Updated Oct. 22, 2021, at 2:57 AM

2021 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox are done for the season.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
White SoxWhite Sox93-69
IndiansIndians80-8213.0
TigersTigers77-8516.0
RoyalsRoyals74-8819.0
TwinsTwins73-8920.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/12Tuesday, Oct. 122:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1562+17+2=158149%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1540+19+26=158551%1
10/10Sunday, Oct. 108:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1565+31=156751%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1536+1+23=156049%12
10/8Friday, Oct. 82:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1539+18+0=155743%4
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1563+6+24=159357%9
10/7Thursday, Oct. 74:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1541+19+4=156443%1
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1560+12+31=160357%6
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1473+0+0=147337%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1544+0+24=156863%2
10/2Saturday, Oct. 27:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147420+0=145432%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1543+16+24=158368%5
10/1Friday, Oct. 18:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
1475+02=147334%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1541+19+26=158666%8
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1506+16+0=152242%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1540+16+24=158058%6
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
O'Brien, Riley
O'Brien
1508212=148544%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
153832+22=152856%7
9/27Monday, Sept. 271:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1537401=149652%8
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147716+24=148548%7
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1535+15+0=155052%5
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1503+12+24=153948%2
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:15 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1538+25+0=156357%0
CLECLEIndians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
150010+24=151443%6
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
15372+0=153545%1
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1501+42+24=156755%0
9/23Thursday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
153823+0=151548%3
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1500+7+24=153152%5
9/23Thursday, Sept. 231:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
153631+1=150645%7
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1502+12+26=154055%2
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 211:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153738+0=149950%3
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14764+24=149650%5
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1538+183=155361%3
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147517+21=147939%4
9/19Sunday, Sept. 192:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1537+15+0=155263%7
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14446+24=146237%2
9/18Saturday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1538+26+0=156465%1
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
14439+24=145835%2
9/17Friday, Sept. 178:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153663=152759%8
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14453+24=146641%0
9/16Thursday, Sept. 162:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1493+9+0=150245%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
153928+24=153555%3
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Junk, Janson
Junk
149119+0=147243%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154040+24=152457%2
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Naughton, Packy
Naughton
149371=148537%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1538+16+26=158063%9
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15184+0=151440%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1537+22+24=158360%2
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
151719+0=149841%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
15391+24=156259%8
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1518+181=153545%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1538+16+20=157455%4
9/9Thursday, Sept. 93:37 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
153928+0=151145%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1521+0+24=154555%3
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154140+0=150141%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1520+19+24=156359%5
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
1539342=150345%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
15228+22=153655%3
9/5Sunday, Sept. 52:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1542+0+0=154258%0
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
14651+24=148842%6
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
154028+0=151253%10
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14661+24=148947%7
9/3Friday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154236+0=150652%2
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1464+3+24=149148%7
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Kranick, Max
Kranick
14226+0=141628%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1542+12+24=157872%6
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1423+9+0=143230%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1541+15+26=158270%4
8/29Sunday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1466+24+0=149040%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
15385+24=155760%13
8/28Saturday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1462+11+0=147334%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1542+25+24=159166%0
8/27Friday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
1464+6+1=147142%13
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154031+22=153158%17
8/26Thursday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1539+10+0=154947%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1532+13+24=156953%7
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1540+10+0=155046%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1531+26+24=158154%3
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153811+0=152743%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1532+18+24=157457%2
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1539+213=155750%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1531+3+24=155850%2
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
154130+0=151140%0
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
15644+24=158460%9
8/21Saturday, Aug. 211:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154326+0=151742%4
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
156315+24=157258%8
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1541+83=154647%7
TBTBRays
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
156424+24=156453%5
8/19Thursday, Aug. 192:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15274+0=152345%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154310+24=155755%4
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
152842+0=148636%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1542+22+24=158864%3
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1531+23+0=155454%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
153835+24=152746%9
8/16Monday, Aug. 168 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1533+43=153450%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153725+24=153650%5
8/15Sunday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
155138+0=151341%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1538+10+24=157259%3
8/14Saturday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1550+1+2=155350%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154011+26=155550%5
8/12Thursday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1550252=152344%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1539+252=156256%9
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
154040+0=150048%0
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
14935+24=151252%1
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154125+0=151651%3
MINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
14926+24=151049%4
8/9Monday, Aug. 98 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1538+52=154156%11
MINMINTwins
Burrows, Beau
Burrows
149416+21=149944%1
8/8Sunday, Aug. 87 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153611+0=152552%9
CHCCHCCubs
Davies, Zach
Davies
1484+2+24=151048%3
8/7Saturday, Aug. 72:20 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1534+9+0=154354%4
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1486+4+24=151446%0
8/6Friday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1533+261=155853%8
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1487+27+21=153547%6
8/5Thursday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145816+0=144237%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153425+24=153363%2
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
145414+0=144031%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1539+14+24=157769%1
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145516+0=143935%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153716+26=154765%7
8/1Sunday, Aug. 12:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15006+0=149446%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
153639+24=152154%2
7/31Saturday, July 317:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14992+0=149744%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153723+24=153856%11
7/30Friday, July 308:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Mejia, J.C.
