2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Brewers have an 8% chance of winning the World Series.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | BrewersBrewers26-14 | — | 91% | 77% | ||
![]() | CardinalsCardinals23-18 | 3.5 | 54% | 21% | ||
![]() | CubsCubs15-24 | 10.5 | 5% | 1% | ||
![]() | RedsReds11-28 | 14.5 | 3% | <1% | ||
![]() | PiratesPirates16-24 | 10.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –11 | +0 | =1447 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +7 | +24 | =1578 | 68% | ||
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –18 | –4 | =1525 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +23 | +22 | =1586 | 59% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +32 | +0 | =1579 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 48% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –45 | +0 | =1502 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –1 | +24 | =1564 | 59% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 267:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –4 | –4 | =1539 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +26 | +26 | =1563 | 53% | ||
5/27Friday, May 278:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +0 | +24 | =1535 | 48% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 282:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +7 | +0 | =1554 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –10 | +24 | =1525 | 46% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 292:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –18 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +17 | +24 | =1552 | 53% | ||
5/30Monday, May 301:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +32 | –2 | =1577 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +17 | +23 | =1516 | 41% | ||
5/30Monday, May 307:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –45 | +0 | =1502 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | –7 | +24 | =1493 | 49% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –4 | +0 | =1543 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 44% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +3 | +24 | =1503 | 44% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 27:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | –2 | =1541 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +23 | =1571 | 54% | ||
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | –1 | =1519 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +26 | =1574 | 58% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –3 | =1545 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +21 | =1477 | 40% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 40% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 40% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +22 | =1554 | 51% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | ||
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | ||
6/17Friday, June 176:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –3 | =1545 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +22 | =1502 | 44% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 44% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 44% | ||
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –3 | =1509 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +22 | =1570 | 59% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 232:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +1 | =1547 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 53% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –1 | =1547 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +26 | =1558 | 52% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 2912:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | ||
6/30Thursday, June 307:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –3 | =1545 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +22 | =1456 | 37% | ||
7/1Friday, July 17:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | –1 | =1475 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +22 | =1570 | 63% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | –2 | =1432 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +26 | =1574 | 69% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 69% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 69% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 127:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +23 | =1547 | 50% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 131:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 149:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –4 | =1544 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 50% | ||
7/15Friday, July 1510:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 50% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 50% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 174:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 50% | ||
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +4 | =1466 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +27 | =1575 | 65% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | ||
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –1 | =1547 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +26 | =1460 | 38% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | –1 | =1479 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +22 | =1570 | 63% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +26 | =1574 | 56% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 56% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +21 | =1533 | 48% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +22 | =1570 | 47% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 47% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 47% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 47% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 192:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –1 | =1547 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +23 | =1499 | 43% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 43% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 43% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –4 | =1544 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 249 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | –1 | =1475 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +22 | =1570 | 63% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
8/29Monday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | –3 | =1431 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 69% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 69% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 69% | ||
9/1Thursday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –4 | =1544 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 42% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 42% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 42% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 42% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –3 | =1545 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +21 | =1483 | 41% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 41% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 41% | ||
9/8Thursday, Sept. 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | –4 | =1519 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +21 | =1569 | 57% | ||
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | –1 | =1479 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +23 | =1535 | 48% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | –1 | =1574 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 50% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 50% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 50% | ||
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –3 | =1529 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 56% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 56% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 212:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 56% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –2 | =1546 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 44% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 44% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 44% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 44% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –2 | =1510 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 62% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | –4 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | –9 | +0 | =1451 | 34% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –1 | +24 | =1569 | 66% | 5 | |
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –6 | –1 | =1454 | 35% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –8 | +26 | =1562 | 65% | 7 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +24 | +0 | =1564 | 44% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +37 | +24 | =1604 | 56% | 7 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –32 | +0 | =1506 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –20 | +24 | =1549 | 56% | 0 | |
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | –3 | =1535 | 45% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +3 | +21 | =1568 | 55% | 1 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +4 | +0 | =1546 | 58% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | –28 | +24 | =1489 | 42% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –3 | +0 | =1542 | 54% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1491 | +1 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | 9 | |
5/13Friday, May 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +38 | –1 | =1581 | 57% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +20 | +22 | =1534 | 43% | 1 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –15 | +0 | =1531 | 57% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1473 | –17 | +24 | =1480 | 43% | 14 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 106:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –1 | +0 | =1544 | 60% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –22 | +24 | =1476 | 40% | 4 | |
5/9Monday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +8 | –2 | =1554 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +36 | +24 | =1532 | 47% | 10 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1550 | –38 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +5 | +24 | =1571 | 58% | 9 | |
5/7Saturday, May 77:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1551 | +36 | +0 | =1587 | 49% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +27 | +24 | =1592 | 51% | 3 | |
5/6Friday, May 67:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1549 | –8 | –3 | =1538 | 46% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +0 | +23 | =1566 | 54% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 51:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1472 | –6 | +0 | =1466 | 37% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1548 | –15 | +24 | =1557 | 63% | 10 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –13 | +0 | =1461 | 35% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –4 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | 18 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1475 | +17 | –1 | =1491 | 38% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +6 | +26 | =1576 | 62% | 6 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +14 | +0 | =1491 | 34% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +35 | +24 | =1605 | 66% | 0 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1479 | –9 | +0 | =1470 | 38% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –12 | +24 | =1556 | 62% | 9 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1482 | +2 | –3 | =1481 | 41% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –17 | +22 | =1546 | 59% | 11 | |
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –5 | +0 | =1535 | 60% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +1 | +24 | =1468 | 40% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –42 | +0 | =1497 | 55% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1444 | –2 | +24 | =1466 | 45% | 1 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +13 | –2 | =1549 | 61% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1445 | –2 | +24 | =1467 | 39% | 8 | |
4/25Monday, April 256:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –26 | –3 | =1502 | 37% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +33 | +21 | =1594 | 63% | 2 | |
4/24Sunday, April 247 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –14 | +0 | =1524 | 48% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 52% | 0 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –15 | +0 | =1522 | 44% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +23 | +24 | =1563 | 56% | 3 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –5 | –1 | =1532 | 49% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +1 | +22 | =1538 | 51% | 4 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 201:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1447 | –7 | +0 | =1440 | 32% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +12 | +24 | =1573 | 68% | 4 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1447 | +1 | +0 | =1448 | 30% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +35 | +24 | =1596 | 70% | 5 | |
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +18 | –2 | =1465 | 39% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –14 | +24 | =1545 | 61% | 6 | |
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +0 | +0 | =1506 | 48% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –38 | +24 | =1520 | 52% | 6 | |
4/16Saturday, April 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –8 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –16 | +24 | =1543 | 57% | 1 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +4 | +0 | =1505 | 41% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +1 | +24 | =1564 | 59% | 1 | |
4/14Thursday, April 145:14 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +32 | +0 | =1535 | 45% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +10 | +21 | =1568 | 55% | 5 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +31 | +0 | =1567 | 63% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1428 | +24 | +24 | =1476 | 37% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | –12 | +0 | =1524 | 64% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1429 | –28 | +24 | =1425 | 36% | 4 | |
4/11Monday, April 113:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –15 | –3 | =1520 | 61% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1427 | –8 | +21 | =1440 | 39% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +4 | +0 | =1541 | 52% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +19 | +24 | =1527 | 48% | 4 | |
4/9Saturday, April 92:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +16 | +2 | =1558 | 59% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1480 | –11 | +26 | =1495 | 41% | 9 | |
4/7Thursday, April 72:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +32 | –1 | =1573 | 60% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1479 | –2 | +24 | =1501 | 40% | 5 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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