Updated Apr. 11, 2021, at 10:17 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres have an 80% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1564, up 1 point from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers8-297%77%
PadresPadres7-31.080%21%
GiantsGiants6-31.512%1%
DbacksDiamondbacks4-64.08%<1%
RockiesRockies3-75.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 126:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1564+263=158769%
PITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14337+24=145031%
4/13Tuesday, April 136:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1564+9+0=157367%
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14334+24=145333%
4/14Wednesday, April 146:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1564+11+0=157566%
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1433+5+24=146234%
4/15Thursday, April 1512:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156427+0=153761%
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14331+24=145639%
4/16Friday, April 1610:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1604+81=161154%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+20=158446%
4/17Saturday, April 178:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1604+9+0=161350%
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1564+26+24=161450%
4/18Sunday, April 184:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1604+23+0=162754%
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1564+9+24=159746%
4/19Monday, April 1910:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1520+334=154943%
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1564+11+24=159957%
4/20Tuesday, April 2010:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1520+27+0=154748%
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156427+24=156152%
4/21Wednesday, April 214:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152016+0=150438%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158862%
4/22Thursday, April 2210:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+01=156340%
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1604+8+23=163560%
4/23Friday, April 2310:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156441%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162859%
4/24Saturday, April 249:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156441%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162859%
4/25Sunday, April 257:08 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156441%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162859%
4/27Tuesday, April 279:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+22=150942%
4/28Wednesday, April 289:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
4/30Friday, April 3010:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148536%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
5/1Saturday, May 18:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148536%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148536%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
5/3Monday, May 310:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+04=142929%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158871%
5/4Tuesday, May 410:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143329%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158871%
5/5Wednesday, May 58:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143329%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158871%
5/7Friday, May 79:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+23=150842%
5/8Saturday, May 84:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150942%
5/9Sunday, May 94:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150942%
5/10Monday, May 108:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+03=156164%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+21=146436%
5/11Tuesday, May 118:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156464%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146736%
5/12Wednesday, May 123:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156464%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146736%
5/14Friday, May 1410:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+04=149938%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+23=158762%
5/15Saturday, May 158:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150338%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158862%
5/16Sunday, May 167:08 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150338%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158862%
5/17Monday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+03=144030%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
5/18Tuesday, May 1810:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144330%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
5/19Wednesday, May 194:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144330%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
5/21Friday, May 2110:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+01=146833%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+26=159067%
5/22Saturday, May 228:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158866%
5/23Sunday, May 234:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146934%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158866%
5/24Monday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+04=156053%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+22=154247%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156453%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154447%
5/26Wednesday, May 267:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156453%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154447%
5/27Thursday, May 271:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156453%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154447%
5/28Friday, May 288:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+03=156147%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+26=158353%
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156447%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158153%
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156447%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+24=158153%
5/31Monday, May 312:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+03=156155%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152345%
6/1Tuesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156456%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152344%
6/2Wednesday, June 22:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156456%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152344%
6/3Thursday, June 310:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+02=153443%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+20=158457%
6/4Friday, June 410:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153643%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158857%
6/5Saturday, June 510:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153643%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158857%
6/6Sunday, June 66:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153643%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158857%
6/7Monday, June 710:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+02=149737%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158863%
6/8Tuesday, June 810:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149938%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158862%
6/9Wednesday, June 94:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149938%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158862%
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+02=156250%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156050%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156451%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156049%
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156451%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156049%
6/14Monday, June 148:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+04=156063%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+21=146437%
6/15Tuesday, June 158:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156464%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146736%
6/16Wednesday, June 163:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156464%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146736%
6/17Thursday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+04=150338%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+21=158562%
6/18Friday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150739%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158861%
6/19Saturday, June 197:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150739%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158861%
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150739%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158861%
6/21Monday, June 2110:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+02=160252%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158848%
6/22Tuesday, June 2210:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160452%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158848%
6/23Wednesday, June 2310:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160452%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158848%
6/25Friday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+26=159064%
6/26Saturday, June 2610:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
6/27Sunday, June 274:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+02=156254%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+26=153346%
6/30Wednesday, June 307:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156455%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153145%
7/1Thursday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156455%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153145%
7/2Friday, July 26:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+02=156254%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153446%
7/3Saturday, July 34:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156454%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153446%
7/4Sunday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156454%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153446%
7/5Monday, July 510:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+04=151140%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+20=158460%
7/6Tuesday, July 610:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151540%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158860%
7/7Wednesday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151540%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158860%
7/8Thursday, July 89:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151540%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158860%
