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More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratings
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Kevin Durant | K. Durant | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 34 | +1 | +4.3 | -0.4 | |||||||
James Harden | J. Harden | 5 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 37 | SAME | +7.5 | +0.3 | |||||||
Kyrie Irving | K. Irving | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | SAME | +5.7 | -1.1 | |||||||
Spencer Dinwiddie | S. Dinwiddie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -23 | +2.5 | -1.6 | |||||||
Joe Harris | J. Harris | 0 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 29 | SAME | +1.1 | -0.9 | |||||||
DeAndre Jordan | D. Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | +2 | -2.5 | +0.3 | |||||||
Landry Shamet | L. Shamet | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 22 | SAME | -1.2 | -0.8 | |||||||
Bruce Brown | B. Brown | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | +5 | -1.5 | +0.9 | |||||||
Jeff Green | J. Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | +7 | -0.6 | -1.4 | |||||||
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | T. Luwawu-Cabarrot | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4 | -0.4 | -0.9 | |||||||
Tyler Johnson | T. Johnson | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4 | -0.9 | -1.3 | |||||||
Nicolas Claxton | N. Claxton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9 | -2.7 | +0.5 | |||||||
Chris Chiozza | C. Chiozza | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4 | +0.8 | -0.7 | |||||||
Reggie Perry | R. Perry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | +5 | -1.9 | -0.4 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +8.4 | -1.8 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 121-114 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 57 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1667 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1504). The weight given to Elo — 20% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1504). The weight given to Elo — 20% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1634 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | PLAYER RATING | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Exp. min. per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||
Kevin Durant | K. Durant | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 33 | +4.3 | -0.4 | ||||
James Harden | J. Harden | 5 | 21 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 37 | +7.5 | +0.3 | ||||
Kyrie Irving | K. Irving | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | +5.7 | -1.1 | ||||
Spencer Dinwiddie | S. Dinwiddie | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | +2.5 | -1.6 | ||||
Joe Harris | J. Harris | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 29 | +1.1 | -0.9 | ||||
DeAndre Jordan | D. Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | -2.5 | +0.3 | ||||
Landry Shamet | L. Shamet | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | -1.2 | -0.8 | ||||
Bruce Brown | B. Brown | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -1.5 | +0.9 | ||||
Jeff Green | J. Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | -0.6 | -1.4 | ||||
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | T. Luwawu-Cabarrot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | -0.9 | ||||
Tyler Johnson | T. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 | -1.3 | ||||
Nicolas Claxton | N. Claxton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -2.7 | +0.5 | ||||
Chris Chiozza | C. Chiozza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 | -0.7 | ||||
Reggie Perry | R. Perry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 | -0.4 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +9.3 | -2.0 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103.2 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103.2 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 122-114 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 59 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1684 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1504). The weight given to Elo — 12% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1504). The weight given to Elo — 12% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1663 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Kevin Durant | K. Durant | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 33 | SAME | +4.5 | -0.4 | |||||||
James Harden | J. Harden | 2 | 27 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 42 | +5 | +7.2 | +0.4 | |||||||
Kyrie Irving | K. Irving | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +1 | +5.6 | -1.2 | |||||||
Spencer Dinwiddie | S. Dinwiddie | 12 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | +5 | +2.4 | -1.6 | |||||||
Joe Harris | J. Harris | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 31 | +2 | +1.0 | -0.9 | |||||||
DeAndre Jordan | D. Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | SAME | -2.6 | +0.3 | |||||||
Landry Shamet | L. Shamet | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 20 | -2 | -1.2 | -0.7 | |||||||
Bruce Brown | B. Brown | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | -1.5 | +0.9 | |||||||
Jeff Green | J. Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | SAME | -0.6 | -1.4 | |||||||
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | T. Luwawu-Cabarrot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.4 | -0.9 | |||||||
Tyler Johnson | T. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.9 | -1.5 | |||||||
Nicolas Claxton | N. Claxton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | SAME | -2.6 | +0.5 | |||||||
Chris Chiozza | C. Chiozza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +0.8 | -0.7 | |||||||
Reggie Perry | R. Perry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 | -0.4 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +11.6 | -2.5 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 120-111 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 61 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1708 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1504). The weight given to Elo — 7% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1504). The weight given to Elo — 7% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1695 | ||||||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1705 |
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