UPDATED Oct. 19, 2021, at 2:10 PM

2021 NFL Predictions

For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game.

More NFL:Every team’s Elo historyCan you outsmart our forecasts?

elo with top qb
elo rating
1-week changecurrent qb adj.teamdivision
record
sim. record
point diff.make playoffswin division1st-round byewin super bowl
1683
+11
Buccaneers5-1NFC South13-4+146.197%83%24%15%
1655
+15
Ravens5-1AFC North13-4+119.595%74%43%14%
1659
-19
Bills4-2AFC East12-5+204.297%93%23%13%
1646
+34
Cardinals6-0NFC West14-3+163.798%69%39%12%
1644
+23
Rams5-1NFC West12-5+117.794%28%14%9%
1613
+27
-8Cowboys5-1NFC East12-5+111.593%89%11%6%
1575
-33
Chargers4-2AFC West11-6+54.784%51%13%6%
1607
+18
Packers5-1NFC North12-5+48.890%81%9%6%
1620
+13
Chiefs3-3AFC West10-7+67.272%28%3%5%
1531
+20
Titans4-2AFC South10-7+36.485%79%7%2%
1564
Saints3-2NFC South10-7+66.361%14%2%2%
1540
-40
-5Browns3-3AFC North9-8+23.249%12%2%2%
1497
+36
Raiders4-2AFC West9-8-5.955%16%3%1%
1491
+23
Bengals4-2AFC North9-8+19.248%11%4%1%
1531
+33
Vikings3-3NFC North8-9+4.239%15%0.3%1%
1527
49ers2-3NFC West8-9+12.334%2%0.2%0.8%
1502
+7
Colts2-4AFC South8-9+19.237%19%0.3%0.7%
1477
+12
Steelers3-3AFC North8-9-46.323%3%0.7%0.5%
1527
-7
-65Seahawks2-4NFC West8-9-3.122%1%<0.1%0.5%
1477
-17
Patriots2-4AFC East7-10-15.221%5%0.3%0.4%
1463
-35
Broncos3-3AFC West8-9-7.924%5%0.3%0.3%
1468
-11
-74Washington2-4NFC East6-11-91.711%4%<0.1%0.2%
1444
-16
Bears3-3NFC North7-10-73.016%4%<0.1%0.2%
1449
-27
Panthers3-3NFC South7-10-24.214%2%<0.1%0.1%
1443
-15
Eagles2-4NFC East7-10-24.818%6%<0.1%0.1%
1433
Falcons2-3NFC South7-10-83.911%1%<0.1%0.1%
1414
-10
Dolphins1-5AFC East6-11-93.96%1%<0.1%<0.1%
1393
-34
Giants1-5NFC East5-12-124.42%0.5%<0.1%<0.1%
1325
Jets1-4AFC East5-12-136.63%0.6%<0.1%<0.1%
1320
+24
Jaguars1-5AFC South4-13-138.31%0.8%<0.1%<0.1%
1309
+1
-42Texans1-5AFC South4-13-170.61%1%<0.1%<0.1%
1289
-27
Lions0-6NFC North2-15-174.5<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%

Week 7

Thursday, Oct. 21

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos32%
Browns-5.568%
Quality
48
How good
are these
two teams
Importance
83
How much will this game affect playoff odds
Overall
66
An overall
rating for
this game

Sunday, Oct. 24

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons48%
Dolphins-0.552%
Quality
14
Importance
19
Overall
17
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers50%
GiantsPK50%
Quality
13
Importance
17
Overall
15
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals22%
Ravens-978%
Quality
80
Importance
61
Overall
71
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-1.555%
Titans45%
Quality
82
Importance
57
Overall
70
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets26%
Patriots-7.574%
Quality
7
Importance
17
Overall
12
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington17%
Packers-1183%
Quality
45
Importance
17
Overall
31
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions8%
Rams-16.592%
Quality
21
Importance
2
Overall
12
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles34%
Raiders-4.566%
Quality
33
Importance
59
Overall
46
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears15%
Buccaneers-1285%
Quality
75
Importance
21
Overall
48
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans7%
Cardinals-17.593%
Quality
17
Importance
4
Overall
11
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts34%
49ers-4.566%
Quality
56
Importance
69
Overall
63

