Updated Oct. 22, 2021, at 2:57 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mets are done for the season.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves88-73
PhilliesPhillies82-806.5
MetsMets77-8511.5
MarlinsMarlins67-9521.5
NationalsNationals65-9723.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1511+6+0=151738%0
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1554+27+24=160562%5
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15112+0=150945%5
ATLATLBraves
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
155333+24=154455%6
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1510203=148739%4
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
155410+24=156861%3
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
146124+0=143735%3
NYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1508+11+24=154365%12
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14597+0=145240%3
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
150913+24=152060%2
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:15 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1460+24+0=148442%1
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1509+7+24=154058%2
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 284:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1461+21=146238%2
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1507+14+23=154462%5
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1509+3+0=151242%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1543+2+24=156958%8
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1510+9+0=151939%1
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1543+32+24=159961%2
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1511171=149342%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154114+24=155158%5
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
151310+0=150339%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1525+30+24=157961%12
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1515+14+0=152946%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1524+6+26=155654%6
9/19Sunday, Sept. 197 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15081+0=150745%2
NYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1514+6+24=154455%3
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+14+0=152047%5
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1515+1+24=154053%3
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1505+391=154352%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
151611+26=153148%3
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Lester, Jon
Lester
150624+0=148243%11
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152011+24=153357%4
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
150416+0=148840%7
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1521+11+24=155660%6
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1501+403=153848%7
NYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1524+7+24=155552%0
9/12Sunday, Sept. 128 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
155034+0=151646%6
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1523+0+24=154754%7
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:45 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15493+0=154651%8
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
152411+24=153749%7
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1552+11=155254%3
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152116+21=152646%10
9/9Thursday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1522+8+0=153058%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
146920+24=147342%3
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1523+6+0=152951%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1468+27+24=151949%2
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1521+33=152156%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
147016+26=148044%4
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
152226+0=149651%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
148518+24=149149%4
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15206+0=151451%13
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14878+24=150349%6
9/4Saturday, Sept. 46:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152117+0=150452%3
WSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
148620+24=149048%4
9/4Saturday, Sept. 41:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1520+8+0=152854%11
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
148812+24=150046%9
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1518+02=151653%6
WSHWSHNationals
Nolin, Sean
Nolin
148918+24=149547%2
9/2Thursday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1467+28+2=149743%3
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1517+3+26=154657%4
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
1468131=145441%1
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
151628+26=151459%3
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
149711+0=148645%4
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
151319+24=151855%9
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Nolin, Sean
Nolin
149822+0=147640%3
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1512+11+24=154760%5
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1496163=147742%2
NYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
15132+24=153558%1
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15459+0=153650%3
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1515+1+24=154050%2
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
154414+0=153050%3
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15166+24=153450%2
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Long, Sammy
Long
1541252=151447%8
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
15193+22=153853%0
8/22Sunday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1516+9+0=152538%7
LADLADDodgers
Price, David
Price
160318+24=160962%2
8/21Saturday, Aug. 214:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1516+0+0=151632%3
LADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1603+22+24=164968%4
8/20Friday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15172+0=151531%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1602+28+24=165469%3
8/19Thursday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
151882=150839%1
LADLADDodgers
Knebel, Corey
Knebel
160138+24=158761%4
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 183:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
15168+0=150840%6
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1543+8+24=157560%2
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 179:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1517+9+0=152643%2
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1542+5+24=157157%3
8/16Monday, Aug. 169:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
1518+24=151640%5
SFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1541+22+24=158760%7
8/15Sunday, Aug. 157 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1596+21+0=161760%14
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1520+6+24=155040%4
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1595+26+0=162163%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
152114+24=153137%1
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
159461=158757%6
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152210+24=153643%5
8/12Thursday, Aug. 123:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
149918+0=148145%4
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
152131+24=151455%5
8/12Thursday, Aug. 1212:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Nolin, Sean
Nolin
150015+2=148741%1
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1520+5+26=155159%4
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1501101=149041%7
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1519+13+25=155759%8
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
152013+0=150740%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1511+43+24=157860%3
8/7Saturday, Aug. 74:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
15228+0=151451%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
151026+24=150849%5
8/6Friday, Aug. 67 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1523+33=152347%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1509+14+22=154553%4
8/5Thursday, Aug. 512:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
