Updated Oct. 2, 2022, at 10:36 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Astros have a 15% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros104-55
MarinersMariners87-7116.5
AngelsAngels73-8631.0
RangersRangers66-9237.5
AthleticsAthletics57-10247.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+253=155043%
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15762+24=159857%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1528+1+0=152935%
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1576+33+24=163365%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
152818+0=151038%
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15764+24=159662%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15369+0=152742%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
157517+24=158258%3
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1537+18+0=155542%1
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1575+10+24=160958%2
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1534+143=154541%7
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1577+2+26=160559%3
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1481+50+0=153135%5
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+33+24=163665%2
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 278:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1483191=146334%2
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
157820+23=158166%10
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1576+5+0=158160%6
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14883+24=150940%3
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1576+11+0=158763%11
BALBALOrioles
Baumann, Mike
Baumann
148918+24=149537%10
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
157921+0=155857%0
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14863+24=150743%6
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1580+343=161165%0
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14841+24=150735%2
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15792+0=157754%5
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15379+24=155246%2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1576+3+0=157948%5
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1539+30+24=159352%0
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1574213=155046%4
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1542+12+24=157854%0
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
14345+0=142926%2
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1573+11+24=160874%11
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1432+15+0=144731%8
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
157616+24=158469%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
143313+0=142023%0
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1575+32+24=163177%5
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1433+12=143229%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15743+21=159271%5
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1573+0+0=157364%2
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1446+2+24=147236%1
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
157234+0=153862%6
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
144715+24=145638%3
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1571+83=157663%7
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1449+11+21=148137%0
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
149634+0=146234%4
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156917+24=157666%12
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1493+35+0=152842%6
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15718+24=158758%1
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1494141=147934%3
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15715+26=159266%4
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
147215+0=145731%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1570+0+24=159469%4
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14703+0=146731%4
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1572+7+24=160369%3
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1471+224=148942%0
HOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
157144+21=154858%1
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
156912+0=155760%9
LAALAAAngels
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
149430+24=148840%1
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
157020+0=155050%1
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1493+33+24=155050%2
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
156921=156656%4
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
1494+2+26=152244%2
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1568+2+0=157056%5
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1477+24+24=152544%3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1567+7+0=157459%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1478+9+26=151341%2
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14901+0=148931%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1566+36+24=162669%3
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14886+0=148236%3
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15689+24=158364%1
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1486173=146633%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15703+24=159167%0
8/25Thursday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15072+0=150541%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156921+24=157259%6
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15086+0=150237%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1568+3+24=159563%5
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1509313=147530%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1567+32+23=162270%4
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15668+0=155843%5
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1572+13+24=160957%4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1567+2+0=156945%4
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1571+10+24=160555%5
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:20 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1568+23=156749%2
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
157015+24=157951%6
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156416+0=154851%21
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15226+24=154049%5
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1563+4+0=156752%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1523+3+24=155048%2
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1564+33+0=159753%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1522+32+24=157847%4
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1566123=155151%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15202+24=154249%4
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1437+21+0=145832%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15651+24=158868%6
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
143916+0=142328%0
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1563+2+24=158972%8
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
1439372=140027%5
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156312+24=157573%7
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
147611+0=146533%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1562+2+24=158867%7
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147311+0=146228%8
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1565+37+24=162672%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1474+22+0=149638%5
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15646+23=158162%7
8/7Sunday, Aug. 712:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15653+0=156253%0
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1502+18+24=154447%1
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156712+0=155555%1
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15015+24=152045%4
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1565+2+0=156759%9
CLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
150223+24=150341%3
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1563+333=159360%6
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15048+24=152040%0
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15212+0=151942%1
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
156112+24=157358%6
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
15204+0=151640%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15633+24=158460%1
8/1Monday, Aug. 18 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1518+74=152142%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156410+24=157858%2
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
15156+0=150942%2
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156322+24=156558%3
7/30Saturday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15132+0=151139%5
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1564+4+24=159261%4
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+21+0=153738%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1562+35+24=162162%11
7/28Thursday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1517+144=152744%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
156112+20=156956%4
7/27Wednesday, July 273:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1563+3+0=156662%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1440+17+24=148138%4
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15646+0=155859%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1438+31+24=149341%5
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1566173=154667%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
143637+24=142333%7
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1565+3+0=156850%8
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+31+24=157150%5
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1564+32+0=159656%3
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1517+12+24=155344%1
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1562154=154350%5
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15184+27=154150%2
7/21Thursday, July 216:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
159020+0=157049%5
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15608+24=157651%7
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15916+4=158949%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1559+2+31=159251%3
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
143437+0=139727%4
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156116+24=156973%3
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Koenig, Jared
Koenig
143419+0=141524%0
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1560+31+24=161576%5
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1432+8+0=144032%5
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156317+21=156768%1
7/14Thursday, July 148:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1562+5+0=156757%3
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
15009+24=151543%2
7/13Wednesday, July 139:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1565+4+0=156951%1
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1497+38+24=155949%7
7/12Tuesday, July 129:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156410+0=155455%6
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1498+2+22=152245%5
7/10Sunday, July 104:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156321+0=154261%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1432+5+24=146139%1
7/9Saturday, July 94:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1564+4+0=156869%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
143023+24=143131%3
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1563144=154562%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1432+3+26=146138%3
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145011+0=143926%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1562+34+24=162074%5