Monday, Oct. 25

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-2.559%
Seahawks41%
Quality
54
Importance
91
Overall
73

Week 8

Thursday, Oct. 28

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers36%
Cardinals-464%
Quality
95
Importance
77
Overall
86

Sunday, Oct. 31

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers44%
Falcons-1.556%
Quality
20
Importance
41
Overall
31
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-4.565%
Jets35%
Quality
8
Importance
38
Overall
23
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-11.584%
Texans16%
Quality
24
Importance
5
Overall
15
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins13%
Bills-1387%
Quality
62
Importance
14
Overall
38
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-464%
Lions36%
Quality
2
Importance
15
Overall
9
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers38%
Browns-3.562%
Quality
51
Importance
89
Overall
70
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-153%
Bears47%
Quality
40
Importance
76
Overall
58
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans46%
Colts-154%
Quality
57
Importance
91
Overall
74
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars26%
Seahawks-7.574%
Quality
5
Importance
14
Overall
10
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots25%
Chargers-7.575%
Quality
61
Importance
52
Overall
57
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-2.559%
Saints41%
Quality
94
Importance
83
Overall
89
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington36%
Broncos-464%
Quality
20
Importance
40
Overall
30
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-0.552%
Vikings48%
Quality
80
Importance
60
Overall
70

Monday, Nov. 1

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants16%
Chiefs-11.584%
Quality
47
Importance
14
Overall
31

Week 9

Thursday, Nov. 4

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets21%
Colts-9.579%
Quality
9
Importance
23
Overall
16

Sunday, Nov. 7

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons25%
Saints-7.575%
Quality
47
Importance
62
Overall
55
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-1183%
Jaguars17%
Quality
33
Importance
10
Overall
22
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns48%
Bengals-0.552%
Quality
55
Importance
97
Overall
76
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos23%
Cowboys-8.577%
Quality
66
Importance
27
Overall
47
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans28%
Dolphins-6.572%
Quality
2
Importance
5
Overall
4
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings23%
Ravens-8.577%
Quality
87
Importance
52
Overall
70
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots46%
Panthers-154%
Quality
30
Importance
48
Overall
39
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders-2.559%
Giants41%
Quality
20
Importance
35
Overall
28
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-2.560%
Eagles40%
Quality
51
Importance
47
Overall
49
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-2.559%
49ers41%
Quality
85
Importance
86
Overall
86
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers40%
Chiefs-360%
Quality
93
Importance
47
Overall
70
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans27%
Rams-773%
Quality
86
Importance
20
Overall
53

Monday, Nov. 8

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears37%
Steelers-3.563%
Quality
28
Importance
45
Overall
37

Week 10

Thursday, Nov. 11

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-7.574%
Dolphins26%
Quality
61
Importance
45
Overall
53

Sunday, Nov. 14

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons20%
Cowboys-9.580%
Quality
57
Importance
19
Overall
38
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-1183%
Jets17%
Quality
34
Importance
12
Overall
23
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
BrownsPK51%
Patriots49%
Quality
52
Importance
89
Overall
71
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions22%
Steelers-978%
Quality
3
Importance
9
Overall
6
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars20%
Colts-9.580%
Quality
8
Importance
21
Overall
15
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints47%
Titans-153%
Quality
72
Importance
59
Overall
66
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-6.571%
Washington29%
Quality
80
Importance
39
Overall
60
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers18%
Cardinals-10.582%
Quality
69
Importance
34
Overall
52
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings35%
Chargers-465%
Quality
74
Importance
58
Overall
66
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles39%
Broncos-361%
Quality
24
Importance
52
Overall
38
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks27%
Packers-773%
Quality
66
Importance
47
Overall
57
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-2.559%
Raiders41%
Quality
75
Importance
94
Overall
85

