Updated Oct. 22, 2021, at 2:57 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Twins are done for the season.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
White SoxWhite Sox93-69
IndiansIndians80-8213.0
TigersTigers77-8516.0
RoyalsRoyals74-8819.0
TwinsTwins73-8920.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149314+0=147953%7
KCKCRoyals
Kowar, Jackson
Kowar
147137+24=145847%3
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149126+0=146546%4
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14745+24=149354%0
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gant, John
Gant
149332=148850%6
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jon
Heasley
14717+24=148850%11
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1473+8+0=148143%10
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1495+13+24=153257%7
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1475+9+0=148443%2
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1493+14+24=153157%5
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
147643=146945%2
MINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149317+26=150255%3
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+9+0=155459%5
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149428+24=149041%2
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1543+28+0=157158%6
MINMINTwins
Gant, John
Gant
14963+24=151742%1
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1545+21+0=156655%1
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1494+10+24=152845%3
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
1547113=153351%2
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1492+15+22=152949%7
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1491+10+0=150150%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1462+14+24=150050%4
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
148923+0=146644%9
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1465+18+25=150856%5
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Farrell, Luke
Farrell
148924+0=146533%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1548+19+24=159167%5
9/18Saturday, Sept. 183:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1491+11+0=150242%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Matz, Steven
Matz
154613+24=155758%6
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1488+131=150040%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
15494+26=157160%3
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1496+8+0=150452%12
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149122+24=149348%3
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
149839+0=145945%3
MINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149020+24=149455%6
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 143:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1496+171=151250%3
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1491+4+21=151650%1
9/13Monday, Sept. 132:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gant, John
Gant
149243=148539%5
NYYNYYYankees
Gil, Luis
Gil
154912+23=156061%6
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146821+0=144738%5
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1494+12+24=153062%3
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1470+3+0=147342%2
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1492+12+24=152858%9
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1468123=145345%6
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149323+21=149155%4
9/9Thursday, Sept. 96:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Albers, Andrew
Albers
149428+0=146641%1
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1502+3+24=152959%4
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
14929+0=148342%3
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1504+12+24=154058%0
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gant, John
Gant
14906+0=148442%3
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1506+14+24=154458%0
9/6Monday, Sept. 66:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1489+153=150151%5
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
150837+21=149249%2
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
148721+0=146633%6
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
15748+24=159067%5
9/4Saturday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Albers, Andrew
Albers
148916+0=147333%4
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
15725+24=159167%11
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
1490131=147636%3
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
157122+24=157364%5
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14654+0=146144%3
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
149213+24=150356%0
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1463+2+0=146544%3
MINMINTwins
Gant, John
Gant
149310+21=150456%1
8/30Monday, Aug. 302:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1492+123=150150%3
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+8+24=149950%2
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154340+0=150350%6
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149417+24=150150%2
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154423+0=152154%4
MINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149321+24=149646%6
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1545262=151754%0
MINMINTwins
Albers, Andrew
Albers
149121+21=149146%2
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gant, John
Gant
149310+0=148337%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1517+35+24=157663%12
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1492+5+0=149743%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1518+0+24=154257%6
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
14934+3=149241%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1517+12+24=155359%11
8/21Saturday, Aug. 211:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1494+21+0=151536%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1560+32+24=161664%7
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149613+0=148341%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
155835+24=154759%10
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gant, John
Gant
1497123=148236%5
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15573+24=157864%7
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 181:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1499+9+0=150852%7
MINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
149625+24=149548%8
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
149710+0=148745%3
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1498+0+24=152255%1
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1498+43=149948%4
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
14974+24=151752%5
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
156113+0=154857%4
MINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149519+24=150043%5
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
156519+0=154652%0
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1491+16+24=153148%12
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1563+113=157155%10
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1494+14+26=153445%4
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
154040+0=150048%0
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
14935+24=151252%1
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154125+0=151651%3
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
14926+24=151049%4
8/9Monday, Aug. 98 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1538+52=154156%11
MINMINTwins
Burrows, Beau
Burrows
149416+21=149944%1
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1493+15+0=150837%7
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1567+10+24=160163%5
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1494+12+0=150637%0
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1566+6+24=159663%4
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
14925+0=148736%5
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
15673+24=158864%4
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
1490123=147534%5
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15691+21=158966%3
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
149115+0=147640%5
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1506+16+24=154660%6