15242+0=152256%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
147621+24=147944%4
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1523+14+0=153755%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1478+4+24=150645%3
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
152410+0=151455%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
147622+24=147845%5
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152643=151956%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
147420+24=147844%6
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
150525+0=148039%7
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1530+4+24=155861%1
7/31Saturday, July 317:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
1505+4+0=150944%4
NYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
15291+24=155256%5
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1503+103=151042%6
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1531+12+24=156758%2
7/29Thursday, July 2912:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
153117+0=151445%6
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153310+24=154755%3
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15326+0=152647%1
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
15328+24=154853%2
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1529+17+0=154654%12
NYMNYMMets
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
153439+24=151946%5
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
153031+0=149946%0
NYMNYMMets
Loup, Aaron
Loup
153331+24=152654%1
7/26Monday, July 265:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
1529121=151643%2
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1535+1+24=156057%0
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153118+0=151344%4
NYMNYMMets
Hill, Rich
Hill
15344+24=155456%5
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1528+21+0=154949%10
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15376+24=155551%3
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153011+0=151947%0
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153522+23=153653%3
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15336+0=152754%7
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
150124+24=150146%0
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stock, Robert
Stock
153441+0=149345%3
CINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
1500+6+24=153055%4
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
1532372=149348%15
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
150220+24=150652%11
7/18Sunday, July 181:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1531+3+0=153459%7
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1434+11+24=146941%6
7/17Saturday, July 177:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153328+0=150560%7
PITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
143222+24=143440%9
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15359+5=153160%1
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1430+3+29=146240%4
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
De Jong, Chase
De Jong
142815+0=141334%6
NYMNYMMets
Loup, Aaron
Loup
153635+24=152566%5
7/10Saturday, July 107:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kranick, Max
Kranick
1429+8+0=143737%2
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153530+24=152963%4
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1426+14+0=144034%6
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15388+24=155466%2
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1428+13+0=144133%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1536+4+26=156667%13
7/7Wednesday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
152926+0=150348%5
NYMNYMMets
Stock, Robert
Stock
153945+24=151852%0
7/7Wednesday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1530+27+2=155941%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1538+59+26=162359%4
7/5Monday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1531+422=157157%2
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153634+23=152543%4
7/4Sunday, July 47 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
153839+0=149948%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
154052+24=151252%4
7/4Sunday, July 42:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15357+0=152839%10
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1543+42+24=160961%5
7/3Saturday, July 31:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1532+21=153344%8
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15451+29=157356%3
7/1Thursday, July 17:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1533+59+0=159254%3
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1525+13+24=156246%4
6/30Wednesday, June 307:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153826+0=151245%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15211+24=154455%20
6/29Tuesday, June 297:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1537373=149741%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1522+17+24=156359%3
6/28Monday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
1538392=149748%4
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
151524+21=151252%8
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1502+42+0=154448%4
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15405+24=155952%2
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150310+0=149332%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1539+56+24=161968%4
6/25Friday, June 257:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150147+0=145439%2
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154131+24=153461%1
6/25Friday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+13+1=151643%1
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15402+26=156457%2
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
152437+0=148745%3
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153840+24=152255%7
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1522+13+0=153546%3
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15403+24=156154%0
6/21Monday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1521+11+0=153251%1
NYMNYMMets
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
154142+24=152349%0
6/21Monday, June 215:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
1521253=149333%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1540+56+22=161867%4
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1542+0+0=154253%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151115+24=152047%5
6/19Saturday, June 196:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Gsellman, Robert
Gsellman
154462+0=148247%2
WSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
150927+24=150653%6
6/19Saturday, June 191:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154234+0=150848%5
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
151113+24=152252%1
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1543322=150949%0
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151018+26=151851%1
6/17Thursday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1521+16+0=153746%2
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15445+24=156354%0
6/16Wednesday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stock, Robert
Stock
15227+0=151535%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1543+57+24=162465%6
6/15Tuesday, June 157 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1523+4+0=152744%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15421+24=156556%3
6/14Monday, June 147 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1524143=150747%2
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154137+24=152853%5
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
155922+0=153750%7
NYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
154331+24=153650%3
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1561+9+0=157051%1
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15414+24=156149%4
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
156232=155741%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1540+56+24=162059%3
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15373+0=153463%14
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143823+24=143937%1
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1541322=150758%3
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
143512+26=144942%10
6/6Sunday, June 64:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15385+0=153345%6
