2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Blue Jays have a 6% chance of winning the World Series.
AL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | YankeesYankees29-10 | — | 97% | 75% | ||
![]() | Blue JaysBlue Jays22-18 | 7.5 | 74% | 13% | ||
![]() | RaysRays24-16 | 5.5 | 64% | 10% | ||
![]() | Red SoxRed Sox18-22 | 11.5 | 32% | 2% | ||
![]() | OriolesOrioles16-25 | 14.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 221:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | –7 | +0 | =1471 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –21 | +24 | =1549 | 61% | ||
5/23Monday, May 237:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +3 | –3 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +17 | +21 | =1549 | 50% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 247:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +18 | +0 | =1564 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 269:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –20 | –2 | =1524 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +26 | +24 | =1580 | 58% | ||
5/27Friday, May 279:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +23 | +0 | =1569 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +6 | +24 | =1560 | 49% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 2810:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –21 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +3 | +0 | =1549 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –1 | +24 | =1553 | 51% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 317:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +13 | +0 | =1540 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +18 | +22 | =1586 | 57% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 17:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +18 | +0 | =1545 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –20 | +24 | =1550 | 51% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 23:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +0 | =1527 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 56% | ||
6/3Friday, June 37:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | –2 | =1522 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 57% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 43:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 57% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 51:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 57% | ||
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –3 | =1543 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 41% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 41% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 82:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 41% | ||
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –1 | =1545 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +24 | =1481 | 41% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +24 | =1481 | 41% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 121:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +24 | =1481 | 41% | ||
6/13Monday, June 137:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | –3 | =1429 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +22 | =1568 | 69% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 147:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 69% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 69% | ||
6/16Thursday, June 163:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 69% | ||
6/17Friday, June 177:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | –2 | =1573 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 50% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 183:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 49% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 191:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 49% | ||
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –2 | =1544 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +21 | =1548 | 51% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 51% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 51% | ||
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +1 | =1547 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 53% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | ||
6/27Monday, June 277:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | –2 | =1522 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +22 | =1568 | 57% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 287:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +0 | =1524 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 57% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 297:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +0 | =1524 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 57% | ||
6/30Thursday, June 307:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | –3 | =1529 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 56% | ||
7/1Friday, July 13:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 55% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 212:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 55% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 26:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 55% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 31:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 55% | ||
7/4Monday, July 49:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –4 | =1542 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +21 | =1474 | 40% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 40% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 63:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 40% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –3 | =1543 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +23 | =1518 | 46% | ||
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 46% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 46% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 46% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | –3 | =1517 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +22 | =1568 | 57% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 137:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 57% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 147:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | –3 | =1455 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | ||
7/15Friday, July 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 163:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 1712:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | ||
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +5 | =1551 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +29 | =1553 | 50% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 267:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 58% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 277:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 58% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 287:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | –2 | =1455 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | ||
7/29Friday, July 297:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +0 | =1457 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 303:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +0 | =1457 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 3112:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +0 | =1457 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –1 | =1545 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +26 | =1558 | 52% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –3 | =1543 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 51% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –3 | =1543 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 38% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 37% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 37% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | –2 | =1496 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 61% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 133:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 60% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 60% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | –3 | =1429 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 69% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 69% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 173:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 69% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –2 | =1544 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 58% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 57% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 57% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 57% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +22 | =1568 | 56% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 273:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 56% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 56% | ||
