Updated Oct. 2, 2022, at 10:36 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Brewers have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CardinalsCardinals92-67
BrewersBrewers84-758.05%
CubsCubs73-8619.0
RedsReds60-9932.0
PiratesPirates60-9932.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
1483354=144432%
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1524+28+24=157668%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1483+52+0=153550%
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152411+24=153750%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1483+12+0=149538%
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1524+28+24=157662%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14676+0=146136%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1525+12+24=156164%3
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14659+0=145641%4
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
152733+24=151859%3
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1466+36+0=150240%0
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1526+25+24=157560%1
9/29Thursday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
1464133=144837%4
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152814+24=153863%2
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1531+9+0=154045%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1526+28+24=157855%5
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1529+82=153551%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152823+24=152949%2
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1529+16+0=154556%1
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1461+22+24=150744%2
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1527+26+0=155359%10
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1463+0+24=148741%2
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152611+0=151555%5
CINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
146511+24=147845%3
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1524+262=154857%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1466+10+24=150043%1
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 212:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155715+0=154253%0
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152126+24=151947%6
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155619+0=153753%7
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
152331+24=151647%5
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1554+383=158952%7
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1525+30+24=157948%2
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1568+21+0=158961%12
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152636+24=151439%8
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15708+0=156249%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1525+22+24=157151%4
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1571111=155955%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152422+24=152645%7
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1525+30+0=155548%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1529+19+24=157252%4
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Bush, Matt
Bush
152331+0=149238%8
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1531+24+23=157862%4
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14759+0=146636%6
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1522+19+24=156564%7
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
147619+0=145741%1
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152025+24=151959%5
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1473+151=148746%8
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152331+24=151654%2
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Young, Alex
Young
150138+0=146336%2
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1522+16+24=156264%4
9/8Thursday, Sept. 84:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Alexander, Scott
Alexander
1502254=147337%1
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1521+25+21=156763%2
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15234+0=151955%4
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1453+11+24=148845%8
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1525+17+0=154262%7
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
145115+24=146038%10
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1524273=149455%6
COLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145213+21=146045%4
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152627+0=149943%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1481+41+24=154657%5
9/3Saturday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1525+28+0=155361%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148228+24=147839%6
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15266+0=152054%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
148113+24=149246%2
9/1Thursday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1528+204=154452%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1479+27+24=153048%5
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
142610+0=141630%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1527+15+24=156670%6
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14241+0=142336%4
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152934+24=151964%2
8/29Monday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1424143=140726%5
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1529+34+24=158774%7
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147112+0=145938%7
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15284+24=154862%9
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1473+6+0=147938%0
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1526+16+24=156662%7
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1471+131=148339%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1527+11+22=156061%3
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 249 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152925+0=150434%6
LADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
161819+24=162366%12
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1531+41+0=157239%1
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1616+12+24=165261%10
8/22Monday, Aug. 2210:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152864=151831%4
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1619+13+24=165669%0
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1527+17+0=154455%5
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1474+8+24=150645%2
8/20Saturday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1528+10+0=153853%5
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1473+17+24=151447%6
8/19Friday, Aug. 192:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
1529321=149652%7
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147211+21=148248%8
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
161716+0=160151%3
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1527+41+24=159249%5
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1616+8+0=162461%2
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15289+24=154339%1
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pepiot, Ryan
Pepiot
161739+0=157851%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1527+17+24=156849%5
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1616+132=162759%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1528+10+22=156041%0
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153034+0=149643%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1519+5+24=154857%6
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1529+40+0=156951%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1520+20+24=156449%2
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15307+0=152345%1
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1519+15+21=155555%3
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15234+0=151943%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1529+18+24=157157%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
152429+0=149540%3
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1528+10+26=156460%5
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14754+0=147133%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1530+40+24=159467%2
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
14746+0=146842%7
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153231+24=152558%5
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
1475391=143535%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15318+22=154565%5
8/4Thursday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1532+22+0=155464%4
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14334+24=145336%5
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1534+13+0=154763%7
PITPITPirates
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14323+24=145337%8
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1536+43+0=157969%3
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143017+26=143931%5
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153832+0=150649%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
151626+24=151451%7
7/30Saturday, July 304:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153512+0=152347%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1519+4+24=154753%4
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1534+181=155151%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Davis, Austin
Davis (open)
1520+0+24=154449%1
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
1517+0+0=151738%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1532+44+24=160062%10
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15197+0=151249%6
MILMILBrewers
Small, Ethan
Small
153134+24=152151%7
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1459+5+0=146442%2
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153335+24=152258%0
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14603+0=145737%9
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15327+24=154963%10
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
146116+0=144533%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1531+15+24=157067%9
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1462+2+4=146831%5
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1530+48+27=160569%6
7/17Sunday, July 174:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153235+0=149741%5
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1519+19+24=156259%9
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153310+0=152350%1
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151817+24=152550%2
7/15Friday, July 1510:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1535+17+0=155253%5
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15167+24=153347%8
7/14Thursday, July 149:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1534+474=157751%3
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1517+28+24=156949%2
7/13Wednesday, July 131:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153536+0=149941%1
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1521+15+24=156059%4
7/12Tuesday, July 127:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
153336+0=149743%6
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
1523+1+23=154757%3
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1436+14+0=145036%8
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15359+24=155064%6
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1435+7+0=144231%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1536+17+24=157769%3
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1435+62=143938%3
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153638+26=152462%4
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14689+0=145930%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1537+43+24=160470%1
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1465+2+0=146740%8
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
154028+24=153660%3
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1467+11=146738%2
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153913+22=154862%5