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1490+18+0=150846%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1508+6+23=153754%5
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1491+13+0=150445%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1494+24+24=154255%7
7/31Saturday, July 317:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
14888+0=148046%8
STLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
149711+24=151054%1
7/30Friday, July 308:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149017+0=147347%1
STLSTLCardinals
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
149526+24=149353%5
7/28Wednesday, July 281:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
1464+0+0=146446%17
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149221+24=149554%14
7/27Tuesday, July 278:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146314+0=144938%6
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1493+15+24=153262%5
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1463142=144739%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1493+11+24=152861%6
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15008+0=149248%6
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
149514+24=150552%2
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
14997+0=149242%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1496+26+24=154658%1
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1500+7+0=150751%4
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149518+24=150149%5
7/22Thursday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
149912=149645%3
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1496+16+22=153455%2
7/21Wednesday, July 218:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1493+11+0=150443%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154619+24=155157%2
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
149512+0=148341%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154524+24=154559%9
7/19Monday, July 198:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1496+29+0=152550%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
154343+24=152450%5
7/19Monday, July 195:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
1495222=147133%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1545+22+24=159167%2
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149713+0=148450%0
DETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14581+24=148150%7
7/17Saturday, July 176:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1499+15+0=151457%4
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145715+24=146643%5
7/17Saturday, July 171:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Barnes, Charlie
Barnes
150016+4=148855%0
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
145527+28=145645%1
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14562+0=145436%9
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1499+28+24=155164%12
7/10Saturday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Funkhouser, Kyle
Funkhouser
14586+0=145241%4
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
14977+24=151459%9
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
145921+0=143837%2
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1496+12+24=153263%4
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1460+53=146244%3
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149514+24=150556%5
7/7Wednesday, July 71:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1535+26+0=156154%6
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1497+15+24=153646%1
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1533+12+0=154550%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1499+24+24=154750%1
7/5Monday, July 57 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1535173=151551%5
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
149713+22=150649%8
7/4Sunday, July 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1495+8+0=150355%6
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14578+24=147345%2
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
149713+0=148448%3
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1455+22+24=150152%6
7/2Friday, July 28:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
149882=148851%4
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1453+10+21=148449%7
7/1Thursday, July 12:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1500+28+0=152844%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1536+9+24=156956%8
6/30Wednesday, June 308:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
15037+0=149644%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153321+24=153656%13
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1504+9+0=151342%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1532+12+26=157058%7
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Hentges, Sam
Hentges
151220+2=149447%2
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
150113+26=151453%8
6/25Friday, June 258:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151320+0=149348%7
MINMINTwins
Coulombe, Danny
Coulombe
150018+24=150652%8
6/24Thursday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
151126+0=148540%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1502+23+26=155160%1
6/22Tuesday, June 221:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Miley, Wade
Miley
1497+1+0=149846%10
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
15044+24=152454%7
6/21Monday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1498+124=150649%5
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
150311+21=151351%7
6/20Sunday, June 202:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1502+10+0=151254%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1451+9+24=148446%2
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
150118+0=148352%3
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14528+24=146848%2
6/18Friday, June 188:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1500+222=152057%7
TEXTEXRangers
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14535+24=147243%5
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
149710+0=148749%7
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
14714+24=149151%2
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15016+0=149554%0
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146823+24=146946%10
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1502+93=150850%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1467+24+20=151150%4
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1559+2+0=156152%14
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1506+15+24=154548%3
6/12Saturday, June 127:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1561+11+0=157254%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1504+19+24=154746%5
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
156013=155656%6
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
150514+24=151544%4
6/10Thursday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
King, Michael
King
155246+0=150647%5
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15042+24=152653%7
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1550+44+0=159461%9
MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
150510+24=151939%6
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
154971=154150%8
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1507+13+24=154450%4
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
150620+0=148647%2
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1479+3+24=150653%1
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1505+18+0=152351%5
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+15+24=151949%4
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
150811+0=149750%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1476+0+24=150050%14
6/3Thursday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
150923=150450%5
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14751+26=150050%6
6/2Wednesday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
151112+0=149960%3
BALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
142925+24=142840%6
6/1Tuesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+14+0=152763%4
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
142715+24=143637%7