7/9Friday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+02=144130%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
7/10Saturday, July 1010:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144330%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
7/11Sunday, July 114:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144330%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+3=156754%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+27=154246%
7/17Saturday, July 177:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156454%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153946%
7/18Sunday, July 181:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156454%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153946%
7/19Monday, July 197:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+03=156151%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155749%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156451%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155749%
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156451%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155749%
7/22Thursday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+03=156161%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+21=148239%
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156461%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148539%
7/24Saturday, July 246:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156461%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148539%
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156461%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148539%
7/27Tuesday, July 2710:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+01=150438%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+22=158662%
7/28Wednesday, July 284:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150538%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158862%
7/29Thursday, July 2910:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+01=144230%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
7/30Friday, July 3010:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144330%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
7/31Saturday, July 318:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144330%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 14:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144330%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158870%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156455%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152945%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 43:37 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156455%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152945%
8/6Friday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+02=148536%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 84:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148736%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
8/9Monday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145832%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158868%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146133%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158867%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 114:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146133%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158867%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 129:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+02=156258%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+21=150842%
8/13Friday, Aug. 139:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 148:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+03=156164%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+21=146436%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156464%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146736%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 183:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156464%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146736%
8/20Friday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150839%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+23=158761%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 218:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151039%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158861%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 223:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151039%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158861%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 2410:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+1=160552%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+26=159048%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 2510:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160452%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158848%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 269:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160452%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158848%
8/27Friday, Aug. 279:38 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+01=156355%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+20=153145%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 289:07 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156454%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+24=153546%
8/30Monday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+20=150742%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 13:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151142%
9/3Friday, Sept. 310:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+01=155646%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158854%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 48:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155746%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158854%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1557+0+0=155746%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158854%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 710:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+01=151039%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+26=159061%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 88:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+0+0=151139%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158861%
9/10Friday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+1=156541%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+20=162459%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 119:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156441%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162859%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 124:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156441%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162859%
9/13Monday, Sept. 139:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+02=156258%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+20=150542%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 149:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150942%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 159:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150942%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 163:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150942%
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+04=156055%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+23=152645%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156455%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152745%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156455%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152745%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148536%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+22=158664%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148536%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148536%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158864%
9/24Friday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+02=153142%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158858%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 258:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153342%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158858%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 264:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153342%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158858%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+1=156541%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162859%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156441%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162859%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156441%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162859%
10/1Friday, Oct. 19:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+02=156257%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150943%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150942%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+0=156458%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150942%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 112:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Morejon, Adrian
Morejon
156337+0=152655%2
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1457+7+24=148845%0
4/10Saturday, April 107:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156228+0=153459%7
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145910+24=147341%4
4/9Friday, April 98:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1561+21=156261%3
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14605+26=148139%0
4/7Wednesday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1480+16+0=149636%3
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1562+11+24=159764%2
4/6Tuesday, April 610:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
148112+0=146930%1
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1561+27+24=161270%3
4/5Monday, April 510:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1479+31=148140%3
SDSDPadres
Morejon, Adrian
Morejon
156331+24=155660%2
4/4Sunday, April 44:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14859+0=147638%3
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156525+24=156462%1
4/3Saturday, April 38:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
14878+0=147935%0
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
15632+24=158565%7
4/2Friday, April 210:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1488+13+0=150137%2
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1562+10+24=159663%4
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148912=148632%7
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1561+33+24=161868%8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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