2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Brewers are done for the season.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CardinalsCardinals93-69 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
BrewersBrewers86-76 | 7.0 | — | — | |||
CubsCubs74-88 | 19.0 | — | — | |||
RedsReds62-100 | 31.0 | — | — | |||
PiratesPirates62-100 | 31.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1480 | +12 | +0 | =1492 | 38% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1526 | +27 | +24 | =1577 | 62% | 2 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1482 | +51 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1525 | –12 | +24 | =1537 | 51% | 3 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1483 | –35 | –4 | =1444 | 32% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1524 | +28 | +24 | =1576 | 68% | 6 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1467 | –6 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1525 | +12 | +24 | =1561 | 64% | 3 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1465 | –9 | +0 | =1456 | 41% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1527 | –33 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | 3 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1466 | +36 | +0 | =1502 | 40% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1526 | +25 | +24 | =1575 | 60% | 1 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1464 | –13 | –3 | =1448 | 37% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1528 | –14 | +24 | =1538 | 63% | 2 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1531 | +9 | +0 | =1540 | 45% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1526 | +28 | +24 | =1578 | 55% | 5 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1529 | +8 | –2 | =1535 | 51% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1528 | –23 | +24 | =1529 | 49% | 2 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1529 | +16 | +0 | =1545 | 56% | 1 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1461 | +22 | +24 | =1507 | 44% | 2 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1527 | +26 | +0 | =1553 | 59% | 10 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1463 | +0 | +24 | =1487 | 41% | 2 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1526 | –11 | +0 | =1515 | 55% | 5 |
CINReds | Cessa | 1465 | –11 | +24 | =1478 | 45% | 3 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1524 | +26 | –2 | =1548 | 57% | 5 |
CINReds | Greene | 1466 | +10 | +24 | =1500 | 43% | 1 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 212:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1557 | –15 | +0 | =1542 | 53% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1521 | –26 | +24 | =1519 | 47% | 6 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1556 | –19 | +0 | =1537 | 53% | 7 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1523 | –31 | +24 | =1516 | 47% | 5 | |
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1554 | +38 | –3 | =1589 | 52% | 7 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1525 | +30 | +24 | =1579 | 48% | 2 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1568 | +21 | +0 | =1589 | 61% | 12 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1526 | –36 | +24 | =1514 | 39% | 8 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1570 | –8 | +0 | =1562 | 49% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1525 | +22 | +24 | =1571 | 51% | 4 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montas | 1571 | –11 | –1 | =1559 | 55% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1524 | –22 | +24 | =1526 | 45% | 7 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:45 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1525 | +30 | +0 | =1555 | 48% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1529 | +19 | +24 | =1572 | 52% | 4 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:45 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Bush | 1523 | –31 | +0 | =1492 | 38% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1531 | +24 | +23 | =1578 | 62% | 4 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dunn | 1475 | –9 | +0 | =1466 | 36% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1522 | +19 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | 7 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Anderson | 1476 | –19 | +0 | =1457 | 41% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1520 | –25 | +24 | =1519 | 59% | 5 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1473 | +15 | –1 | =1487 | 46% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1523 | –31 | +24 | =1516 | 54% | 2 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:15 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Young | 1501 | –38 | +0 | =1463 | 36% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1522 | +16 | +24 | =1562 | 64% | 4 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 84:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Alexander | 1502 | –25 | –4 | =1473 | 37% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1521 | +25 | +21 | =1567 | 63% | 2 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1523 | –4 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | 4 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1453 | +11 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | 8 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1525 | +17 | +0 | =1542 | 62% | 7 |
COLRockies | Kuhl | 1451 | –15 | +24 | =1460 | 38% | 10 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1524 | –27 | –3 | =1494 | 55% | 6 |
COLRockies | Feltner | 1452 | –13 | +21 | =1460 | 45% | 4 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Alexander | 1526 | –27 | +0 | =1499 | 43% | 1 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1481 | +41 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | 5 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1525 | +28 | +0 | =1553 | 61% | 8 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1482 | –28 | +24 | =1478 | 39% | 6 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1526 | –6 | +0 | =1520 | 54% | 1 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1481 | –13 | +24 | =1492 | 46% | 2 | |
