Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Orioles have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1435, up 1 point from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
RaysRays63-4292%60%
Red SoxRed Sox63-430.579%29%
YankeesYankees55-487.042%6%
Blue JaysBlue Jays53-488.030%4%
OriolesOrioles37-6625.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1435+9+0=144446%
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146416+24=147254%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
143592=142431%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+21=156569%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Alexander
Wells
1435+0+0=143528%
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1547+30+24=160172%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14352+0=143332%
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15474+24=156768%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
156031=155657%
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1435+45+24=150443%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1560+0+0=156063%
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1435+9+24=146837%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
156013+0=154764%
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14359+24=145036%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1464+16+0=148053%
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Alexander
Wells
1435+0+26=146147%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+0+0=146450%
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Hunter
Harvey
1435+4+24=146350%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146249%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146651%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+72=144034%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155466%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 144:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144235%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155465%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144235%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155465%
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+73=143931%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+21=157569%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144231%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157869%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144231%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157869%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 191:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144231%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157869%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153451=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+21=146341%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152959%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146641%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15345+0=152959%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146641%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+0=150255%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+26=146845%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+0=150255%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146645%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 261:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+3+0=150255%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146645%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+1=155562%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146638%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155462%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146638%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155462%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146638%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+72=144033%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+22=156567%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156767%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156767%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+22=156667%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 41:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156867%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156867%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
145743=145048%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+22=146452%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145348%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146652%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145348%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146652%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14574+0=145348%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146652%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+82=154161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146639%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 114:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154361%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146639%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154361%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146639%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154361%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146639%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154461%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+26=146839%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154461%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146639%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 165:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+0=154461%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146639%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+72=144034%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+22=155266%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144235%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155465%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144235%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155465%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+72=144038%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+23=152462%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152562%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152562%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144142=143546%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+23=146554%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143746%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146654%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143746%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146654%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14414+0=143746%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146654%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+3=153359%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+26=146841%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+0=153059%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146641%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+0=153059%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146641%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+72=144032%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156768%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 23:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156767%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144233%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156767%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1434+44+0=147850%5
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146612+24=147850%2
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14326+0=142640%4
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1467+2+24=149360%3
7/29Thursday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Alexander
Wells
1434+62=143841%2
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1466+13+21=150059%6
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Holloway, Jordan
Holloway
147930+0=144949%7
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14333+24=145451%8
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1477+111=148752%7
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1435+17+26=147848%3
7/25Sunday, July 251:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
15098+0=150150%4
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1434+43+24=150150%5
7/24Saturday, July 246:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
151033+0=147755%3
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143215+24=144145%5
7/23Friday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151314+1=150057%1
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14304+23=144943%6
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
143016+0=141430%4
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155016+24=155870%5
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1432+50+0=148237%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
15481+24=157163%9
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1428+133=143832%6
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15521+22=157368%1
7/18Sunday, July 182:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
142620+0=140643%5
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
144817+24=145557%0
7/17Saturday, July 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14243+0=142141%8
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1450+11+24=148559%4
7/16Friday, July 168:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
14258+4=142139%2
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1448+20+28=149661%9
7/11Sunday, July 111:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154119+0=152259%7
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1427+11+24=146241%5
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1540+6+0=154665%8
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
142813+24=143935%3
7/9Friday, July 97:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1537221=151459%12
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14315+26=145241%1
7/7Wednesday, July 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1530+17+0=154765%10
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143220+24=143635%2
7/6Tuesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153212+0=152059%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1431+6+22=145941%7
7/4Sunday, July 44:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
143110+0=142136%5
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
15026+24=152064%6
7/3Saturday, July 310:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14334+0=142936%1
LAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1500+4+24=152864%4
7/2Friday, July 29:38 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
143341=142836%7
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1500+4+22=152664%8
6/30Wednesday, June 308:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143024+0=140625%5
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1568+6+24=159875%2
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lakins Sr., Travis
Lakins Sr.