Monday, Nov. 15

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-2.559%
49ers41%
Quality
85
Importance
71
Overall
78

Week 11

Thursday, Nov. 18

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots48%
Falcons-0.552%
Quality
25
Importance
48
Overall
37

Sunday, Nov. 21

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-568%
Bears32%
Quality
69
Importance
57
Overall
63
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions15%
Browns-1285%
Quality
8
Importance
11
Overall
10
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-153%
Vikings47%
Quality
80
Importance
77
Overall
79
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans19%
Titans-1081%
Quality
10
Importance
18
Overall
14
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts23%
Bills-8.577%
Quality
83
Importance
51
Overall
67
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-154%
Jets46%
Quality
2
Importance
10
Overall
6
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-2.559%
Eagles41%
Quality
49
Importance
88
Overall
69
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-5.569%
Jaguars31%
Quality
12
Importance
24
Overall
18
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington45%
Panthers-1.555%
Quality
28
Importance
39
Overall
34
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals44%
Raiders-1.556%
Quality
45
Importance
97
Overall
71
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-3.562%
Seahawks38%
Quality
82
Importance
80
Overall
81
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys41%
Chiefs-2.559%
Quality
93
Importance
51
Overall
72
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers28%
Chargers-6.572%
Quality
61
Importance
59
Overall
60

Monday, Nov. 22

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants13%
Buccaneers-1387%
Quality
61
Importance
9
Overall
35

Week 12

Thursday, Nov. 25

12:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears-464%
Lions36%
Quality
2
Importance
12
Overall
7
4:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders27%
Cowboys-773%
Quality
74
Importance
37
Overall
56
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-1.555%
Saints45%
Quality
92
Importance
71
Overall
82

Sunday, Nov. 28

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons-2.558%
Jaguars42%
Quality
3
Importance
11
Overall
7
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers47%
Dolphins-153%
Quality
17
Importance
25
Overall
21
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets44%
Texans-256%
Quality
0
Importance
3
Overall
2
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles49%
GiantsPK51%
Quality
12
Importance
29
Overall
21
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers40%
Bengals-360%
Quality
40
Importance
89
Overall
65
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-567%
Colts33%
Quality
86
Importance
61
Overall
74
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans49%
PatriotsPK51%
Quality
50
Importance
57
Overall
54
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-154%
Broncos46%
Quality
57
Importance
75
Overall
66
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams50%
PackersPK50%
Quality
95
Importance
47
Overall
71
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings42%
49ers-2.558%
Quality
63
Importance
95
Overall
79
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns27%
Ravens-773%
Quality
88
Importance
84
Overall
86

Monday, Nov. 29

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks49%
WashingtonPK51%
Quality
47
Importance
56
Overall
52

Week 13

Thursday, Dec. 2

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys49%
Saints-0.551%
Quality
86
Importance
67
Overall
77

Sunday, Dec. 5

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-6.572%
Bears28%
Quality
68
Importance
54
Overall
61
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos20%
Chiefs-9.580%
Quality
68
Importance
66
Overall
67
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts-5.568%
Texans32%
Quality
7
Importance
35
Overall
21
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-153%
Bengals47%
Quality
65
Importance
84
Overall
75
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-7.574%
Lions26%
Quality
7
Importance
21
Overall
14
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants39%
Dolphins-361%
Quality
8
Importance
6
Overall
7
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-2.559%
Jets41%
Quality
4
Importance
21
Overall
13
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-7.575%
Falcons25%
Quality
72
Importance
36
Overall
54
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington37%
Raiders-3.563%
Quality
39
Importance
57
Overall
48
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-567%
Steelers33%
Quality
77
Importance
84
Overall
81
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars10%
Rams-15.590%
Quality
30
Importance
3
Overall
17
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers42%
Seahawks-2.558%
Quality
62
Importance
89
Overall
76

