Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Do Not Sell My Info
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
The White Sox are done for the season.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
White SoxWhite Sox93-69 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
IndiansIndians80-82 | 13.0 | — | — | |||
TigersTigers77-85 | 16.0 | — | — | |||
RoyalsRoyals74-88 | 19.0 | — | — | |||
TwinsTwins73-89 | 20.0 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 122:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1562 | +17 | +2 | =1581 | 49% | 10 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1540 | +19 | +26 | =1585 | 51% | 1 | |
10/10Sunday, Oct. 108:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1565 | +3 | –1 | =1567 | 51% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1536 | +1 | +23 | =1560 | 49% | 12 | |
10/8Friday, Oct. 82:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1539 | +18 | +0 | =1557 | 43% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1563 | +6 | +24 | =1593 | 57% | 9 | |
10/7Thursday, Oct. 74:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1541 | +19 | +4 | =1564 | 43% | 1 |
HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1560 | +12 | +31 | =1603 | 57% | 6 | |
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1473 | +0 | +0 | =1473 | 37% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 63% | 2 | |
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1474 | –20 | +0 | =1454 | 32% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1543 | +16 | +24 | =1583 | 68% | 5 | |
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Peralta | 1475 | +0 | –2 | =1473 | 34% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1541 | +19 | +26 | =1586 | 66% | 8 | |
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1506 | +16 | +0 | =1522 | 42% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1540 | +16 | +24 | =1580 | 58% | 6 | |
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | O'Brien | 1508 | –21 | –2 | =1485 | 44% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1538 | –32 | +22 | =1528 | 56% | 7 | |
9/27Monday, Sept. 271:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1537 | –40 | –1 | =1496 | 52% | 8 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1477 | –16 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | 7 | |
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1535 | +15 | +0 | =1550 | 52% | 5 |
CLEIndians | McKenzie | 1503 | +12 | +24 | =1539 | 48% | 2 | |
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:15 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1538 | +25 | +0 | =1563 | 57% | 0 |
CLEIndians | Morgan | 1500 | –10 | +24 | =1514 | 43% | 6 | |
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1537 | –2 | +0 | =1535 | 45% | 1 |
CLEIndians | Bieber | 1501 | +42 | +24 | =1567 | 55% | 0 | |
9/23Thursday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1538 | –23 | +0 | =1515 | 48% | 3 |
CLEIndians | Plesac | 1500 | +7 | +24 | =1531 | 52% | 5 | |
9/23Thursday, Sept. 231:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1536 | –31 | +1 | =1506 | 45% | 7 |
CLEIndians | Civale | 1502 | +12 | +26 | =1540 | 55% | 2 | |
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 211:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1537 | –38 | +0 | =1499 | 50% | 3 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1476 | –4 | +24 | =1496 | 50% | 5 | |
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1538 | +18 | –3 | =1553 | 61% | 3 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1475 | –17 | +21 | =1479 | 39% | 4 | |
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:35 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1537 | +15 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Lyles | 1444 | –6 | +24 | =1462 | 37% | 2 | |
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1538 | +26 | +0 | =1564 | 65% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Howard | 1443 | –9 | +24 | =1458 | 35% | 2 | |
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1536 | –6 | –3 | =1527 | 59% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1445 | –3 | +24 | =1466 | 41% | 0 | |
9/16Thursday, Sept. 162:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Cobb | 1493 | +9 | +0 | =1502 | 45% | 9 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1539 | –28 | +24 | =1535 | 55% | 3 | |
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Junk | 1491 | –19 | +0 | =1472 | 43% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1540 | –40 | +24 | =1524 | 57% | 2 | |
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Naughton | 1493 | –7 | –1 | =1485 | 37% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1538 | +16 | +26 | =1580 | 63% | 9 | |
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1518 | –4 | +0 | =1514 | 40% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1537 | +22 | +24 | =1583 | 60% | 2 | |
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Seabold | 1517 | –19 | +0 | =1498 | 41% | 9 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1539 | –1 | +24 | =1562 | 59% | 8 | |
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1518 | +18 | –1 | =1535 | 45% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1538 | +16 | +20 | =1574 | 55% | 4 | |