9/1Thursday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1528 | +20 | –4 | =1544 | 52% | 0 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1479 | +27 | +24 | =1530 | 48% | 5 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1426 | –10 | +0 | =1416 | 30% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1527 | +15 | +24 | =1566 | 70% | 6 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1424 | –1 | +0 | =1423 | 36% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1529 | –34 | +24 | =1519 | 64% | 2 | |
8/29Monday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1424 | –14 | –3 | =1407 | 26% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1529 | +34 | +24 | =1587 | 74% | 7 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1471 | –12 | +0 | =1459 | 38% | 7 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1528 | –4 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | 9 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1473 | +6 | +0 | =1479 | 38% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1526 | +16 | +24 | =1566 | 62% | 7 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1471 | +13 | –1 | =1483 | 39% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1527 | +11 | +22 | =1560 | 61% | 3 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 249 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1529 | –25 | +0 | =1504 | 34% | 6 |
LADDodgers | Heaney | 1618 | –19 | +24 | =1623 | 66% | 12 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1531 | +41 | +0 | =1572 | 39% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1616 | +12 | +24 | =1652 | 61% | 10 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1528 | –6 | –4 | =1518 | 31% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1619 | +13 | +24 | =1656 | 69% | 0 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1527 | +17 | +0 | =1544 | 55% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1474 | +8 | +24 | =1506 | 45% | 2 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1528 | +10 | +0 | =1538 | 53% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1473 | +17 | +24 | =1514 | 47% | 6 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 192:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1529 | –32 | –1 | =1496 | 52% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Thompson | 1472 | –11 | +21 | =1482 | 48% | 8 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Heaney | 1617 | –16 | +0 | =1601 | 51% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1527 | +41 | +24 | =1592 | 49% | 5 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1616 | +8 | +0 | =1624 | 61% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1528 | –9 | +24 | =1543 | 39% | 1 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Pepiot | 1617 | –39 | +0 | =1578 | 51% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1527 | +17 | +24 | =1568 | 49% | 5 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1616 | +13 | –2 | =1627 | 59% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1528 | +10 | +22 | =1560 | 41% | 0 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1530 | –34 | +0 | =1496 | 43% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1519 | +5 | +24 | =1548 | 57% | 6 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1529 | +40 | +0 | =1569 | 51% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1520 | +20 | +24 | =1564 | 49% | 2 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1530 | –7 | +0 | =1523 | 45% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1519 | +15 | +21 | =1555 | 55% | 3 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1523 | –4 | +0 | =1519 | 43% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1529 | +18 | +24 | =1571 | 57% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yacabonis | 1524 | –29 | +0 | =1495 | 40% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1528 | +10 | +26 | =1564 | 60% | 5 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1475 | –4 | +0 | =1471 | 33% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1530 | +40 | +24 | =1594 | 67% | 2 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1474 | –6 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | 7 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1532 | –31 | +24 | =1525 | 58% | 5 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dugger | 1475 | –39 | –1 | =1435 | 35% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1531 | –8 | +22 | =1545 | 65% | 5 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1532 | +22 | +0 | =1554 | 64% | 4 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1433 | –4 | +24 | =1453 | 36% | 5 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1534 | +13 | +0 | =1547 | 63% | 7 |
PITPirates | Beede | 1432 | –3 | +24 | =1453 | 37% | 8 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1536 | +43 | +0 | =1579 | 69% | 3 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1430 | –17 | +26 | =1439 | 31% | 5 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1538 | –32 | +0 | =1506 | 49% | 2 |
BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1516 | –26 | +24 | =1514 | 51% | 7 | |
7/30Saturday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1535 | –12 | +0 | =1523 | 47% | 9 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1519 | +4 | +24 | =1547 | 53% | 4 | |
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1534 | +18 | –1 | =1551 | 51% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Davis (open) | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 49% | 1 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1517 | +0 | +0 | =1517 | 38% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1532 | +44 | +24 | =1600 | 62% | 10 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1519 | –7 | +0 | =1512 | 49% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Small | 1531 | –34 | +24 | =1521 | 51% | 7 | |