Monday, Dec. 6

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots20%
Bills-9.580%
Quality
78
Importance
46
Overall
62

Week 14

Thursday, Dec. 9

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers34%
Vikings-4.566%
Quality
50
Importance
70
Overall
60

Sunday, Dec. 12

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons36%
Panthers-464%
Quality
20
Importance
43
Overall
32
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-1.555%
Browns45%
Quality
88
Importance
96
Overall
92
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-3.562%
Washington38%
Quality
67
Importance
35
Overall
51
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars16%
Titans-11.584%
Quality
12
Importance
14
Overall
13
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-774%
Jets26%
Quality
18
Importance
31
Overall
25
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders26%
Chiefs-7.574%
Quality
75
Importance
87
Overall
81
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks-671%
Texans29%
Quality
10
Importance
16
Overall
13
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers46%
Bengals-154%
Quality
53
Importance
86
Overall
70
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions21%
Broncos-9.579%
Quality
3
Importance
10
Overall
7
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants19%
Chargers-1081%
Quality
37
Importance
14
Overall
26
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills38%
Buccaneers-3.562%
Quality
99
Importance
56
Overall
78
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears20%
Packers-9.580%
Quality
59
Importance
37
Overall
48

Monday, Dec. 13

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams42%
Cardinals-2.558%
Quality
97
Importance
94
Overall
96

Week 15

Thursday, Dec. 16

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs48%
Chargers-0.552%
Quality
89
Importance
71
Overall
80

Sunday, Dec. 19

Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers18%
Bills-10.582%
Quality
72
Importance
24
Overall
48
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots38%
Colts-3.562%
Quality
43
Importance
86
Overall
65
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets27%
Dolphins-773%
Quality
2
Importance
7
Overall
5
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders35%
Browns-465%
Quality
58
Importance
95
Overall
77
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington42%
Eagles-258%
Quality
26
Importance
54
Overall
40
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-1285%
Lions15%
Quality
21
Importance
11
Overall
16
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-6.571%
Giants29%
Quality
46
Importance
10
Overall
28
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers35%
Ravens-465%
Quality
95
Importance
51
Overall
73
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans40%
Jaguars-360%
Quality
0
Importance
2
Overall
1
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans50%
SteelersPK50%
Quality
50
Importance
60
Overall
55
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons29%
49ers-6.571%
Quality
37
Importance
61
Overall
49
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals46%
Broncos-154%
Quality
36
Importance
90
Overall
63
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks27%
Rams-773%
Quality
85
Importance
46
Overall
66
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints27%
Buccaneers-773%
Quality
94
Importance
62
Overall
78

Monday, Dec. 20

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-154%
Bears46%
Quality
41
Importance
88
Overall
65

Week 16

Thursday, Dec. 23

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers41%
Titans-2.559%
Quality
63
Importance
62
Overall
63

Saturday, Dec. 25

4:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns33%
Packers-567%
Quality
82
Importance
53
Overall
68
8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts23%
Cardinals-877%
Quality
81
Importance
54
Overall
68

Sunday, Dec. 26

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-4.565%
Bengals35%
Quality
80
Importance
93
Overall
87
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-567%
Patriots33%
Quality
78
Importance
68
Overall
73
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions24%
Falcons-876%
Quality
1
Importance
5
Overall
3
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars41%
Jets-2.559%
Quality
0
Importance
3
Overall
2
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-877%
Texans23%
Quality
16
Importance
17
Overall
17
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-257%
Vikings43%
Quality
86
Importance
71
Overall
79
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants35%
Eagles-465%
Quality
12
Importance
22
Overall
17
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-773%
Panthers27%
Quality
76
Importance
48
Overall
62
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears30%
Seahawks-670%
Quality
40
Importance
56
Overall
48
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos37%
Raiders-3.563%
Quality
37
Importance
92
Overall
65
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers24%
Chiefs-876%
Quality
71
Importance
72
Overall
72
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington24%
Cowboys-876%
Quality
67
Importance
34
Overall
51

