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More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratings
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Kyle Lowry | K. Lowry | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -26 | +2.6 | +1.1 | |||||||
Pascal Siakam* | P. Siakam* | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 4 | 41 | +2 | +0.1 | +0.1 | |||||||
Fred VanVleet | F. VanVleet | 15 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +3 | +2.4 | +0.5 | |||||||
OG Anunoby* | O. Anunoby* | 0 | 0 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 36 | +1 | -0.6 | +1.6 | |||||||
Aron Baynes* | A. Baynes* | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | +3 | -3.1 | +1.6 | |||||||
Norman Powell | N. Powell | 0 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 24 | +4 | +0.4 | -1.0 | |||||||
Terence Davis | T. Davis | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | +10 | +1.1 | -0.2 | |||||||
Patrick McCaw | P. McCaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12 | -2.2 | -0.3 | |||||||
DeAndre' Bembry | D. Bembry | 0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | +3 | -2.2 | +1.1 | |||||||
Malachi Flynn | M. Flynn | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | +2 | -0.8 | -0.9 | |||||||
Jalen Harris | J. Harris | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3 | -1.5 | -1.5 | |||||||
Matt Thomas | M. Thomas | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4 | +0.8 | -0.8 | |||||||
Chris Boucher | C. Boucher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 23 | SAME | +1.6 | +1.1 | |||||||
Stanley Johnson | S. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2 | -1.1 | +1.2 | |||||||
Paul Watson | P. Watson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +0.4 | -0.5 | |||||||
Yuta Watanabe | Y. Watanabe | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -1.4 | 0.0 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +0.8 | +2.5 | |||||||||||||
Adj. rotation ratings | A flagged (*) player is on the court more than we expected. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | Adj. rotation ratings A flagged (*) player is on the court more than we expected. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | 0.0 | +1.7 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 101.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 101.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 110-108 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 45 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1547 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1605). The weight given to Elo — 31% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1605). The weight given to Elo — 31% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1565 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | PLAYER RATING | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Exp. min. per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||
Kyle Lowry | K. Lowry | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | +2.6 | +1.1 | ||||
Pascal Siakam* | P. Siakam* | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 5 | 39 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
Fred VanVleet | F. VanVleet | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | +2.4 | +0.5 | ||||
OG Anunoby | O. Anunoby | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | 0 | 35 | -0.6 | +1.6 | ||||
Aron Baynes* | A. Baynes* | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | -3.1 | +1.6 | ||||
Norman Powell | N. Powell | 0 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 20 | +0.4 | -1.0 | ||||
Terence Davis | T. Davis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 | -0.2 | ||||
Patrick McCaw | P. McCaw | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -2.2 | -0.3 | ||||
DeAndre' Bembry | D. Bembry | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -2.2 | +1.1 | ||||
Malachi Flynn | M. Flynn | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -0.8 | -0.9 | ||||
Jalen Harris | J. Harris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 | -1.5 | ||||
Matt Thomas | M. Thomas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 | -0.8 | ||||
Chris Boucher | C. Boucher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | +1.6 | +1.1 | ||||
Stanley Johnson | S. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 | +1.2 | ||||
Paul Watson | P. Watson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 | -0.5 | ||||
Yuta Watanabe | Y. Watanabe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | 0.0 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +1.3 | +2.7 | |||||||||
Adj. rotation ratings | A flagged (*) player is on the court more than we expected. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | Adj. rotation ratings A flagged (*) player is on the court more than we expected. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | +0.9 | +2.4 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 102.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 102.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 112-108 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 50 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1590 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1605). The weight given to Elo — 28% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1605). The weight given to Elo — 28% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1594 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Kyle Lowry | K. Lowry | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | +1 | +2.8 | +1.2 | |||||||
Pascal Siakam* | P. Siakam* | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 9 | 44 | +5 | -0.3 | 0.0 | |||||||
Fred VanVleet | F. VanVleet | 1 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | +4 | +2.3 | +0.6 | |||||||
OG Anunoby* | O. Anunoby* | 0 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 37 | +2 | -0.6 | +1.6 | |||||||
Aron Baynes* | A. Baynes* | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | +3 | -3.0 | +1.6 | |||||||
Norman Powell | N. Powell | 0 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23 | +3 | +0.4 | -1.0 | |||||||
Terence Davis | T. Davis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +1.2 | -0.2 | |||||||
Patrick McCaw | P. McCaw | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -5 | -2.1 | -0.2 | |||||||
DeAndre' Bembry | D. Bembry | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -6 | -2.2 | +1.1 | |||||||
Malachi Flynn | M. Flynn | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -5 | -0.7 | -0.9 | |||||||
Jalen Harris | J. Harris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | -1.5 | |||||||
Matt Thomas | M. Thomas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +0.8 | -0.8 | |||||||
Chris Boucher | C. Boucher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -2 | +1.6 | +1.1 | |||||||
Stanley Johnson | S. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.0 | +1.2 | |||||||
Paul Watson | P. Watson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +0.5 | -0.5 | |||||||
Yuta Watanabe | Y. Watanabe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.3 | 0.0 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +2.0 | +3.4 | |||||||||||||
Adj. rotation ratings | A flagged (*) player is on the court more than we expected. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | Adj. rotation ratings A flagged (*) player is on the court more than we expected. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | +1.0 | +2.4 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 108-104 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 50 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1587 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1605). The weight given to Elo — 33% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1605). The weight given to Elo — 33% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1593 | ||||||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1596 |
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