Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Do Not Sell My Info
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
The Mets are done for the season.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BravesBraves88-73 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
PhilliesPhillies82-80 | 6.5 | — | — | |||
MetsMets77-85 | 11.5 | — | — | |||
MarlinsMarlins67-95 | 21.5 | — | — | |||
NationalsNationals65-97 | 23.5 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Syndergaard | 1511 | +6 | +0 | =1517 | 38% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1554 | +27 | +24 | =1605 | 62% | 5 | |
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:15 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1511 | –2 | +0 | =1509 | 45% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Chavez | 1553 | –33 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | 6 | |
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1510 | –20 | –3 | =1487 | 39% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1554 | –10 | +24 | =1568 | 61% | 3 | |
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1461 | –24 | +0 | =1437 | 35% | 3 |
NYMMets | Hill | 1508 | +11 | +24 | =1543 | 65% | 12 | |
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1459 | –7 | +0 | =1452 | 40% | 3 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1509 | –13 | +24 | =1520 | 60% | 2 | |
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:15 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1460 | +24 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | 1 |
NYMMets | Syndergaard | 1509 | +7 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | 2 | |
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 284:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Thompson | 1461 | +2 | –1 | =1462 | 38% | 2 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1507 | +14 | +23 | =1544 | 62% | 5 | |
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1509 | +3 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1543 | +2 | +24 | =1569 | 58% | 8 | |
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Hill | 1510 | +9 | +0 | =1519 | 39% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1543 | +32 | +24 | =1599 | 61% | 2 | |
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1511 | –17 | –1 | =1493 | 42% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1541 | –14 | +24 | =1551 | 58% | 5 | |
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1513 | –10 | +0 | =1503 | 39% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1525 | +30 | +24 | =1579 | 61% | 12 | |
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1515 | +14 | +0 | =1529 | 46% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Rodriguez | 1524 | +6 | +26 | =1556 | 54% | 6 | |
9/19Sunday, Sept. 197 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1508 | –1 | +0 | =1507 | 45% | 2 |
NYMMets | Hill | 1514 | +6 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | 3 | |
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1506 | +14 | +0 | =1520 | 47% | 5 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1515 | +1 | +24 | =1540 | 53% | 3 | |
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1505 | +39 | –1 | =1543 | 52% | 4 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1516 | –11 | +26 | =1531 | 48% | 3 | |
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Lester | 1506 | –24 | +0 | =1482 | 43% | 11 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1520 | –11 | +24 | =1533 | 57% | 4 | |
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Woodford | 1504 | –16 | +0 | =1488 | 40% | 7 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1521 | +11 | +24 | =1556 | 60% | 6 | |
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1501 | +40 | –3 | =1538 | 48% | 7 |
NYMMets | Hill | 1524 | +7 | +24 | =1555 | 52% | 0 | |
9/12Sunday, Sept. 128 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1550 | –34 | +0 | =1516 | 46% | 6 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 54% | 7 | |
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:45 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Kluber | 1549 | –3 | +0 | =1546 | 51% | 8 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1524 | –11 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 7 | |
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1552 | +1 | –1 | =1552 | 54% | 3 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1521 | –16 | +21 | =1526 | 46% | 10 | |
9/9Thursday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1522 | +8 | +0 | =1530 | 58% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1469 | –20 | +24 | =1473 | 42% | 3 | |
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Hill | 1523 | +6 | +0 | =1529 | 51% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1468 | +27 | +24 | =1519 | 49% | 2 | |
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1521 | +3 | –3 | =1521 | 56% | 9 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1470 | –16 | +26 | =1480 | 44% | 4 | |
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Williams | 1522 | –26 | +0 | =1496 | 51% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1485 | –18 | +24 | =1491 | 49% | 4 | |