Monday, Dec. 27

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins23%
Saints-8.577%
Quality
41
Importance
37
Overall
39

Week 17

Sunday, Jan. 2, 2022

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals46%
Cowboys-154%
Quality
95
Importance
88
Overall
92
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons16%
Bills-11.584%
Quality
68
Importance
20
Overall
44
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers27%
Saints-773%
Quality
51
Importance
76
Overall
64
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars22%
Patriots-8.578%
Quality
6
Importance
14
Overall
10
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-360%
Bengals40%
Quality
74
Importance
94
Overall
84
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins27%
Titans-773%
Quality
33
Importance
32
Overall
33
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants35%
Bears-4.565%
Quality
12
Importance
16
Overall
14
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders41%
Colts-2.559%
Quality
48
Importance
94
Overall
71
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles39%
Washington-361%
Quality
26
Importance
53
Overall
40
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-1285%
Jets15%
Quality
39
Importance
9
Overall
24
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos27%
Chargers-773%
Quality
57
Importance
71
Overall
64
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans17%
49ers-1183%
Quality
10
Importance
14
Overall
12
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions15%
Seahawks-1285%
Quality
7
Importance
6
Overall
7
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams39%
Ravens-361%
Quality
97
Importance
60
Overall
79
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings32%
Packers-5.568%
Quality
80
Importance
79
Overall
80

Monday, Jan. 3, 2022

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns-0.551%
Steelers49%
Quality
52
Importance
94
Overall
73

Week 18

Sunday, Jan. 9, 2022

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers16%
Buccaneers-11.584%
Quality
76
Importance
30
Overall
53
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears30%
Vikings-670%
Quality
41
Importance
82
Overall
62
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals35%
Browns-465%
Quality
56
Importance
96
Overall
76
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-4.565%
Eagles35%
Quality
60
Importance
52
Overall
56
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-10.582%
Lions18%
Quality
16
Importance
7
Overall
12
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts-567%
Jaguars33%
Quality
8
Importance
39
Overall
24
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
PatriotsPK50%
Dolphins50%
Quality
21
Importance
48
Overall
35
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-361%
Falcons39%
Quality
47
Importance
81
Overall
64
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets10%
Bills-15.590%
Quality
34
Importance
7
Overall
21
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers21%
Ravens-9.579%
Quality
77
Importance
63
Overall
70
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-6.572%
Texans28%
Quality
10
Importance
24
Overall
17
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington-153%
Giants47%
Quality
16
Importance
14
Overall
15
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-464%
Broncos36%
Quality
68
Importance
89
Overall
79
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-153%
Raiders47%
Quality
66
Importance
84
Overall
75
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks26%
Cardinals-774%
Quality
85
Importance
70
Overall
78
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers27%
Rams-773%
Quality
85
Importance
57
Overall
71

Completed

Week 6

Thursday, Oct. 14

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-671%28
Eagles29%22
Quality
76
How good
are these
two teams
Importance
54
How much will this game affect playoff odds
Overall
65
An overall
rating for
this game

Sunday, Oct. 17

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-568%20
Jaguars32%23
Quality
1
Importance
11
Overall
6
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-464%34
Lions36%11
Quality
5
Importance
23
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-360%24
Bears40%14
Quality
60
Importance
80
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans14%3
Colts-12.586%31
Quality
1
Importance
16
Overall
9
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-671%31
Washington29%13
Quality
45
Importance
49
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers36%6
Ravens-464%34
Quality
94
Importance
89
Overall
92
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-568%38
Giants32%11
Quality
57
Importance
25
Overall
41
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings45%34
Panthers-1.555%28
Quality
42
Importance
74
Overall
58
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals46%37
Browns-154%14
Quality
88
Importance
68
Overall
78
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-154%35
Patriots46%29
Quality
68
Importance
50
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders37%34
Broncos-463%24
Quality
37
Importance
89
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks42%20
Steelers-2.558%23
Quality
32
Importance
54
Overall
43

