Updated Sep. 28, 2022, at 1:56 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Blue Jays have a 4% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees95-59
Blue JaysBlue Jays87-688.5>99%
RaysRays85-6910.0>99%
OriolesOrioles80-7415.0<1%
Red SoxRed Sox73-8122.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1576+14+0=159057%
TORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154628+24=154243%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1503+12=150235%
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+36+26=160865%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
15034+0=149939%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1546+8+24=157861%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1503+15+0=151840%
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+18+24=158860%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546182=152652%
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1488+5+22=151548%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154628+0=151853%
BALBALOrioles
Baumann, Mike
Baumann
148815+24=149747%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+36+0=158260%
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1488+3+24=151540%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15746+0=156852%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154717+24=155448%2
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1575+32=157649%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+17+21=158451%3
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1544+8+0=155245%7
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1538+24+24=158655%1
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1542+34+0=157650%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1539+12+24=157550%1
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154426+0=151843%6
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1537+7+24=156857%10
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154693=153445%5
TBTBRays
Chargois, JT
Chargois (open)
1535+8+24=156755%10
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+14+0=156147%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1528+26+24=157853%4
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1544+12+0=155653%18
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153020+23=153347%11
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:37 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1486+0+0=148634%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+32+24=160266%4
9/17Saturday, Sept. 173:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1488+1+0=148940%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15449+24=155960%6
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14898+0=148137%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Richards, Trevor
Richards (open)
1543+8+24=157563%6
9/15Thursday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1536+27+0=156347%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+15+24=158653%0
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1538+16+0=155446%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1545+10+24=157954%5
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15407+0=153340%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1544+34+24=160260%7
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 131:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1538+5+0=154350%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Merryweather, Julian
Merryweather
154523+24=154650%2
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Criswell, Cooper
Criswell
1539292=150843%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154411+21=155457%3
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Richards, Trevor
Richards (open)
1546+6+0=155255%1
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1469+27+24=152045%4
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1545+19+0=156463%11
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
147023+24=147137%7
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1544+81=155157%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1471+4+24=149943%3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1543+31+0=157457%4
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1491+9+24=152443%1
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154423+0=152152%6
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14904+24=151048%9
9/5Monday, Sept. 55:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15439+0=153455%8
BALBALOrioles
Baumann, Mike
Baumann
149118+24=149745%4
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1541+192=155856%7
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14933+24=151444%3
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1540+8+0=154863%4
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1422+8+24=145437%3
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Richards, Trevor
Richards
153925+0=151458%4
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1423+10+24=145742%1
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1538+28+0=156668%4
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
142413+24=143532%0
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Farrell, Luke
Farrell
146831+0=143735%7
TORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154019+24=154565%5
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1469+13+0=148236%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1539+19+24=158264%5
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
1470102=145836%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15387+24=155564%5
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:37 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
149032+0=145834%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1541+9+24=157466%3
8/27Saturday, Aug. 273:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1488+27+0=151539%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1543+25+24=159261%0
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
1483+03=148039%12
TORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154814+22=155661%0
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+19+0=156657%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
150817+24=151543%5
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154610+0=153655%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
150931+24=150245%2
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1544+7+0=155157%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
151130+24=150543%3
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:53 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+22+0=156745%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1566+9+24=159955%4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154314+0=152938%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1568+21+24=161362%2
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1541+17+0=155846%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15717+24=158854%0
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1538112=152541%9
NYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15747+24=159159%2
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 173:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14851+0=148439%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1536+5+24=156561%6
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14837+0=147634%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1538+29+24=159166%2
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1481153=146339%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154128+24=153761%3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:37 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1509+30+0=153943%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1543+22+24=158957%2
8/13Saturday, Aug. 133:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1510+21+0=153147%1
TORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154215+24=155153%2
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150642=150041%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15465+27=156859%0
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1547+28+0=157563%5
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
148017+24=148737%6
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1549273=151952%4
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1478+4+24=150648%7
