UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 11:44 PM

Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Forecasts?

Can you outsmart our forecasts? Make your picks using the sliders below.

Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm that relies on Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game. But beware: We’re asking you to make a probabilistic forecast for each matchup — and our game punishes overconfidence. For the full rules, read here. The margin of victory in each NFL game won’t affect your score.

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Week 2

/ forecasts completed

Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
BillsBUFAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
DolphinsMIAHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
BengalsCINAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
BearsCHIHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
BroncosDENAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
JaguarsJAXHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
TexansHOUAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
BrownsCLEHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
RamsLARAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
ColtsINDHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
PatriotsNEAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
JetsNYJHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
SaintsNOAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
PanthersCARHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
RaidersLVAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
SteelersPITHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
49ersSFAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
EaglesPHIHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 4:05 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 4:05 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
FalconsATLAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
BuccaneersTBHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 4:05 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 4:05 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
VikingsMINAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
CardinalsARIHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 4:25 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 4:25 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
CowboysDALAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
ChargersLACHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 4:25 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 4:25 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
TitansTENAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
SeahawksSEAHome
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 8:20 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 19
at 8:20 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
ChiefsKCAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
RavensBALHome
Monday, Sept. 20
at 8:15 p.m.
Monday, Sept. 20
at 8:15 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
LionsDETAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
PackersGBHome

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Week 2 results

MatchupFiveThirtyEight
forecast
538
forecast
Your
forecast
Game scoreFiveThirtyEight
points
538
points
Your
points
NYG at WSH
NYG 29,
WSH 30
" + game.team2 + "-logoGiantsNYGat " + game.team1 + "-logoWashingtonWSHNYG53%NYG 29, WSH 30
Week 2 pointsWeek 2 pointsWeek 2 points

Week 1 results

MatchupFiveThirtyEight
forecast
538
forecast
Your
forecast
Game scoreFiveThirtyEight
points
538
points
Your
points
BAL at LV
BAL 27,
LV 33
" + game.team2 + "-logoRavensBALat " + game.team1 + "-logoRaidersLVBAL60%BAL 27, LV 33
CHI at LAR
CHI 14,
LAR 34
" + game.team2 + "-logoBearsCHIat " + game.team1 + "-logoRamsLARLAR73%CHI 14, LAR 34
CLE at KC
CLE 29,
KC 33
" + game.team2 + "-logoBrownsCLEat " + game.team1 + "-logoChiefsKCKC68%CLE 29, KC 33
DEN at NYG
DEN 27,
NYG 13
" + game.team2 + "-logoBroncosDENat " + game.team1 + "-logoGiantsNYGDEN50%DEN 27, NYG 13
GB at NO
GB 3,
NO 38
" + game.team2 + "-logoPackersGBat " + game.team1 + "-logoSaintsNOGB59%GB 3, NO 38
MIA at NE
MIA 17,
NE 16
" + game.team2 + "-logoDolphinsMIAat " + game.team1 + "-logoPatriotsNENE57%MIA 17, NE 16
ARI at TEN
ARI 38,
TEN 13
" + game.team2 + "-logoCardinalsARIat " + game.team1 + "-logoTitansTENTEN66%ARI 38, TEN 13
JAX at HOU
JAX 21,
HOU 37
" + game.team2 + "-logoJaguarsJAXat " + game.team1 + "-logoTexansHOUJAX59%JAX 21, HOU 37
LAC at WSH
LAC 20,
WSH 16
" + game.team2 + "-logoChargersLACat " + game.team1 + "-logoWashingtonWSHWSH58%LAC 20, WSH 16
MIN at CIN
MIN 24,
CIN 27
" + game.team2 + "-logoVikingsMINat " + game.team1 + "-logoBengalsCINMIN53%MIN 24, CIN 27
NYJ at CAR
NYJ 14,
CAR 19
" + game.team2 + "-logoJetsNYJat " + game.team1 + "-logoPanthersCARCAR65%NYJ 14, CAR 19
PHI at ATL
PHI 32,
ATL 6
" + game.team2 + "-logoEaglesPHIat " + game.team1 + "-logoFalconsATLATL64%PHI 32, ATL 6
PIT at BUF
PIT 23,
BUF 16
" + game.team2 + "-logoSteelersPITat " + game.team1 + "-logoBillsBUFBUF72%PIT 23, BUF 16
SEA at IND
SEA 28,
IND 16
" + game.team2 + "-logoSeahawksSEAat " + game.team1 + "-logoColtsINDIND52%SEA 28, IND 16
SF at DET
SF 41,
DET 33
" + game.team2 + "-logo49ersSFat " + game.team1 + "-logoLionsDETSF66%SF 41, DET 33
DAL at TB
DAL 29,
TB 31
" + game.team2 + "-logoCowboysDALat " + game.team1 + "-logoBuccaneersTBTB74%DAL 29, TB 31
Week 1 pointsWeek 1 pointsWeek 1 points

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/forecasts completed

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