Mejia
150029+0=147134%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1536+26+22=158466%6
7/29Thursday, July 292:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1539+13+0=155263%0
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
145623+24=145737%5
7/28Wednesday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1541+11+0=155263%2
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145418+24=146037%3
7/27Tuesday, July 278:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154019+0=152156%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1456+0+24=148044%3
7/26Monday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1541222=151754%3
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1454+9+24=148746%4
7/25Sunday, July 257 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1539+25+0=156446%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1535+36+24=159554%1
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1541+18+0=155946%1
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1533+31+24=158854%6
7/23Friday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1544+11+1=155648%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+12+26=156852%7
7/21Wednesday, July 218:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1493+11+0=150443%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154619+24=155157%2
7/20Tuesday, July 208:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
149512+0=148341%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154524+24=154559%9
7/19Monday, July 198:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1496+29+0=152550%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
154343+24=152450%5
7/19Monday, July 195:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Jax, Griffin
Jax
1495222=147133%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1545+22+24=159167%2
7/18Sunday, July 182:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15678+0=155947%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1543+11+24=157853%4
7/17Saturday, July 177:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15704+0=156649%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1540+7+24=157151%10
7/16Friday, July 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1567+0+4=157153%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154218+28=155247%1
7/11Sunday, July 111:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
154119+0=152259%7
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1427+11+24=146241%5
7/10Saturday, July 104:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1540+6+0=154665%8
BALBALOrioles
Eshelman, Thomas
Eshelman
142813+24=143935%3
7/9Friday, July 97:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1537221=151459%12
BALBALOrioles
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
14315+26=145241%1
7/7Wednesday, July 71:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1535+26+0=156154%6
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1497+15+24=153646%1
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1533+12+0=154550%4
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1499+24+24=154750%1
7/5Monday, July 57 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1535173=151551%5
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
149713+22=150649%8
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1536+12+0=154862%5
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
145719+24=146238%6
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153917+0=152255%5
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1454+7+24=148545%11
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1537+242=155959%8
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1456+14+25=149541%2
7/1Thursday, July 12:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1500+28+0=152844%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1536+9+24=156956%8
6/30Wednesday, June 308:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
15037+0=149644%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153321+24=153656%13
6/29Tuesday, June 298:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1504+9+0=151342%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1532+12+26=157058%7
6/27Sunday, June 275:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
148025+0=145539%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Burr, Ryan
Burr
153134+24=152161%7
6/26Saturday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1478+7+0=148537%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1533+24+24=158163%2
6/25Friday, June 258:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1475+162=148938%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1536+12+24=157262%3
6/23Wednesday, June 2312:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153522+0=151361%4
PITPITPirates
De Jong, Chase
De Jong
142817+24=143539%3
6/22Tuesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1537+121=154863%3
PITPITPirates
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1426+7+26=145937%6
6/20Sunday, June 202:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153912+0=152741%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15702+24=159259%8
6/19Saturday, June 197:15 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1541+26+0=156746%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1568+2+24=159454%7
6/18Friday, June 188:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1542+7+0=154943%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1567+6+24=159757%2
6/17Thursday, June 178:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1544203=152140%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1565+1+24=159060%10
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15607+0=155346%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1543+10+24=157754%8
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
156120+0=154149%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154217+24=154951%3
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1559+263=158248%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1543+30+22=159552%2
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1542+2+0=154462%4
DETDETTigers
Funkhouser, Kyle
Funkhouser
144612+24=145838%1
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153919+0=152057%15
DETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14494+24=146943%2
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1538+122=154861%5
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14505+24=146939%4
6/10Thursday, June 108 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1530+31+0=156153%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153619+24=154147%5
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15277+0=152040%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1539+29+24=159260%2
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+7+0=153646%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1537+2+26=156554%6
6/6Sunday, June 62:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
14494+0=144537%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153622+24=153863%3
6/5Saturday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14478+0=143931%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1537+17+24=157869%3
6/4Friday, June 48:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1448+20+0=146839%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153718+24=154361%9
6/3Thursday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1449+9+1=145932%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1536+30+24=159068%4
6/1Tuesday, June 16:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153617+0=151942%5
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1510+43+24=157758%6
5/31Monday, May 316:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
153837+0=150149%1
CLECLEIndians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150923+24=151051%3
5/31Monday, May 313:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1537+52=154053%8
CLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151017+24=151747%6
5/30Sunday, May 302:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
1428+7+0=143531%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1536+11+24=157169%3