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1548+17+0=156554%3
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15153+24=153646%2
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
155018+0=153251%3
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15139+24=152849%7
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15511+0=155049%5
MINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1512+20+24=155651%6
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+263=157252%9
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1514+20+24=155848%3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155029+0=152146%2
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1522+2+24=154854%3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1548+101=155751%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1524+3+26=155349%1
7/31Sunday, July 3112:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145617+0=143932%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15471+24=157068%4
7/30Saturday, July 303:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145725+0=143231%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1547+2+24=157369%5
7/29Friday, July 297:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Bryan
Garcia
14559+0=144629%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+32+24=160571%2
7/28Thursday, July 287:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145652=144937%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154830+24=154263%5
7/27Wednesday, July 277:07 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1510+21+0=153142%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1550+13+24=158758%1
7/26Tuesday, July 267:07 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151217+0=149539%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15492+24=157161%10
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1547+1+0=154854%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
152330+24=151746%4
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+31+0=157656%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
152516+24=153344%1
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1539+14+5=155848%28
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1531+15+29=157552%5
7/17Sunday, July 1712:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145212+0=144033%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15393+24=156067%4
7/16Saturday, July 163:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14523+0=144938%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Castillo, Max
Castillo
153825+24=153762%6
7/15Friday, July 157:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1454+8+0=146233%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1536+28+24=158867%8
7/14Thursday, July 147:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Zerpa, Angel
Zerpa
1452+33=145233%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1538+16+24=157867%1
7/13Wednesday, July 137:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1533+33+0=156651%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15362+24=155849%8
7/12Tuesday, July 127:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Bellatti, Andrew
Bellatti
1534373=149442%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15354+22=155358%4
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Castillo, Max
Castillo
153623+0=151345%5
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1510+10+24=154455%6
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1537+29+0=156651%1
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1509+29+24=156249%2
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15391+0=153852%2
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
150710+24=152148%5
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Banda, Anthony
Banda
1541253=151348%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15051+23=152752%8
7/6Wednesday, July 63:37 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15405+0=153562%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14336+24=145138%1
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154224+0=151861%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
143114+24=144139%5
7/4Monday, July 49:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+334=157467%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
14281+21=144833%5
7/3Sunday, July 31:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
15278+0=151943%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1547+0+24=157157%3
7/2Saturday, July 26:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1524+0+0=152446%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Hatch, Thomas
Hatch
155024+24=155054%5
7/2Saturday, July 212:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1522+33+0=155545%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1552+15+24=159155%2
7/1Friday, July 13:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1524+5+0=152945%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15509+24=156555%9
6/30Thursday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1526+33=152648%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154832+24=154052%4
6/29Wednesday, June 297:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1543+12+0=155543%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+30+24=160357%5
6/28Tuesday, June 287:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15443+0=154146%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15482+24=157054%6
6/27Monday, June 277:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
1546352=150940%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+11+22=158060%7
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1550+1+0=155155%3
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
153240+24=151645%10
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155129+0=152239%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1532+42+24=159861%5
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+29+1=157956%9
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153418+24=154044%4
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15477+0=154048%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1527+5+24=155652%5
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1548+8+0=155649%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1526+14+24=156451%7
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1549+82=155548%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1525+22+21=156852%8
6/19Sunday, June 191:37 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1589+3+0=159257%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154729+24=154243%10
6/18Saturday, June 183:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15874+0=158347%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+29+24=160253%0
6/17Friday, June 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
158452=157751%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15538+24=156949%3
6/16Thursday, June 163:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1442+24+0=146632%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1557+12+24=159368%2
6/15Wednesday, June 157:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
144211+0=143129%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1556+5+24=158571%7
6/14Tuesday, June 147:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1441+1+0=144234%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155827+24=155566%5
6/13Monday, June 137:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
144283=143127%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1556+24+22=160273%11
6/12Sunday, June 121:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155414+0=154054%6
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+22+24=151046%0
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1556+14+0=157064%1
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146218+24=146836%3
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1554+21=155564%10
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
146432+24=145636%1
6/8Wednesday, June 82:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155621+0=153557%4
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1446+15+24=148543%8
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1555+25+0=158064%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+8+24=147936%0