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1520 | –6 | +0 | =1514 | 51% | 13 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1487 | –8 | +24 | =1503 | 49% | 6 | |
9/4Saturday, Sept. 46:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1521 | –17 | +0 | =1504 | 52% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Rogers | 1486 | –20 | +24 | =1490 | 48% | 4 | |
9/4Saturday, Sept. 41:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1520 | +8 | +0 | =1528 | 54% | 11 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1488 | –12 | +24 | =1500 | 46% | 9 | |
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Hill | 1518 | +0 | –2 | =1516 | 53% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Nolin | 1489 | –18 | +24 | =1495 | 47% | 2 | |
9/2Thursday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1467 | +28 | +2 | =1497 | 43% | 3 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1517 | +3 | +26 | =1546 | 57% | 4 | |
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1468 | –13 | –1 | =1454 | 41% | 1 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1516 | –28 | +26 | =1514 | 59% | 3 | |
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1497 | –11 | +0 | =1486 | 45% | 4 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1513 | –19 | +24 | =1518 | 55% | 9 | |
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Nolin | 1498 | –22 | +0 | =1476 | 40% | 3 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1512 | +11 | +24 | =1547 | 60% | 5 | |
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1496 | –16 | –3 | =1477 | 42% | 2 |
NYMMets | Hill | 1513 | –2 | +24 | =1535 | 58% | 1 | |
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1545 | –9 | +0 | =1536 | 50% | 3 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1515 | +1 | +24 | =1540 | 50% | 2 | |
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cueto | 1544 | –14 | +0 | =1530 | 50% | 3 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1516 | –6 | +24 | =1534 | 50% | 2 | |
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Long | 1541 | –25 | –2 | =1514 | 47% | 8 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1519 | –3 | +22 | =1538 | 53% | 0 | |
8/22Sunday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1516 | +9 | +0 | =1525 | 38% | 7 |
LADDodgers | Price | 1603 | –18 | +24 | =1609 | 62% | 2 | |
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Hill | 1516 | +0 | +0 | =1516 | 32% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Scherzer | 1603 | +22 | +24 | =1649 | 68% | 4 | |
8/20Friday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1517 | –2 | +0 | =1515 | 31% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1602 | +28 | +24 | =1654 | 69% | 3 | |
8/19Thursday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1518 | –8 | –2 | =1508 | 39% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Knebel | 1601 | –38 | +24 | =1587 | 61% | 4 | |
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 183:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1516 | –8 | +0 | =1508 | 40% | 6 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1543 | +8 | +24 | =1575 | 60% | 2 | |
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 179:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1517 | +9 | +0 | =1526 | 43% | 2 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1542 | +5 | +24 | =1571 | 57% | 3 | |
8/16Monday, Aug. 169:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Hill | 1518 | +2 | –4 | =1516 | 40% | 5 |
SFGiants | Gausman | 1541 | +22 | +24 | =1587 | 60% | 7 | |
8/15Sunday, Aug. 157 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Scherzer | 1596 | +21 | +0 | =1617 | 60% | 14 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1520 | +6 | +24 | =1550 | 40% | 4 | |
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Buehler | 1595 | +26 | +0 | =1621 | 63% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1521 | –14 | +24 | =1531 | 37% | 1 | |
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1594 | –6 | –1 | =1587 | 57% | 6 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1522 | –10 | +24 | =1536 | 43% | 5 | |
8/12Thursday, Aug. 123:15 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1499 | –18 | +0 | =1481 | 45% | 4 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1521 | –31 | +24 | =1514 | 55% | 5 | |
8/12Thursday, Aug. 1212:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Nolin | 1500 | –15 | +2 | =1487 | 41% | 1 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1520 | +5 | +26 | =1551 | 59% | 4 | |
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1501 | –10 | –1 | =1490 | 41% | 7 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1519 | +13 | +25 | =1557 | 59% | 8 | |
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1520 | –13 | +0 | =1507 | 40% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1511 | +43 | +24 | =1578 | 60% | 3 | |
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1522 | –8 | +0 | =1514 | 51% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1510 | –26 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | 5 | |
