Updated Sep. 28, 2022, at 1:56 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Braves have a 12% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets97-5857%
BravesBraves97-5843%
PhilliesPhillies83-7013.074%
MarlinsMarlins64-9032.5
NationalsNationals53-10143.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
158229+0=155363%
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14373+24=145837%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1552+71=155840%
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1582+24+23=162960%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1552+52+0=160451%
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
158211+24=159549%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 27 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1552+44+0=159649%
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15821+24=160551%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
1582103=156963%
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14656+21=148037%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1582+8+0=159066%
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
146512+24=147734%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1582+24+0=160661%
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1465+37+24=152639%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
158035+0=154560%8
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1439+9+24=147240%2
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
1578202=155663%8
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1441+2+21=146437%0
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1577+5+0=158257%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153125+24=153043%7
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
157614+0=156253%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153317+24=154047%3
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157923+0=155647%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1530+24+24=157853%9
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1580+213=159857%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15291+24=155243%1
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2112:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1440+8+0=144832%3
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
158126+24=157968%2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14408+0=143227%2
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1581+3+24=160873%3
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1441+73=144530%2
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
158015+24=158970%5
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153118+0=151335%2
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1579+20+24=162365%5
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1532+25+0=155747%3
ATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157825+24=157753%4
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153443=152736%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1577+25+22=162464%7
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 143:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1579+5+0=158455%1
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1501+27+24=155245%4
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
157716+0=156158%5
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
150321+24=150642%1
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1578+233=159861%2
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1501+0+20=152139%3
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157922+0=155753%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152916+24=153747%8
9/10Saturday, Sept. 109:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1581+25+0=160657%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1528+5+24=155743%3
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1580+71=158651%6
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+23+26=157849%4
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:37 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1579+21+0=160070%7
OAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
14377+24=145430%3
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
1578102=156663%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1437+16+22=147537%9
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14681+0=146729%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1577+21+24=162271%7
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14692+0=146736%1
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
157635+24=156564%2
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1470+411=151037%1
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1574+7+24=160563%8
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
145415+0=143927%0
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1574+13+24=161173%3
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145414+0=144030%2
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
157310+24=158770%3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
1452301=142124%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1575+28+24=162776%2
8/28Sunday, Aug. 287 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157723+0=155446%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1531+24+24=157954%6
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1578+12+0=159052%5
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1530+23+24=157748%6
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1575+101=158456%11
STLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15328+22=154644%4
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 2412:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
157316+0=155765%14
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1426+2+24=145235%2
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1572+27+0=159969%6
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1427+10+24=146131%1
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1571242=154563%2
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
14282+24=145037%1
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15668+0=155843%5
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1572+13+24=160957%4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1567+2+0=156945%4
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1571+10+24=160555%5
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:20 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1568+23=156749%2
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
157015+24=157951%6
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1561+61+0=162250%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1569+27+24=162050%3
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1560+40+0=160053%9
ATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157018+24=157647%7
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
156118+0=154342%0
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1568+8+24=160058%5
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1564163=154543%1
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1565+8+21=159457%13
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
156436+0=152856%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
147716+24=148544%1
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
156220+0=154260%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Nance, Tommy
Nance
147928+24=147540%2
8/13Saturday, Aug. 131:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
156132+0=152956%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148014+24=149044%2
8/12Friday, Aug. 126:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1560121=154757%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14811+21=150143%3
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155817+0=154150%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1513+1+24=153850%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1557+12+0=156955%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15144+23=153345%7
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1558+14+0=157240%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1557+59+24=164060%5
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1560+28+0=158846%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1556+39+24=161954%6
8/6Saturday, Aug. 61:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156112+0=154948%5
