Updated Apr. 13, 2021, at 1:14 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Orioles have a 1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1439, down 3 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees5-51.581%60%
RaysRays5-51.546%19%
Blue JaysBlue Jays4-62.531%11%
Red SoxRed Sox6-327%10%
OriolesOrioles4-52.01%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 134:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+121=148047%
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1439+35+26=150053%
4/13Tuesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
146912+0=145749%
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1439+3+24=146651%
4/14Wednesday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1469+2+0=147154%
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143920+24=144346%
4/15Thursday, April 151:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+23+0=149255%
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14392+24=146145%
4/16Friday, April 168:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1439243=141239%
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1456+10+21=148761%
4/17Saturday, April 177:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143942%
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1456+14+24=149458%
4/18Sunday, April 182:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1439+35+0=147450%
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14563+24=147750%
4/20Tuesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1439+31=144145%
MIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
146314+26=147555%
4/21Wednesday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143920+0=141941%
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
14635+24=148259%
4/23Friday, April 237:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
150732=150256%
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14392+23=146044%
4/24Saturday, April 247:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150756%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146344%
4/25Sunday, April 251:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150756%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146344%
4/26Monday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+02=156865%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
4/27Tuesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
4/28Wednesday, April 287:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
4/29Thursday, April 291:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
4/30Friday, April 309:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+04=143537%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+20=152763%
5/1Saturday, May 14:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153163%
5/2Sunday, May 24:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153163%
5/3Monday, May 310:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143642%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149358%
5/4Tuesday, May 410:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143942%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149358%
5/5Wednesday, May 53:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143942%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149358%
5/7Friday, May 77:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+02=150656%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+22=146144%
5/8Saturday, May 87:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
5/9Sunday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
5/10Monday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143733%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+26=156267%
5/12Wednesday, May 1212:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143933%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156067%
5/14Friday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+03=156764%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146336%
5/15Saturday, May 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
5/16Sunday, May 161:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152759%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146541%
5/19Wednesday, May 197:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
5/20Thursday, May 2012:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+01=143836%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+21=153864%
5/22Saturday, May 224:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143936%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154164%
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143936%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154164%
5/24Monday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143632%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+21=156268%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143933%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
5/26Wednesday, May 261:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143933%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
5/27Thursday, May 278:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143735%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154265%
5/28Friday, May 288:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154265%
5/29Saturday, May 298:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154265%
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154265%
5/31Monday, May 311:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153861%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+21=146039%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146339%
6/2Wednesday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146339%
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151457%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146543%
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151457%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151457%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+02=153460%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146540%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153660%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146340%
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+01=143834%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+26=155466%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
6/14Monday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143636%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153864%
6/15Tuesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143936%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153864%
6/16Wednesday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143936%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153864%
6/17Thursday, June 171:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143936%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153864%
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151758%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+22=146142%
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
6/21Monday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155162%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146338%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155463%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146337%
6/23Wednesday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155463%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146337%
6/24Thursday, June 247:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143736%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+21=154064%
6/25Friday, June 257:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
6/26Saturday, June 263:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
6/27Sunday, June 271:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143631%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157569%
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143931%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157869%
6/30Wednesday, June 308:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143931%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157869%
7/2Friday, July 29:38 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+01=143837%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+20=153363%
7/3Saturday, July 310:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143936%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153764%
7/4Sunday, July 44:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143936%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153764%
7/6Tuesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+22=146142%
7/7Wednesday, July 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/8Thursday, July 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/9Friday, July 97:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+01=151758%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151858%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/11Sunday, July 111:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151858%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/16Friday, July 168:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+4=144342%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+28=149758%
7/17Saturday, July 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143942%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149358%
7/18Sunday, July 182:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143942%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149358%
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143634%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+22=155066%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
7/23Friday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+1=151858%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+23=146242%
7/24Saturday, July 247:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151758%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/25Sunday, July 251:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151758%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+01=146250%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146550%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146350%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146350%
7/29Thursday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143746%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+21=146654%
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143946%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146954%
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143946%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146954%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143946%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146954%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143729%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+21=159171%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159471%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159471%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152759%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144547%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146553%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144547%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146353%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144547%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146353%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143737%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 144:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143634%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+21=154966%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 191:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+01=153160%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+21=146040%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153260%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146340%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153260%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146340%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151357%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146543%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151357%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 261:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151357%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+1=152960%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146340%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143735%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+22=154165%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+22=159271%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 41:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159471%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143929%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159471%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146651%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+22=146149%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146951%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146349%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146951%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146349%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146951%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146349%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151758%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151958%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146342%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146535%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 165:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157065%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146335%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143737%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+22=153063%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143736%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+23=153364%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153463%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153463%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+02=145449%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+23=146251%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145649%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146351%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145649%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146351%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145649%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146351%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+3=151157%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146543%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143735%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 23:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143935%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154365%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 111:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150612+0=149457%14
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144021+24=144343%9
4/10Saturday, April 107:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
150514+2=149354%6
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14425+26=146346%4
4/8Thursday, April 83:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1504+222=152461%7
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144322+22=144339%3
4/7Wednesday, April 76:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1442+34+0=147634%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15723+24=159366%3
4/6Tuesday, April 66:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1442+7+0=144925%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+43+24=163975%7
4/5Monday, April 56:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1444232=141928%0
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15709+24=158572%7
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
144010+0=143038%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15017+24=151862%3
4/3Saturday, April 31:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143824+0=141434%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1502+0+24=152666%2
4/2Friday, April 22:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1436+292=146341%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15042+24=152659%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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