8/6Friday, Aug. 67 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1523 | +3 | –3 | =1523 | 47% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1509 | +14 | +22 | =1545 | 53% | 4 | |
8/5Thursday, Aug. 512:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Hill | 1524 | –2 | +0 | =1522 | 56% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1476 | –21 | +24 | =1479 | 44% | 4 | |
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1523 | +14 | +0 | =1537 | 55% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Thompson | 1478 | +4 | +24 | =1506 | 45% | 3 | |
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1524 | –10 | +0 | =1514 | 55% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Neidert | 1476 | –22 | +24 | =1478 | 45% | 5 | |
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1526 | –4 | –3 | =1519 | 56% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1474 | –20 | +24 | =1478 | 44% | 6 | |
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1505 | –25 | +0 | =1480 | 39% | 7 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1530 | +4 | +24 | =1558 | 61% | 1 | |
7/31Saturday, July 317:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1505 | +4 | +0 | =1509 | 44% | 4 |
NYMMets | Hill | 1529 | –1 | +24 | =1552 | 56% | 5 | |
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1503 | +10 | –3 | =1510 | 42% | 6 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1531 | +12 | +24 | =1567 | 58% | 2 | |
7/29Thursday, July 2912:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1531 | –17 | +0 | =1514 | 45% | 6 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1533 | –10 | +24 | =1547 | 55% | 3 | |
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1532 | –6 | +0 | =1526 | 47% | 1 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1532 | –8 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | 2 | |
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1529 | +17 | +0 | =1546 | 54% | 12 |
NYMMets | Eickhoff | 1534 | –39 | +24 | =1519 | 46% | 5 | |
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wilson | 1530 | –31 | +0 | =1499 | 46% | 0 |
NYMMets | Loup | 1533 | –31 | +24 | =1526 | 54% | 1 | |
7/26Monday, July 265:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Muller | 1529 | –12 | –1 | =1516 | 43% | 2 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1535 | +1 | +24 | =1560 | 57% | 0 | |
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1531 | –18 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | 4 |
NYMMets | Hill | 1534 | –4 | +24 | =1554 | 56% | 5 | |
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1528 | +21 | +0 | =1549 | 49% | 10 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1537 | –6 | +24 | =1555 | 51% | 3 | |
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1530 | –11 | +0 | =1519 | 47% | 0 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1535 | –22 | +23 | =1536 | 53% | 3 | |
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1533 | –6 | +0 | =1527 | 54% | 7 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1501 | –24 | +24 | =1501 | 46% | 0 | |
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stock | 1534 | –41 | +0 | =1493 | 45% | 3 |
CINReds | Miley | 1500 | +6 | +24 | =1530 | 55% | 4 | |
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Eickhoff | 1532 | –37 | –2 | =1493 | 48% | 15 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1502 | –20 | +24 | =1506 | 52% | 11 | |
7/18Sunday, July 181:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1531 | +3 | +0 | =1534 | 59% | 7 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1434 | +11 | +24 | =1469 | 41% | 6 | |
7/17Saturday, July 177:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1533 | –28 | +0 | =1505 | 60% | 7 |
PITPirates | Crowe | 1432 | –22 | +24 | =1434 | 40% | 9 | |
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1535 | –9 | +5 | =1531 | 60% | 1 |
PITPirates | Kuhl | 1430 | +3 | +29 | =1462 | 40% | 4 | |
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | De Jong | 1428 | –15 | +0 | =1413 | 34% | 6 |
NYMMets | Loup | 1536 | –35 | +24 | =1525 | 66% | 5 | |
7/10Saturday, July 107:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Kranick | 1429 | +8 | +0 | =1437 | 37% | 2 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1535 | –30 | +24 | =1529 | 63% | 4 | |
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Anderson | 1426 | +14 | +0 | =1440 | 34% | 6 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1538 | –8 | +24 | =1554 | 66% | 2 | |
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1428 | +13 | +0 | =1441 | 33% | 4 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1536 | +4 | +26 | =1566 | 67% | 13 | |
7/7Wednesday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Anderson | 1529 | –26 | +0 | =1503 | 48% | 5 |
NYMMets | Stock | 1539 | –45 | +24 | =1518 | 52% | 0 | |
7/7Wednesday, July 72:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1530 | +27 | +2 | =1559 | 41% | 3 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1538 | +59 | +26 | =1623 | 59% | 4 | |
7/5Monday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1531 | +42 | –2 | =1571 | 57% | 2 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1536 | –34 | +23 | =1525 | 43% | 4 | |