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
155417+24=156152%8
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
156020+0=154045%9
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15566+24=157455%6
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
1561153=154347%4
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155515+22=156253%6
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1532+28+0=156046%3
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1562+4+24=159054%1
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nelson, Nick
Nelson (open)
15352+0=153342%1
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1559+5+26=159058%13
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1469+27+0=149634%0
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1559+26+24=160966%1
7/30Saturday, July 307:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Martin, Corbin
Martin
147045+0=142532%2
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155824+24=155868%6
7/29Friday, July 297:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
147122=146736%2
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155712+23=156864%5
7/27Wednesday, July 2712:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1559+9+0=156855%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152820+24=153245%7
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1557+2+0=155947%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1529+27+24=158053%3
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1559+293=158556%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
152810+24=154244%6
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
14914+0=148738%9
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
156316+24=157162%1
7/23Saturday, July 237:20 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1493+4+0=149740%2
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
156115+24=157060%7
7/22Friday, July 227:20 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1495+41+3=153942%1
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1559+6+28=159358%8
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1562+7+0=156965%3
WSHWSHNationals
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
1437+1+24=146235%7
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1561+27+0=158866%6
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1438+7+24=146934%3
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155918+0=154162%8
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14398+24=145538%4
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
1559163=154059%5
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1440+13+24=147741%4
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1544+4+0=154843%7
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1561+11+24=159657%3
7/12Tuesday, July 127:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154521+0=152441%1
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1560+6+24=159059%4
7/11Monday, July 117:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1543+413=158145%4
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1561+29+24=161455%1
7/10Sunday, July 101:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1443+5+0=144834%3
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
156120+24=156566%4
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14438+0=143532%3
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
156016+24=156868%4
7/8Friday, July 87:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1445+73=144931%2
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1559+10+24=159369%12
7/7Thursday, July 77:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
151021+0=148937%3
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
15603+24=158163%2
7/6Wednesday, July 67 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1512+25+0=153739%0
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1559+29+24=161261%3
7/5Tuesday, July 57:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
15143+0=151143%1
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155719+24=156257%7
7/4Monday, July 47:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1515+03=151243%3
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155515+22=156257%6
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1557+6+0=156356%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+31+24=151944%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
155510+0=154555%4
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1466+22+24=151245%1
7/1Friday, July 16:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1553+302=158164%9
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
14686+22=148436%1
6/30Thursday, June 306:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155610+0=154646%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+26+24=157854%14
6/29Wednesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155417+0=153749%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153012+24=154251%1
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1553+71=155947%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1531+29+22=158253%3
6/26Sunday, June 267 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1591+9+0=160056%5
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
155419+24=155944%3
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
159227+0=156544%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1553+28+24=160556%5
6/24Friday, June 247:20 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1590+22=159052%4
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
15545+24=157348%1
6/23Thursday, June 2312:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15268+0=151843%6
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155413+24=156557%7
6/22Wednesday, June 227:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1527+21+0=154845%3
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1553+5+24=158255%4
6/21Tuesday, June 217:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15256+0=151943%12
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
155413+24=156557%10
6/20Monday, June 207:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1526+152=153941%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1554+24+21=159959%2
6/19Sunday, June 192:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
15529+0=154358%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14643+24=148542%0
6/18Saturday, June 182:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155411+0=154358%3
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1462+1+24=148742%6
6/17Friday, June 172:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1555+01=155463%0
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
146123+24=146237%1
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
155317+0=153658%8
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1455+2+24=148142%2
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1551+28+0=157963%10
WSHWSHNationals
Tetreault, Jackson
Tetreault
1457+5+24=148637%4
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155053=154257%9
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1458+10+24=149243%5
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1438+6+0=144433%3
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
15499+24=156467%5
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1440+7+0=144733%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1548+0+24=157267%10
6/10Friday, June 107:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1441+15+0=145637%2
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
154725+24=154663%4
6/9Thursday, June 97:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
144122=143728%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1546+29+24=159972%3
6/8Wednesday, June 87:20 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Koenig, Jared
Koenig
144011+0=142932%2
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
15445+24=156368%13
6/7Tuesday, June 77:20 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
144032=143534%2
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154312+23=155466%3
6/5Sunday, June 53:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1543+3+0=154661%8
COLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
14499+24=146439%7
6/4Saturday, June 49:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
