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More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratings
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
LeBron James | L. James | 11 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 34 | SAME | +4.9 | +0.5 | |||||||
Anthony Davis | A. Davis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 34 | SAME | +3.3 | +3.9 | |||||||
Dennis Schroder | D. Schroder | 22 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | SAME | -0.2 | +0.4 | |||||||
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | K. Caldwell-Pope | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | SAME | +0.7 | 0.0 | |||||||
Marc Gasol | M. Gasol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | SAME | -2.0 | +3.1 | |||||||
Wesley Matthews | W. Matthews | 0 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 21 | SAME | -1.8 | +0.3 | |||||||
Kyle Kuzma | K. Kuzma | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 20 | SAME | -2.3 | -0.6 | |||||||
Alex Caruso | A. Caruso | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | SAME | -0.3 | +2.7 | |||||||
Markieff Morris | M. Morris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 15 | SAME | -2.1 | -1.4 | |||||||
Montrezl Harrell | M. Harrell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | SAME | +0.4 | +2.1 | |||||||
Talen Horton-Tucker | T. Horton-Tucker | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | SAME | -1.1 | +1.6 | |||||||
Jared Dudley | J. Dudley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | SAME | -2.0 | +0.7 | |||||||
Quinn Cook | Q. Cook | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | SAME | -0.3 | -2.6 | |||||||
Alfonzo McKinnie | A. McKinnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.5 | -1.6 | |||||||
Kostas Antetokounmpo | K. Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -3.1 | -1.0 | |||||||
Devontae Cacok | D. Cacok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.0 | -0.6 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +2.1 | +4.6 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 114-107 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 58 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1679 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1696). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1696). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1686 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | PLAYER RATING | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Exp. min. per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||
LeBron James | L. James | 11 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +4.9 | +0.5 | ||||
Anthony Davis | A. Davis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 34 | +3.3 | +3.9 | ||||
Dennis Schroder | D. Schroder | 22 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | -0.2 | +0.4 | ||||
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | K. Caldwell-Pope | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | +0.7 | 0.0 | ||||
Marc Gasol | M. Gasol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | -2.0 | +3.1 | ||||
Wesley Matthews | W. Matthews | 0 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 21 | -1.8 | +0.3 | ||||
Kyle Kuzma | K. Kuzma | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 20 | -2.3 | -0.6 | ||||
Alex Caruso | A. Caruso | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -0.3 | +2.7 | ||||
Markieff Morris | M. Morris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 15 | -2.1 | -1.4 | ||||
Montrezl Harrell | M. Harrell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | +0.4 | +2.1 | ||||
Talen Horton-Tucker | T. Horton-Tucker | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.1 | +1.6 | ||||
Jared Dudley | J. Dudley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 | +0.7 | ||||
Quinn Cook | Q. Cook | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.3 | -2.6 | ||||
Alfonzo McKinnie | A. McKinnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 | -1.6 | ||||
Kostas Antetokounmpo | K. Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 | -1.0 | ||||
Devontae Cacok | D. Cacok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | -0.6 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +2.1 | +4.6 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 114-107 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 58 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1679 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1696). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1696). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1686 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
LeBron James | L. James | 18 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 39 | +5 | +5.6 | +0.8 | |||||||
Anthony Davis | A. Davis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 11 | 39 | +5 | +3.8 | +4.0 | |||||||
Dennis Schroder | D. Schroder | 22 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | +2 | -0.1 | +0.4 | |||||||
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | K. Caldwell-Pope | 0 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | +1 | +0.7 | -0.1 | |||||||
Marc Gasol | M. Gasol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | -1 | -2.2 | +3.1 | |||||||
Wesley Matthews | W. Matthews | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 21 | SAME | -1.9 | +0.3 | |||||||
Kyle Kuzma | K. Kuzma | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 26 | +6 | -2.4 | -0.7 | |||||||
Alex Caruso | A. Caruso | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | +1 | -0.5 | +2.7 | |||||||
Markieff Morris | M. Morris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -5 | -1.9 | -1.2 | |||||||
Montrezl Harrell | M. Harrell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -6 | +0.1 | +1.9 | |||||||
Talen Horton-Tucker | T. Horton-Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -1.0 | +1.6 | |||||||
Jared Dudley | J. Dudley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 | +0.8 | |||||||
Quinn Cook | Q. Cook | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.2 | -2.6 | |||||||
Alfonzo McKinnie | A. McKinnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | -1.6 | |||||||
Kostas Antetokounmpo | K. Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -3.1 | -1.0 | |||||||
Devontae Cacok | D. Cacok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.9 | -0.5 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +3.9 | +5.6 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 112-102 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 63 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1734 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1696). The weight given to Elo — 32% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1696). The weight given to Elo — 32% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1722 | ||||||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1736 |
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