9/9Thursday, Sept. 93:37 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1539 | –28 | +0 | =1511 | 45% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Manaea | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 55% | 3 | |
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1541 | –40 | +0 | =1501 | 41% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1520 | +19 | +24 | =1563 | 59% | 5 | |
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lambert | 1539 | –34 | –2 | =1503 | 45% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1522 | –8 | +22 | =1536 | 55% | 3 | |
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1542 | +0 | +0 | =1542 | 58% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1465 | –1 | +24 | =1488 | 42% | 6 | |
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1540 | –28 | +0 | =1512 | 53% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1466 | –1 | +24 | =1489 | 47% | 7 | |
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1542 | –36 | +0 | =1506 | 52% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1464 | +3 | +24 | =1491 | 48% | 7 | |
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Kranick | 1422 | –6 | +0 | =1416 | 28% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1542 | +12 | +24 | =1578 | 72% | 6 | |
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1423 | +9 | +0 | =1432 | 30% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1541 | +15 | +26 | =1582 | 70% | 4 | |
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1466 | +24 | +0 | =1490 | 40% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1538 | –5 | +24 | =1557 | 60% | 13 | |
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Mills | 1462 | +11 | +0 | =1473 | 34% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1542 | +25 | +24 | =1591 | 66% | 0 | |
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Thompson | 1464 | +6 | +1 | =1471 | 42% | 13 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1540 | –31 | +22 | =1531 | 58% | 17 | |
8/26Thursday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1539 | +10 | +0 | =1549 | 47% | 10 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1532 | +13 | +24 | =1569 | 53% | 7 | |
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1540 | +10 | +0 | =1550 | 46% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1531 | +26 | +24 | =1581 | 54% | 3 | |
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1538 | –11 | +0 | =1527 | 43% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1532 | +18 | +24 | =1574 | 57% | 2 | |
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1539 | +21 | –3 | =1557 | 50% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1531 | +3 | +24 | =1558 | 50% | 2 | |
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1541 | –30 | +0 | =1511 | 40% | 0 |
TBRays | Archer | 1564 | –4 | +24 | =1584 | 60% | 9 | |
8/21Saturday, Aug. 211:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1543 | –26 | +0 | =1517 | 42% | 4 |
TBRays | Patino | 1563 | –15 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | 8 | |
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1541 | +8 | –3 | =1546 | 47% | 7 |
TBRays | Wacha | 1564 | –24 | +24 | =1564 | 53% | 5 | |
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1527 | –4 | +0 | =1523 | 45% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1543 | –10 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | 4 | |
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1528 | –42 | +0 | =1486 | 36% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1542 | +22 | +24 | =1588 | 64% | 3 | |
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Bassitt | 1531 | +23 | +0 | =1554 | 54% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1538 | –35 | +24 | =1527 | 46% | 9 | |
8/16Monday, Aug. 168 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1533 | +4 | –3 | =1534 | 50% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1537 | –25 | +24 | =1536 | 50% | 5 | |
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1551 | –38 | +0 | =1513 | 41% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1538 | +10 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | 3 | |
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1550 | +1 | +2 | =1553 | 50% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1540 | –11 | +26 | =1555 | 50% | 5 | |
8/12Thursday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Heaney | 1550 | –25 | –2 | =1523 | 44% | 8 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1539 | +25 | –2 | =1562 | 56% | 9 | |
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1540 | –40 | +0 | =1500 | 48% | 0 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1493 | –5 | +24 | =1512 | 52% | 1 | |
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1541 | –25 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | 3 |
MINTwins | Jax | 1492 | –6 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | 4 | |
8/9Monday, Aug. 98 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1538 | +5 | –2 | =1541 | 56% | 11 |
MINTwins | Burrows | 1494 | –16 | +21 | =1499 | 44% | 1 | |
8/8Sunday, Aug. 87 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1536 | –11 | +0 | =1525 | 52% | 9 |