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1538+16+0=155462%2
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1436+8+24=146838%0
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154034+0=150660%4
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143421+24=143740%7
7/1Friday, July 17:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1537+43+0=158065%19
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1437+10+24=147135%2
6/30Thursday, June 307:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1538193=151658%7
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1436+6+22=146442%8
6/29Wednesday, June 2912:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153712+0=152546%5
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1527+3+24=155454%3
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1536+111=154650%5
TBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
152913+26=154250%3
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1550+1+0=155155%3
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
153240+24=151645%10
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155129+0=152239%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1532+42+24=159861%5
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+29+1=157956%9
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153418+24=154044%4
6/23Thursday, June 232:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1519+6+0=152550%4
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
153228+24=152850%6
6/22Wednesday, June 228:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1517+25+0=154249%5
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153311+24=154651%4
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1516+11+0=152751%6
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
153542+24=151749%2
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1517+193=153342%0
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1534+37+22=159358%2
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153319+0=151452%6
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1475+0+24=149948%3
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
153128+0=150350%7
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1477+5+24=150650%3
6/17Friday, June 176:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153083=151952%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1478+4+22=150448%4
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153033+0=149743%4
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
154522+24=154757%5
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1528+36+0=156452%10
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154722+24=154948%2
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152918+0=151142%0
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15461+22=156758%4
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152830+0=149851%4
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1460+8+24=149249%1
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15292+0=152758%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14589+24=147342%8
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
1532263=150354%5
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14551+21=147546%11
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152712+0=151539%8
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1535+33+24=159261%3
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1524+12+0=153649%10
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153820+24=154251%0
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1523101=151247%3
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
153936+26=152953%2
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1542+18+0=156050%6
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15415+24=156050%4
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
15402+0=153850%4
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154330+24=153750%0
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1537+11+0=154841%7
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1546+39+24=160959%0
6/2Thursday, June 27:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
153822=153448%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154522+23=154652%5
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
154640+0=150652%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
147810+24=149248%4
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15474+0=154358%7
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14769+24=149142%8
5/30Monday, May 307:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154639+0=150752%3
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14786+24=149648%1
5/30Monday, May 301:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Small, Ethan
Small
1545402=150352%7
CHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
147910+23=149248%6
5/29Sunday, May 292:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1542+34+0=157653%8
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1513+18+24=155547%0
5/28Saturday, May 282:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154515+0=153052%3
STLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
151122+24=151348%8
5/27Friday, May 278:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1546+2+0=154852%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1510+1+24=153548%4
5/26Thursday, May 267:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154534=153846%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1511+27+26=156454%3
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154445+0=149940%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15441+24=156760%1
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1542+33+0=157550%4
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1546+2+24=157250%1
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1543174=152250%2
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
154545+22=152250%3
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
145811+0=144732%8
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1547+7+24=157868%2
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14609+0=145134%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15461+24=156966%5
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146161=145435%0
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15448+26=156265%7
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1540+24+0=156444%6
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1543+37+24=160456%7
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
153832+0=150644%3
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154520+24=154956%0
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
153913=153545%0
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1544+3+21=156855%1
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1542+4+0=154658%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149328+24=148942%3
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15453+0=154254%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1491+1+24=151646%9
5/13Friday, May 136:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1544+381=158157%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+20+22=153443%1
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154615+0=153157%11
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
147317+24=148043%14
5/10Tuesday, May 106:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15451+0=154460%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147422+24=147640%4
5/9Monday, May 96:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1548+82=155453%5
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1472+36+24=153247%10
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
155038+0=151242%2
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1542+5+24=157158%9
5/7Saturday, May 77:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1551+36+0=158749%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1541+27+24=159251%3
5/6Friday, May 67:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154983=153846%6
ATLATLBraves
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez (open)
1543+0+23=156654%3
5/5Thursday, May 51:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14726+0=146637%5
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154815+24=155763%10
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
147413+0=146135%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15454+24=156565%18
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1475+171=149138%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1544+6+26=157662%6
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1477+14+0=149134%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1546+35+24=160566%0
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14799+0=147038%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154412+24=155662%9
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1482+23=148141%1
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154117+22=154659%11
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15405+0=153560%3
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1443+1+24=146840%2
4/27Wednesday, April 276:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153942+0=149755%3
PITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14442+24=146645%1
4/26Tuesday, April 266:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1538+132=154961%12
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14452+24=146739%8
4/25Monday, April 256:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Long, Sam
Long
1531263=150237%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1540+33+21=159463%2
4/24Sunday, April 247 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153814+0=152448%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1514+2+24=154052%0
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153715+0=152244%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1516+23+24=156356%3
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
153851=153249%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1515+1+22=153851%4
4/20Wednesday, April 201:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14477+0=144032%2
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+12+24=157368%4
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1447+1+0=144830%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1537+35+24=159670%5
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1449+182=146539%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153514+24=154561%6
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+0+0=150648%5
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153438+24=152052%6
4/16Saturday, April 167:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15058+0=149743%2
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153516+24=154357%1
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1501+4+0=150541%10
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1539+1+24=156459%1
4/14Thursday, April 145:14 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1503+32+0=153545%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+10+21=156855%5
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1536+31+0=156763%4
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1428+24+24=147637%2
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153612+0=152464%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
142928+24=142536%4
4/11Monday, April 113:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1538153=152061%0
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14278+21=144039%2
4/10Sunday, April 102:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1537+4+0=154152%5
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1484+19+24=152748%4
4/9Saturday, April 92:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1540+16+2=155859%0
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
148011+26=149541%9
4/7Thursday, April 72:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1542+321=157360%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14792+24=150140%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.