Updated Apr. 11, 2021, at 10:17 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Pirates have a 1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1433, down 1 point from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers5-41.050%37%
RedsReds6-338%26%
CardinalsCardinals5-41.032%21%
CubsCubs4-52.023%14%
PiratesPirates3-63.01%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 126:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1564+263=158769%
PITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14337+24=145031%
4/13Tuesday, April 136:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1564+9+0=157367%
PITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14334+24=145333%
4/14Wednesday, April 146:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1564+11+0=157566%
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1433+5+24=146234%
4/15Thursday, April 1512:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
156427+0=153761%
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14331+24=145639%
4/16Friday, April 168:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1433+62=143737%
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152016+26=153063%
4/17Saturday, April 177:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14337+0=142635%
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15208+24=153665%
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14334+0=142936%
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152014+24=153064%
4/20Tuesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1433+5+0=143848%
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
14419+22=145452%
4/21Wednesday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14331+0=143246%
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14415+24=146054%
4/22Thursday, April 221:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143345%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+24=146555%
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143032%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+22=156368%
4/24Saturday, April 242:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143332%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156568%
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143332%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156568%
4/27Tuesday, April 276:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+02=147052%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+23=145648%
4/28Wednesday, April 286:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+0=147252%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145748%
4/30Friday, April 306:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+03=150056%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+26=145944%
5/1Saturday, May 16:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150357%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
5/2Sunday, May 21:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150357%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
5/3Monday, May 310:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+04=142929%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158871%
5/4Tuesday, May 410:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143329%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158871%
5/5Wednesday, May 58:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143329%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1564+0+24=158871%
5/7Friday, May 72:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143137%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+26=152563%
5/8Saturday, May 82:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152363%
5/9Sunday, May 92:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152363%
5/10Monday, May 106:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+02=150557%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+22=145543%
5/11Tuesday, May 116:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150757%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
5/12Wednesday, May 1212:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150757%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
5/13Thursday, May 136:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+02=148354%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145746%
5/14Friday, May 146:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145746%
5/15Saturday, May 156:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145746%
5/16Sunday, May 161:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+0=148554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145746%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+01=143237%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+22=152563%
5/19Wednesday, May 197:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152763%
5/20Thursday, May 207:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143133%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155767%
5/21Friday, May 217:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143333%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155767%
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143333%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155767%
5/23Sunday, May 231:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143333%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+24=155767%
5/25Tuesday, May 256:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+01=149856%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145744%
5/26Wednesday, May 266:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149956%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145744%
5/27Thursday, May 2712:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149956%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145744%
5/28Friday, May 286:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+02=144148%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145752%
5/29Saturday, May 294:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144348%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145752%
5/30Sunday, May 301:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144348%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145752%
5/31Monday, May 318:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143041%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+22=149459%
6/1Tuesday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143341%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1472+0+24=149659%
6/3Thursday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145950%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+23=145650%
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146151%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145749%
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146151%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145749%
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146151%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145749%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160470%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+26=145930%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160470%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145730%
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160470%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145730%
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143134%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+22=154266%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143334%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154466%
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143334%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154466%
6/14Monday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143035%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153965%
6/15Tuesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143335%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153965%
6/16Wednesday, June 164:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143335%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+24=153965%
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+02=151358%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145742%
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151558%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145742%
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151558%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145742%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+01=151658%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+26=145942%
6/23Wednesday, June 2312:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151759%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
6/24Thursday, June 248:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143037%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+22=152563%
6/25Friday, June 258:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152763%
6/26Saturday, June 262:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152763%
6/27Sunday, June 272:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152763%
6/28Monday, June 288:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143045%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+21=146455%
6/29Tuesday, June 298:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143345%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146755%
6/30Wednesday, June 303:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143345%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146755%
7/1Thursday, July 17:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+02=151859%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+21=145441%
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152059%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
7/3Saturday, July 34:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152059%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
7/4Sunday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152059%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
7/5Monday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+02=153160%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145740%
7/6Tuesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153361%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145739%
7/7Wednesday, July 712:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1533+0+0=153361%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145739%
7/8Thursday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143132%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156068%
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143332%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156068%
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143332%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156068%
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143332%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156068%
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+5=154161%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+29=146239%
7/17Saturday, July 177:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153661%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145739%
7/18Sunday, July 181:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153661%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145739%
7/19Monday, July 199:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+04=142938%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151162%
7/20Tuesday, July 209:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143339%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151161%
7/21Wednesday, July 213:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143339%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+24=151161%
7/23Friday, July 239:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+01=143239%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+22=150761%
7/24Saturday, July 249:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143339%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150961%
7/25Sunday, July 254:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143339%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1485+0+24=150961%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152059%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+22=145541%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152059%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
7/29Thursday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152059%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
7/30Friday, July 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150857%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151058%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145742%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151058%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145742%
8/2Monday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143134%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+21=154166%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143334%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154466%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 42:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143334%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154466%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143136%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153164%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153164%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153164%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153164%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+01=150256%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145744%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150357%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 1212:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150357%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+02=151859%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152059%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152059%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
8/16Monday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+04=142925%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+20=162475%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143325%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162875%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143325%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162875%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143137%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152763%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152763%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152763%
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+03=148454%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+21=145446%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148754%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145746%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1487+0+0=148754%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145746%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+03=150056%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145744%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150357%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150357%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150357%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143335%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154365%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143335%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154165%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+01=143237%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+22=152163%
9/3Friday, Sept. 32:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152363%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 42:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152363%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143337%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152363%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+02=143948%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+22=145552%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144148%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145752%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1441+0+0=144148%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145752%
9/10Friday, Sept. 106:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+02=151358%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+26=145942%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151558%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145742%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1515+0+0=151558%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145742%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 146:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+01=150657%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+26=145943%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 156:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150757%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 1612:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150757%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143042%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+23=148458%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 186:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143343%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148557%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143343%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148557%
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143036%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153164%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153164%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 2212:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153164%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143135%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153465%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153464%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153464%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143336%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153464%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 286:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149956%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145744%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 296:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149956%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145744%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 306:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149956%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145744%
10/1Friday, Oct. 16:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150757%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150757%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150757%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145743%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 111:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Williams, Trevor
Williams
150220+0=148254%1
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1430+3+24=145746%7
4/10Saturday, April 106:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1505+8+2=151559%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14273+26=145041%8
4/8Thursday, April 81:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
150462=149655%4
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1428+8+22=145845%2
4/7Wednesday, April 712:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14301+0=142934%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1509+13+24=154666%11
4/6Tuesday, April 66:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14332+0=143139%1
CINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
150619+24=151161%14
4/5Monday, April 56:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
143412=143139%3
CINCINReds
De Leon, Jose
De Leon
150519+24=151061%5
4/4Sunday, April 42:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14343+0=143135%3
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1506+9+24=153965%4
4/3Saturday, April 32:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1436+7+2=144539%1
CHCCHCCubs
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15047+26=152361%5
4/1Thursday, April 12:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
143432=142931%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1506+35+24=156569%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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