7/4Sunday, July 47 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Oswalt | 1538 | –39 | +0 | =1499 | 48% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1540 | –52 | +24 | =1512 | 52% | 4 | |
7/4Sunday, July 42:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1535 | –7 | +0 | =1528 | 39% | 10 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1543 | +42 | +24 | =1609 | 61% | 5 | |
7/3Saturday, July 31:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1532 | +2 | –1 | =1533 | 44% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1545 | –1 | +29 | =1573 | 56% | 3 | |
7/1Thursday, July 17:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1533 | +59 | +0 | =1592 | 54% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1525 | +13 | +24 | =1562 | 46% | 4 | |
6/30Wednesday, June 307:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1538 | –26 | +0 | =1512 | 45% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1521 | –1 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | 20 | |
6/29Tuesday, June 297:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1537 | –37 | –3 | =1497 | 41% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1522 | +17 | +24 | =1563 | 59% | 3 | |
6/28Monday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Eickhoff | 1538 | –39 | –2 | =1497 | 48% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1515 | –24 | +21 | =1512 | 52% | 8 | |
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1502 | +42 | +0 | =1544 | 48% | 4 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1540 | –5 | +24 | =1559 | 52% | 2 | |
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1503 | –10 | +0 | =1493 | 32% | 3 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1539 | +56 | +24 | =1619 | 68% | 4 | |
6/25Friday, June 257:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Moore | 1501 | –47 | +0 | =1454 | 39% | 2 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1541 | –31 | +24 | =1534 | 61% | 1 | |
6/25Friday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1502 | +13 | +1 | =1516 | 43% | 1 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1540 | –2 | +26 | =1564 | 57% | 2 | |
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1524 | –37 | +0 | =1487 | 45% | 3 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1538 | –40 | +24 | =1522 | 55% | 7 | |
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1522 | +13 | +0 | =1535 | 46% | 3 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1540 | –3 | +24 | =1561 | 54% | 0 | |
6/21Monday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1521 | +11 | +0 | =1532 | 51% | 1 |
NYMMets | Eickhoff | 1541 | –42 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | 0 | |
6/21Monday, June 215:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Muller | 1521 | –25 | –3 | =1493 | 33% | 2 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1540 | +56 | +22 | =1618 | 67% | 4 | |
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1542 | +0 | +0 | =1542 | 53% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1511 | –15 | +24 | =1520 | 47% | 5 | |
6/19Saturday, June 196:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Gsellman | 1544 | –62 | +0 | =1482 | 47% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Lester | 1509 | –27 | +24 | =1506 | 53% | 6 | |
6/19Saturday, June 191:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1542 | –34 | +0 | =1508 | 48% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Ross | 1511 | –13 | +24 | =1522 | 52% | 1 | |
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1543 | –32 | –2 | =1509 | 49% | 0 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1510 | –18 | +26 | =1518 | 51% | 1 | |
6/17Thursday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1521 | +16 | +0 | =1537 | 46% | 2 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1544 | –5 | +24 | =1563 | 54% | 0 | |
6/16Wednesday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stock | 1522 | –7 | +0 | =1515 | 35% | 3 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1543 | +57 | +24 | =1624 | 65% | 6 | |
6/15Tuesday, June 157 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Mills | 1523 | +4 | +0 | =1527 | 44% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 56% | 3 | |
6/14Monday, June 147 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Arrieta | 1524 | –14 | –3 | =1507 | 47% | 2 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1541 | –37 | +24 | =1528 | 53% | 5 | |
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Paddack | 1559 | –22 | +0 | =1537 | 50% | 7 |
NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1543 | –31 | +24 | =1536 | 50% | 3 | |
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1561 | +9 | +0 | =1570 | 51% | 1 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1541 | –4 | +24 | =1561 | 49% | 4 | |
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Snell | 1562 | –3 | –2 | =1557 | 41% | 2 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1540 | +56 | +24 | =1620 | 59% | 3 | |
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1537 | –3 | +0 | =1534 | 63% | 14 |
BALOrioles | Harvey | 1438 | –23 | +24 | =1439 | 37% | 1 | |