154128+0=151355%6
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1451+6+24=148145%2
6/3Friday, June 38:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1540+25+0=156563%3
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1452+0+24=147637%1
6/2Thursday, June 28:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
153813=153459%13
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14543+24=147541%6
6/1Wednesday, June 13:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
153614+0=152255%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1465+1+24=149045%0
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1537+6+0=154360%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146417+24=147140%8
5/30Monday, May 308:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1539254=151049%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1462+30+24=151651%6
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149129+0=146233%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1538+25+24=158767%6
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1490+26+0=151648%4
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
154032+24=153252%1
5/27Friday, May 277:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
14913+0=148839%4
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1539+1+24=156461%6
5/26Thursday, May 267:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1521+7+0=152847%4
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154117+24=154853%1
5/25Wednesday, May 257:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15226+0=151642%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+9+24=157258%8
5/24Tuesday, May 247:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152312+0=151139%5
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1539+24+24=158761%6
5/23Monday, May 237:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1521+273=154551%7
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
154027+21=153449%3
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+1+0=154351%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+22+24=153849%4
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154122+0=151955%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149331+24=148645%3
5/20Friday, May 206:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+111=154954%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494+2+26=152246%3
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1540+24+0=156444%6
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1543+37+24=160456%7
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
153832+0=150644%3
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154520+24=154956%0
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
153913=153545%0
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1544+3+21=156855%1
5/15Sunday, May 1511:35 a.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1536+12+0=154851%7
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154125+24=154049%3
5/14Saturday, May 144:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1537+2+0=153945%5
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+9+24=157355%6
5/13Friday, May 137:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153412=153140%11
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1543+30+26=159960%6
5/11Wednesday, May 117:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1519+12+0=153145%3
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+2+24=156855%5
5/10Tuesday, May 107:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
1517171=149943%9
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154421+26=154957%4
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
155038+0=151242%2
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1542+5+24=157158%9
5/7Saturday, May 77:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1551+36+0=158749%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1541+27+24=159251%3
5/6Friday, May 67:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154983=153846%6
ATLATLBraves
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez (open)
1543+0+23=156654%3
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1540+3+0=154351%9
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153522+24=153749%2
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154220+0=152248%0
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153324+24=153352%3
5/3Tuesday, May 33:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1543+8+0=155154%4
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153231+24=152546%5
5/2Monday, May 27:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1542+263=156550%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1534+8+24=156650%2
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
154418+0=152657%3
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146513+24=147643%7
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154532+0=151352%1
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1463+10+24=149748%3
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
154413=154057%6
TEXTEXRangers
Richards, Garrett
Richards (open)
14651+24=148843%3
4/28Thursday, April 287:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14831+0=148242%1
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154226+24=154058%5
4/27Wednesday, April 277:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148125+0=145633%6
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1545+12+24=158167%3
4/26Tuesday, April 267:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+121=149336%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1544+24+26=159464%3
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148926+0=146339%5
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154530+24=153961%4
4/23Saturday, April 237:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
148721+0=146635%9
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1547+1+24=157265%7
4/22Friday, April 227:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+13=148743%0
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154634+22=153457%3
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1547+16+0=156345%1
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
158710+24=160155%5
4/19Tuesday, April 1910:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1546+18+0=156442%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1589+10+24=162358%1
4/18Monday, April 1810:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
1547171=152936%4
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1587+15+24=162664%7
4/17Sunday, April 177 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154829+0=151946%1
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15319+24=154654%2
4/16Saturday, April 164:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1546+0+0=154655%5
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153344+24=151345%2
4/15Friday, April 159:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154438+0=150646%5
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153528+24=153154%2
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1548+224=156651%1
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1531+5+22=155849%12
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
146710+0=145732%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1550+17+24=159168%1
4/12Tuesday, April 127:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
147010+0=146039%4
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154730+24=154161%16
4/11Monday, April 117:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
1465103=145235%11
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
155214+24=156265%2
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
150012+0=148837%6
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1554+2+24=158063%3
4/9Saturday, April 97:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
150114+0=148744%1
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155349+24=152856%2
4/8Friday, April 87:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
15013+0=149836%6
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1553+20+24=159764%7
4/7Thursday, April 78 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1499+162=151338%6
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1555+19+24=159862%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.