%0
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146945+24=144846%4
4/2Friday, April 210:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
14803+0=147748%6
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14706+24=148852%3
4/1Thursday, April 110:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1481+133=149145%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+35+24=152855%8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

Comments