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1541 | –32 | –2 | =1507 | 58% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1435 | –12 | +26 | =1449 | 42% | 10 | |
6/6Sunday, June 64:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1538 | –5 | +0 | =1533 | 45% | 6 |
SDPadres | Paddack | 1567 | –23 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | 2 | |
6/5Saturday, June 510:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1536 | +55 | +0 | =1591 | 48% | 4 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1570 | +11 | +24 | =1605 | 52% | 0 | |
6/4Friday, June 410:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1537 | –30 | +0 | =1507 | 39% | 0 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1568 | –9 | +24 | =1583 | 61% | 2 | |
6/3Thursday, June 310 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1538 | +3 | –2 | =1539 | 38% | 3 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1568 | +35 | +20 | =1623 | 62% | 4 | |
6/2Wednesday, June 23:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1537 | –26 | +0 | =1511 | 52% | 7 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1470 | +4 | +24 | =1498 | 48% | 6 | |
6/1Tuesday, June 19:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1538 | –6 | +0 | =1532 | 57% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Smith | 1469 | –12 | +24 | =1481 | 43% | 6 | |
5/31Monday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1537 | +50 | –2 | =1585 | 61% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1470 | +13 | +24 | =1507 | 39% | 2 | |
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1527 | +15 | +3 | =1545 | 48% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1534 | –1 | +26 | =1559 | 52% | 13 | |
5/27Thursday, May 272:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1447 | –5 | +0 | =1442 | 38% | 2 |
NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1533 | –31 | +24 | =1526 | 62% | 4 | |
5/27Thursday, May 2712:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1448 | +16 | +2 | =1466 | 38% | 0 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1532 | –6 | +26 | =1552 | 62% | 1 | |
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1448 | –10 | +0 | =1438 | 27% | 1 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1531 | +52 | +24 | =1607 | 73% | 3 | |
5/24Monday, May 247:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1447 | –5 | –4 | =1438 | 37% | 3 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1533 | –21 | +21 | =1533 | 63% | 2 | |
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Yamamoto | 1535 | –39 | +0 | =1496 | 50% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Poteet | 1476 | –6 | +24 | =1494 | 50% | 5 | |
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1536 | –36 | +0 | =1500 | 49% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1475 | +9 | +24 | =1508 | 51% | 3 | |
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1535 | –8 | –1 | =1526 | 57% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Curtiss | 1476 | –17 | +21 | =1480 | 43% | 5 | |
5/19Wednesday, May 197:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1536 | –22 | +0 | =1514 | 45% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1522 | +6 | +24 | =1552 | 55% | 5 | |
5/18Tuesday, May 187:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Castro | 1535 | –45 | +0 | =1490 | 47% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Davidson | 1523 | –35 | +24 | =1512 | 53% | 3 | |
5/17Monday, May 177 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1534 | –4 | –2 | =1528 | 48% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1524 | –4 | +21 | =1541 | 52% | 1 | |
5/16Sunday, May 161:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1536 | –4 | +0 | =1532 | 47% | 1 |
TBRays | Fleming | 1535 | –4 | +24 | =1555 | 53% | 7 | |
5/15Saturday, May 151:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Smith | 1538 | –38 | +0 | =1500 | 44% | 5 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1533 | –15 | +24 | =1542 | 56% | 12 | |
5/14Friday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1539 | –28 | –1 | =1510 | 40% | 2 |
TBRays | Glasnow | 1532 | +21 | +24 | =1577 | 60% | 3 | |
5/12Wednesday, May 1212:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Harvey | 1444 | –15 | +0 | =1429 | 33% | 1 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1538 | –6 | +24 | =1556 | 67% | 7 | |
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Means | 1445 | +48 | –2 | =1491 | 40% | 2 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1537 | –5 | +26 | =1558 | 60% | 3 | |
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Smith | 1485 | –13 | +0 | =1472 | 31% | 2 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1536 | +52 | +24 | =1612 | 69% | 4 | |
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1486 | +4 | +0 | =1490 | 45% | 2 |
NYMMets | Hunter | 1535 | –37 | +24 | =1522 | 55% | 4 | |
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1487 | +33 | –3 | =1517 | 48% | 4 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1534 | –23 | +21 | =1532 | 52% | 5 | |
5/6Thursday, May 61:15 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1532 | –12 | +0 | =1520 | 49% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Gant | 1510 | –6 | +24 | =1528 | 51% | 1 | |