7/6Wednesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+6+0=145330%7
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1564+11+24=159970%4
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1448+10+0=145833%7
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15647+24=158167%9
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
144973=143932%6
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156318+24=156968%7
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
150426+0=147835%2
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1562+1+24=158765%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1506+6+0=151243%1
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
156020+24=156457%9
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
150811=150639%1
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1558+4+24=158661%8
6/30Thursday, June 306:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1589+23=158853%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15578+21=157047%2
6/29Wednesday, June 291:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1556+29+0=158553%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15435+24=156247%0
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1553+1+1=155550%9
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154615+23=155450%1
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155420+0=153439%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15861+24=160961%6
6/25Saturday, June 251:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1552+0+0=155240%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1588+14+24=162660%0
6/24Friday, June 247:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1550+32+0=158245%3
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1589+3+24=161655%1
6/23Thursday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1551+33=155141%6
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1589+1+21=161159%7
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154610+0=153645%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15503+24=157155%5
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1548293=151644%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
154820+26=155456%8
6/19Sunday, June 197 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1526+21+0=154746%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1547+1+24=157254%4
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15227+0=151536%7
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1550+40+24=161464%0
6/17Friday, June 178:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1525+131=153745%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1548+3+24=157555%13
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15456+0=153958%9
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Tyson
Miller
148123+24=148242%2
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
154422+0=152251%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1482+8+24=151449%3
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
154612=154358%3
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
148014+21=148742%5
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
149920+0=147932%4
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1545+42+24=161168%9
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149640+0=145633%5
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1548+4+24=157667%1
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1494+173=150841%7
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15501+26=157559%4
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1496+22+0=151844%6
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155218+24=155856%3
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14975+0=149233%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1551+38+24=161367%4
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1495+202=151341%7
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1553+1+21=157559%4
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1552+2+0=155462%7
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
14515+24=147038%4
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15554+0=155163%0
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
144710+24=146137%6
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1553182=153356%10
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1450+20+23=149344%3
6/1Wednesday, June 13:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1552+38+0=159067%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
14475+24=146633%4
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1551+3+0=155456%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1448+39+24=151144%1
5/30Monday, May 304:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
154933=154360%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1449+1+24=147440%1
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15485+0=154354%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
14941+24=151746%1
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155111+0=154051%0
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1492+17+24=153349%6
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1554+462=159862%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14895+26=151038%6
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1497+7+0=150440%1
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15532+24=157560%2
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
149912+0=148738%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15524+24=157262%7
5/23Monday, May 238:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1496+73=150040%6
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15555+24=157460%1
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
147411+0=146336%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155314+24=156364%5
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1474+8+0=148231%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+46+24=162369%2
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1472+8+0=148037%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15554+24=157563%0
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1473192=145234%1
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15546+20=156866%5
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1556+0+0=155653%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15197+24=153647%5
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15539+0=154448%13
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1522+11+24=155752%4
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554152=153753%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152122+20=151947%6
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+46+0=159966%8
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14658+24=148134%0
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1556+1+0=155761%6
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14626+24=148039%13
5/13Friday, May 137:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1554113=154057%6
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1463+3+24=149043%1
5/12Thursday, May 124 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15523+0=154950%5
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
1518+3+24=154550%0
5/11Wednesday, May 117:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15499+0=154050%11
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15215+24=154050%3
5/10Tuesday, May 107:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1547+421=158853%5
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1523+21+26=157047%0
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14639+0=145436%0
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154616+24=155464%5
5/7Saturday, May 74:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1463+9+0=147238%2
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15459+24=156062%3
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146414+0=145034%2
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15455+24=156466%3
5/5Thursday, May 58:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1465+13=146336%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15448+24=156064%3
5/4Wednesday, May 42:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
150525+0=148032%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1543+45+24=161268%7
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1507+3+0=151042%0
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1541+4+24=156958%4
5/2Monday, May 28:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1508+33=150845%0
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154018+21=154355%3
5/1Sunday, May 11:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15408+0=153241%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1553+19+24=159659%3
4/30Saturday, April 303:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15413+0=153843%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1552+13+24=158957%2
4/29Friday, April 297:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
153953=153147%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155529+24=155053%7
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1539+44+0=158364%3
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14654+24=148536%2
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1538+6+0=154458%4
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14665+24=148542%3
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
153621+0=151555%5
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146811+24=148145%1
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
153892=152755%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+10+20=149645%6
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155524+0=153146%7
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1537+0+24=156154%8
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1554+21+0=157552%3
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15383+24=155948%2
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1553154=153439%4
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1540+47+26=161361%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1520+22+0=154249%6
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154215+24=155151%0
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1517+3+0=152044%7
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15456+24=156356%2
4/18Monday, April 188:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1519+52=152245%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15433+20=156055%8
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1545+0+0=154554%2
SEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
15029+24=151746%7
4/16Saturday, April 169:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1544+39+0=158358%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15032+24=152542%0
4/15Friday, April 159:42 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547131=153351%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1500+5+20=152549%11
4/13Wednesday, April 133:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15485+0=154357%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1456+12+24=149243%3
4/12Tuesday, April 129:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15485+0=154358%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1457+3+26=148642%1
4/10Sunday, April 104:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15461+0=154554%4
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151522+24=151746%1
4/9Saturday, April 99:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1548+40+0=158856%0
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1514+7+24=154544%2
4/8Friday, April 89:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154512+0=153352%13
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
151623+24=151748%6
4/7Thursday, April 79:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1544103=153145%3
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1518+26+24=156855%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.