Updated Jul. 31, 2021, at 11:56 PM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rays have a 92% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1560, up 6 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
RaysRays63-4292%60%
Red SoxRed Sox63-430.579%29%
YankeesYankees55-487.042%6%
Blue JaysBlue Jays53-488.030%4%
OriolesOrioles37-6625.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/1Sunday, Aug. 17 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15273+0=152441%
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1560+0+24=158459%
8/2Monday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
148213=147837%
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
156013+24=157163%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1482+13+0=149539%
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
156015+24=156961%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 41:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1482+23+0=150541%
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
156019+24=156559%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
156031=155657%
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1435+45+24=150443%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1560+0+0=156063%
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1435+9+24=146837%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
156013+0=154764%
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14359+24=145036%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
156015+0=154548%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1527+7+24=155852%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
156019+0=154151%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152718+24=153349%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155450%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155450%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156063=155155%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+26=151545%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155456%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+24=151344%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155456%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+24=151344%
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+73=143931%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+21=157569%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144231%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157869%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144231%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157869%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 191:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144231%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157869%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153444%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157856%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 211:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153744%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157856%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153744%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157856%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156061=155354%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+22=152346%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155454%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152546%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+1=155562%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146638%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155462%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146638%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155462%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146638%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+33=152743%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+21=157557%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+0=153043%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157857%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+0=153043%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157857%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+0=153043%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157857%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
149121=148837%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157863%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+0=148938%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157862%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14912+0=148938%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157862%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156063=155150%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155450%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155450%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155450%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155450%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+3+24=155450%
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156061=155360%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148640%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 116:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148640%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+24=148640%
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156062=155248%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+22=156552%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155448%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156752%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155448%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+24=156752%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
146423=145934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+21=157566%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157866%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157866%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14642+0=146234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157866%
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+83=154045%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157855%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154345%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157855%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1535+8+0=154345%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157855%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+0=147736%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+26=158064%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 256:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+0=147736%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157864%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+0=147736%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+24=157864%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156061=155344%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+22=159256%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155444%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159456%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155444%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159456%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156063=155148%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+22=156652%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 21:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155448%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156852%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15606+0=155448%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15473+24=156852%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1529+25+0=155446%5
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15581+24=158154%9
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1530143=151343%3
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
155720+24=156157%7
7/29Thursday, July 291:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1550+36+0=158655%0
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
155224+24=155245%14
7/28Wednesday, July 287 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
154844+0=150442%3
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155417+24=156158%1
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
154721=154445%4
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1555+3+23=158155%3
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15563+0=155355%2
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14984+24=151845%3
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
155419+0=153555%8
CLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150025+24=149945%2
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
155214+0=153849%10
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1502+20+24=154651%5
7/22Thursday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
1551233=152552%5
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150314+21=151048%4
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
143016+0=141430%4
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155016+24=155870%5
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1432+50+0=148237%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
15481+24=157163%9
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1428+133=143832%6
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15521+22=157368%1
7/18Sunday, July 181:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1551+9+0=156054%7
ATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152617+24=153346%5
7/17Saturday, July 177:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
15545+0=154951%0
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15236+24=154149%9
7/16Friday, July 167:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155316+5=154245%7
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1524+21+28=157355%6
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1528+12+0=154043%3
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1554+9+24=158757%1
7/10Saturday, July 101:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15305+0=152543%2
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15534+24=157357%5
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1532+91=154046%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
15516+26=157154%7
7/7Wednesday, July 72:55 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
149928+0=147136%0
TBTBRays
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15494+24=156964%4
7/7Wednesday, July 712:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150117+2=148640%1
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154719+26=155460%8
7/5Monday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
1501423=145633%8
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1547+9+21=157767%9
7/4Sunday, July 41:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15455+0=154046%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1534+10+24=156854%1
7/3Saturday, July 33:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
15466+0=154049%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15327+24=154951%6
7/2Friday, July 27:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
154921+0=152847%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15291+24=155253%11
6/30Wednesday, June 304:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
155323+0=153053%6
WSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
151833+24=150947%15
6/29Tuesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1554+131=156655%3
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
15179+24=153245%4
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
149611+0=148538%6
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15569+24=157162%4
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1499+3+0=150241%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
155312+24=156559%13
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1500+02=149842%3