1425+16+0=144128%13
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1573+6+24=160372%3
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
1422113=140825%9
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1576+2+21=159975%7
6/27Sunday, June 271:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14232+0=142132%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15317+24=154868%5
6/26Saturday, June 263:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1425+1+0=142629%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1530+26+24=158071%12
6/25Friday, June 257:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
142327+0=139630%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15328+24=154870%5
6/24Thursday, June 247:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1425+12=142434%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
153011+21=154066%9
6/23Wednesday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1574+1+0=157568%13
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
14279+24=144232%0
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1573+1+0=157468%3
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14288+24=144432%1
6/21Monday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1572143=155564%10
BALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1430+4+24=145836%2
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1526+26+0=155267%7
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143129+24=142633%4
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1525+2+0=152760%10
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14322+24=145440%7
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+102=153764%1
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
142814+22=143636%7
6/17Thursday, June 171:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14305+0=142539%3
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
151129+24=150661%10
6/16Wednesday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1431+10+0=144135%7
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1510+16+24=155065%8
6/15Tuesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143227+0=140536%2
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150926+24=150764%7
6/14Monday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
143363=142438%3
CLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150822+24=151062%4
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14344+0=143032%1
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155821+24=156168%7
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14355+0=143027%4
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1558+18+24=160073%5
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1436+141=144933%2
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
155710+26=157367%4
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15373+0=153463%14
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143823+24=143937%1
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1541322=150758%3
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
143512+26=144942%10
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151221+0=149156%5
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14306+24=144844%18
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1510+9+0=151952%10
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1433+48+24=150548%4
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
151121+3=149354%1
BALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1431+7+26=146446%3
6/2Wednesday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
151112+0=149960%3
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
142925+24=142840%6
6/1Tuesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+14+0=152763%4
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
142715+24=143637%7
5/31Monday, May 311 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1512+103=151961%3
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
142810+21=143939%2
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1428+7+0=143531%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1536+11+24=157169%3
5/29Saturday, May 295:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1429+53+0=148236%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1535+26+24=158564%3
5/29Saturday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143022+2=141032%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153415+26=154568%7
5/27Thursday, May 278:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1431202=140933%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153322+24=153567%5
5/26Wednesday, May 261:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
143211+0=142132%2
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1516+12+24=155268%3
5/25Tuesday, May 257:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14333+0=143034%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1515+10+24=154966%7
5/24Monday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1435+533=148545%3
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
151313+21=152155%8
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143520+0=141534%5
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
151310+24=152766%6
5/22Saturday, May 224:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
143615+0=142137%9
WSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
151222+24=151463%12
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1437141=142231%2
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1511+24+21=155669%4
5/20Thursday, May 2012:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1541+13+0=155462%10
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1439+4+24=146738%1
5/19Wednesday, May 197:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154010+0=153052%9
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1441+53+24=151848%7
5/18Tuesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
1538191=151859%13
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144316+26=145341%6
5/16Sunday, May 161:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156410+0=155464%6
BALBALOrioles
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
14408+24=145636%10
5/15Saturday, May 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156221+0=154163%8
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144215+24=145137%2
5/14Friday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
156263=155362%5
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14421+24=146538%4
5/12Wednesday, May 1212:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144415+0=142933%1
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15386+24=155667%7
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1445+482=149140%2
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15375+26=155860%3
5/10Monday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151516+0=149957%1
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144320+24=144743%4
5/9Sunday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15148+0=150656%4
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14431+24=146644%3
5/8Saturday, May 87:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15129+0=150356%11
BALBALOrioles
Lowther, Zac
Lowther
14457+24=146244%6
5/7Friday, May 77:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1511+202=152960%6
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144714+22=145540%2
5/5Wednesday, May 53:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1444+41+0=148548%6
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1478+0+24=150252%0
5/4Tuesday, May 410:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144521+0=142438%2
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1477+5+24=150662%5
5/3Monday, May 310:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
144453=143644%5
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
147923+24=148056%3
5/2Sunday, May 24:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
144514+0=143133%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1514+13+24=155167%7
5/1Saturday, May 14:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144213+0=142936%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
151710+24=153164%4
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1441+404=147742%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
15184+20=153458%2
4/29Thursday, April 291:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15628+0=155466%3
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
143922+24=144134%4
4/28Wednesday, April 287:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156025+0=153559%7
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1441+3+24=146841%0
4/27Tuesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
155911+0=154863%5
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14428+24=145837%1
4/26Monday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Garcia, Deivi
Garcia
1561282=153162%2
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144119+24=144638%4
4/25Sunday, April 251:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
152010+0=151052%1
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1438+38+24=150048%8
4/24Saturday, April 247:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1519+15+0=153462%7
BALBALOrioles
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
143917+24=144638%2
4/23Friday, April 237:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
151892=150759%3
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144022+23=144141%1
4/21Wednesday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14426+0=143642%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
14662+24=148858%3
4/20Tuesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
1440201=141942%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
146816+26=147858%5
4/18Sunday, April 182:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1441+32+0=147349%0
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14592+24=148151%1
4/17Saturday, April 177:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1439+0+0=143941%6
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1461+13+24=149859%1
4/16Friday, April 168:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1436243=140938%5
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1463+8+21=149262%2
4/15Thursday, April 153:45 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1470+2+0=147252%2
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14372+24=145948%1
4/15Thursday, April 1512:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+23+2=149457%4
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143920+26=144543%2
4/13Tuesday, April 137:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
147013+0=145749%6
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1438+3+24=146551%7
4/13Tuesday, April 134:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+121=148047%4
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1439+35+26=150053%3
4/11Sunday, April 111:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150612+0=149457%14
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144021+24=144343%9
4/10Saturday, April 107:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
150514+2=149354%6
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14425+26=146346%4
4/8Thursday, April 83:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1504+222=152461%7
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144322+22=144339%3
4/7Wednesday, April 76:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1442+34+0=147634%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15723+24=159366%3
4/6Tuesday, April 66:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1442+7+0=144925%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+43+24=163975%7
4/5Monday, April 56:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1444232=141928%0
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15709+24=158572%7
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
144010+0=143038%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15017+24=151862%3
4/3Saturday, April 31:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143824+0=141434%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1502+0+24=152666%2
4/2Friday, April 22:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1436+292=146341%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15042+24=152659%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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