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1459 | +5 | +0 | =1464 | 42% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1533 | –35 | +24 | =1522 | 58% | 0 | |
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kuhl | 1460 | –3 | +0 | =1457 | 37% | 9 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1532 | –7 | +24 | =1549 | 63% | 10 | |
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Urena | 1461 | –16 | +0 | =1445 | 33% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1531 | +15 | +24 | =1570 | 67% | 9 | |
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1462 | +2 | +4 | =1468 | 31% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1530 | +48 | +27 | =1605 | 69% | 6 | |
7/17Sunday, July 174:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1532 | –35 | +0 | =1497 | 41% | 5 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1519 | +19 | +24 | =1562 | 59% | 9 | |
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1533 | –10 | +0 | =1523 | 50% | 1 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1518 | –17 | +24 | =1525 | 50% | 2 | |
7/15Friday, July 1510:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1535 | +17 | +0 | =1552 | 53% | 5 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1516 | –7 | +24 | =1533 | 47% | 8 | |
7/14Thursday, July 149:45 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1534 | +47 | –4 | =1577 | 51% | 3 |
SFGiants | Rodon | 1517 | +28 | +24 | =1569 | 49% | 2 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 131:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1535 | –36 | +0 | =1499 | 41% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1521 | +15 | +24 | =1560 | 59% | 4 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 127:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Alexander | 1533 | –36 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 6 |
MINTwins | Winder | 1523 | +1 | +23 | =1547 | 57% | 3 | |
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1436 | +14 | +0 | =1450 | 36% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1535 | –9 | +24 | =1550 | 64% | 6 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1435 | +7 | +0 | =1442 | 31% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1536 | +17 | +24 | =1577 | 69% | 3 | |
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1435 | +6 | –2 | =1439 | 38% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1536 | –38 | +26 | =1524 | 62% | 4 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1468 | –9 | +0 | =1459 | 30% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1537 | +43 | +24 | =1604 | 70% | 1 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1465 | +2 | +0 | =1467 | 40% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1540 | –28 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | 3 | |
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1467 | +1 | –1 | =1467 | 38% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1539 | –13 | +22 | =1548 | 62% | 5 | |
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1538 | +16 | +0 | =1554 | 62% | 2 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1436 | +8 | +24 | =1468 | 38% | 0 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1540 | –34 | +0 | =1506 | 60% | 4 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1434 | –21 | +24 | =1437 | 40% | 7 | |
7/1Friday, July 17:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1537 | +43 | +0 | =1580 | 65% | 19 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1437 | +10 | +24 | =1471 | 35% | 2 | |
6/30Thursday, June 307:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1538 | –19 | –3 | =1516 | 58% | 7 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1436 | +6 | +22 | =1464 | 42% | 8 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 2912:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1537 | –12 | +0 | =1525 | 46% | 5 |
TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1527 | +3 | +24 | =1554 | 54% | 3 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1536 | +11 | –1 | =1546 | 50% | 5 |
TBRays | Baz | 1529 | –13 | +26 | =1542 | 50% | 3 | |
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1550 | +1 | +0 | =1551 | 55% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Gonzalez | 1532 | –40 | +24 | =1516 | 45% | 10 | |
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1551 | –29 | +0 | =1522 | 39% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1532 | +42 | +24 | =1598 | 61% | 5 | |
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1549 | +29 | +1 | =1579 | 56% | 9 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1534 | –18 | +24 | =1540 | 44% | 4 | |
6/23Thursday, June 232:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1519 | +6 | +0 | =1525 | 50% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1532 | –28 | +24 | =1528 | 50% | 6 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 228:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1517 | +25 | +0 | =1542 | 49% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1533 | –11 | +24 | =1546 | 51% | 4 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1516 | +11 | +0 | =1527 | 51% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Gonzalez | 1535 | –42 | +24 | =1517 | 49% | 2 | |
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1517 | +19 | –3 | =1533 | 42% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1534 | +37 | +22 | =1593 | 58% | 2 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1533 | –19 | +0 | =1514 | 52% | 6 |
CINReds | Minor | 1475 | +0 | +24 | =1499 | 48% | 3 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Alexander | 1531 | –28 | +0 | =1503 | 50% | 7 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1477 | +5 | +24 | =1506 | 50% | 3 | |
6/17Friday, June 176:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1530 | –8 | –3 | =1519 | 52% | 5 |
