Updated Aug. 4, 2021, at 1:37 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox have a 71% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1525, down 9 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
RaysRays64-4489%57%
Red SoxRed Sox63-451.071%27%
YankeesYankees57-496.044%9%
Blue JaysBlue Jays55-497.038%8%
OriolesOrioles38-6825.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1525+8+0=153354%
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+16+24=150746%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 51:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152518+0=150752%
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1467+0+24=149148%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1525+212=154446%
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1536+13+24=157354%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 73:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15253+0=152240%
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1536+29+24=158960%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1525+14+0=153945%
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1536+17+24=157755%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
152522+0=150339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1536+22+24=158261%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
155617+0=153948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1525+8+24=155752%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
155617+0=153951%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152518+24=153149%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15562+0=155451%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15253+24=154649%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1435+112=144438%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
152522+24=152762%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 144:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14355+0=143033%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1525+8+24=155767%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144235%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155265%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 171:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152844%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15482+24=157056%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152844%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15482+24=157056%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152844%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15482+24=157056%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
144134=143434%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155266%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+0=143834%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155266%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14413+0=143834%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155266%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14911+0=149041%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+26=155459%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14911+0=149041%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155259%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
14911+0=149041%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155259%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+33=152551%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151949%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 284:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152851%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151949%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152851%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+24=151949%
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+33=152543%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+21=157157%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152843%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+24=157457%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152843%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+24=157457%
9/2Thursday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152843%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+24=157457%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
150053=149242%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+21=154958%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149542%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155258%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15005+0=149542%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155258%
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
155663=154749%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155251%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+0=155050%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155250%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15566+0=155050%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155250%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+31=152745%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1539+1+20=156055%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152845%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1539+1+24=156455%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152845%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1539+1+24=156455%
9/13Monday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+34=152451%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+24=151849%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152851%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+24=151849%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 154:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152851%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1486+8+24=151849%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+72=144035%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+22=155065%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144235%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155265%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+0=144235%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155265%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+0=152246%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+26=155454%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15231+0=152246%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155254%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15482+0=154649%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+26=155451%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15482+0=154649%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155251%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 26NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15482+0=154649%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+24=155251%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+3=153159%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+26=146841%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146641%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152859%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1435+7+24=146641%
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+31=152751%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+22=152049%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152851%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+24=152249%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 31:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152851%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15057+24=152249%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1526211=150452%2
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14665+26=148748%4
8/1Sunday, Aug. 17 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15273+0=152441%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1560+0+24=158459%3
7/31Saturday, July 316:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1529+25+0=155446%5
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15581+24=158154%9
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1530143=151343%3
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
155720+24=156157%7
7/29Thursday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1529+18+0=154747%13
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1534+9+24=156753%1
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
153111+0=152044%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1533+6+24=156356%4
7/28Wednesday, July 282:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+19+2=155052%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
153421+26=153948%1
7/26Monday, July 267 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Hatch, Thomas
Hatch
1530122=151645%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15345+24=155355%5
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
154820+0=152848%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
153316+24=154152%5
7/24Saturday, July 244:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15477+0=154045%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1534+19+24=157755%3
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1549+41+0=159053%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1532+11+24=156747%6
7/22Thursday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
155042=154449%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1531+0+22=155351%5
7/21Wednesday, July 217:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
152920+2=151140%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1532+21+26=157960%4
7/19Monday, July 197:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152522=152146%13
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153512+24=154754%4
7/18Sunday, July 187 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152815+0=151343%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15459+24=156057%9
7/17Saturday, July 177:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1529+16+0=154541%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1544+40+24=160859%3
7/16Friday, July 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1526+8+5=153946%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15464+28=157054%0
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Kintzler, Brandon
Kintzler
150923+0=148640%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1528+2+24=155460%4
7/10Saturday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Moore, Matt
Moore
150442+0=146238%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
153211+24=154562%2
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1507163=148844%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
153021+22=153156%11
7/7Wednesday, July 74:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1531+9+0=154052%4
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1503+3+24=153048%5
7/6Tuesday, July 69:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1532+18+0=155052%3
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1501+13+24=153848%5
7/5Monday, July 59:30 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1531132=151655%5
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
150244+24=148245%4
7/4Sunday, July 44:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15306+0=152448%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15214+24=154152%0
7/3Saturday, July 37:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
153121+0=151046%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15205+24=153954%7
7/2Friday, July 29:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1530+64=153250%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
152110+24=153550%2
7/1Thursday, July 11:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145610+0=144633%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1528+16+24=156867%15
6/30Wednesday, June 307:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1457+17+0=147441%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152610+24=154059%6
6/29Tuesday, June 297:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14586+0=145236%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1526+2+24=155264%7
