Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Astros have a 10% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros26-1592%72%
AngelsAngels25-171.569%25%
MarinersMariners17-249.013%2%
RangersRangers18-217.08%1%
AthleticsAthletics17-259.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
147411+0=146336%
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155314+24=156364%
5/23Monday, May 238:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1498113=148437%
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15535+24=157263%
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1498+7+0=150540%
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15535+24=157260%
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149818+0=148037%
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15532+24=157563%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+472=159862%
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14936+26=151338%
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155314+0=153951%
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1493+17+24=153449%
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15535+0=154854%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1493+3+24=152046%
5/30Monday, May 304:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
155353=154561%
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
14525+24=147139%
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15532+0=155156%
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1452+33+24=150944%
6/1Wednesday, June 13:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+47+0=160068%
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
14528+24=146832%
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+12=155260%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+23=148140%
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155460%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148240%
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155460%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148240%
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+22=149338%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+21=157562%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+0=149538%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+0=149538%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148937%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+26=158063%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149238%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149238%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+12=155258%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+21=149542%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155458%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149842%
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155458%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149842%
6/17Friday, June 178:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+01=152643%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152743%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
6/19Sunday, June 192:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152743%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153423=152943%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+26=158057%
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153243%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
6/23Thursday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155144%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+21=159656%
6/24Friday, June 247:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159956%
6/25Saturday, June 251:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159956%
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159956%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+1=155550%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+23=155550%
6/29Wednesday, June 291:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155650%
6/30Thursday, June 306:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+13=157249%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+21=157551%
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153043%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153143%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153143%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+13=145533%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+0=145833%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
7/6Wednesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+0=145833%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+0=145833%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+14=155060%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+26=147940%
7/9Saturday, July 94:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155461%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147739%
7/10Sunday, July 104:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155461%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147739%
7/12Tuesday, July 129:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+22=155350%
7/13Wednesday, July 139:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155550%
7/14Thursday, July 148:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155550%
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145333%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+21=157567%
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145333%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145333%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+4=157949%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+31=158551%
7/21Thursday, July 216:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157549%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157851%
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+14=155054%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+27=152246%
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155455%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+24=151945%
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155455%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+24=151945%
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155161%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147739%
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155461%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147739%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155461%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147739%
7/28Thursday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+24=149138%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+20=157462%
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+0=149538%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
7/30Saturday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+0=149538%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+0=149538%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
152624=152042%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157858%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152442%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157858%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152442%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157858%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155154%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152246%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155455%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152245%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155455%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152245%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 712:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155455%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152245%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147436%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+23=157764%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147435%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157865%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147435%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157865%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+12=145133%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145333%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145333%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155150%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155150%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155150%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155150%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155150%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:20 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155148%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156552%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155448%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156552%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155448%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156552%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+13=152142%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+23=157758%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152442%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157858%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152442%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157858%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142930%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157870%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143230%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157870%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143230%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157870%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155458%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+26=150042%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155458%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149842%
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+11=155349%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+26=155751%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155550%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155550%
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+04=147035%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+21=157565%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147435%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157865%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147435%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157865%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153043%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+26=158057%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153143%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153143%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155160%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+21=147840%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+24=148140%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+24=148140%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+12=145133%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+21=157567%
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145333%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145333%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145333%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157867%
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155149%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155651%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155650%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155450%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155650%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155163%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155464%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145636%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155464%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145636%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155464%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145636%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 278:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+01=146534%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+23=157766%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146634%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157866%
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+13=152943%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+26=158057%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153243%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153243%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157857%
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+03=151741%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157859%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152042%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157858%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152042%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157858%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1474+8+0=148231%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+46+24=162369%2
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1472+8+0=148037%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15554+24=157563%0
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1473192=145234%1
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15546+20=156866%5
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1556+0+0=155653%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15197+24=153647%5
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15539+0=154448%13
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1522+11+24=155752%4
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554152=153753%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152122+20=151947%6
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+46+0=159966%8
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14658+24=148134%0
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1556+1+0=155761%6
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14626+24=148039%13
5/13Friday, May 137:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1554113=154057%6
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1463+3+24=149043%1
5/12Thursday, May 124 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15523+0=154950%5
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
1518+3+24=154550%0
5/11Wednesday, May 117:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15499+0=154050%11
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15215+24=154050%3
5/10Tuesday, May 107:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1547+421=158853%5
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1523+21+26=157047%0
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14639+0=145436%0
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154616+24=155464%5
5/7Saturday, May 74:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1463+9+0=147238%2
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15459+24=156062%3
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146414+0=145034%2
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15455+24=156466%3
5/5Thursday, May 58:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1465+13=146336%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15448+24=156064%3
5/4Wednesday, May 42:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
150525+0=148032%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1543+45+24=161268%7
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1507+3+0=151042%0
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1541+4+24=156958%4
5/2Monday, May 28:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1508+33=150845%0
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154018+21=154355%3
5/1Sunday, May 11:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15408+0=153241%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1553+19+24=159659%3
4/30Saturday, April 303:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15413+0=153843%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1552+13+24=158957%2
4/29Friday, April 297:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
153953=153147%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155529+24=155053%7
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1539+44+0=158364%3
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14654+24=148536%2
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1538+6+0=154458%4
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14665+24=148542%3
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
153621+0=151555%5
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146811+24=148145%1
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
153892=152755%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+10+20=149645%6
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155524+0=153146%7
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1537+0+24=156154%8
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1554+21+0=157552%3
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15383+24=155948%2
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1553154=153439%4
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1540+47+26=161361%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1520+22+0=154249%6
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154215+24=155151%0
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1517+3+0=152044%7
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15456+24=156356%2
4/18Monday, April 188:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1519+52=152245%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15433+20=156055%8
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1545+0+0=154554%2
SEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
15029+24=151746%7
4/16Saturday, April 169:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1544+39+0=158358%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15032+24=152542%0
4/15Friday, April 159:42 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547131=153351%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1500+5+20=152549%11
4/13Wednesday, April 133:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15485+0=154357%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1456+12+24=149243%3
4/12Tuesday, April 129:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15485+0=154358%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1457+3+26=148642%1
4/10Sunday, April 104:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15461+0=154554%4
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151522+24=151746%1
4/9Saturday, April 99:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1548+40+0=158856%0
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1514+7+24=154544%2
4/8Friday, April 89:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154512+0=153352%13
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
151623+24=151748%6
4/7Thursday, April 79:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1544103=153145%3
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1518+26+24=156855%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.