Updated May 22, 2022, at 4:28 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Blue Jays have a 6% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees29-1097%75%
Blue JaysBlue Jays22-187.574%13%
RaysRays24-165.564%10%
Red SoxRed Sox18-2211.532%2%
OriolesOrioles16-2514.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 221:37 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14787+0=147139%
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154621+24=154961%
5/23Monday, May 237:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+33=154650%
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1511+17+21=154950%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+18+0=156454%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153646%
5/26Thursday, May 269:38 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1546202=152442%
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1530+26+24=158058%
5/27Friday, May 279:38 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+23+0=156951%
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1530+6+24=156049%
5/28Saturday, May 2810:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154621+0=152545%
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1530+3+24=155755%
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+3+0=154949%
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
15301+24=155351%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1527+13+0=154043%
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+18+22=158657%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1527+18+0=154549%
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
154620+24=155051%
6/2Thursday, June 23:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152744%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157056%
6/3Friday, June 37:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+12=152243%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157057%
6/4Saturday, June 43:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152443%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157057%
6/5Sunday, June 51:37 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152443%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157057%
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+03=154359%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148241%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154659%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148241%
6/8Wednesday, June 82:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154659%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148241%
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+01=154559%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+24=148141%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154659%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+24=148141%
6/12Sunday, June 121:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154659%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+24=148141%
6/13Monday, June 137:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142931%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+22=156869%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
6/16Thursday, June 163:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
6/17Friday, June 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+12=157350%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157050%
6/18Saturday, June 183:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157551%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157049%
6/19Sunday, June 191:37 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157551%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157049%
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+02=154449%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+21=154851%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154649%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155151%
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154649%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155151%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+1=154747%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157253%
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154646%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157254%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154646%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157254%
6/27Monday, June 277:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
152622=152243%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+22=156857%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152443%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157057%
6/29Wednesday, June 297:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152443%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157057%
6/30Thursday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+13=152944%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157056%
7/1Friday, July 13:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153245%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157055%
7/2Saturday, July 212:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153245%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157055%
7/2Saturday, July 26:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153245%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157055%
7/3Sunday, July 31:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153245%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157055%
7/4Monday, July 49:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+04=154260%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+21=147440%
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154660%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147740%
7/6Wednesday, July 63:37 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154660%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147740%
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+03=154354%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+23=151846%
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154654%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+24=151946%
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154654%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+24=151946%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154654%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+24=151946%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+03=151743%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+22=156857%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152043%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157057%
7/14Thursday, July 147:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+13=145534%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157066%
7/15Friday, July 157:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+0=145834%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157066%
7/16Saturday, July 163:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+0=145834%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157066%
7/17Sunday, July 1712:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+0=145834%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157066%
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+5=155150%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+29=155350%
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154850%
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154850%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:07 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157058%
7/27Wednesday, July 277:07 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157058%
7/28Thursday, July 287:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+02=145534%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157066%
7/29Friday, July 297:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+0=145734%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157066%
7/30Saturday, July 303:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+0=145734%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157066%
7/31Sunday, July 3112:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+0=145734%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157066%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+01=154548%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+26=155852%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154649%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155651%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+03=154349%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154851%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154850%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154850%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154850%
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+03=154362%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145638%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+02=149639%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157061%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 133:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149840%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157060%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:37 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149840%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157060%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142931%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 173:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+02=154442%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159958%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154643%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159957%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154643%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159957%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154643%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159957%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154850%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154850%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154850%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+22=156856%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 273:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153144%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157056%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:37 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153144%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157056%
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+02=147437%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157063%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157063%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157063%
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145837%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145837%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145837%
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+02=154462%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145638%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+01=154557%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149843%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154657%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149843%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154657%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149843%
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+12=153045%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+21=156755%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 131:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153245%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157055%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153245%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157055%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153245%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157055%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153245%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157055%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 173:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:37 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+23=154350%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154650%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154450%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+03=154348%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155652%
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154649%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155651%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154649%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155651%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154649%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155651%
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+12=157351%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+21=156749%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157551%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157049%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157551%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157049%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
152622=152243%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+26=157257%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152443%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157057%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152443%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157057%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+02=154463%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+22=145437%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Saturday, May 213:07 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147911+0=146833%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+22+24=159167%3
5/20Friday, May 207:07 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+292=150644%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
154522+26=154956%2
5/18Wednesday, May 187:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1495+0+0=149536%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+21+24=159264%1
5/17Tuesday, May 177:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1496+13+0=150941%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+2+24=157259%3
5/16Monday, May 167:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1498+02=149643%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154424+21=154157%6
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+24+0=157054%0
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152810+24=154246%3
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
154422+0=152248%5
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153017+24=153752%1
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+231=156850%2
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1528+17+22=156750%5
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547+5+0=155245%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15663+24=158755%5
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154827+0=152140%5
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
15651+24=158860%6
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+25+0=157461%3
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
149826+24=149639%4
5/7Saturday, May 76:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155215+0=153752%2
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1495+5+24=152448%8
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1550+21+2=157352%8
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1497+32+26=155548%3
5/5Thursday, May 56:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1551+112=156059%5
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149620+24=150041%6
5/4Wednesday, May 47:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1567+1+0=156854%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155032+24=154246%2
5/3Tuesday, May 37:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15645+0=155944%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1553+23+24=160056%1
5/2Monday, May 27:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156343=155649%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155414+24=156451%2
5/1Sunday, May 11:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15408+0=153241%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1553+19+24=159659%3
4/30Saturday, April 303:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15413+0=153843%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1552+13+24=158957%2
4/29Friday, April 297:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
153953=153147%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155529+24=155053%7
4/28Thursday, April 283:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152720+0=150737%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1554+19+24=159763%1
4/27Wednesday, April 277:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152511+0=151443%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155716+24=156557%1
4/26Tuesday, April 267:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152518+0=150737%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1556+16+24=159663%6
4/25Monday, April 257:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1527+133=153743%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1554+13+21=158857%6
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155524+0=153146%7
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1537+0+24=156154%8
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1554+21+0=157552%3
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15383+24=155948%2
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1553154=153439%4
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1540+47+26=161361%3
4/21Thursday, April 211:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1552+12+0=156450%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1529+11+24=156450%2
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1550+12+0=156253%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
153113+24=154247%1
4/19Tuesday, April 197:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155125+0=152644%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1530+13+24=156756%2
4/17Sunday, April 171:37 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
146521+0=144429%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1550+22+24=159671%4
4/16Saturday, April 163:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
146320+0=144333%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
155214+24=156267%5
4/15Friday, April 157:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
1464113=145035%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155116+22=155765%4
4/14Thursday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1553+11+0=156447%0
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1553+5+24=158253%3
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1551+16+0=156746%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1555+18+24=159754%4
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155323+0=153044%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15538+24=156956%4
4/11Monday, April 117:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1551+192=156848%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15551+24=157852%0
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
146613+0=145334%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
15559+24=157066%6
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+13+0=147935%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1554+11+24=158965%4
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+183=148234%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1553+22+24=159966%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.