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1552183=153159%8
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14502+24=147241%0
6/5Sunday, June 51:37 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1517+11+0=152840%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1554+20+24=159860%6
6/4Saturday, June 43:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
152014+0=150640%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15523+24=157360%12
6/3Friday, June 37:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
1517282=148740%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155518+24=156160%3
6/2Thursday, June 23:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152112+0=150937%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1553+24+24=160163%8
6/1Wednesday, June 17:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1523+22+0=154548%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
155118+24=155752%7
5/31Tuesday, May 317:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1524+24+0=154843%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1550+22+22=159457%6
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1549+3+0=155249%11
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1525+7+24=155651%10
5/28Saturday, May 2810:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154820+0=152846%6
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1526+5+24=155554%5
5/27Friday, May 279:38 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1547+23+0=157055%4
LAALAAAngels
Silseth, Chase
Silseth
152718+24=153345%3
5/26Thursday, May 269:38 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
1545212=152242%6
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1529+25+24=157858%3
5/24Tuesday, May 247:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1543+18+0=156155%8
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
151315+24=152245%1
5/23Monday, May 237:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1545+33=154549%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1511+17+21=154951%7
5/22Sunday, May 221:37 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14787+0=147139%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154621+24=154961%2
5/21Saturday, May 213:07 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147911+0=146833%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+22+24=159167%3
5/20Friday, May 207:07 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+292=150644%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
154522+26=154956%2
5/18Wednesday, May 187:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1495+0+0=149536%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+21+24=159264%1
5/17Tuesday, May 177:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1496+13+0=150941%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+2+24=157259%3
5/16Monday, May 167:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1498+02=149643%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154424+21=154157%6
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+24+0=157054%0
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152810+24=154246%3
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
154422+0=152248%5
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153017+24=153752%1
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+231=156850%2
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1528+17+22=156750%5
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547+5+0=155245%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15663+24=158755%5
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154827+0=152140%5
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
15651+24=158860%6
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+25+0=157461%3
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
149826+24=149639%4
5/7Saturday, May 76:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155215+0=153752%2
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1495+5+24=152448%8
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1550+21+2=157352%8
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1497+32+26=155548%3
5/5Thursday, May 56:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1551+112=156059%5
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149620+24=150041%6
5/4Wednesday, May 47:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1567+1+0=156854%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155032+24=154246%2
5/3Tuesday, May 37:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15645+0=155944%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1553+23+24=160056%1
5/2Monday, May 27:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156343=155649%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155414+24=156451%2
5/1Sunday, May 11:37 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15408+0=153241%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1553+19+24=159659%3
4/30Saturday, April 303:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15413+0=153843%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1552+13+24=158957%2
4/29Friday, April 297:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
153953=153147%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155529+24=155053%7
4/28Thursday, April 283:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152720+0=150737%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1554+19+24=159763%1
4/27Wednesday, April 277:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152511+0=151443%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155716+24=156557%1
4/26Tuesday, April 267:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152518+0=150737%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1556+16+24=159663%6
4/25Monday, April 257:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1527+133=153743%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1554+13+21=158857%6
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155524+0=153146%7
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1537+0+24=156154%8
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1554+21+0=157552%3
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15383+24=155948%2
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1553154=153439%4
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1540+47+26=161361%3
4/21Thursday, April 211:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1552+12+0=156450%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1529+11+24=156450%2
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1550+12+0=156253%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
153113+24=154247%1
4/19Tuesday, April 197:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155125+0=152644%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1530+13+24=156756%2
4/17Sunday, April 171:37 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
146521+0=144429%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1550+22+24=159671%4
4/16Saturday, April 163:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
146320+0=144333%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
155214+24=156267%5
4/15Friday, April 157:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
1464113=145035%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155116+22=155765%4
4/14Thursday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1553+11+0=156447%0
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1553+5+24=158253%3
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1551+16+0=156746%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1555+18+24=159754%4
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155323+0=153044%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15538+24=156956%4
4/11Monday, April 117:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1551+192=156848%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15551+24=157852%0
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
146613+0=145334%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
15559+24=157066%6
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+13+0=147935%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1554+11+24=158965%4
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+183=148234%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1553+22+24=159966%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.