CHCCubs | Davies | 1484 | +2 | +24 | =1510 | 48% | 3 | |
8/7Saturday, Aug. 72:20 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1534 | +9 | +0 | =1543 | 54% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Alzolay | 1486 | +4 | +24 | =1514 | 46% | 0 | |
8/6Friday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1533 | +26 | –1 | =1558 | 53% | 8 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1487 | +27 | +21 | =1535 | 47% | 6 | |
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1458 | –16 | +0 | =1442 | 37% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1534 | –25 | +24 | =1533 | 63% | 2 | |
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1454 | –14 | +0 | =1440 | 31% | 9 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1539 | +14 | +24 | =1577 | 69% | 1 | |
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1455 | –16 | +0 | =1439 | 35% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1537 | –16 | +26 | =1547 | 65% | 7 | |
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Quantrill | 1500 | –6 | +0 | =1494 | 46% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lambert | 1536 | –39 | +24 | =1521 | 54% | 2 | |
7/31Saturday, July 317:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | McKenzie | 1499 | –2 | +0 | =1497 | 44% | 12 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1537 | –23 | +24 | =1538 | 56% | 11 | |
7/30Friday, July 308:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Mejia | 1500 | –29 | +0 | =1471 | 34% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1536 | +26 | +22 | =1584 | 66% | 6 | |
7/29Thursday, July 292:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1539 | +13 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1456 | –23 | +24 | =1457 | 37% | 5 | |
7/28Wednesday, July 288:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1541 | +11 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1454 | –18 | +24 | =1460 | 37% | 3 | |
7/27Tuesday, July 278:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1540 | –19 | +0 | =1521 | 56% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1456 | +0 | +24 | =1480 | 44% | 3 | |
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1541 | –22 | –2 | =1517 | 54% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Minor | 1454 | +9 | +24 | =1487 | 46% | 4 | |
7/25Sunday, July 257 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1539 | +25 | +0 | =1564 | 46% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1535 | +36 | +24 | =1595 | 54% | 1 | |
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1541 | +18 | +0 | =1559 | 46% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1533 | +31 | +24 | =1588 | 54% | 6 | |
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1544 | +11 | +1 | =1556 | 48% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1530 | +12 | +26 | =1568 | 52% | 7 | |
7/21Wednesday, July 218:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Pineda | 1493 | +11 | +0 | =1504 | 43% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1546 | –19 | +24 | =1551 | 57% | 2 | |
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1495 | –12 | +0 | =1483 | 41% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1545 | –24 | +24 | =1545 | 59% | 9 | |
7/19Monday, July 198:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Berrios | 1496 | +29 | +0 | =1525 | 50% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1543 | –43 | +24 | =1524 | 50% | 5 | |
7/19Monday, July 195:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Jax | 1495 | –22 | –2 | =1471 | 33% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1545 | +22 | +24 | =1591 | 67% | 2 | |
7/18Sunday, July 182:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1567 | –8 | +0 | =1559 | 47% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1543 | +11 | +24 | =1578 | 53% | 4 | |
7/17Saturday, July 177:15 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1570 | –4 | +0 | =1566 | 49% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1540 | +7 | +24 | =1571 | 51% | 10 | |
7/16Friday, July 168:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1567 | +0 | +4 | =1571 | 53% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1542 | –18 | +28 | =1552 | 47% | 1 | |
7/11Sunday, July 111:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1541 | –19 | +0 | =1522 | 59% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1427 | +11 | +24 | =1462 | 41% | 5 | |
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1540 | +6 | +0 | =1546 | 65% | 8 |
BALOrioles | Eshelman | 1428 | –13 | +24 | =1439 | 35% | 3 | |
7/9Friday, July 97:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1537 | –22 | –1 | =1514 | 59% | 12 |
BALOrioles | Lopez | 1431 | –5 | +26 | =1452 | 41% | 1 | |
7/7Wednesday, July 71:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1535 | +26 | +0 | =1561 | 54% | 6 |
MINTwins | Pineda | 1497 | +15 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | 1 | |
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1533 | +12 | +0 | =1545 | 50% | 4 |
MINTwins | Berrios | 1499 | +24 | +24 | =1547 | 50% | 1 | |
7/5Monday, July 57 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1535 | –17 | –3 | =1515 | 51% | 5 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1497 | –13 | +22 | =1506 | 49% | 8 | |
