2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Braves have a 5% chance of winning the World Series.
NL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | MetsMets27-15 | — | 80% | 53% | ||
![]() | BravesBraves19-21 | 7.0 | 63% | 32% | ||
![]() | PhilliesPhillies18-22 | 8.0 | 35% | 12% | ||
![]() | MarlinsMarlins17-22 | 8.5 | 12% | 4% | ||
![]() | NationalsNationals13-28 | 13.5 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +1 | +0 | =1543 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +22 | +24 | =1538 | 49% | ||
5/23Monday, May 237:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +28 | –3 | =1545 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –27 | +21 | =1536 | 49% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 247:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –11 | +0 | =1509 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +23 | +24 | =1589 | 61% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 257:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –5 | +0 | =1515 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +8 | +24 | =1574 | 58% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 267:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +7 | +0 | =1527 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –19 | +24 | =1547 | 53% | ||
5/27Friday, May 277:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –28 | +0 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +1 | +24 | =1567 | 64% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +22 | +0 | =1514 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –27 | +24 | =1539 | 54% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +20 | +0 | =1512 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +23 | +24 | =1589 | 61% | ||
5/30Monday, May 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +8 | –4 | =1546 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +32 | +24 | =1522 | 46% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –19 | +0 | =1523 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –14 | +24 | =1476 | 43% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 13:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +1 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 42% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 43% | ||
6/3Friday, June 38:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 49:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 53:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 77:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +23 | =1564 | 66% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 87:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 66% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 97:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | –2 | =1432 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 68% | ||
6/10Friday, June 107:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 68% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 68% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 68% | ||
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 42% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | ||
6/17Friday, June 172:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –1 | =1540 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 44% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 182:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 44% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 192:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 44% | ||
6/20Monday, June 207:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | –2 | =1521 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +21 | =1562 | 56% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 217:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 56% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 227:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 56% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 2312:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 56% | ||
6/24Friday, June 247:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 47% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 46% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 46% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –1 | =1540 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +22 | =1542 | 50% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 297:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 50% | ||
6/30Thursday, June 306:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 50% | ||
7/1Friday, July 16:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –2 | =1539 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +22 | =1502 | 45% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 45% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 45% | ||
7/4Monday, July 47:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –3 | =1509 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +22 | =1563 | 58% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 57:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 67:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 77:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | ||
7/8Friday, July 87:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | –3 | =1453 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 101:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | ||
7/11Monday, July 117:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –3 | =1529 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 127:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 42% | ||
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | ||
7/22Friday, July 227:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +3 | =1534 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +28 | =1569 | 55% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 51% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 50% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 2712:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 50% | ||
7/29Friday, July 297:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | –2 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +23 | =1564 | 64% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 307:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +26 | =1567 | 57% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 56% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +22 | =1554 | 52% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 52% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 61:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 52% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 52% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 52% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +23 | =1547 | 51% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 51% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –1 | =1540 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 46% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 131:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –3 | =1529 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +21 | =1562 | 55% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –2 | =1539 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 39% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 38% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 2412:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 38% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –1 | =1540 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +22 | =1534 | 49% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 49% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 49% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –1 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | ||