5/31Monday, May 311 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1512+103=151961%3
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
142810+21=143939%2
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1471+0+0=147142%6
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
151411+24=152758%3
5/29Saturday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Santana, Ervin
Santana
147120+0=145138%5
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15143+24=153562%6
5/28Friday, May 288:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146963=146040%8
MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
151610+26=153260%3
5/26Wednesday, May 261:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
143211+0=142132%2
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1516+12+24=155268%3
5/25Tuesday, May 257:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14333+0=143034%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1515+10+24=154966%7
5/24Monday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1435+533=148545%3
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
151313+21=152155%8
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15114+0=150743%8
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1513+18+24=155557%5
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1512+3+0=151541%3
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+42+24=157859%5
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
1508134=149146%10
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151619+22=151954%0
5/20Thursday, May 207:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1507+11+0=151848%6
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1497+7+24=152852%3
5/20Thursday, May 204:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
1509304=147544%1
LAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14955+24=151456%7
5/19Wednesday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1534+8+0=154253%2
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
151014+24=152047%1
5/18Tuesday, May 187:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1536+29+0=156558%4
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
150825+24=150742%5
5/17Monday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1532122=151847%16
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1512+2+24=153853%4
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1516+23+0=153950%7
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1513+5+24=154250%6
5/15Saturday, May 154:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1517+4+0=152146%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1513+9+24=154654%5
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
151573=150548%6
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
151515+22=152252%1
5/13Thursday, May 132:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1516+10+0=152642%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1534+27+24=158558%4
5/12Wednesday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1518+7+0=152547%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15329+24=154753%13
5/11Tuesday, May 118:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1520+3+3=152649%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153020+24=153451%9
5/8Saturday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1523+9+0=153259%3
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1432+9+24=146541%7
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1521203=149859%7
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
143418+21=143741%3
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
146323+0=144034%4
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1523+8+24=155566%3
5/5Wednesday, May 57:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Yang, Hyeon-Jong
Yang
146210+0=145242%3
MINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
152437+24=151158%1
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1460+13+0=147338%6
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1526+6+24=155662%3
5/3Monday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1460+123=146939%5
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15251+24=154861%6
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14803+0=147738%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1523+11+24=155862%13
5/1Saturday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1476+11+0=148742%11
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
152711+24=154058%3
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1478+131=149041%1
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1525+6+23=155459%9
4/28Wednesday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1522+3+0=152554%10
CLECLEIndians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151242+24=149446%2
4/27Tuesday, April 276:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1523+2+0=152548%4
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1511+5+24=154052%7
4/26Monday, April 266:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1525+83=153049%3
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1509+5+24=153851%5
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
144227+0=141533%6
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
152812+24=154067%2
4/24Saturday, April 242:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14396+0=143332%6
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1530+10+24=156468%2
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1440+153=145236%0
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15293+22=154864%2
4/21Wednesday, April 213:37 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1531+11+0=154250%12
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15171+24=154050%13
4/20Tuesday, April 209:25 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1532+5+0=153752%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
151617+24=152348%1
4/20Tuesday, April 206:30 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
15348+5=153148%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1513+8+26=154752%7
4/16Friday, April 169:38 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
1536454=148743%3
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1510+6+23=153957%10
4/15Thursday, April 151:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Richards, Garrett
Richards
151415+0=149941%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1536+3+24=156359%4
4/14Wednesday, April 145:25 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1511+21+0=153245%7
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1538+6+24=156855%1
4/14Wednesday, April 142:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1510+5+0=151541%3
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1540+12+24=157659%2
4/13Tuesday, April 132:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1508191=148840%4
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15416+26=156160%2
4/11Sunday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146735+0=143232%8
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
15435+24=156268%6
4/10Saturday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14664+2=146435%4
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1545+1+26=157265%3
4/8Thursday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1468+293=149439%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+6+21=156961%10
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1542+13+0=155562%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1446+2+24=147238%2
4/6Tuesday, April 61:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15436+0=153761%3
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14458+24=146139%4
4/5Monday, April 51:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
154172=153258%15
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1448+3+24=147542%6
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1538+0+0=153852%8
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151714+24=152748%2
4/3Saturday, April 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+0+2=153947%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1519+15+26=156053%0
4/1Thursday, April 12:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1538+172=155347%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+34+24=157653%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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