2020-21 NBA Player Projections
Powered by FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR player ratings
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Donte DiVincenzo
- Bucks
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Shooting Guard
- 24 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'4" | ||
Weight | 203 | ||
Draft position | 17 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 55% | ||
Free throw % | 73% | ||
Usage % | 17% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 50% | ||
FT frequency | 18% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 13% | ||
Turnover % | 14% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 10% | ||
Block % | 1.3% | ||
Steal % | 2.4% | ||
Defensive +/- | +2.6 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: FUTURE ALL-STAR
5-yr market value: $115.9m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Sonny Parker
Year: 1979
Similarity: 66
2
Tony Allen
Year: 2006
Similarity: 62
3
Eddie Jones
Year: 1996
Similarity: 59
4
Aaron McKie
Year: 1997
Similarity: 56
5
James Posey
Year: 2001
Similarity: 54
6
CJ McCollum
Year: 2016
Similarity: 53
7
Tyrone Nesby
Year: 2000
Similarity: 52
8
Alvin Robertson
Year: 1986
Similarity: 51
9
Paul Thompson
Year: 1985
Similarity: 51
10
Robert Horry
Year: 1995
Similarity: 51
Donte DiVincenzo
- Bucks
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Shooting Guard
- 24 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2018 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | — | -1.5 | +1.0 | +1.0 | +1.3 | +1.5 | +1.6 | +1.6 | +1.6 | +1.3 |
Playoffs | — | — | -3.5 | +0.8 | +1.1 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.2 | |
Combined | — | -1.5 | +0.5 | +0.9 | +1.2 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.3 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | — | +3.3 | +2.7 | +1.8 | +1.6 | +1.6 | +1.6 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.6 |
Playoffs | — | — | +0.8 | +1.8 | +1.6 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.6 | |
Combined | — | +3.3 | +2.5 | +1.8 | +1.6 | +1.5 | +1.6 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.6 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | — | +1.8 | +3.7 | +2.8 | +2.9 | +3.1 | +3.2 | +3.1 | +3.1 | +2.9 |
Playoffs | — | — | -2.8 | +2.6 | +2.7 | +2.9 | +2.9 | +2.9 | +2.9 | +2.7 | |
Combined | — | +1.8 | +2.9 | +2.7 | +2.8 | +3.0 | +3.0 | +3.0 | +3.0 | +2.8 |
Per 82 games | 2018 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | — | 1.0 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 3.8 |
Playoffs | — | — | 0.0 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 4.2 | |
Combined | — | 1.0 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 | |
Market value | Reg. season | — | $4.2m | $22.2m | $20.5m | $22.5m | $23.7m | $24.6m | $24.1m | $23.7m | $21.0m |
Playoffs | — | — | $1.7m | $20.3m | $22.2m | $23.6m | $24.5m | $24.3m | $24.1m | $21.5m | |
Combined | — | $4.2m | $19.3m | $20.4m | $22.4m | $23.6m | $24.6m | $24.2m | $23.9m | $21.2m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | — | 411 | 1,707 | 1,754 | 1,780 | 1,739 | 1,678 | 1,576 | 1,476 | 1,292 |
Playoffs | — | — | 1,353 | 1,868 | 1,900 | 1,890 | 1,842 | 1,743 | 1,646 | 1,450 | |
Combined | — | 411 | 1,657 | 1,811 | 1,840 | 1,814 | 1,760 | 1,659 | 1,561 | 1,371 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
2019 | -1.5 | +3.3 | +1.8 | $4.2m | 411 |
2020 | +0.5 | +2.5 | +2.9 | $19.3m | 1,657 |
2021 | +0.9 | +1.8 | +2.7 | $20.4m | 1,811 |
2022 | +1.2 | +1.6 | +2.8 | $22.4m | 1,840 |
2023 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +3.0 | $23.6m | 1,814 |
2024 | +1.5 | +1.6 | +3.0 | $24.6m | 1,760 |
2025 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +3.0 | $24.2m | 1,659 |
2026 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +3.0 | $23.9m | 1,561 |
2027 | +1.3 | +1.6 | +2.8 | $21.2m | 1,371 |
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