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | –2 | =1474 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 63% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 63% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 63% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –2 | =1544 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 38% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 37% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 37% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –1 | =1545 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 43% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 43% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 43% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | –2 | =1530 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +21 | =1567 | 55% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 131:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 55% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 55% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 55% | ||
9/15Thursday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 55% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 69% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 173:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 69% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 69% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +23 | =1543 | 50% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 50% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –3 | =1543 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 52% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | ||
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | –2 | =1573 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +21 | =1567 | 49% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 49% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 49% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | –2 | =1522 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +26 | =1572 | 57% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +0 | =1524 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 57% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +0 | =1524 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 57% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | –2 | =1544 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +22 | =1454 | 37% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 37% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 37% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/21Saturday, May 213:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1479 | –11 | +0 | =1468 | 33% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +22 | +24 | =1591 | 67% | 3 | |
5/20Friday, May 207:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1479 | +29 | –2 | =1506 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –22 | +26 | =1549 | 56% | 2 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 187:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +0 | +0 | =1495 | 36% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +21 | +24 | =1592 | 64% | 1 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +13 | +0 | =1509 | 41% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +2 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | 3 | |
5/16Monday, May 167:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | –2 | =1496 | 43% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –24 | +21 | =1541 | 57% | 6 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +24 | +0 | =1570 | 54% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –10 | +24 | =1542 | 46% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –22 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –17 | +24 | =1537 | 52% | 1 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +23 | –1 | =1568 | 50% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +17 | +22 | =1567 | 50% | 5 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +5 | +0 | =1552 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1566 | –3 | +24 | =1587 | 55% | 5 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | –27 | +0 | =1521 | 40% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –1 | +24 | =1588 | 60% | 6 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1549 | +25 | +0 | =1574 | 61% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –26 | +24 | =1496 | 39% | 4 | |
5/7Saturday, May 76:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1552 | –15 | +0 | =1537 | 52% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +5 | +24 | =1524 | 48% | 8 | |
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1550 | +21 | +2 | =1573 | 52% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +32 | +26 | =1555 | 48% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 56:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1551 | +11 | –2 | =1560 | 59% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –20 | +24 | =1500 | 41% | 6 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 47:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1567 | +1 | +0 | =1568 | 54% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1550 | –32 | +24 | =1542 | 46% | 2 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 37:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –5 | +0 | =1559 | 44% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +23 | +24 | =1600 | 56% | 1 | |
5/2Monday, May 27:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –4 | –3 | =1556 | 49% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –14 | +24 | =1564 | 51% | 2 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –8 | +0 | =1532 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +19 | +24 | =1596 | 59% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 303:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –3 | +0 | =1538 | 43% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1552 | +13 | +24 | =1589 | 57% | 2 | |
4/29Friday, April 297:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –5 | –3 | =1531 | 47% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –29 | +24 | =1550 | 53% | 7 | |
4/28Thursday, April 283:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –20 | +0 | =1507 | 37% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +19 | +24 | =1597 | 63% | 1 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 277:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –11 | +0 | =1514 | 43% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1557 | –16 | +24 | =1565 | 57% | 1 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –18 | +0 | =1507 | 37% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1556 | +16 | +24 | =1596 | 63% | 6 | |
4/25Monday, April 257:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +13 | –3 | =1537 | 43% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +13 | +21 | =1588 | 57% | 6 | |
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –24 | +0 | =1531 | 46% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +24 | =1561 | 54% | 8 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +21 | +0 | =1575 | 52% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –3 | +24 | =1559 | 48% | 2 | |
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –15 | –4 | =1534 | 39% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +47 | +26 | =1613 | 61% | 3 | |
4/21Thursday, April 211:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1552 | +12 | +0 | =1564 | 50% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +11 | +24 | =1564 | 50% | 2 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1550 | +12 | +0 | =1562 | 53% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –13 | +24 | =1542 | 47% | 1 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 197:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1551 | –25 | +0 | =1526 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +13 | +24 | =1567 | 56% | 2 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –21 | +0 | =1444 | 29% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1550 | +22 | +24 | =1596 | 71% | 4 | |
4/16Saturday, April 163:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –20 | +0 | =1443 | 33% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1552 | –14 | +24 | =1562 | 67% | 5 | |
4/15Friday, April 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –11 | –3 | =1450 | 35% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1551 | –16 | +22 | =1557 | 65% | 4 | |
4/14Thursday, April 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +11 | +0 | =1564 | 47% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +5 | +24 | =1582 | 53% | 3 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1551 | +16 | +0 | =1567 | 46% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | +18 | +24 | =1597 | 54% | 4 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –23 | +0 | =1530 | 44% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –8 | +24 | =1569 | 56% | 4 | |
4/11Monday, April 117:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1551 | +19 | –2 | =1568 | 48% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –1 | +24 | =1578 | 52% | 0 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –13 | +0 | =1453 | 34% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –9 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | 6 | |
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +13 | +0 | =1479 | 35% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +11 | +24 | =1589 | 65% | 4 | |
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +18 | –3 | =1482 | 34% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +22 | +24 | =1599 | 66% | 10 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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