6/28Monday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1459+244=147942%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
152517+24=153258%6
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1550+46+0=159657%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1522+2+24=154843%9
6/26Saturday, June 267:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15514+0=154749%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1520+11+24=155551%4
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1552172=153351%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151910+21=153049%5
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15203+0=151745%0
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
155124+24=155155%1
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15228+0=151440%2
TBTBRays
Hill, Rich
Hill
1549+14+24=158760%8
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1520+41=152345%9
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
155219+22=155555%5
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1522+13+0=153554%3
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1464+20+24=150846%7
6/19Saturday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
152013+0=150753%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14663+24=148747%1
6/18Friday, June 188:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152141=151655%3
KCKCRoyals
Zimmer, Kyle
Zimmer
146511+26=148045%5
6/16Wednesday, June 167 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15195+0=151443%10
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1521+16+24=156157%8
6/15Tuesday, June 157:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1518+43=151948%10
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
152317+23=152952%8
6/14Monday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15345+0=152947%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1517+8+24=154953%2
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1530+9+0=153950%18
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
15217+24=153850%4
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15278+0=151946%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15242+24=154654%2
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1528113=151446%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15234+24=154354%6
6/10Thursday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1562+8+0=157053%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1521+4+24=154947%12
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156015+0=154549%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1523+7+24=155451%3
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15584+0=155451%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
15255+24=154449%1
6/7Monday, June 75:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1470202=144837%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15244+22=154263%5
6/6Sunday, June 67 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15237+0=151643%6
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155012+24=156257%5
6/5Saturday, June 57:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1521+1+0=152244%7
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
155211+24=156556%3
6/4Friday, June 47:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1519+53=152149%5
NYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
155448+24=153051%2
6/3Thursday, June 32:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151710+0=150741%5
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
155611+24=156959%1
6/2Wednesday, June 28 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15186+0=151241%1
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15558+24=157159%2
6/1Tuesday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15196+0=151341%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15541+24=157759%5
5/31Monday, May 314 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1522+72=152743%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1551+3+24=157857%11
5/29Saturday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1477+17+0=149442%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1521+3+24=154858%3
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
1479+13=147741%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
15199+26=153659%5
5/26Wednesday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
152823+0=150546%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15187+24=153554%9
5/25Tuesday, May 257:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1527+81=153450%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15196+24=153750%1
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1521+11+0=153247%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1499+32+24=155553%6
5/22Saturday, May 227:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1520+3+0=152354%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Howard, Spencer
Howard
150029+24=149546%3
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1516122=150243%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1503+24+24=155157%3
5/20Thursday, May 207:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15156+0=150944%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
15337+24=155056%7
5/19Wednesday, May 197:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15138+0=150544%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
153511+24=154856%3
5/18Tuesday, May 187:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1515+14+0=152941%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1533+34+26=159359%8
5/16Sunday, May 161:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
149418+0=147641%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1517+2+24=154359%5
5/15Saturday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1497+13+0=151048%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151416+24=152252%9
5/14Friday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1498+42=150046%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15139+24=152854%4
5/13Thursday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1517+14+0=153151%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151010+24=152449%8
5/12Wednesday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
151517+0=149842%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1512+17+24=155358%1
5/11Tuesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1514+192=153149%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1513+1+22=153651%2
5/10Monday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151516+0=149957%1
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144320+24=144743%4
5/9Sunday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15148+0=150656%4
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14431+24=146644%3
5/8Saturday, May 87:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15129+0=150356%11
BALBALOrioles
Lowther, Zac
Lowther
14457+24=146244%6
5/7Friday, May 77:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1511+202=152960%6
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144714+22=145540%2
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1435+14+0=144937%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1510+4+24=153863%12
5/5Wednesday, May 57:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
143410+0=142437%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151117+24=151863%5
5/4Tuesday, May 47:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
14359+0=142636%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15109+22=152364%11
5/2Sunday, May 22:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151113+0=149851%3
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1459+8+24=149149%5
5/1Saturday, May 17:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1513+22+0=153560%6
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
145820+24=146240%8
4/30Friday, April 308:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1511+2+0=151355%6
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
14593+24=148045%1
4/29Thursday, April 298:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1512203=148950%1
TEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1458+9+24=149150%4
4/28Wednesday, April 286:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151111+0=150035%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1532+49+24=160565%0
4/27Tuesday, April 277:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151015+0=149545%2
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153429+26=153155%1
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
148016+0=146437%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1509+23+24=155663%5
4/24Saturday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
147734+0=144336%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1512+7+24=154364%2
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14774+0=147344%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151118+24=151756%6
4/22Thursday, April 227:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1475+32=147643%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151314+24=152357%3
4/21Wednesday, April 217:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
15186+0=151248%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151513+24=152652%3
4/20Tuesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1519+381=155649%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1514+22+24=156051%4
4/19Monday, April 1911:10 a.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1520+31+0=155151%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1511+6+24=154149%11
4/18Sunday, April 185:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
151837+0=148144%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151318+24=151956%1
4/18Sunday, April 181:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
151713+0=150445%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1514+0+24=153855%2
4/17Saturday, April 174:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1518331=148445%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151314+23=152255%7
4/15Thursday, April 151:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151415+0=149941%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1536+3+24=156359%4
4/14Wednesday, April 145:25 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1511+21+0=153245%7
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1538+6+24=156855%1
4/14Wednesday, April 142:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1510+5+0=151541%3
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1540+12+24=157659%2
4/13Tuesday, April 132:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1508191=148840%4
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15416+26=156160%2
4/11Sunday, April 111:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150612+0=149457%14
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144021+24=144343%9
4/10Saturday, April 107:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
150514+2=149354%6
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14425+26=146346%4
4/8Thursday, April 83:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1504+222=152461%7
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
144322+22=144339%3
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1528+10+0=153852%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1501+1+24=152648%9
4/6Tuesday, April 67:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1529+15+0=154456%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
150020+24=150444%6
4/5Monday, April 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1532221=150950%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149714+24=150750%11
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
144010+0=143038%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
15017+24=151862%3
4/3Saturday, April 31:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143824+0=141434%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1502+0+24=152666%2
4/2Friday, April 22:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1436+292=146341%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15042+24=152659%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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