Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Braves have a 5% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets27-1580%53%
BravesBraves19-217.063%32%
PhilliesPhillies18-228.035%12%
MarlinsMarlins17-228.512%4%
NationalsNationals13-2813.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+1+0=154351%
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+22+24=153849%
5/23Monday, May 237:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1520+283=154551%
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
154227+21=153649%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152011+0=150939%
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1542+23+24=158961%
5/25Wednesday, May 257:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15205+0=151542%
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1542+8+24=157458%
5/26Thursday, May 267:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+7+0=152747%
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154219+24=154753%
5/27Friday, May 277:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149228+0=146436%
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+1+24=156764%
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+22+0=151446%
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
154227+24=153954%
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+20+0=151239%
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1542+23+24=158961%
5/30Monday, May 308:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1542+84=154654%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1466+32+24=152246%
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154219+0=152357%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146614+24=147643%
6/1Wednesday, June 13:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+1+0=154358%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1466+0+24=149042%
6/2Thursday, June 28:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153857%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148643%
6/3Friday, June 38:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154158%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
6/4Saturday, June 49:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154158%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
6/5Sunday, June 53:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154158%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:20 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+12=145134%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+23=156466%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:20 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145334%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156566%
6/9Thursday, June 97:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+12=143232%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156568%
6/10Friday, June 107:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143432%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156568%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143432%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156568%
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143432%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156568%
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153858%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148042%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154159%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148041%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154159%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148041%
6/17Friday, June 172:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154211=154056%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150044%
6/18Saturday, June 182:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154156%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150044%
6/19Sunday, June 192:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154156%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150044%
6/20Monday, June 207:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+02=152144%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+21=156256%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152344%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156556%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152344%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156556%
6/23Thursday, June 2312:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152344%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156556%
6/24Friday, June 247:20 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
159422=159053%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156547%
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159254%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156546%
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159254%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156546%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154211=154050%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+22=154250%
6/29Wednesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154150%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154450%
6/30Thursday, June 306:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154150%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154450%
7/1Friday, July 16:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154212=153955%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+22=150245%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154155%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150445%
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154155%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150445%
7/4Monday, July 47:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150942%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+22=156358%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156558%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156558%
7/7Thursday, July 77:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156558%
7/8Friday, July 87:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
145823=145335%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156565%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145635%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156565%
7/10Sunday, July 101:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145635%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156565%
7/11Monday, July 117:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153423=152945%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153858%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148042%
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154159%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148041%
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154159%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148041%
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154159%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148041%
7/22Friday, July 227:20 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+3=153445%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+28=156955%
7/23Saturday, July 237:20 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154451%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154150%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154450%
7/27Wednesday, July 2712:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154150%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154450%
7/29Friday, July 297:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+02=146436%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+23=156464%
7/30Saturday, July 307:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146636%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156564%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146636%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156564%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152043%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+26=156757%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152044%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156556%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153848%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+22=155452%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154148%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155652%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 61:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154148%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155652%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154148%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155652%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154148%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155652%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154149%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+23=154751%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154149%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154851%
8/12Friday, Aug. 126:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154211=154054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151346%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 131:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153423=152945%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+21=156255%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:20 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155148%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156552%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155448%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156552%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155448%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156552%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154212=153961%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145839%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154162%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145838%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 2412:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154162%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145838%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154211=154051%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+22=153449%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154151%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153649%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154151%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153649%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+01=146136%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156564%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146236%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156564%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146236%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156564%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+01=149140%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156560%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149240%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156560%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149240%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156560%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154212=153959%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+22=147541%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:37 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154159%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147741%
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154211=154053%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+26=152147%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 109:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+24=151947%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+24=151947%
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153849%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+20=154351%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154149%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154751%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 143:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154149%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154751%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+03=151743%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+22=156357%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152044%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156556%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152044%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156556%
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
145823=145335%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156565%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145635%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156565%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2112:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145635%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156565%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154451%
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154150%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154450%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154150%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154450%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154150%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154450%
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154212=153959%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+21=147741%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154159%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148041%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154159%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148041%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153421=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+23=156455%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156555%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153854%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151346%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154122+0=151955%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149331+24=148645%3
5/20Friday, May 206:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+111=154954%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494+2+26=152246%3
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1540+24+0=156444%6
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1543+37+24=160456%7
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
153832+0=150644%3
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154520+24=154956%0
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
153913=153545%0
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1544+3+21=156855%1
5/15Sunday, May 1511:35 a.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1536+12+0=154851%7
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154125+24=154049%3
5/14Saturday, May 144:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1537+2+0=153945%5
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+9+24=157355%6
5/13Friday, May 137:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153412=153140%11
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1543+30+26=159960%6
5/11Wednesday, May 117:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1519+12+0=153145%3
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+2+24=156855%5
5/10Tuesday, May 107:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
1517171=149943%9
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154421+26=154957%4
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
155038+0=151242%2
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1542+5+24=157158%9
5/7Saturday, May 77:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1551+36+0=158749%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1541+27+24=159251%3
5/6Friday, May 67:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154983=153846%6
ATLATLBraves
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez (open)
1543+0+23=156654%3
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1540+3+0=154351%9
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153522+24=153749%2
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154220+0=152248%0
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153324+24=153352%3
5/3Tuesday, May 33:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1543+8+0=155154%4
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153231+24=152546%5
5/2Monday, May 27:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1542+263=156550%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1534+8+24=156650%2
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
154418+0=152657%3
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146513+24=147643%7
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154532+0=151352%1
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1463+10+24=149748%3
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
154413=154057%6
TEXTEXRangers
Richards, Garrett
Richards (open)
14651+24=148843%3
4/28Thursday, April 287:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14831+0=148242%1
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154226+24=154058%5
4/27Wednesday, April 277:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148125+0=145633%6
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1545+12+24=158167%3
4/26Tuesday, April 267:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+121=149336%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1544+24+26=159464%3
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148926+0=146339%5
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154530+24=153961%4
4/23Saturday, April 237:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
148721+0=146635%9
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1547+1+24=157265%7
4/22Friday, April 227:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+13=148743%0
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154634+22=153457%3
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1547+16+0=156345%1
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
158710+24=160155%5
4/19Tuesday, April 1910:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1546+18+0=156442%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1589+10+24=162358%1
4/18Monday, April 1810:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
1547171=152936%4
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1587+15+24=162664%7
4/17Sunday, April 177 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154829+0=151946%1
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15319+24=154654%2
4/16Saturday, April 164:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1546+0+0=154655%5
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153344+24=151345%2
4/15Friday, April 159:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154438+0=150646%5
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153528+24=153154%2
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1548+224=156651%1
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1531+5+22=155849%12
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
146710+0=145732%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1550+17+24=159168%1
4/12Tuesday, April 127:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
147010+0=146039%4
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154730+24=154161%16
4/11Monday, April 117:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
1465103=145235%11
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
155214+24=156265%2
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
150012+0=148837%6
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1554+2+24=158063%3
4/9Saturday, April 97:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
150114+0=148744%1
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155349+24=152856%2
4/8Friday, April 87:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
15013+0=149836%6
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1553+20+24=159764%7
4/7Thursday, April 78 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1499+162=151338%6
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1555+19+24=159862%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.