Monday, Oct. 18

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-4.565%31
Titans35%34
Quality
87
Importance
73
Overall
80

Week 5

Thursday, Oct. 7

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams46%26
Seahawks-154%17
Quality
84
Importance
90
Overall
87

Sunday, Oct. 10

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets41%20
Falcons-2.559%27
Quality
3
Importance
11
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-153%19
Steelers47%27
Quality
36
Importance
57
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions21%17
Vikings-979%19
Quality
10
Importance
12
Overall
11
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-1.556%25
Bengals44%22
Quality
63
Importance
61
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins19%17
Buccaneers-1081%45
Quality
72
Importance
22
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots-876%25
Texans24%22
Quality
1
Importance
18
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-360%33
Washington40%22
Quality
35
Importance
81
Overall
58
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles33%21
Panthers-567%18
Quality
34
Importance
65
Overall
50
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-5.568%37
Jaguars32%19
Quality
7
Importance
37
Overall
22
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears30%20
Raiders-5.570%9
Quality
30
Importance
47
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns41%42
Chargers-2.559%47
Quality
85
Importance
69
Overall
77
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants26%20
Cowboys-774%44
Quality
53
Importance
53
Overall
53
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers30%10
Cardinals-670%17
Quality
78
Importance
70
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills40%38
Chiefs-2.560%20
Quality
97
Importance
72
Overall
85

Monday, Oct. 11

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts27%25
Ravens-773%31
Quality
73
Importance
56
Overall
65

Week 4

Thursday, Sept. 30

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars22%21
Bengals-8.578%24
Quality
4
Importance
17
Overall
11

Sunday, Oct. 3

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers37%28
Cowboys-3.563%36
Quality
67
Importance
71
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns47%14
Vikings-0.553%7
Quality
74
Importance
71
Overall
73
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions34%14
Bears-4.566%24
Quality
3
Importance
16
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans7%0
Bills-1893%40
Quality
10
Importance
3
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts37%27
Dolphins-3.563%17
Quality
34
Importance
67
Overall
51
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-4.566%42
Eagles34%30
Quality
64
Importance
58
Overall
61
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants21%27
Saints-979%21
Quality
40
Importance
25
Overall
33
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-670%24
Jets30%27
Quality
12
Importance
16
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington35%34
Falcons-4.565%30
Quality
7
Importance
31
Overall
19
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals32%37
Rams-568%20
Quality
89
Importance
70
Overall
80
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks38%28
49ers-3.562%21
Quality
74
Importance
89
Overall
82
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens44%23
Broncos-1.556%7
Quality
81
Importance
84
Overall
83
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers27%17
Packers-773%27
Quality
53
Importance
35
Overall
44
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-464%19
Patriots36%17
Quality
79
Importance
50
Overall
65

Monday, Oct. 4

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders38%14
Chargers-3.562%28
Quality
72
Importance
85
Overall
79

Week 3

Thursday, Sept. 23

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers-876%24
Texans24%9
Quality
2
Importance
24
Overall
13

