Updated Nov. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Chance of making …
Team rating
1-week change
Div. SeriesMake Div. Series
League champ.Make league champ.
World SeriesMake W.S.
Win World SeriesWin W.S.
Astros3-0, 4-0, 4-2
AL West1591
Phillies3-1, 4-1, 2-4
NL East1544
AL East1568
Padres3-1, 1-4
NL West1533
NL West1607
NL East1572
AL Central1528
AL West1524
NL East1546
NL Central1523
AL East1546
AL East1527
NL Central1524
AL East1485
AL Central1505
NL West1509
AL Central1499
AL East1505
NL Central1481
NL West1482
AL West1496
NL East1472
NL West1453
AL West1463
AL Central1457
AL Central1453
NL Central1451
NL Central1433
AL West1439
NL East1432
Forecast from

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.