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1536 | +12 | +0 | =1548 | 62% | 5 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1457 | –19 | +24 | =1462 | 38% | 6 | |
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1539 | –17 | +0 | =1522 | 55% | 5 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1454 | +7 | +24 | =1485 | 45% | 11 | |
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1537 | +24 | –2 | =1559 | 59% | 8 |
DETTigers | Mize | 1456 | +14 | +25 | =1495 | 41% | 2 | |
7/1Thursday, July 12:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Berrios | 1500 | +28 | +0 | =1528 | 44% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1536 | +9 | +24 | =1569 | 56% | 8 | |
6/30Wednesday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1503 | –7 | +0 | =1496 | 44% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1533 | –21 | +24 | =1536 | 56% | 13 | |
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Maeda | 1504 | +9 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1532 | +12 | +26 | =1570 | 58% | 7 | |
6/27Sunday, June 275:15 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Dugger | 1480 | –25 | +0 | =1455 | 39% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Burr | 1531 | –34 | +24 | =1521 | 61% | 7 | |
6/26Saturday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1478 | +7 | +0 | =1485 | 37% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1533 | +24 | +24 | =1581 | 63% | 2 | |
6/25Friday, June 258:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kikuchi | 1475 | +16 | –2 | =1489 | 38% | 9 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1536 | +12 | +24 | =1572 | 62% | 3 | |
6/23Wednesday, June 2312:35 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1535 | –22 | +0 | =1513 | 61% | 4 |
PITPirates | De Jong | 1428 | –17 | +24 | =1435 | 39% | 3 | |
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1537 | +12 | –1 | =1548 | 63% | 3 |
PITPirates | Anderson | 1426 | +7 | +26 | =1459 | 37% | 6 | |
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1539 | –12 | +0 | =1527 | 41% | 2 |
HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1570 | –2 | +24 | =1592 | 59% | 8 | |
6/19Saturday, June 197:15 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1541 | +26 | +0 | =1567 | 46% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1568 | +2 | +24 | =1594 | 54% | 7 | |
6/18Friday, June 188:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1542 | +7 | +0 | =1549 | 43% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1567 | +6 | +24 | =1597 | 57% | 2 | |
6/17Thursday, June 178:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1544 | –20 | –3 | =1521 | 40% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1565 | +1 | +24 | =1590 | 60% | 10 | |
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1560 | –7 | +0 | =1553 | 46% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1543 | +10 | +24 | =1577 | 54% | 8 | |
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1561 | –20 | +0 | =1541 | 49% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1542 | –17 | +24 | =1549 | 51% | 3 | |
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1559 | +26 | –3 | =1582 | 48% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1543 | +30 | +22 | =1595 | 52% | 2 | |
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1542 | +2 | +0 | =1544 | 62% | 4 |
DETTigers | Funkhouser | 1446 | –12 | +24 | =1458 | 38% | 1 | |
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1539 | –19 | +0 | =1520 | 57% | 15 |
DETTigers | Urena | 1449 | –4 | +24 | =1469 | 43% | 2 | |
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1538 | +12 | –2 | =1548 | 61% | 5 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1450 | –5 | +24 | =1469 | 39% | 4 | |
6/10Thursday, June 108 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1530 | +31 | +0 | =1561 | 53% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1536 | –19 | +24 | =1541 | 47% | 5 | |
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1527 | –7 | +0 | =1520 | 40% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1539 | +29 | +24 | =1592 | 60% | 2 | |
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1529 | +7 | +0 | =1536 | 46% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1537 | +2 | +26 | =1565 | 54% | 6 | |
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Urena | 1449 | –4 | +0 | =1445 | 37% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1536 | –22 | +24 | =1538 | 63% | 3 | |
6/5Saturday, June 52:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1447 | –8 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1537 | +17 | +24 | =1578 | 69% | 3 | |
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Turnbull | 1448 | +20 | +0 | =1468 | 39% | 8 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1537 | –18 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | 9 | |
6/3Thursday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Mize | 1449 | +9 | +1 | =1459 | 32% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1536 | +30 | +24 | =1590 | 68% | 4 | |
6/1Tuesday, June 16:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1536 | –17 | +0 | =1519 | 42% | 5 |
CLEIndians | Bieber | 1510 | +43 | +24 | =1577 | 58% | 6 | |
