2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Astros have a 10% chance of winning the World Series.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | AstrosAstros26-15 | — | 92% | 72% | ||
![]() | AngelsAngels25-17 | 1.5 | 69% | 25% | ||
![]() | MarinersMariners17-24 | 9.0 | 13% | 2% | ||
![]() | RangersRangers18-21 | 7.0 | 8% | 1% | ||
![]() | AthleticsAthletics17-25 | 9.5 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –11 | +0 | =1463 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –14 | +24 | =1563 | 64% | ||
5/23Monday, May 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –11 | –3 | =1484 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –5 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +7 | +0 | =1505 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –5 | +24 | =1572 | 60% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –18 | +0 | =1480 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –2 | +24 | =1575 | 63% | ||
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +47 | –2 | =1598 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | –6 | +26 | =1513 | 38% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –14 | +0 | =1539 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +17 | +24 | =1534 | 49% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –5 | +0 | =1548 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +3 | +24 | =1520 | 46% | ||
5/30Monday, May 304:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –5 | –3 | =1545 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –5 | +24 | =1471 | 39% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –2 | +0 | =1551 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +33 | +24 | =1509 | 44% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 13:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +47 | +0 | =1600 | 68% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –8 | +24 | =1468 | 32% | ||
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –2 | =1552 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +23 | =1481 | 40% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 40% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 40% | ||
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | –2 | =1493 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +21 | =1575 | 62% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 62% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 62% | ||
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +26 | =1580 | 63% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 62% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 62% | ||
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –2 | =1552 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +21 | =1495 | 42% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 42% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 42% | ||
6/17Friday, June 178:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | –1 | =1526 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +0 | =1527 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 192:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +0 | =1527 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –3 | =1529 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +26 | =1580 | 57% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +21 | =1596 | 56% | ||
6/24Friday, June 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 56% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 251:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 56% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 56% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +1 | =1555 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +23 | =1555 | 50% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 291:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 50% | ||
6/30Thursday, June 306:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | –3 | =1572 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +21 | =1575 | 51% | ||
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –1 | =1530 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | –3 | =1455 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –4 | =1550 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +26 | =1479 | 40% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 104:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 129:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +22 | =1553 | 50% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 139:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 50% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 148:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 50% | ||
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +21 | =1575 | 67% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +4 | =1579 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +31 | =1585 | 51% | ||
7/21Thursday, July 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 51% | ||
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –4 | =1550 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +27 | =1522 | 46% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 45% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 45% | ||
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 273:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 288:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | –4 | =1491 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +20 | =1574 | 62% | ||
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 62% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 62% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 62% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | –4 | =1520 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 58% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +0 | =1524 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 58% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +0 | =1524 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 58% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 46% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 45% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 45% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 712:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 45% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +23 | =1577 | 64% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 65% | ||
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 65% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 50% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 50% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 50% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 50% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | –3 | =1521 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +23 | =1577 | 58% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 58% | ||
8/25Thursday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 58% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | –3 | =1429 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 70% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 70% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 70% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +26 | =1500 | 42% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 42% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –1 | =1553 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +26 | =1557 | 51% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 50% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 50% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | –4 | =1470 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +21 | =1575 | 65% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 65% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 65% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –1 | =1530 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +26 | =1580 | 57% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +21 | =1478 | 40% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +24 | =1481 | 40% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +24 | =1481 | 40% | ||