5/5Wednesday, May 58:25 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Castro | 1530 | –46 | +0 | =1484 | 46% | 7 |
STLCardinals | Oviedo | 1513 | –22 | +24 | =1515 | 54% | 2 | |
5/5Wednesday, May 55:15 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1531 | –2 | +2 | =1531 | 49% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Kim | 1511 | +2 | +26 | =1539 | 51% | 4 | |
5/3Monday, May 37:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1532 | –31 | –3 | =1498 | 45% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1510 | +4 | +21 | =1535 | 55% | 6 | |
5/2Sunday, May 27 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1531 | –28 | +0 | =1503 | 47% | 8 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1500 | +0 | +24 | =1524 | 53% | 7 | |
5/1Saturday, May 16:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1530 | –14 | +0 | =1516 | 45% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1502 | +23 | +24 | =1549 | 55% | 4 | |
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1531 | –6 | +1 | =1526 | 53% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Anderson | 1501 | –15 | +21 | =1507 | 47% | 2 | |
4/28Wednesday, April 286:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1511 | –11 | +0 | =1500 | 35% | 1 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1532 | +49 | +24 | =1605 | 65% | 0 | |
4/27Tuesday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Richards | 1510 | –15 | +0 | =1495 | 45% | 2 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1534 | –29 | +26 | =1531 | 55% | 1 | |
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1515 | –12 | +0 | =1503 | 45% | 0 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1532 | –16 | +24 | =1540 | 55% | 4 | |
4/24Saturday, April 244:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Ross | 1512 | –15 | +0 | =1497 | 41% | 7 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1535 | +0 | +24 | =1559 | 59% | 1 | |
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1513 | –28 | +0 | =1485 | 34% | 0 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1533 | +43 | +21 | =1597 | 66% | 6 | |
4/22Thursday, April 227:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1535 | –29 | +0 | =1506 | 50% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Williams | 1500 | –19 | +24 | =1505 | 50% | 4 | |
4/21Wednesday, April 217:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1538 | –22 | +0 | =1516 | 49% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Davies | 1496 | +1 | +24 | =1521 | 51% | 16 | |
4/20Tuesday, April 207:30 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1540 | –15 | –1 | =1524 | 50% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Arrieta | 1495 | –1 | +26 | =1520 | 50% | 3 | |
4/18Sunday, April 183:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1539 | –5 | +0 | =1534 | 61% | 2 |
COLRockies | Senzatela | 1443 | –10 | +24 | =1457 | 39% | 1 | |
4/17Saturday, April 178:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1541 | –30 | +0 | =1511 | 54% | 2 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1440 | +19 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | 7 | |
4/17Saturday, April 175:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1541 | +41 | +1 | =1583 | 69% | 4 |
COLRockies | Gonzalez | 1441 | –20 | +23 | =1444 | 31% | 3 | |
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1508 | +24 | +0 | =1532 | 50% | 1 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1539 | –29 | +24 | =1534 | 50% | 5 | |
4/13Tuesday, April 138 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1509 | +25 | +0 | =1534 | 47% | 0 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1537 | –7 | +24 | =1554 | 53% | 4 | |
4/13Tuesday, April 134:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Anderson | 1510 | –10 | –1 | =1499 | 43% | 3 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1536 | –14 | +26 | =1548 | 57% | 4 | |
4/11Sunday, April 111:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Curtiss | 1469 | –15 | +0 | =1454 | 37% | 5 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1515 | +11 | +24 | =1550 | 63% | 6 | |
4/10Saturday, April 101:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1458 | –14 | +2 | =1446 | 29% | 3 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1539 | +40 | +26 | =1605 | 71% | 0 | |
4/8Thursday, April 81:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Neidert | 1459 | –13 | –3 | =1443 | 35% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1538 | –14 | +23 | =1547 | 65% | 3 | |
4/7Wednesday, April 74:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1540 | –20 | +0 | =1520 | 45% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1510 | +24 | +24 | =1558 | 55% | 8 | |
4/6Tuesday, April 67:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1538 | –9 | +0 | =1529 | 51% | 8 |
PHIPhillies | Anderson | 1512 | –14 | +24 | =1522 | 49% | 4 | |
4/5Monday, April 57:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1540 | +38 | –1 | =1577 | 61% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Moore | 1510 | –37 | +24 | =1497 | 39% | 5 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments