2021 MLB Predictions

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
4/13Tuesday, April 132:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Perez	1508	–19	–1	=1488	40%
	MINTwins	Happ	1541	–6	+26	=1561	60%
4/14Wednesday, April 147:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1508	+5	+0	=1513	41%
	MINTwins	Maeda	1541	+12	+24	=1577	59%
4/15Thursday, April 151:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1508	+22	+0	=1530	44%
	MINTwins	Berrios	1541	+6	+24	=1571	56%
4/16Friday, April 169:38 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Pineda	1541	+2	–4	=1539	50%
	LAAAngels	Heaney	1513	+7	+23	=1543	50%
4/17Saturday, April 179:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Shoemaker	1541	–7	+0	=1534	52%
	LAAAngels	Quintana	1513	–17	+24	=1520	48%
4/18Sunday, April 184:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Happ	1541	–6	+0	=1535	50%
	LAAAngels	Cobb	1513	–3	+24	=1534	50%
4/19Monday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1541	+12	–2	=1551	54%
	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1507	–7	+24	=1524	46%
4/20Tuesday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Berrios	1541	+6	+0	=1547	55%
	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1507	–15	+24	=1516	45%
4/21Wednesday, April 213:37 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Pineda	1541	+2	+0	=1543	51%
	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1507	+8	+24	=1539	49%
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Cahill	1432	–3	–3	=1426	32%
	MINTwins	Shoemaker	1541	–7	+22	=1556	68%
4/24Saturday, April 242:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1432	+0	+0	=1432	32%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	68%
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1432	+0	+0	=1432	32%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	68%
4/26Monday, April 266:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–3	=1538	50%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+24	=1538	50%
4/27Tuesday, April 276:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+24	=1538	50%
4/28Wednesday, April 281:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+24	=1538	50%
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	–1	=1468	37%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+23	=1564	63%
5/1Saturday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+0	=1469	37%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	63%
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+0	=1469	37%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	63%
5/3Monday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1456	+0	–3	=1453	34%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	66%
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1456	+0	+0	=1456	35%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	65%
5/5Wednesday, May 57:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1456	+0	+0	=1456	35%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	65%
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1456	+0	+0	=1456	35%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	65%
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–3	=1538	60%
	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+21	=1466	40%
5/8Saturday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	60%
	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	40%
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	60%
	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	40%
5/11Tuesday, May 118:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
5/12Wednesday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
5/13Thursday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1507	+0	–3	=1504	41%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+22	=1563	59%
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	42%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	58%
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	42%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	58%
5/17Monday, May 177:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	–2	=1516	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+0	=1518	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
5/19Wednesday, May 191:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+0	=1518	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–1	=1540	51%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+22	=1536	49%
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+24	=1538	50%
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+24	=1538	50%
5/24Monday, May 247:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1439	+0	–3	=1436	32%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+21	=1562	68%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1439	+0	+0	=1439	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
5/26Wednesday, May 261:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1439	+0	+0	=1439	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
5/28Friday, May 288:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	–3	=1466	36%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+26	=1567	64%
5/29Saturday, May 292:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+0	=1469	37%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	63%
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+0	=1469	37%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	63%
5/31Monday, May 311:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–3	=1538	61%
	BALOrioles	—	1439	+0	+21	=1460	39%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	61%
	BALOrioles	—	1439	+0	+24	=1463	39%
6/2Wednesday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	61%
	BALOrioles	—	1439	+0	+24	=1463	39%
6/3Thursday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–3	=1538	56%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+26	=1495	44%
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	57%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	57%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	57%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1570	+0	–1	=1569	50%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	50%
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1570	+0	+0	=1570	51%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	49%
6/10Thursday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1570	+0	+0	=1570	51%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	49%
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+0	–3	=1551	48%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	52%
6/12Saturday, June 127:15 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+0	+0	=1554	48%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	52%
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+0	+0	=1554	48%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	52%
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–3	=1538	57%
	SEAMariners	—	1469	+0	+20	=1489	43%
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	57%
	SEAMariners	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	57%
	SEAMariners	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%
6/18Friday, June 188:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–2	=1539	59%
	TEXRangers	—	1456	+0	+24	=1480	41%
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	59%
	TEXRangers	—	1456	+0	+24	=1480	41%
6/20Sunday, June 202:35 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	59%
	TEXRangers	—	1456	+0	+24	=1480	41%
6/21Monday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1509	–1	–4	=1504	42%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+21	=1562	58%
6/22Tuesday, June 221:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1509	–1	+0	=1508	42%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	58%
6/24Thursday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+0	=1514	42%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+26	=1567	58%
6/25Friday, June 258:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+0	=1514	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
6/26Saturday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+0	=1514	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+0	=1514	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–2	=1539	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
6/30Wednesday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
7/1Thursday, July 12:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
7/2Friday, July 28:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–2	=1539	57%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+21	=1490	43%
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	57%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%
7/4Sunday, July 42:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	57%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%