Sunday, Sept. 26

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-6.572%31
Jaguars28%19
Quality
15
Importance
28
Overall
22
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons39%17
Giants-361%14
Quality
11
Importance
19
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-773%19
Lions27%17
Quality
28
Importance
25
Overall
27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears27%6
Browns-773%26
Quality
49
Importance
46
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals32%24
Steelers-5.568%10
Quality
29
Importance
57
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts38%16
Titans-3.562%25
Quality
45
Importance
97
Overall
71
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers25%30
Chiefs-875%24
Quality
86
Importance
56
Overall
71
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints44%28
Patriots-1.556%13
Quality
66
Importance
72
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington15%21
Bills-1285%43
Quality
38
Importance
19
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins37%28
Raiders-463%31
Quality
54
Importance
88
Overall
71
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets17%0
Broncos-1183%26
Quality
19
Importance
17
Overall
18
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
SeahawksPK50%17
Vikings50%30
Quality
65
Importance
74
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers49%24
RamsPK51%34
Quality
96
Importance
88
Overall
92
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers37%30
49ers-463%28
Quality
80
Importance
68
Overall
74

Monday, Sept. 27

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles32%21
Cowboys-568%41
Quality
49
Importance
90
Overall
70

Week 2

Thursday, Sept. 16

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants-153%29
Washington47%30
Quality
4
Importance
48
Overall
26

Sunday, Sept. 19

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills50%35
DolphinsPK50%0
Quality
74
Importance
91
Overall
83
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals43%17
Bears-257%20
Quality
20
Importance
49
Overall
35
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-5.568%23
Jaguars32%13
Quality
18
Importance
45
Overall
32
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans14%21
Browns-12.586%31
Quality
13
Importance
16
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-256%27
Colts44%24
Quality
68
Importance
64
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots-361%25
Jets39%6
Quality
18
Importance
52
Overall
35
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-361%7
Panthers39%26
Quality
60
Importance
77
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders34%26
Steelers-4.566%17
Quality
53
Importance
78
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-0.552%17
Eagles48%11
Quality
59
Importance
79
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons15%25
Buccaneers-1285%48
Quality
60
Importance
19
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings36%33
Cardinals-464%34
Quality
58
Importance
73
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys39%20
Chargers-361%17
Quality
66
Importance
66
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans29%33
Seahawks-6.571%30
Quality
66
Importance
52
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-1.555%35
Ravens45%36
Quality
93
Importance
81
Overall
87

Monday, Sept. 20

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions20%17
Packers-9.580%35
Quality
21
Importance
33
Overall
27

Week 1

Thursday, Sept. 9

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys26%29
Buccaneers-774%31
Quality
85
Importance
48
Overall
67

Sunday, Sept. 12

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals34%38
Titans-4.566%13
Quality
56
Importance
59
Overall
58
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars-2.559%21
Texans41%37
Quality
0
Importance
17
Overall
9
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers42%20
Washington-258%16
Quality
58
Importance
67
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-153%24
Bengals47%27
Quality
33
Importance
57
Overall
45
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets35%14
Panthers-4.565%19
Quality
12
Importance
36
Overall
24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles36%32
Falcons-464%6
Quality
21
Importance
57
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers28%23
Bills-6.572%16
Quality
78
Importance
58
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks48%28
Colts-0.552%16
Quality
63
Importance
73
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-4.566%41
Lions34%33
Quality
23
Importance
45
Overall
34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns32%29
Chiefs-5.568%33
Quality
90
Importance
60
Overall
75
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
BroncosPK50%27
Giants50%13
Quality
34
Importance
60
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-2.559%3
Saints41%38
Quality
80
Importance
74
Overall
77
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins43%17
Patriots-257%16
Quality
54
Importance
90
Overall
72
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears27%14
Rams-773%34
Quality
54
Importance
54
Overall
54

Monday, Sept. 13

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-360%27
Raiders40%33
Quality
60
Importance
65
Overall
63

Quarterback ratings

The top quarterbacks for each team and their value in Elo points, which are used in our quarterback-adjusted model. Our ratings are a rolling average of recent performances and incorporate both passing and running. Initial rookie ratings are based on draft position; undrafted rookies begin their careers with an Elo value of zero, while a first overall draft pick starts with an Elo value of 113.

AFC East
AFC North
AFC South
AFC West
NFC East
NFC North
NFC South
NFC West