Updated Apr. 13, 2021, at 1:14 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Reds have a 41% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1509, up 3 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers6-41.054%41%
RedsReds7-341%29%
CardinalsCardinals5-52.027%18%
CubsCubs4-63.020%12%
PiratesPirates3-74.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 139:45 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1509+17+0=152650%
SFSFGiants
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1483+18+24=152550%
4/14Wednesday, April 143:45 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15093+0=150650%
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1483+2+24=150950%
4/16Friday, April 167:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
1514322=148043%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+22=153057%
4/17Saturday, April 174:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151412+0=150246%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153254%
4/18Sunday, April 181:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1514+40+0=155454%
CINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
150910+24=152346%
4/20Tuesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1485+35+0=152045%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1509+17+26=155255%
4/21Wednesday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1485+7+0=149245%
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15093+24=153055%
4/22Thursday, April 2212:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14855+0=148043%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153257%
4/23Friday, April 238:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150912=150647%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+23=152453%
4/24Saturday, April 242:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152552%
4/25Sunday, April 252:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152552%
4/26Monday, April 2610:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150914=150433%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162867%
4/27Tuesday, April 2710:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150833%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162867%
4/28Wednesday, April 284:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150833%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+24=162867%
4/30Friday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+02=149645%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+22=153055%
5/1Saturday, May 14:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
5/2Sunday, May 24:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
5/4Tuesday, May 46:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151848%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+26=153452%
5/5Wednesday, May 56:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151848%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150846%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+21=153554%
5/8Saturday, May 86:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150846%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153854%
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150846%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153854%
5/10Monday, May 106:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150912=150658%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+22=145442%
5/11Tuesday, May 116:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150858%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145642%
5/12Wednesday, May 1212:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150858%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145642%
5/13Thursday, May 138:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150913=150555%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146745%
5/14Friday, May 148:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150856%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146744%
5/15Saturday, May 158:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150856%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146744%
5/16Sunday, May 163:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150856%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+24=146744%
5/17Monday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+02=148143%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+21=152957%
5/18Tuesday, May 186:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+0=148343%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153257%
5/19Wednesday, May 196:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+0=148343%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153257%
5/20Thursday, May 2012:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1483+0+0=148343%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153257%
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+01=152148%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+26=154355%
5/26Wednesday, May 267:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%
5/27Thursday, May 277:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+24=154155%
5/28Friday, May 282:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150913=150548%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152052%
5/29Saturday, May 292:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
5/30Sunday, May 302:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+03=150747%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+22=153053%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151047%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153253%
6/2Wednesday, June 212:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151047%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153253%
6/3Thursday, June 38:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150912=150648%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+20=152152%
6/4Friday, June 48:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152552%
6/5Saturday, June 52:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152552%
6/6Sunday, June 62:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152552%
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+03=144037%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153263%
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144337%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153263%
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1443+0+0=144337%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153263%
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150912=150644%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154656%
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154655%
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154655%
6/17Thursday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150914=150439%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+21=158661%
6/18Friday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150839%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158961%
6/19Saturday, June 197:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150839%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158961%
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150839%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158961%
6/21Monday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150914=150442%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+21=156258%
6/22Tuesday, June 221:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150842%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156558%
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+03=152950%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+23=153150%
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153250%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153250%
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153250%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153250%
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+0=153250%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153250%
6/29Tuesday, June 297:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+02=156354%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+26=153446%
6/30Wednesday, June 307:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156555%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153245%
7/1Thursday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156555%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153245%
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
7/5Monday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150913=150552%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
7/7Wednesday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149348%
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150912=150645%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+21=154355%
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154655%
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154655%
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154655%
7/16Friday, July 167:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+5=152748%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+29=153752%
7/17Saturday, July 177:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+02=153450%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153250%
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153650%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153250%
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153650%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153250%
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+02=149945%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+26=153455%
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150145%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150145%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
7/26Monday, July 268:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150912=150648%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/27Tuesday, July 278:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/28Wednesday, July 288:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/29Thursday, July 292:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150913=150542%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156058%
7/31Saturday, July 317:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150843%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156057%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150843%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156057%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+23=153149%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153249%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+02=143036%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153264%
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143236%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153264%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143236%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153264%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143236%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153264%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150843%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+26=155857%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150843%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155657%
8/12Thursday, Aug. 125:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150843%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+24=155657%
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150913=150546%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150846%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150846%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153454%
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+03=149545%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+22=153055%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 1812:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149845%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+03=146040%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153260%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146340%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153260%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 217:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146340%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153260%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+0=146340%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153260%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150844%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+26=154856%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154655%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 262:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154655%
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150913=150553%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148747%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150853%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148747%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150853%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1463+0+24=148747%
8/30Monday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+02=149946%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+21=152954%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150145%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 16:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150145%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153255%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+02=144337%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+26=153463%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144538%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153262%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144538%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153262%
9/6Monday, Sept. 62:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150912=150648%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152252%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152552%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152552%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150848%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152552%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 146:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150911=150757%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+26=145843%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 156:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150858%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145642%
9/16Thursday, Sept. 1612:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150858%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145642%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+02=160260%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+22=153040%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160460%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153240%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1604+0+0=160460%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153240%
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+03=142935%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153265%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143236%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153264%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 2212:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143236%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153264%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+03=151447%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153253%
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1517+0+0=151748%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153252%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154255%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150845%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154255%
10/1Friday, Oct. 16:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150858%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145642%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150858%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145642%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150858%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+24=145642%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/12Monday, April 129:45 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
1507133=149149%3
SFSFGiants
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
148512+24=149751%0
4/11Sunday, April 114:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
De Leon, Jose
De Leon
151019+0=149147%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1484+1+24=150953%7
4/10Saturday, April 108:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151220+0=149249%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Riley
Smith
14828+24=149851%8
4/9Friday, April 99:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
151172=150250%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Widener, Taylor
Widener
14832+21=150250%5
4/7Wednesday, April 712:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14301+0=142934%4
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1509+13+24=154666%11
4/6Tuesday, April 66:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14332+0=143139%1
CINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
150619+24=151161%14
4/5Monday, April 56:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
143412=143139%3
CINCINReds
De Leon, Jose
De Leon
150519+24=151061%5
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Martinez, Carlos
Martinez
150416+0=148848%1
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
150222+24=150452%12
4/3Saturday, April 34:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+7+2=151449%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15004+26=152251%9
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1503+312=153247%11
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1503+24+24=155153%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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