2021 MLB Predictions

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
4/12Monday, April 126:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1564	+26	–3	=1587	69%
	PITPirates	Cahill	1433	–7	+24	=1450	31%
4/13Tuesday, April 136:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1564	+9	+0	=1573	67%
	PITPirates	Kuhl	1433	–4	+24	=1453	33%
4/14Wednesday, April 146:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1564	+11	+0	=1575	66%
	PITPirates	Anderson	1433	+5	+24	=1462	34%
4/15Thursday, April 1512:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Paddack	1564	–27	+0	=1537	61%
	PITPirates	Keller	1433	–1	+24	=1456	39%
4/16Friday, April 168:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1433	+6	–2	=1437	37%
	MILBrewers	Houser	1520	–16	+26	=1530	63%
4/17Saturday, April 177:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Cahill	1433	–7	+0	=1426	35%
	MILBrewers	Anderson	1520	–8	+24	=1536	65%
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Kuhl	1433	–4	+0	=1429	36%
	MILBrewers	Peralta	1520	–14	+24	=1530	64%
4/20Tuesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Anderson	1433	+5	+0	=1438	48%
	DETTigers	Fulmer	1441	–9	+22	=1454	52%
4/21Wednesday, April 216:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1433	–1	+0	=1432	46%
	DETTigers	Skubal	1441	–5	+24	=1460	54%
4/22Thursday, April 221:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	45%
	DETTigers	—	1441	+0	+24	=1465	55%
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–3	=1430	32%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+22	=1563	68%
4/24Saturday, April 242:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	32%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	68%
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	32%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	68%
4/27Tuesday, April 276:35 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1472	+0	–2	=1470	52%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+23	=1456	48%
4/28Wednesday, April 286:35 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1472	+0	+0	=1472	52%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	48%
4/30Friday, April 306:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	–3	=1500	56%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+26	=1459	44%
5/1Saturday, May 16:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+0	=1503	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
5/2Sunday, May 21:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+0	=1503	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
5/3Monday, May 310:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–4	=1429	29%
	SDPadres	—	1564	+0	+24	=1588	71%
5/4Tuesday, May 410:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	29%
	SDPadres	—	1564	+0	+24	=1588	71%
5/5Wednesday, May 58:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	29%
	SDPadres	—	1564	+0	+24	=1588	71%
5/7Friday, May 72:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	37%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+26	=1525	63%
5/8Saturday, May 82:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	63%
5/9Sunday, May 92:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	63%
5/10Monday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	–2	=1505	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+22	=1455	43%
5/11Tuesday, May 116:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
5/12Wednesday, May 1212:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
5/13Thursday, May 136:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	–2	=1483	54%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	46%
5/14Friday, May 146:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	+0	=1485	54%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	46%
5/15Saturday, May 156:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	+0	=1485	54%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	46%
5/16Sunday, May 161:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	+0	=1485	54%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	46%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:45 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–1	=1432	37%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+22	=1525	63%
5/19Wednesday, May 197:45 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	63%
5/20Thursday, May 207:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	33%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+24	=1557	67%
5/21Friday, May 217:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	33%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+24	=1557	67%
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	33%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+24	=1557	67%
5/23Sunday, May 231:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	33%
	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+24	=1557	67%
5/25Tuesday, May 256:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	–1	=1498	56%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	44%
5/26Wednesday, May 266:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	56%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	44%
5/27Thursday, May 2712:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	56%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	44%
5/28Friday, May 286:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	–2	=1441	48%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	52%
5/29Saturday, May 294:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+0	=1443	48%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	52%
5/30Sunday, May 301:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+0	=1443	48%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	52%
5/31Monday, May 318:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–3	=1430	41%
	KCRoyals	—	1472	+0	+22	=1494	59%
6/1Tuesday, June 18:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	41%
	KCRoyals	—	1472	+0	+24	=1496	59%
6/3Thursday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	–2	=1459	50%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+23	=1456	50%
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	51%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	49%
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	51%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	49%
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	51%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	49%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+0	=1604	70%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+26	=1459	30%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+0	=1604	70%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	30%
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+0	=1604	70%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	30%
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	34%
	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+22	=1542	66%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	34%
	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+24	=1544	66%
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	34%
	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+24	=1544	66%
6/14Monday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–3	=1430	35%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	65%
6/15Tuesday, June 157:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	35%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	65%
6/16Wednesday, June 164:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	35%
	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+24	=1539	65%
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1515	+0	–2	=1513	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1517	+0	–1	=1516	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+26	=1459	42%
6/23Wednesday, June 2312:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1517	+0	+0	=1517	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	41%
6/24Thursday, June 248:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–3	=1430	37%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+22	=1525	63%
6/25Friday, June 258:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	63%
6/26Saturday, June 262:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	63%
6/27Sunday, June 272:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	63%
6/28Monday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–3	=1430	45%
	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+21	=1464	55%
6/29Tuesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	45%
	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+24	=1467	55%
6/30Wednesday, June 303:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	45%
	COLRockies	—	1443	+0	+24	=1467	55%
7/1Thursday, July 17:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	–2	=1518	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+21	=1454	41%
7/2Friday, July 27:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	41%
7/3Saturday, July 34:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	41%
7/4Sunday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	41%
7/5Monday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	–2	=1531	60%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	40%
7/6Tuesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+0	=1533	61%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	39%
7/7Wednesday, July 712:35 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1533	+0	+0	=1533	61%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	39%
7/8Thursday, July 87:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	32%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+24	=1560	68%