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –1 | =1491 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 60% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 60% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 60% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –2 | =1539 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +22 | =1475 | 41% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 41% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –1 | =1540 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +26 | =1521 | 47% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 109:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 47% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 47% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +20 | =1543 | 51% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 51% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 143:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 51% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | –3 | =1517 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +22 | =1563 | 57% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 56% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 56% | ||
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | –3 | =1453 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2112:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 51% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 50% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 50% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 50% | ||
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –2 | =1539 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +21 | =1477 | 41% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –1 | =1531 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +23 | =1564 | 55% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 46% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –22 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | –31 | +24 | =1486 | 45% | 3 | |
5/20Friday, May 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +11 | –1 | =1549 | 54% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +2 | +26 | =1522 | 46% | 3 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +24 | +0 | =1564 | 44% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +37 | +24 | =1604 | 56% | 7 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –32 | +0 | =1506 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –20 | +24 | =1549 | 56% | 0 | |
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | –3 | =1535 | 45% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +3 | +21 | =1568 | 55% | 1 | |
5/15Sunday, May 1511:35 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +12 | +0 | =1548 | 51% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –25 | +24 | =1540 | 49% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 144:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +2 | +0 | =1539 | 45% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +9 | +24 | =1573 | 55% | 6 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –1 | –2 | =1531 | 40% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +30 | +26 | =1599 | 60% | 6 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +12 | +0 | =1531 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +2 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | 5 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –17 | –1 | =1499 | 43% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –21 | +26 | =1549 | 57% | 4 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1550 | –38 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +5 | +24 | =1571 | 58% | 9 | |
5/7Saturday, May 77:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1551 | +36 | +0 | =1587 | 49% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +27 | +24 | =1592 | 51% | 3 | |
5/6Friday, May 67:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1549 | –8 | –3 | =1538 | 46% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +0 | +23 | =1566 | 54% | 3 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +3 | +0 | =1543 | 51% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –22 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 2 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –20 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –24 | +24 | =1533 | 52% | 3 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 33:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +8 | +0 | =1551 | 54% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | –31 | +24 | =1525 | 46% | 5 | |
5/2Monday, May 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +26 | –3 | =1565 | 50% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +8 | +24 | =1566 | 50% | 2 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –18 | +0 | =1526 | 57% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –13 | +24 | =1476 | 43% | 7 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –32 | +0 | =1513 | 52% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +10 | +24 | =1497 | 48% | 3 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –1 | –3 | =1540 | 57% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –1 | +24 | =1488 | 43% | 3 | |
4/28Thursday, April 287:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1483 | –1 | +0 | =1482 | 42% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –26 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | 5 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 277:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1481 | –25 | +0 | =1456 | 33% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +12 | +24 | =1581 | 67% | 3 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1482 | +12 | –1 | =1493 | 36% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +24 | +26 | =1594 | 64% | 3 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | –26 | +0 | =1463 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –30 | +24 | =1539 | 61% | 4 | |
4/23Saturday, April 237:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1487 | –21 | +0 | =1466 | 35% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | 7 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +1 | –3 | =1487 | 43% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –34 | +22 | =1534 | 57% | 3 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +16 | +0 | =1563 | 45% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | –10 | +24 | =1601 | 55% | 5 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +18 | +0 | =1564 | 42% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1589 | +10 | +24 | =1623 | 58% | 1 | |
4/18Monday, April 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –17 | –1 | =1529 | 36% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +15 | +24 | =1626 | 64% | 7 | |
4/17Sunday, April 177 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | –29 | +0 | =1519 | 46% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –9 | +24 | =1546 | 54% | 2 | |
4/16Saturday, April 164:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –44 | +24 | =1513 | 45% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –38 | +0 | =1506 | 46% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –28 | +24 | =1531 | 54% | 2 | |
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +22 | –4 | =1566 | 51% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +5 | +22 | =1558 | 49% | 12 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –10 | +0 | =1457 | 32% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1550 | +17 | +24 | =1591 | 68% | 1 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1470 | –10 | +0 | =1460 | 39% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –30 | +24 | =1541 | 61% | 16 | |
4/11Monday, April 117:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –10 | –3 | =1452 | 35% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1552 | –14 | +24 | =1562 | 65% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –12 | +0 | =1488 | 37% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +2 | +24 | =1580 | 63% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 97:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –14 | +0 | =1487 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –49 | +24 | =1528 | 56% | 2 | |
4/8Friday, April 87:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –3 | +0 | =1498 | 36% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +20 | +24 | =1597 | 64% | 7 | |
4/7Thursday, April 78 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +16 | –2 | =1513 | 38% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | +19 | +24 | =1598 | 62% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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