CINReds | Greene | 1478 | +4 | +22 | =1504 | 48% | 4 | |
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1530 | –33 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 4 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1545 | –22 | +24 | =1547 | 57% | 5 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1528 | +36 | +0 | =1564 | 52% | 10 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1547 | –22 | +24 | =1549 | 48% | 2 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1529 | –18 | +0 | =1511 | 42% | 0 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1546 | –1 | +22 | =1567 | 58% | 4 | |
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Alexander | 1528 | –30 | +0 | =1498 | 51% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1460 | +8 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | 1 | |
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1529 | –2 | +0 | =1527 | 58% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1458 | –9 | +24 | =1473 | 42% | 8 | |
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1532 | –26 | –3 | =1503 | 54% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1455 | –1 | +21 | =1475 | 46% | 11 | |
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1527 | –12 | +0 | =1515 | 39% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1535 | +33 | +24 | =1592 | 61% | 3 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1524 | +12 | +0 | =1536 | 49% | 10 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1538 | –20 | +24 | =1542 | 51% | 0 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1523 | –10 | –1 | =1512 | 47% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1539 | –36 | +26 | =1529 | 53% | 2 | |
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Clevinger | 1542 | +18 | +0 | =1560 | 50% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1541 | –5 | +24 | =1560 | 50% | 4 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Gore | 1540 | –2 | +0 | =1538 | 50% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1543 | –30 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | 0 | |
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1537 | +11 | +0 | =1548 | 41% | 7 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1546 | +39 | +24 | =1609 | 59% | 0 | |
6/2Thursday, June 27:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Manaea | 1538 | –2 | –2 | =1534 | 48% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1545 | –22 | +23 | =1546 | 52% | 5 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Alexander | 1546 | –40 | +0 | =1506 | 52% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1478 | –10 | +24 | =1492 | 48% | 4 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1547 | –4 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1476 | –9 | +24 | =1491 | 42% | 8 | |
5/30Monday, May 307:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1546 | –39 | +0 | =1507 | 52% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Smyly | 1478 | –6 | +24 | =1496 | 48% | 1 | |
5/30Monday, May 301:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Small | 1545 | –40 | –2 | =1503 | 52% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Swarmer | 1479 | –10 | +23 | =1492 | 48% | 6 | |
5/29Sunday, May 292:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1542 | +34 | +0 | =1576 | 53% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1513 | +18 | +24 | =1555 | 47% | 0 | |
5/28Saturday, May 282:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1545 | –15 | +0 | =1530 | 52% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1511 | –22 | +24 | =1513 | 48% | 8 | |
5/27Friday, May 278:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1546 | +2 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 48% | 4 | |
5/26Thursday, May 267:45 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1545 | –3 | –4 | =1538 | 46% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1511 | +27 | +26 | =1564 | 54% | 3 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1544 | –45 | +0 | =1499 | 40% | 2 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1544 | –1 | +24 | =1567 | 60% | 1 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1542 | +33 | +0 | =1575 | 50% | 4 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1546 | +2 | +24 | =1572 | 50% | 1 | |
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1543 | –17 | –4 | =1522 | 50% | 2 |
SDPadres | Martinez | 1545 | –45 | +22 | =1522 | 50% | 3 | |
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1458 | –11 | +0 | =1447 | 32% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1547 | +7 | +24 | =1578 | 68% | 2 | |
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1460 | –9 | +0 | =1451 | 34% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1546 | –1 | +24 | =1569 | 66% | 5 | |
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1461 | –6 | –1 | =1454 | 35% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1544 | –8 | +26 | =1562 | 65% | 7 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1540 | +24 | +0 | =1564 | 44% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1543 | +37 | +24 | =1604 | 56% | 7 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Davidson | 1538 | –32 | +0 | =1506 | 44% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1545 | –20 | +24 | =1549 | 56% | 0 | |
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1539 | –1 | –3 | =1535 | 45% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1544 | +3 | +21 | =1568 | 55% | 1 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1542 | +4 | +0 | =1546 | 58% | 7 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1493 | –28 | +24 | =1489 | 42% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1545 | –3 | +0 | =1542 | 54% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1491 | +1 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | 9 | |
