Updated Apr. 13, 2021, at 1:14 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Twins have a 68% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1541, down 2 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins5-468%50%
White SoxWhite Sox5-50.543%24%
IndiansIndians5-438%21%
RoyalsRoyals4-40.58%4%
TigersTigers4-61.52%1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/13Tuesday, April 132:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
1508191=148840%
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15416+26=156160%
4/14Wednesday, April 147:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1508+5+0=151341%
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1541+12+24=157759%
4/15Thursday, April 151:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1508+22+0=153044%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1541+6+24=157156%
4/16Friday, April 169:38 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1541+24=153950%
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1513+7+23=154350%
4/17Saturday, April 179:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
15417+0=153452%
LAALAAAngels
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
151317+24=152048%
4/18Sunday, April 184:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15416+0=153550%
LAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
15133+24=153450%
4/19Monday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1541+122=155154%
OAKOAKAthletics
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
15077+24=152446%
4/20Tuesday, April 209:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1541+6+0=154755%
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
150715+24=151645%
4/21Wednesday, April 213:37 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1541+2+0=154351%
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1507+8+24=153949%
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
143233=142632%
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
15417+22=155668%
4/24Saturday, April 242:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143232%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156568%
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1432+0+0=143232%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156568%
4/26Monday, April 266:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153850%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153850%
4/27Tuesday, April 276:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153850%
4/28Wednesday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153850%
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+01=146837%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+23=156463%
5/1Saturday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146937%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146937%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
5/3Monday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+03=145334%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156566%
5/4Tuesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156565%
5/5Wednesday, May 57:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156565%
5/6Thursday, May 61:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145635%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156565%
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153860%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+21=146640%
5/8Saturday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154160%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146940%
5/9Sunday, May 91:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154160%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146940%
5/11Tuesday, May 118:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
5/12Wednesday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
5/13Thursday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+03=150441%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+22=156359%
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150742%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156558%
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150742%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156558%
5/17Monday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+02=151643%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
5/18Tuesday, May 187:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151843%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
5/19Wednesday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151843%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+01=154051%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+22=153649%
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153850%
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153850%
5/24Monday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+03=143632%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+21=156268%
5/25Tuesday, May 257:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143933%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
5/26Wednesday, May 261:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+0=143933%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
5/28Friday, May 288:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146636%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156764%
5/29Saturday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146937%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146937%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
5/31Monday, May 311:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153861%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+21=146039%
6/1Tuesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146339%
6/2Wednesday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1439+0+24=146339%
6/3Thursday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153856%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+26=149544%
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
6/5Saturday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+01=156950%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156550%
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157051%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156549%
6/10Thursday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+0=157051%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156549%
6/11Friday, June 118:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+03=155148%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156552%
6/12Saturday, June 127:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155448%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156552%
6/13Sunday, June 132:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155448%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156552%
6/14Monday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153857%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+20=148943%
6/15Tuesday, June 1510:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
6/16Wednesday, June 1610:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
6/18Friday, June 188:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+02=153959%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148041%
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154159%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148041%
6/20Sunday, June 202:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154159%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148041%
6/21Monday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
150914=150442%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+21=156258%
6/22Tuesday, June 221:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+0=150842%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156558%
6/24Thursday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151442%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156758%
6/25Friday, June 258:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151443%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
6/26Saturday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151443%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
6/27Sunday, June 272:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151443%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
6/28Monday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+02=153950%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
6/30Wednesday, June 308:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
7/1Thursday, July 12:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
7/2Friday, July 28:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+02=153957%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+21=149043%
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
7/4Sunday, July 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
7/5Monday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+03=151543%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+22=156357%
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151843%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
7/7Wednesday, July 71:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151843%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+03=144233%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144533%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
7/10Saturday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144533%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144533%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
7/16Friday, July 167:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+4=154560%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+28=147340%
7/17Saturday, July 176:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154160%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146940%
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154160%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+24=146940%
7/19Monday, July 198:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+02=153950%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
7/21Wednesday, July 218:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+24=154250%
7/22Thursday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+02=151143%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+22=156357%
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151343%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151343%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
7/25Sunday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1513+0+0=151343%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+02=144333%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
7/27Tuesday, July 278:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144533%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
7/28Wednesday, July 281:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144533%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
7/30Friday, July 308:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154152%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152548%
7/31Saturday, July 317:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154152%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152548%
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154152%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152548%
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+23=153149%
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
15091+24=153249%
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153845%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+21=157555%
8/6Friday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154145%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157855%
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154145%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157855%
8/8Sunday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154145%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157855%
8/9Monday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+02=151643%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+21=156257%
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151843%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1518+0+0=151843%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
8/13Friday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+03=152544%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156756%
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152845%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156555%
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+0=152845%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156555%
8/16Monday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+03=151142%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156558%
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151443%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 181:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151443%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153842%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159458%
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154143%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159457%
8/21Saturday, Aug. 211:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154143%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159457%
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154143%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1570+0+24=159457%
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+26=153449%
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153249%
8/26Thursday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154151%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1508+0+24=153249%
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+02=152044%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+21=156256%
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152244%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156556%
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+0=152244%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156556%
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149840%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156760%
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149840%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156560%
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+01=154048%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155252%
9/4Saturday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154148%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155252%
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154148%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1528+0+24=155252%
9/6Monday, Sept. 66:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+03=153850%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+23=153750%
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 76:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153850%
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 86:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153850%
9/9Thursday, Sept. 96:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+24=153850%
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+03=146637%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+21=156263%
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146937%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+0=146937%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156563%
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+01=151342%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156758%
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1514+0+0=151443%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+01=154049%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154551%
9/18Saturday, Sept. 183:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154350%
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154150%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154350%
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154153%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+25=152347%
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 227:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154153%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152247%
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151643%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+22=156357%
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151943%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151943%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151943%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156557%
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+01=144433%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156767%
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144533%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1445+0+0=144533%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156567%
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+02=153957%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154157%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1469+0+24=149343%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/11Sunday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146735+0=143232%8
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
15435+24=156268%6
4/10Saturday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14664+2=146435%4
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1545+1+26=157265%3
4/8Thursday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1468+293=149439%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1542+6+21=156961%10
4/7Wednesday, April 71:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1542+13+0=155562%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1446+2+24=147238%2
4/6Tuesday, April 61:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15436+0=153761%3
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
14458+24=146139%4
4/5Monday, April 51:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
154172=153258%15
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1448+3+24=147542%6
4/4Sunday, April 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1538+0+0=153852%8
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151714+24=152748%2
4/3Saturday, April 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1537+0+2=153947%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1519+15+26=156053%0
4/1Thursday, April 12:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1538+172=155347%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+34+24=157653%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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