5/31Monday, May 316:35 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lambert | 1538 | –37 | +0 | =1501 | 49% | 1 |
CLEIndians | Quantrill | 1509 | –23 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | 3 | |
5/31Monday, May 313:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1537 | +5 | –2 | =1540 | 53% | 8 |
CLEIndians | McKenzie | 1510 | –17 | +24 | =1517 | 47% | 6 | |
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Akin | 1428 | +7 | +0 | =1435 | 31% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1536 | +11 | +24 | =1571 | 69% | 3 | |
5/29Saturday, May 295:35 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Means | 1429 | +53 | +0 | =1482 | 36% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1535 | +26 | +24 | =1585 | 64% | 3 | |
5/29Saturday, May 292:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Harvey | 1430 | –22 | +2 | =1410 | 32% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1534 | –15 | +26 | =1545 | 68% | 7 | |
5/27Thursday, May 278:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1431 | –20 | –2 | =1409 | 33% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1533 | –22 | +24 | =1535 | 67% | 5 | |
5/26Wednesday, May 262:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Gant | 1505 | –5 | +0 | =1500 | 41% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1535 | +2 | +24 | =1561 | 59% | 0 | |
5/25Tuesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1507 | +32 | +0 | =1539 | 46% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1533 | +12 | +24 | =1569 | 54% | 8 | |
5/24Monday, May 248 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Kim | 1508 | +2 | –2 | =1508 | 40% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1532 | +25 | +21 | =1578 | 60% | 5 | |
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1533 | –12 | +0 | =1521 | 43% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1565 | –17 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | 5 | |
5/22Saturday, May 221:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1534 | –19 | +0 | =1515 | 34% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1563 | +47 | +24 | =1634 | 66% | 7 | |
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1535 | –4 | –1 | =1530 | 45% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1562 | –14 | +21 | =1569 | 55% | 2 | |
5/19Wednesday, May 191:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1534 | +8 | +0 | =1542 | 53% | 2 |
MINTwins | Shoemaker | 1510 | –14 | +24 | =1520 | 47% | 1 | |
5/18Tuesday, May 187:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1536 | +29 | +0 | =1565 | 58% | 4 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1508 | –25 | +24 | =1507 | 42% | 5 | |
5/17Monday, May 177:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1532 | –12 | –2 | =1518 | 47% | 16 |
MINTwins | Happ | 1512 | +2 | +24 | =1538 | 53% | 4 | |
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1467 | +9 | +0 | =1476 | 41% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1531 | –18 | +24 | =1537 | 59% | 4 | |
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Minor | 1464 | +9 | +0 | =1473 | 38% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1533 | +0 | +24 | =1557 | 62% | 1 | |
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Junis | 1465 | –11 | +0 | =1454 | 40% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1532 | –31 | +24 | =1525 | 60% | 3 | |
5/14Friday, May 143:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1462 | –2 | –2 | =1458 | 34% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1535 | +11 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | 2 | |
5/13Thursday, May 132:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Pineda | 1516 | +10 | +0 | =1526 | 42% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1534 | +27 | +24 | =1585 | 58% | 4 | |
5/12Wednesday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Happ | 1518 | +7 | +0 | =1525 | 47% | 8 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1532 | –9 | +24 | =1547 | 53% | 13 | |
5/11Tuesday, May 118:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Maeda | 1520 | +3 | +3 | =1526 | 49% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1530 | –20 | +24 | =1534 | 51% | 9 | |
5/9Sunday, May 92:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1527 | +11 | +0 | =1538 | 56% | 9 |
KCRoyals | Minor | 1468 | +7 | +24 | =1499 | 44% | 3 | |
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1525 | +25 | +0 | =1550 | 61% | 9 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1470 | –19 | +24 | =1475 | 39% | 1 | |
5/7Friday, May 78:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1524 | –4 | –1 | =1519 | 55% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1471 | –7 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | 0 | |
5/5Wednesday, May 512:35 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1525 | –11 | +0 | =1514 | 46% | 0 |
CINReds | Gray | 1499 | +21 | +24 | =1544 | 54% | 1 | |
5/4Tuesday, May 46:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1522 | –23 | +0 | =1499 | 48% | 9 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1502 | –17 | +26 | =1511 | 52% | 0 | |
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Plesac | 1509 | +9 | +0 | =1518 | 44% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1524 | +15 | +24 | =1563 | 56% | 0 | |