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
155220+24=155658%4
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15203+0=151745%0
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155124+24=155155%1
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15228+0=151440%2
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1549+14+24=158760%8
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1520+41=152345%9
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
155219+22=155555%5
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
155417+0=153753%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1474+19+24=151747%6
6/19Saturday, June 1910:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
1555+0+0=155557%5
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1473+10+24=150743%6
6/18Friday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155719+0=153854%1
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1471+13+24=150846%5
6/17Thursday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1559+164=157160%5
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1469+6+24=149940%6
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15607+0=155346%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1543+10+24=157754%8
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
156120+0=154149%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154217+24=154951%3
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1559+263=158248%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1543+30+22=159552%2
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14344+0=143032%1
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155821+24=156168%7
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14355+0=143027%4
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1558+18+24=160073%5
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1436+141=144933%2
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
155710+26=157367%4
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
150416+0=148839%9
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
155914+24=156961%7
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Lester, Jon
Lester
1504221=148133%1
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1558+22+23=160367%3
6/6Sunday, June 62:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155621+0=153557%7
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1453+8+24=148543%1
6/5Saturday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1555+16+0=157165%3
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
145416+24=146235%0
6/4Friday, June 48:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
1556+13=155458%4
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1453+24+21=149842%5
6/3Thursday, June 31:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
155314+0=153937%9
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1557+48+24=162963%2
6/2Wednesday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
15538+0=154546%3
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15569+24=157154%4
6/1Tuesday, June 17 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1555+21+0=157651%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155512+24=156749%5
5/31Monday, May 311:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1554+153=156650%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
155611+22=156750%1
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
14993+0=149639%2
TBTBRays
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15524+24=157261%6
5/29Saturday, May 291:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1500+35+0=153546%3
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
155116+26=156154%5
5/27Thursday, May 273:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1470+9+0=147939%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
154914+24=155961%7
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1471+10+0=148135%1
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1549+17+24=159065%2
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
146931=146533%2
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1550+14+21=158567%1
5/24Monday, May 241:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154814+0=153449%14
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
15278+24=154351%8
5/23Sunday, May 231:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154619+0=152741%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1529+40+24=159359%4
5/22Saturday, May 227:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
154415+0=152946%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1530+3+24=155754%1
5/21Friday, May 217:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1543+252=156652%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
15323+24=155348%7
5/20Thursday, May 2012:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1541+13+0=155462%10
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1439+4+24=146738%1
5/19Wednesday, May 197:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
154010+0=153052%9
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1441+53+24=151848%7
5/18Tuesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
1538191=151859%13
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144316+26=145341%6
5/16Sunday, May 161:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15364+0=153247%1
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
15354+24=155553%7
5/15Saturday, May 151:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Smith, Drew
Smith
153838+0=150044%5
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
153315+24=154256%12
5/14Friday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1539281=151040%2
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1532+21+24=157760%3
5/13Thursday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15659+0=155649%1
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1529+9+24=156251%9
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1564+52+0=161659%1
TBTBRays
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15301+24=155341%0
5/11Tuesday, May 117 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1562121=154952%3
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153217+22=153748%1
5/9Sunday, May 94:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
153013+0=151746%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1515+7+24=154654%3
5/8Saturday, May 84:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1532+23+0=155554%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15148+24=153046%6
5/7Friday, May 79:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1533+62=153749%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1513+10+24=154751%2
5/6Thursday, May 69:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15312+0=152949%8
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1499+9+24=153251%3
5/5Wednesday, May 59:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
153018+0=151248%3
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
15011+24=152452%1
5/4Tuesday, May 49:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
152717+0=151049%8
LAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
15038+24=151951%3
5/3Monday, May 39:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1526+274=154956%7
LAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
150518+21=150844%3
5/2Sunday, May 21:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1551+12+0=156351%4
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1524+5+24=155349%5
5/1Saturday, May 14:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1550+0+0=155050%3
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
15261+24=154950%1
4/30Friday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
154713=154349%9
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15293+24=155051%2
4/29Thursday, April 291:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1517+15+0=153249%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
153018+24=153651%2
4/28Wednesday, April 287:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15187+0=151141%0
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1529+24+24=157759%2
4/27Tuesday, April 277:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15198+0=151147%3
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152817+24=153553%4
4/26Monday, April 267:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1518+113=152646%2
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1529+4+24=155754%1
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1520+35+0=155553%1
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153017+24=153747%0
4/24Saturday, April 246:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15211+0=152047%3
TBTBRays
Honeywell Jr., Brent
Honeywell Jr.
152912+24=154153%5
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
152031=151641%5
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1530+27+23=158059%3
4/21Wednesday, April 218:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153116+0=151555%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
147114+24=148145%9
4/20Tuesday, April 208:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1529+6+0=153555%14
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1473+3+24=150045%7
4/19Monday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
152883=151752%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1475+5+24=150448%1
4/18Sunday, April 181:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
152618+0=150832%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1562+53+24=163968%2
4/17Saturday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1524+25+0=154945%6
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15645+24=158355%3
4/16Friday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1521223=149641%8
NYYNYYYankees
Nelson, Nick
Nelson
156731+24=156059%2
4/15Thursday, April 157:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146115+0=144634%6
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1523+14+24=156166%4
4/14Wednesday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14596+0=145337%5
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
15257+24=154263%1
4/13Tuesday, April 137:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14563+0=145336%8
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1528+2+24=155464%3
4/12Monday, April 127:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1456+103=146335%0
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1528+19+24=157165%1
4/11Sunday, April 111:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15674+0=156353%8
TBTBRays
Honeywell Jr., Brent
Honeywell Jr.
153014+24=154047%4
4/10Saturday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156924+0=154550%0
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
15284+24=154850%4
4/9Friday, April 93:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
157161=156450%5
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1525+15+23=156350%10
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1528+10+0=153852%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1501+1+24=152648%9
4/6Tuesday, April 67:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1529+15+0=154456%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
150020+24=150444%6
4/5Monday, April 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1532221=150950%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149714+24=150750%11
4/3Saturday, April 36:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1535+18+0=155360%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14622+24=148440%12
4/2Friday, April 27:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1534+8+0=154257%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1463+8+24=149543%4
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1533+112=154256%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1464+15+24=150344%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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