9/15Thursday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +21 | =1575 | 67% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 50% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 50% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 37% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 36% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 36% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 36% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 278:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | –1 | =1465 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +23 | =1577 | 66% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 66% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | –3 | =1529 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +26 | =1580 | 57% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | –3 | =1517 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 59% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 58% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 58% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +8 | +0 | =1482 | 31% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +46 | +24 | =1623 | 69% | 2 | |
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +8 | +0 | =1480 | 37% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –4 | +24 | =1575 | 63% | 0 | |
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1473 | –19 | –2 | =1452 | 34% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –6 | +20 | =1568 | 66% | 5 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1556 | +0 | +0 | =1556 | 53% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –7 | +24 | =1536 | 47% | 5 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –9 | +0 | =1544 | 48% | 13 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +11 | +24 | =1557 | 52% | 4 | |
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –15 | –2 | =1537 | 53% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | –22 | +20 | =1519 | 47% | 6 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +46 | +0 | =1599 | 66% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –8 | +24 | =1481 | 34% | 0 | |
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1556 | +1 | +0 | =1557 | 61% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –6 | +24 | =1480 | 39% | 13 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –11 | –3 | =1540 | 57% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +3 | +24 | =1490 | 43% | 1 | |
5/12Thursday, May 124 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1552 | –3 | +0 | =1549 | 50% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +3 | +24 | =1545 | 50% | 0 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1549 | –9 | +0 | =1540 | 50% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | –5 | +24 | =1540 | 50% | 3 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +42 | –1 | =1588 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +21 | +26 | =1570 | 47% | 0 | |
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –9 | +0 | =1454 | 36% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –16 | +24 | =1554 | 64% | 5 | |
5/7Saturday, May 74:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +9 | +0 | =1472 | 38% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –9 | +24 | =1560 | 62% | 3 | |
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –14 | +0 | =1450 | 34% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –5 | +24 | =1564 | 66% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | +1 | –3 | =1463 | 36% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –8 | +24 | =1560 | 64% | 3 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 42:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –25 | +0 | =1480 | 32% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +45 | +24 | =1612 | 68% | 7 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +3 | +0 | =1510 | 42% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +4 | +24 | =1569 | 58% | 4 | |
5/2Monday, May 28:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +3 | –3 | =1508 | 45% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –18 | +21 | =1543 | 55% | 3 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –8 | +0 | =1532 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +19 | +24 | =1596 | 59% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 303:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –3 | +0 | =1538 | 43% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1552 | +13 | +24 | =1589 | 57% | 2 | |
4/29Friday, April 297:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –5 | –3 | =1531 | 47% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –29 | +24 | =1550 | 53% | 7 | |
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +44 | +0 | =1583 | 64% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –4 | +24 | =1485 | 36% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +6 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –5 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | 3 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | –21 | +0 | =1515 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –11 | +24 | =1481 | 45% | 1 | |
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –9 | –2 | =1527 | 55% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +10 | +20 | =1496 | 45% | 6 | |
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –24 | +0 | =1531 | 46% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +24 | =1561 | 54% | 8 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +21 | +0 | =1575 | 52% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –3 | +24 | =1559 | 48% | 2 | |
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –15 | –4 | =1534 | 39% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +47 | +26 | =1613 | 61% | 3 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +22 | +0 | =1542 | 49% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –15 | +24 | =1551 | 51% | 0 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +3 | +0 | =1520 | 44% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –6 | +24 | =1563 | 56% | 2 | |
4/18Monday, April 188:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +5 | –2 | =1522 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | –3 | +20 | =1560 | 55% | 8 | |
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +0 | +0 | =1545 | 54% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1502 | –9 | +24 | =1517 | 46% | 7 | |
4/16Saturday, April 169:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +39 | +0 | =1583 | 58% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1503 | –2 | +24 | =1525 | 42% | 0 | |
4/15Friday, April 159:42 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –13 | –1 | =1533 | 51% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +5 | +20 | =1525 | 49% | 11 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 133:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | –5 | +0 | =1543 | 57% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1456 | +12 | +24 | =1492 | 43% | 3 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 129:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | –5 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +3 | +26 | =1486 | 42% | 1 | |
4/10Sunday, April 104:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –1 | +0 | =1545 | 54% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –22 | +24 | =1517 | 46% | 1 | |
4/9Saturday, April 99:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +40 | +0 | =1588 | 56% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +7 | +24 | =1545 | 44% | 2 | |
4/8Friday, April 89:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –12 | +0 | =1533 | 52% | 13 |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | –23 | +24 | =1517 | 48% | 6 | |
4/7Thursday, April 79:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –10 | –3 | =1531 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +26 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | 1 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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