Updated Apr. 13, 2021, at 1:14 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rays have a 46% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1528, down 1 point from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees5-51.581%60%
RaysRays5-51.546%19%
Blue JaysBlue Jays4-62.531%11%
Red SoxRed Sox6-327%10%
OriolesOrioles4-52.01%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 137:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14563+0=145336%
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1528+2+24=155464%
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14565+0=145134%
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1528+14+24=156666%
4/15Thursday, April 157:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145613+0=144335%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155265%
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1528243=150138%
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15707+24=158762%
4/17Saturday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1528+25+0=155337%
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1570+50+24=164463%
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1528+2+0=153041%
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1570+0+24=159459%
4/19Monday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1528+143=153956%
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1469+2+24=149544%
4/20Tuesday, April 208:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152857%
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
146915+24=147843%
4/21Wednesday, April 218:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152824+0=150449%
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1469+15+24=150851%
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
151861=151141%
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1528+25+23=157659%
4/24Saturday, April 246:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
4/26Monday, April 267:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+03=150443%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155257%
4/27Tuesday, April 277:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150743%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155257%
4/28Wednesday, April 287:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150743%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155257%
4/29Thursday, April 291:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150743%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155257%
4/30Friday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155150%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155250%
5/1Saturday, May 11:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155450%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155250%
5/2Sunday, May 27:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155450%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155250%
5/3Monday, May 39:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+04=152449%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+21=153451%
5/4Tuesday, May 49:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152849%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153751%
5/5Wednesday, May 59:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152849%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153751%
5/6Thursday, May 69:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152849%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153751%
5/7Friday, May 79:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+02=152649%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153151%
5/8Saturday, May 84:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153150%
5/9Sunday, May 94:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153150%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+01=156953%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+22=155047%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157052%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155248%
5/13Thursday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157052%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155248%
5/14Friday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+01=153547%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155253%
5/15Saturday, May 151:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153648%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155252%
5/16Sunday, May 161:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153648%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155252%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152759%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146541%
5/19Wednesday, May 197:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
5/20Thursday, May 2012:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
5/21Friday, May 216:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+02=152648%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/22Saturday, May 223:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/23Sunday, May 231:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/24Monday, May 243:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+01=146839%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+21=154961%
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146938%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155262%
5/27Thursday, May 273:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146938%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155262%
5/29Saturday, May 291:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151044%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+26=155456%
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151044%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
5/31Monday, May 311:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152541%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+22=159259%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159459%
6/2Wednesday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159459%
6/3Thursday, June 31:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159459%
6/4Friday, June 48:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152557%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+21=147743%
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152857%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148043%
6/6Sunday, June 62:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152857%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148043%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+01=151645%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+23=155155%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151745%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+01=143834%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+26=155466%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152548%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+22=154052%
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154252%
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154252%
6/17Thursday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+04=152455%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149345%
6/18Friday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152855%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149345%
6/19Saturday, June 1910:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152855%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149345%
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152855%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149345%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+01=150744%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+22=155056%
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+02=151144%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151344%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151344%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152748%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154152%
6/30Wednesday, June 304:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154152%
7/2Friday, July 27:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
7/3Saturday, July 33:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
7/4Sunday, July 41:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
7/5Monday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+03=151145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+21=154955%
7/6Tuesday, July 67:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151445%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
7/7Wednesday, July 712:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151445%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151644%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+26=155456%
7/10Saturday, July 101:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
7/16Friday, July 167:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+5=153346%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+28=156054%
7/17Saturday, July 177:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152846%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155654%
7/18Sunday, July 181:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152846%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155654%
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143634%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+22=155066%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
7/22Thursday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152549%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+21=153551%
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152849%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153851%
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152849%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153851%
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152849%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153851%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+2=157253%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+23=155147%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157052%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155248%
7/29Thursday, July 291:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157052%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155248%
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+03=150543%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155257%
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146638%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155262%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146938%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155262%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 41:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146938%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155262%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152759%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152544%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156756%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152845%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156555%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152845%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156555%
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143634%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+21=154966%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 191:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155266%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+03=151545%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 211:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151845%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151845%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152749%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+22=153251%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153451%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+1=152960%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146340%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146341%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+03=150544%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+21=154956%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+01=154048%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155252%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154148%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155252%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154148%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155252%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152549%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153451%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152758%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146942%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146941%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152859%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146941%
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+02=152648%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+22=154152%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152848%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+03=144235%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+21=154965%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144535%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155265%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144535%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155265%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144535%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155265%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151645%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151945%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155255%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146337%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+26=155463%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 256:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146337%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155263%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146337%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155263%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+01=152743%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+22=157657%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152843%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157857%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152843%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157857%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152541%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+22=159259%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 21:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159459%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152841%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159459%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 127:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1456+103=146335%0
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1528+19+24=157165%1
4/11Sunday, April 111:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15674+0=156353%8
TBTBRays
Honeywell Jr., Brent
Honeywell Jr.
153014+24=154047%4
4/10Saturday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156924+0=154550%0
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
15284+24=154850%4
4/9Friday, April 93:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
157161=156450%5
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1525+15+23=156350%10
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1528+10+0=153852%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1501+1+24=152648%9
4/6Tuesday, April 67:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1529+15+0=154456%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
150020+24=150444%6
4/5Monday, April 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1532221=150950%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149714+24=150750%11
4/3Saturday, April 36:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1535+18+0=155360%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14622+24=148440%12
4/2Friday, April 27:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1534+8+0=154257%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1463+8+24=149543%4
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1533+112=154256%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1464+15+24=150344%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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