5/13Friday, May 136:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1544 | +38 | –1 | =1581 | 57% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1492 | +20 | +22 | =1534 | 43% | 1 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1546 | –15 | +0 | =1531 | 57% | 11 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1473 | –17 | +24 | =1480 | 43% | 14 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 106:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1545 | –1 | +0 | =1544 | 60% | 5 |
CINReds | Greene | 1474 | –22 | +24 | =1476 | 40% | 4 | |
5/9Monday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1548 | +8 | –2 | =1554 | 53% | 5 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1472 | +36 | +24 | =1532 | 47% | 10 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1550 | –38 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1542 | +5 | +24 | =1571 | 58% | 9 | |
5/7Saturday, May 77:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1551 | +36 | +0 | =1587 | 49% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1541 | +27 | +24 | =1592 | 51% | 3 | |
5/6Friday, May 67:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1549 | –8 | –3 | =1538 | 46% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Chavez (open) | 1543 | +0 | +23 | =1566 | 54% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 51:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1472 | –6 | +0 | =1466 | 37% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1548 | –15 | +24 | =1557 | 63% | 10 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1474 | –13 | +0 | =1461 | 35% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1545 | –4 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | 18 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1475 | +17 | –1 | =1491 | 38% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1544 | +6 | +26 | =1576 | 62% | 6 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1477 | +14 | +0 | =1491 | 34% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1546 | +35 | +24 | =1605 | 66% | 0 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1479 | –9 | +0 | =1470 | 38% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1544 | –12 | +24 | =1556 | 62% | 9 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1482 | +2 | –3 | =1481 | 41% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1541 | –17 | +22 | =1546 | 59% | 11 | |
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1540 | –5 | +0 | =1535 | 60% | 3 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1443 | +1 | +24 | =1468 | 40% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1539 | –42 | +0 | =1497 | 55% | 3 |
PITPirates | Peters | 1444 | –2 | +24 | =1466 | 45% | 1 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1538 | +13 | –2 | =1549 | 61% | 12 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1445 | –2 | +24 | =1467 | 39% | 8 | |
4/25Monday, April 256:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Long | 1531 | –26 | –3 | =1502 | 37% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1540 | +33 | +21 | =1594 | 63% | 2 | |
4/24Sunday, April 247 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1538 | –14 | +0 | =1524 | 48% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 52% | 0 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1537 | –15 | +0 | =1522 | 44% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1516 | +23 | +24 | =1563 | 56% | 3 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1538 | –5 | –1 | =1532 | 49% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1515 | +1 | +22 | =1538 | 51% | 4 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 201:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1447 | –7 | +0 | =1440 | 32% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1537 | +12 | +24 | =1573 | 68% | 4 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1447 | +1 | +0 | =1448 | 30% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1537 | +35 | +24 | =1596 | 70% | 5 | |
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1449 | +18 | –2 | =1465 | 39% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1535 | –14 | +24 | =1545 | 61% | 6 | |
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1506 | +0 | +0 | =1506 | 48% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1534 | –38 | +24 | =1520 | 52% | 6 | |
4/16Saturday, April 167:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1505 | –8 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1535 | –16 | +24 | =1543 | 57% | 1 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1501 | +4 | +0 | =1505 | 41% | 10 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1539 | +1 | +24 | =1564 | 59% | 1 | |
4/14Thursday, April 145:14 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1503 | +32 | +0 | =1535 | 45% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1537 | +10 | +21 | =1568 | 55% | 5 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1536 | +31 | +0 | =1567 | 63% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Means | 1428 | +24 | +24 | =1476 | 37% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1536 | –12 | +0 | =1524 | 64% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1429 | –28 | +24 | =1425 | 36% | 4 | |
4/11Monday, April 113:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1538 | –15 | –3 | =1520 | 61% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1427 | –8 | +21 | =1440 | 39% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1537 | +4 | +0 | =1541 | 52% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1484 | +19 | +24 | =1527 | 48% | 4 | |
4/9Saturday, April 92:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1540 | +16 | +2 | =1558 | 59% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1480 | –11 | +26 | =1495 | 41% | 9 | |
4/7Thursday, April 72:20 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1542 | +32 | –1 | =1573 | 60% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1479 | –2 | +24 | =1501 | 40% | 5 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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