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	32%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+24	=1560	68%
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	32%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+24	=1560	68%
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	32%
	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+24	=1560	68%
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+5	=1541	61%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+29	=1462	39%
7/17Saturday, July 177:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+0	=1536	61%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	39%
7/18Sunday, July 181:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1536	+0	+0	=1536	61%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	39%
7/19Monday, July 199:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–4	=1429	38%
	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+24	=1511	62%
7/20Tuesday, July 209:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	39%
	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+24	=1511	61%
7/21Wednesday, July 213:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	39%
	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+24	=1511	61%
7/23Friday, July 239:45 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–1	=1432	39%
	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	+22	=1507	61%
7/24Saturday, July 249:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	39%
	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	+24	=1509	61%
7/25Sunday, July 254:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	39%
	SFGiants	—	1485	+0	+24	=1509	61%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+22	=1455	41%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	41%
7/29Thursday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	41%
7/30Friday, July 307:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	–2	=1508	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
7/31Saturday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+0	=1510	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
8/2Monday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	34%
	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+21	=1541	66%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	34%
	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+24	=1544	66%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 42:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	34%
	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+24	=1544	66%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	36%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	64%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	64%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	64%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	64%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	–1	=1502	56%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	44%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+0	=1503	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 1212:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+0	=1503	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	–2	=1518	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	41%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	41%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	+0	+0	=1520	59%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	41%
8/16Monday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–4	=1429	25%
	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+20	=1624	75%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	25%
	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+24	=1628	75%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	25%
	LADDodgers	—	1604	+0	+24	=1628	75%
8/20Friday, Aug. 208:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	37%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	63%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	63%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 222:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+24	=1527	63%
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	–3	=1484	54%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+21	=1454	46%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+0	=1487	54%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	46%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1487	+0	+0	=1487	54%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	46%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	–3	=1500	56%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	44%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+0	=1503	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+0	=1503	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1503	+0	+0	=1503	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	35%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1517	+0	+26	=1543	65%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	35%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1517	+0	+24	=1541	65%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–1	=1432	37%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+22	=1521	63%
9/3Friday, Sept. 32:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	63%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 42:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	63%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	37%
	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	63%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:35 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1441	+0	–2	=1439	48%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+22	=1455	52%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1441	+0	+0	=1441	48%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	52%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:35 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1441	+0	+0	=1441	48%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	52%
9/10Friday, Sept. 106:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	–2	=1513	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+26	=1459	42%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1515	+0	+0	=1515	58%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 146:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	–1	=1506	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+26	=1459	43%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 156:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 1612:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–3	=1430	42%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+23	=1484	58%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 186:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	43%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	57%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	43%
	MIAMarlins	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	57%
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–3	=1430	36%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	64%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	64%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 2212:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	64%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	35%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	65%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	64%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	64%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	36%
	PHIPhillies	—	1510	+0	+24	=1534	64%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 286:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	56%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	44%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 296:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	56%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	44%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 306:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	56%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	44%
10/1Friday, Oct. 16:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	57%
	PITPirates	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	43%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
4/11Sunday, April 111:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Williams	1502	–20	+0	=1482	54%	1
	PITPirates	Brubaker	1430	+3	+24	=1457	46%	7
4/10Saturday, April 106:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Davies	1505	+8	+2	=1515	59%	2
	PITPirates	Keller	1427	–3	+26	=1450	41%	8
4/8Thursday, April 81:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Arrieta	1504	–6	–2	=1496	55%	4
	PITPirates	Anderson	1428	+8	+22	=1458	45%	2
4/7Wednesday, April 712:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Kuhl	1430	–1	+0	=1429	34%	4
	CINReds	Castillo	1509	+13	+24	=1546	66%	11
4/6Tuesday, April 66:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Cahill	1433	–2	+0	=1431	39%	1
	CINReds	Miley	1506	–19	+24	=1511	61%	14
4/5Monday, April 56:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1434	–1	–2	=1431	39%	3
	CINReds	De Leon	1505	–19	+24	=1510	61%	5
4/4Sunday, April 42:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1434	–3	+0	=1431	35%	3
	CHCCubs	Davies	1506	+9	+24	=1539	65%	4
4/3Saturday, April 32:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Anderson	1436	+7	+2	=1445	39%	1
	CHCCubs	Arrieta	1504	–7	+26	=1523	61%	5
4/1Thursday, April 12:20 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Kuhl	1434	–3	–2	=1429	31%	5
	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1506	+35	+24	=1565	69%	3