5/29Saturday, May 295:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1429+53+0=148236%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1535+26+24=158564%3
5/29Saturday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
143022+2=141032%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153415+26=154568%7
5/27Thursday, May 278:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1431202=140933%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153322+24=153567%5
5/26Wednesday, May 262:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
15055+0=150041%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1535+2+24=156159%0
5/25Tuesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1507+32+0=153946%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1533+12+24=156954%8
5/24Monday, May 248 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Kim, Kwang Hyun
Kim
1508+22=150840%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1532+25+21=157860%5
5/23Sunday, May 231:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153312+0=152143%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
156517+24=157257%5
5/22Saturday, May 221:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153419+0=151534%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1563+47+24=163466%7
5/21Friday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
153541=153045%1
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156214+21=156955%2
5/19Wednesday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1534+8+0=154253%2
MINMINTwins
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
151014+24=152047%1
5/18Tuesday, May 187:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1536+29+0=156558%4
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
150825+24=150742%5
5/17Monday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1532122=151847%16
MINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1512+2+24=153853%4
5/16Sunday, May 162:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1467+9+0=147641%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153118+24=153759%4
5/15Saturday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1464+9+0=147338%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1533+0+24=155762%1
5/14Friday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
146511+0=145440%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
153231+24=152560%3
5/14Friday, May 143:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
146222=145834%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1535+11+24=157066%2
5/13Thursday, May 132:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1516+10+0=152642%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1534+27+24=158558%4
5/12Wednesday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1518+7+0=152547%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15329+24=154753%13
5/11Tuesday, May 118:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1520+3+3=152649%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
153020+24=153451%9
5/9Sunday, May 92:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1527+11+0=153856%9
KCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1468+7+24=149944%3
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1525+25+0=155061%9
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
147019+24=147539%1
5/7Friday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
152441=151955%3
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14717+24=148845%0
5/5Wednesday, May 512:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152511+0=151446%0
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1499+21+24=154454%1
5/4Tuesday, May 46:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
152223+0=149948%9
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
150217+26=151152%0
5/2Sunday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1509+9+0=151844%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1524+15+24=156356%0
5/1Saturday, May 14:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
151113+0=149839%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1523+31+24=157861%7
4/30Friday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1510+51+0=156153%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152410+24=153847%3
4/29Thursday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1440+13+0=145341%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
152130+24=151559%11
4/29Thursday, April 295:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
144116+2=142734%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
15205+26=154166%3
4/27Tuesday, April 278:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Urena, Jose
Urena
1439+12=143832%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1523+19+26=156868%2
4/25Sunday, April 252:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
1460+8+0=146844%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
152133+24=151256%8
4/24Saturday, April 247:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1461+5+0=146640%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152010+24=153460%2
4/23Friday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1462+172=147744%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
151929+27=151756%9
4/20Tuesday, April 206:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
151753=150945%8
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1513+7+24=154455%5
4/19Monday, April 1911:10 a.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1520+31+0=155151%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1511+6+24=154149%11
4/18Sunday, April 185:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
151837+0=148144%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Perez, Martin
Perez
151318+24=151956%1
4/18Sunday, April 181:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
151713+0=150445%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1514+0+24=153855%2
4/17Saturday, April 174:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1518331=148445%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151314+23=152255%7
4/15Thursday, April 152:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1513+1+0=151442%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1520+30+24=157458%2
4/14Wednesday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1516+16+0=153251%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
151716+24=152549%8
4/13Tuesday, April 138:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1514+40+0=155447%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1518+30+24=157253%0
4/12Monday, April 128:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1515132=150045%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15179+24=153255%4
4/11Sunday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Minor, Mike
Minor
1471+16+5=149247%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
151932+29=151653%3
4/8Thursday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1473+72=147838%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1517+27+20=156462%6
4/7Wednesday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15196+0=151353%4
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1466+3+24=149347%8
4/6Tuesday, April 610:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1517+31+0=154854%10
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1468+32+24=152446%4
4/5Monday, April 510:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1514173=149447%6
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1471+15+26=151253%0
4/4Sunday, April 48:37 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
151529+0=148644%4
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
15096+24=152756%7
4/3Saturday, April 39:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1517+29+0=154653%3
LAALAAAngels
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
15086+24=152647%5
4/2Friday, April 29:38 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15152+0=151346%12
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1510+7+24=154154%8
4/1Thursday, April 110:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1516+314=154349%3
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1509+14+24=154751%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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