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More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratings
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 11 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 34 | SAME | +2.2 | -0.9 | |||||||
Luguentz Dort | L. Dort | 0 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | SAME | -1.3 | +2.7 | |||||||
Al Horford | A. Horford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 29 | +1 | -0.4 | +1.2 | |||||||
Trevor Ariza | T. Ariza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -24 | -1.4 | 0.0 | |||||||
George Hill | G. Hill | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | SAME | +1.1 | -0.1 | |||||||
Mike Muscala | M. Muscala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | +1 | -1.3 | +0.3 | |||||||
Darius Bazley | D. Bazley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 26 | SAME | -4.2 | -0.1 | |||||||
Justin Jackson | J. Jackson | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 17 | SAME | -0.8 | -2.0 | |||||||
Theo Maledon | T. Maledon | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | +2 | -2.4 | -1.1 | |||||||
Kenrich Williams | K. Williams | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 | +1 | -1.2 | +1.4 | |||||||
Hamidou Diallo | H. Diallo | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | +5 | -1.7 | +1.9 | |||||||
Darius Miller | D. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | +3 | -1.9 | -1.3 | |||||||
Isaiah Roby | I. Roby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -2.0 | +0.5 | |||||||
Aleksej Pokusevski | A. Pokusevski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -3.6 | -0.7 | |||||||
Ty Jerome | T. Jerome | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |||||||
Josh Hall | J. Hall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -3.3 | -1.3 | |||||||
Moses Brown | M. Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +7 | -3.7 | -0.6 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -3.7 | +0.8 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 105-108 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 33 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1427 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1497). The weight given to Elo — 32% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1497). The weight given to Elo — 32% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1449 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | PLAYER RATING | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Exp. min. per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 13 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +2.2 | -0.9 | ||||
Luguentz Dort | L. Dort | 0 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | -1.3 | +2.7 | ||||
Al Horford | A. Horford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 28 | -0.4 | +1.2 | ||||
Trevor Ariza | T. Ariza | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 24 | -1.4 | 0.0 | ||||
George Hill | G. Hill | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | +1.1 | -0.1 | ||||
Mike Muscala | M. Muscala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | -1.3 | +0.3 | ||||
Darius Bazley | D. Bazley | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 26 | -4.2 | -0.1 | ||||
Justin Jackson | J. Jackson | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 | -0.8 | -2.0 | ||||
Theo Maledon | T. Maledon | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -2.4 | -1.1 | ||||
Kenrich Williams | K. Williams | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -1.2 | +1.4 | ||||
Hamidou Diallo | H. Diallo | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1.7 | +1.9 | ||||
Darius Miller | D. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | -1.9 | -1.3 | ||||
Isaiah Roby | I. Roby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | +0.5 | ||||
Aleksej Pokusevski | A. Pokusevski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 | -0.7 | ||||
Ty Jerome | T. Jerome | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | -0.4 | ||||
Josh Hall | J. Hall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 | -1.3 | ||||
Moses Brown | M. Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 | -0.6 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -3.4 | +0.8 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 106-108 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 34 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1438 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1497). The weight given to Elo — 23% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1497). The weight given to Elo — 23% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1451 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 14 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 38 | +4 | +2.2 | -0.9 | |||||||
Luguentz Dort | L. Dort | 0 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27 | SAME | -1.3 | +2.8 | |||||||
Al Horford | A. Horford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 30 | +2 | -0.3 | +1.2 | |||||||
Trevor Ariza | T. Ariza | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 25 | +1 | -1.4 | +0.1 | |||||||
George Hill | G. Hill | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | SAME | +1.3 | -0.1 | |||||||
Mike Muscala | M. Muscala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -1 | -1.3 | +0.3 | |||||||
Darius Bazley | D. Bazley | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 6 | 26 | SAME | -4.1 | -0.1 | |||||||
Justin Jackson | J. Jackson | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 16 | -1 | -0.8 | -2.0 | |||||||
Theo Maledon | T. Maledon | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -4 | -2.3 | -1.1 | |||||||
Kenrich Williams | K. Williams | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -7 | -1.2 | +1.4 | |||||||
Hamidou Diallo | H. Diallo | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | +4 | -1.7 | +1.9 | |||||||
Darius Miller | D. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -1.9 | -1.3 | |||||||
Isaiah Roby | I. Roby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.0 | +0.5 | |||||||
Aleksej Pokusevski | A. Pokusevski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -3.6 | -0.7 | |||||||
Ty Jerome | T. Jerome | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |||||||
Josh Hall | J. Hall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -3.2 | -1.4 | |||||||
Moses Brown | M. Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +4 | -3.6 | -0.5 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -3.4 | +1.1 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 102-104 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 35 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1450 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1497). The weight given to Elo — 29% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1497). The weight given to Elo — 29% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1463 | ||||||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1467 |
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