5/1Saturday, May 14:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | McKenzie | 1511 | –13 | +0 | =1498 | 39% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1523 | +31 | +24 | =1578 | 61% | 7 | |
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Bieber | 1510 | +51 | +0 | =1561 | 53% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1524 | –10 | +24 | =1538 | 47% | 3 | |
4/29Thursday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1440 | +13 | +0 | =1453 | 41% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1521 | –30 | +24 | =1515 | 59% | 11 | |
4/29Thursday, April 295:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Mize | 1441 | –16 | +2 | =1427 | 34% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1520 | –5 | +26 | =1541 | 66% | 3 | |
4/27Tuesday, April 278:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Urena | 1439 | +1 | –2 | =1438 | 32% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1523 | +19 | +26 | =1568 | 68% | 2 | |
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Arihara | 1460 | +8 | +0 | =1468 | 44% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1521 | –33 | +24 | =1512 | 56% | 8 | |
4/24Saturday, April 247:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gibson | 1461 | +5 | +0 | =1466 | 40% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1520 | –10 | +24 | =1534 | 60% | 2 | |
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1462 | +17 | –2 | =1477 | 44% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1519 | –29 | +27 | =1517 | 56% | 9 | |
4/20Tuesday, April 206:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1517 | –5 | –3 | =1509 | 45% | 8 |
CLEIndians | Plesac | 1513 | +7 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | 5 | |
4/19Monday, April 1911:10 a.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1520 | +31 | +0 | =1551 | 51% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1511 | +6 | +24 | =1541 | 49% | 11 | |
4/18Sunday, April 185:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1518 | –37 | +0 | =1481 | 44% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Perez | 1513 | –18 | +24 | =1519 | 56% | 1 | |
4/18Sunday, April 181:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1517 | –13 | +0 | =1504 | 45% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1514 | +0 | +24 | =1538 | 55% | 2 | |
4/17Saturday, April 174:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1518 | –33 | –1 | =1484 | 45% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1513 | –14 | +23 | =1522 | 55% | 7 | |
4/15Thursday, April 152:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Civale | 1513 | +1 | +0 | =1514 | 42% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1520 | +30 | +24 | =1574 | 58% | 2 | |
4/14Wednesday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Plesac | 1516 | +16 | +0 | =1532 | 51% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1517 | –16 | +24 | =1525 | 49% | 8 | |
4/13Tuesday, April 138:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Bieber | 1514 | +40 | +0 | =1554 | 47% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1518 | +30 | +24 | =1572 | 53% | 0 | |
4/12Monday, April 128:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | McKenzie | 1515 | –13 | –2 | =1500 | 45% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1517 | –9 | +24 | =1532 | 55% | 4 | |
4/11Sunday, April 112:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Minor | 1471 | +16 | +5 | =1492 | 47% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1519 | –32 | +29 | =1516 | 53% | 3 | |
4/8Thursday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1473 | +7 | –2 | =1478 | 38% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1517 | +27 | +20 | =1564 | 62% | 6 | |
4/7Wednesday, April 74:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1519 | –6 | +0 | =1513 | 53% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Dunn | 1466 | +3 | +24 | =1493 | 47% | 8 | |
4/6Tuesday, April 610:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1517 | +31 | +0 | =1548 | 54% | 10 |
SEAMariners | Paxton | 1468 | +32 | +24 | =1524 | 46% | 4 | |
4/5Monday, April 510:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1514 | –17 | –3 | =1494 | 47% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Sheffield | 1471 | +15 | +26 | =1512 | 53% | 0 | |
4/4Sunday, April 48:37 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1515 | –29 | +0 | =1486 | 44% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1509 | –6 | +24 | =1527 | 56% | 7 | |
4/3Saturday, April 39:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1517 | +29 | +0 | =1546 | 53% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Cobb | 1508 | –6 | +24 | =1526 | 47% | 5 | |
4/2Friday, April 29:38 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1515 | –2 | +0 | =1513 | 46% | 12 |
LAAAngels | Heaney | 1510 | +7 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | 8 | |
4/1Thursday, April 110:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1516 | +31 | –4 | =1543 | 49% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Bundy | 1509 | +14 | +24 | =1547 | 51% | 4 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments