Updated Apr. 13, 2021, at 1:14 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox have a 27% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1508, up 8 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees5-51.581%60%
RaysRays5-51.546%19%
Blue JaysBlue Jays4-62.531%11%
Red SoxRed Sox6-327%10%
OriolesOrioles4-52.01%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 132:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1508191=148840%
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15416+26=156160%
4/14Wednesday, April 147:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1508+5+0=151341%
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1541+12+24=157759%
4/15Thursday, April 151:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1508+22+0=153044%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1541+6+24=157156%
4/16Friday, April 167:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1518293=148646%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
150813+21=151654%
4/17Saturday, April 174:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15189+0=150948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150813+24=151952%
4/18Sunday, April 181:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1518+30+0=154855%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
150819+24=151345%
4/19Monday, April 1911:10 a.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
151815+0=150345%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1508+5+24=153755%
4/20Tuesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
151891=150843%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1508+22+24=155457%
4/21Wednesday, April 217:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151950%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
150813+24=151950%
4/22Thursday, April 227:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+232=149046%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150813+24=151954%
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14691+0=146844%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
150819+24=151356%
4/24Saturday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
4/27Tuesday, April 277:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150842%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+26=156258%
4/28Wednesday, April 286:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150843%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156057%
4/29Thursday, April 298:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+03=150554%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148046%
4/30Friday, April 308:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150854%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148046%
5/1Saturday, May 17:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150854%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148046%
5/2Sunday, May 22:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150854%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148046%
5/4Tuesday, May 47:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144538%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+22=153062%
5/5Wednesday, May 57:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144538%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153262%
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144538%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153262%
5/7Friday, May 77:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+02=150656%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+22=146144%
5/8Saturday, May 87:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
5/9Sunday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
5/10Monday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+02=150546%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+22=153054%
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150746%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153254%
5/13Thursday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150746%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153254%
5/14Friday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+02=151147%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153253%
5/15Saturday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151347%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153253%
5/16Sunday, May 161:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151347%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153253%
5/18Tuesday, May 186:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154555%
5/19Wednesday, May 196:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
5/20Thursday, May 206:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+02=150646%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150846%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150846%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+01=153150%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153250%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+03=146039%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153461%
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146340%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153260%
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146340%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153260%
5/31Monday, May 314:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+04=150439%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157861%
6/1Tuesday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150840%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
6/2Wednesday, June 28:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150840%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
6/3Thursday, June 32:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150840%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157860%
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+03=150537%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159463%
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159462%
6/6Sunday, June 61:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159462%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153247%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153247%
6/10Thursday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155453%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153247%
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151648%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
6/14Monday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
6/15Tuesday, June 157:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+03=150543%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+23=155557%
6/16Wednesday, June 167:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150843%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155657%
6/18Friday, June 188:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+01=150752%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+26=149548%
6/19Saturday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+01=150744%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+22=155056%
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+02=156856%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+21=152944%
6/26Saturday, June 267:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157055%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
6/27Sunday, June 27NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157055%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
6/28Monday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+04=146540%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153460%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
6/30Wednesday, June 307:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
7/1Thursday, July 11:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146941%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153259%
7/2Friday, July 29:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+04=150446%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153154%
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150847%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153153%
7/4Sunday, July 44:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150847%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+24=153153%
7/5Monday, July 59:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+02=150645%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153755%
7/6Tuesday, July 69:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150846%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153754%
7/7Wednesday, July 74:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150846%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+24=153754%
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150747%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+22=153053%
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151047%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153253%
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151047%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153253%
7/15Thursday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+5=151338%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+28=159862%
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159462%
7/17Saturday, July 177:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159462%
7/18Sunday, July 187:08 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159462%
7/19Monday, July 197:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+02=150645%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
7/21Wednesday, July 217:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
7/22Thursday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+02=156855%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+22=153045%
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157055%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
7/24Saturday, July 244:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157055%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
7/25Sunday, July 25NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157055%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
7/26Monday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151748%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153452%
7/27Tuesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
7/29Thursday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153252%
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+03=150543%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155257%
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+01=150755%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+26=147145%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150856%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146944%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 51:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150856%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146944%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+02=150645%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 73:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154355%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143737%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 144:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+23=159362%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150838%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159462%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+04=145239%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153261%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145639%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153261%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145639%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153261%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153449%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153249%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153249%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+03=150545%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153855%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150846%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153854%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150846%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153854%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+03=150544%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+21=154956%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150844%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155256%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+03=151147%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+21=152953%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151447%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153253%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 5CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151447%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153253%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152549%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153451%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153250%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+01=150746%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+20=153854%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154255%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154255%
9/13Monday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+04=150452%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150852%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 154:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150852%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+02=143737%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+22=153063%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153263%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153650%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153450%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153651%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153249%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157055%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153445%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157055%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 26NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157055%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153245%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+3=151157%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+26=146543%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150857%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146343%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+01=150745%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+22=153955%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 31:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 111:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150612+0=149457%14
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144021+24=144343%9
4/10Saturday, April 107:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
150514+2=149354%6
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14425+26=146346%4
4/8Thursday, April 83:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1504+222=152461%7
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144322+22=144339%3
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1528+10+0=153852%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1501+1+24=152648%9
4/6Tuesday, April 67:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1529+15+0=154456%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
150020+24=150444%6
4/5Monday, April 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1532221=150950%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149714+24=150750%11
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
144010+0=143038%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15017+24=151862%3
4/3Saturday, April 31:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143824+0=141434%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1502+0+24=152666%2
4/2Friday, April 22:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1436+292=146341%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15042+24=152659%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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