7/5Monday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	–3	=1515	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+22	=1563	57%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+0	=1518	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
7/7Wednesday, July 71:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+0	=1518	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	–3	=1442	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
7/10Saturday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
7/16Friday, July 167:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+4	=1545	60%
	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+28	=1473	40%
7/17Saturday, July 176:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	60%
	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	40%
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	60%
	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	40%
7/19Monday, July 198:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–2	=1539	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
7/21Wednesday, July 218:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	50%
7/22Thursday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1513	+0	–2	=1511	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+22	=1563	57%
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1513	+0	+0	=1513	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1513	+0	+0	=1513	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1513	+0	+0	=1513	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	–2	=1443	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
7/27Tuesday, July 278:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
7/28Wednesday, July 281:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
7/30Friday, July 308:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	52%
	STLCardinals	—	1501	+0	+24	=1525	48%
7/31Saturday, July 317:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	52%
	STLCardinals	—	1501	+0	+24	=1525	48%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	52%
	STLCardinals	—	1501	+0	+24	=1525	48%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	51%
	CINReds	—	1509	–1	+23	=1531	49%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	51%
	CINReds	—	1509	–1	+24	=1532	49%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–3	=1538	45%
	HOUAstros	—	1554	+0	+21	=1575	55%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	45%
	HOUAstros	—	1554	+0	+24	=1578	55%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	45%
	HOUAstros	—	1554	+0	+24	=1578	55%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	45%
	HOUAstros	—	1554	+0	+24	=1578	55%
8/9Monday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	–2	=1516	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+21	=1562	57%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+0	=1518	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1518	+0	+0	=1518	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1528	+0	–3	=1525	44%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+26	=1567	56%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1528	+0	+0	=1528	45%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	55%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1528	+0	+0	=1528	45%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	55%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	–3	=1511	42%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	58%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+0	=1514	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 181:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+0	=1514	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–3	=1538	42%
	NYYYankees	—	1570	+0	+24	=1594	58%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	43%
	NYYYankees	—	1570	+0	+24	=1594	57%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 211:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	43%
	NYYYankees	—	1570	+0	+24	=1594	57%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	43%
	NYYYankees	—	1570	+0	+24	=1594	57%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	51%
	BOSRed Sox	—	1508	+0	+26	=1534	49%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	51%
	BOSRed Sox	—	1508	+0	+24	=1532	49%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	51%
	BOSRed Sox	—	1508	+0	+24	=1532	49%
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1522	+0	–2	=1520	44%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+21	=1562	56%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1522	+0	+0	=1522	44%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	56%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1522	+0	+0	=1522	44%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	56%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1498	+0	+0	=1498	40%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+26	=1567	60%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1498	+0	+0	=1498	40%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	60%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–1	=1540	48%
	TBRays	—	1528	+0	+24	=1552	52%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	48%
	TBRays	—	1528	+0	+24	=1552	52%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	48%
	TBRays	—	1528	+0	+24	=1552	52%
9/6Monday, Sept. 66:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–3	=1538	50%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+23	=1537	50%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+24	=1538	50%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+24	=1538	50%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 96:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+24	=1538	50%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	–3	=1466	37%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+21	=1562	63%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+0	=1469	37%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	63%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+0	=1469	37%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	63%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	–1	=1513	42%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+26	=1567	58%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	—	1514	+0	+0	=1514	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–1	=1540	49%
	TORBlue Jays	—	1518	+1	+26	=1545	51%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 183:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	TORBlue Jays	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	50%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	50%
	TORBlue Jays	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	50%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	53%
	CHCCubs	—	1498	+0	+25	=1523	47%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	53%
	CHCCubs	—	1498	+0	+24	=1522	47%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1518	+1	–3	=1516	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+22	=1563	57%
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	43%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	57%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	–1	=1444	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+26	=1567	67%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	33%
	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	67%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	–2	=1539	57%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	57%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	57%
	KCRoyals	—	1469	+0	+24	=1493	43%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
4/11Sunday, April 112:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1467	–35	+0	=1432	32%	8
	MINTwins	Shoemaker	1543	–5	+24	=1562	68%	6
4/10Saturday, April 102:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1466	–4	+2	=1464	35%	4
	MINTwins	Pineda	1545	+1	+26	=1572	65%	3
4/8Thursday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1468	+29	–3	=1494	39%	2
	MINTwins	Berrios	1542	+6	+21	=1569	61%	10
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1542	+13	+0	=1555	62%	3
	DETTigers	Boyd	1446	+2	+24	=1472	38%	2
4/6Tuesday, April 61:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Happ	1543	–6	+0	=1537	61%	3
	DETTigers	Mize	1445	–8	+24	=1461	39%	4
4/5Monday, April 51:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Shoemaker	1541	–7	–2	=1532	58%	15
	DETTigers	Urena	1448	+3	+24	=1475	42%	6
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Pineda	1538	+0	+0	=1538	52%	8
	MILBrewers	Houser	1517	–14	+24	=1527	48%	2
4/3Saturday, April 37:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Berrios	1537	+0	+2	=1539	47%	2
	MILBrewers	Burnes	1519	+15	+26	=1560	53%	0
4/1Thursday, April 12:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1538	+17	–2	=1553	47%	5
	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1518	+34	+24	=1576	53%	6