Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Brewers have an 8% chance of winning the World Series.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers26-1491%77%
CardinalsCardinals23-183.554%21%
CubsCubs15-2410.55%1%
RedsReds11-2814.53%<1%
PiratesPirates16-2410.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
145811+0=144732%
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1547+7+24=157868%
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1547184=152541%
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1541+23+22=158659%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1547+32+0=157952%
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1541+2+24=156748%
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154745+0=150241%
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15411+24=156459%
5/26Thursday, May 267:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154744=153947%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1511+26+26=156353%
5/27Friday, May 278:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1511+0+24=153548%
5/28Saturday, May 282:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1547+7+0=155454%
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
151110+24=152546%
5/29Sunday, May 292:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154718+0=152947%
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1511+17+24=155253%
5/30Monday, May 301:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1547+322=157759%
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1476+17+23=151641%
5/30Monday, May 307:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154745+0=150251%
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14767+24=149349%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15474+0=154356%
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1476+0+24=150044%
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1547+1+0=154856%
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1476+3+24=150344%
6/2Thursday, June 27:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+22=154146%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+23=157154%
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154346%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157254%
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154346%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157254%
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154346%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157254%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+01=151942%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+26=157458%
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152043%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157257%
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152043%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157257%
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+13=154560%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+21=147740%
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154860%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148040%
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154860%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148040%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154849%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+22=155451%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154849%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155651%
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154849%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155651%
6/17Friday, June 176:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+13=154556%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+22=150244%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154856%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150444%
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154856%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150444%
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150941%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+22=157059%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
6/22Wednesday, June 228:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
6/23Thursday, June 232:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+1=154747%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157253%
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154646%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157254%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154646%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157254%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+11=154748%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+26=155852%
6/29Wednesday, June 2912:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154849%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155651%
6/30Thursday, June 307:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+13=154563%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+22=145637%
7/1Friday, July 17:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154863%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145837%
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154863%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145837%
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154863%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145837%
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+01=147537%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+22=157063%
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+12=143231%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+26=157469%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143431%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157269%
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143431%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157269%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154850%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+23=154750%
7/13Wednesday, July 131:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154850%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154850%
7/14Thursday, July 149:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+14=154450%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154750%
7/15Friday, July 1510:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154850%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154750%
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154850%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154750%
7/17Sunday, July 174:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154850%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154750%
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+4=146635%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+27=157565%
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157265%
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157265%
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157265%
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152443%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157257%
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152443%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157257%
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+11=154750%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154850%
7/30Saturday, July 304:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154850%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154850%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154862%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+26=146038%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154863%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145837%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154863%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145837%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+21=147937%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+22=157063%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148037%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148037%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153244%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+26=157456%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153244%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157256%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+21=153348%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153648%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153648%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
159422=159053%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+22=157047%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159253%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157247%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159253%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157247%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159253%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157247%
8/19Friday, Aug. 192:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+11=154757%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+23=149943%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154857%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150043%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154857%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150043%
8/22Monday, Aug. 2210:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+14=154440%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161660%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154840%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161660%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 249 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154840%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161660%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+01=147537%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+22=157063%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
8/29Monday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+13=143131%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157269%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143431%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157269%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143431%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157269%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+14=154458%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149042%
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154858%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149042%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154858%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149042%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154858%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149042%
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+13=154559%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+21=148341%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154859%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148641%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154859%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148641%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 84:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+04=151943%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+21=156957%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152343%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157257%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+21=147937%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148037%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148037%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+23=153548%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153648%
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+11=157450%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157250%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157550%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157250%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157550%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157250%
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153423=152944%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157256%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153244%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157256%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 212:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153244%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157256%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+12=154656%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150444%
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154856%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150444%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154856%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150444%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154856%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150444%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+12=151041%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148938%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157262%
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149239%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157261%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149239%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157261%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149239%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157261%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+04=146235%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157265%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146635%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157265%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146635%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157265%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14609+0=145134%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15461+24=156966%5
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146161=145435%0
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15448+26=156265%7
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1540+24+0=156444%6
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1543+37+24=160456%7
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
153832+0=150644%3
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154520+24=154956%0
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
153913=153545%0
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1544+3+21=156855%1
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1542+4+0=154658%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149328+24=148942%3
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15453+0=154254%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1491+1+24=151646%9
5/13Friday, May 136:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1544+381=158157%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+20+22=153443%1
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154615+0=153157%11
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
147317+24=148043%14
5/10Tuesday, May 106:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15451+0=154460%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147422+24=147640%4
5/9Monday, May 96:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1548+82=155453%5
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1472+36+24=153247%10
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
155038+0=151242%2
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1542+5+24=157158%9
5/7Saturday, May 77:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1551+36+0=158749%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1541+27+24=159251%3
5/6Friday, May 67:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154983=153846%6
ATLATLBraves
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez (open)
1543+0+23=156654%3
5/5Thursday, May 51:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14726+0=146637%5
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154815+24=155763%10
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
147413+0=146135%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15454+24=156565%18
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1475+171=149138%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1544+6+26=157662%6
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1477+14+0=149134%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1546+35+24=160566%0
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14799+0=147038%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154412+24=155662%9
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1482+23=148141%1
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154117+22=154659%11
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15405+0=153560%3
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1443+1+24=146840%2
4/27Wednesday, April 276:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153942+0=149755%3
PITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14442+24=146645%1
4/26Tuesday, April 266:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1538+132=154961%12
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14452+24=146739%8
4/25Monday, April 256:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Long, Sam
Long
1531263=150237%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1540+33+21=159463%2
4/24Sunday, April 247 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153814+0=152448%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1514+2+24=154052%0
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153715+0=152244%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1516+23+24=156356%3
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
153851=153249%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1515+1+22=153851%4
4/20Wednesday, April 201:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14477+0=144032%2
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+12+24=157368%4
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1447+1+0=144830%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1537+35+24=159670%5
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1449+182=146539%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153514+24=154561%6
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+0+0=150648%5
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153438+24=152052%6
4/16Saturday, April 167:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15058+0=149743%2
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153516+24=154357%1
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1501+4+0=150541%10
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1539+1+24=156459%1
4/14Thursday, April 145:14 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1503+32+0=153545%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+10+21=156855%5
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1536+31+0=156763%4
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1428+24+24=147637%2
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153612+0=152464%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
142928+24=142536%4
4/11Monday, April 113:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1538153=152061%0
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14278+21=144039%2
4/10Sunday, April 102:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1537+4+0=154152%5
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1484+19+24=152748%4
4/9Saturday, April 92:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1540+16+2=155859%0
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
148011+26=149541%9
4/7Thursday, April 72:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1542+321=157360%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14792+24=150140%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.