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156723+24=156855%2
6/5Saturday, June 510:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1536+55+0=159148%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1570+11+24=160552%0
6/4Friday, June 410:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
153730+0=150739%0
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15689+24=158361%2
6/3Thursday, June 310 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1538+32=153938%3
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1568+35+20=162362%4
6/2Wednesday, June 23:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153726+0=151152%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1470+4+24=149848%6
6/1Tuesday, June 19:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15386+0=153257%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
146912+24=148143%6
5/31Monday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1537+502=158561%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1470+13+24=150739%2
5/29Saturday, May 297:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1527+15+3=154548%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15341+26=155952%13
5/27Thursday, May 272:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
14475+0=144238%2
NYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
153331+24=152662%4
5/27Thursday, May 2712:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1448+16+2=146638%0
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15326+26=155262%1
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
144810+0=143827%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1531+52+24=160773%3
5/24Monday, May 247:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
144754=143837%3
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153321+21=153363%2
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
153539+0=149650%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
14766+24=149450%5
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
153636+0=150049%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1475+9+24=150851%3
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
153581=152657%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Curtiss, John
Curtiss
147617+21=148043%5
5/19Wednesday, May 197:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153622+0=151445%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1522+6+24=155255%5
5/18Tuesday, May 187:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Castro, Miguel
Castro
153545+0=149047%4
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
152335+24=151253%3
5/17Monday, May 177 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153442=152848%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15244+21=154152%1
5/16Sunday, May 161:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15364+0=153247%1
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
15354+24=155553%7
5/15Saturday, May 151:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Smith, Drew
Smith
153838+0=150044%5
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
153315+24=154256%12
5/14Friday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1539281=151040%2
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1532+21+24=157760%3
5/12Wednesday, May 1212:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144415+0=142933%1
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15386+24=155667%7
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1445+482=149140%2
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15375+26=155860%3
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
148513+0=147231%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1536+52+24=161269%4
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1486+4+0=149045%2
NYMNYMMets
Hunter, Tommy
Hunter
153537+24=152255%4
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1487+333=151748%4
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153423+21=153252%5
5/6Thursday, May 61:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153212+0=152049%4
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15106+24=152851%1
5/5Wednesday, May 58:25 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Castro, Miguel
Castro
153046+0=148446%7
STLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
151322+24=151554%2
5/5Wednesday, May 55:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15312+2=153149%1
STLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1511+2+26=153951%4
5/3Monday, May 37:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1532313=149845%5
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1510+4+21=153555%6
5/2Sunday, May 27 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153128+0=150347%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1500+0+24=152453%7
5/1Saturday, May 16:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153014+0=151645%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1502+23+24=154955%4
4/30Friday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15316+1=152653%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
150115+21=150747%2
4/28Wednesday, April 286:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151111+0=150035%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1532+49+24=160565%0
4/27Tuesday, April 277:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151015+0=149545%2
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153429+26=153155%1
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151512+0=150345%0
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153216+24=154055%4
4/24Saturday, April 244:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
151215+0=149741%7
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1535+0+24=155959%1
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151328+0=148534%0
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1533+43+21=159766%6
4/22Thursday, April 227:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
153529+0=150650%3
CHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
150019+24=150550%4
4/21Wednesday, April 217:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153822+0=151649%4
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1496+1+24=152151%16
4/20Tuesday, April 207:30 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1540151=152450%1
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
14951+26=152050%3
4/18Sunday, April 183:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15395+0=153461%2
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
144310+24=145739%1
4/17Saturday, April 178:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
154130+0=151154%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1440+19+24=148346%7
4/17Saturday, April 175:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1541+41+1=158369%4
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
144120+23=144431%3
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1508+24+0=153250%1
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153929+24=153450%5
4/13Tuesday, April 138 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1509+25+0=153447%0
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15377+24=155453%4
4/13Tuesday, April 134:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1510101=149943%3
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153614+26=154857%4
4/11Sunday, April 111:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Curtiss, John
Curtiss
146915+0=145437%5
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1515+11+24=155063%6
4/10Saturday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
145814+2=144629%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1539+40+26=160571%0
4/8Thursday, April 81:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
1459133=144335%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153814+23=154765%3
4/7Wednesday, April 74:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154020+0=152045%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+24+24=155855%8
4/6Tuesday, April 67:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15389+0=152951%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
151214+24=152249%4
4/5Monday, April 57:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1540+381=157761%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
151037+24=149739%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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