2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Cardinals are done for the season.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CardinalsCardinals93-69 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
BrewersBrewers86-76 | 7.0 | — | — | |||
CubsCubs74-88 | 19.0 | — | — | |||
RedsReds62-100 | 31.0 | — | — | |||
PiratesPirates62-100 | 31.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/8Saturday, Oct. 88:37 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1530 | +31 | +0 | =1561 | 50% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1525 | +12 | +24 | =1561 | 50% | 0 | |
10/7Friday, Oct. 72:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1527 | +30 | –1 | =1556 | 48% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1528 | +14 | +23 | =1565 | 52% | 3 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1530 | –22 | +0 | =1508 | 58% | 3 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1431 | –6 | +24 | =1449 | 42% | 5 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1529 | –7 | +0 | =1522 | 60% | 8 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1432 | –4 | +24 | =1452 | 40% | 7 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1530 | +11 | –3 | =1538 | 61% | 2 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1430 | +8 | +21 | =1459 | 39% | 3 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1428 | +10 | +0 | =1438 | 33% | 7 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1532 | +7 | +24 | =1563 | 67% | 5 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Ortiz | 1430 | +9 | +0 | =1439 | 33% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1530 | +9 | +24 | =1563 | 67% | 13 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Oviedo | 1431 | –9 | –1 | =1421 | 32% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1530 | –3 | +24 | =1551 | 68% | 2 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1531 | +9 | +0 | =1540 | 45% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1526 | +28 | +24 | =1578 | 55% | 5 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1529 | +8 | –2 | =1535 | 51% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1528 | –23 | +24 | =1529 | 49% | 2 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1531 | +13 | +0 | =1544 | 42% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Grove | 1618 | –44 | +24 | =1598 | 58% | 4 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 249:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1532 | +16 | +0 | =1548 | 35% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1617 | +17 | +24 | =1658 | 65% | 6 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1527 | +4 | –1 | =1530 | 36% | 11 |
LADDodgers | Heaney | 1622 | –17 | +24 | =1629 | 64% | 0 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 224:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1526 | –3 | +0 | =1523 | 46% | 5 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1525 | +5 | +24 | =1554 | 54% | 4 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1527 | +5 | +0 | =1532 | 46% | 0 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1524 | +11 | +24 | =1559 | 54% | 1 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1529 | +16 | –2 | =1543 | 50% | 0 |
SDPadres | Clevinger | 1522 | +1 | +24 | =1547 | 50% | 5 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1463 | –13 | +0 | =1450 | 33% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1532 | +19 | +24 | =1575 | 67% | 0 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1464 | +7 | +0 | =1471 | 38% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1531 | –2 | +24 | =1553 | 62% | 1 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 171:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1465 | –16 | +0 | =1449 | 37% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1530 | –9 | +24 | =1545 | 63% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cruz (open) | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 38% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1529 | +1 | +24 | =1554 | 62% | 6 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:45 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Anderson | 1464 | –14 | –2 | =1448 | 34% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1530 | +8 | +24 | =1562 | 66% | 2 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:45 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1525 | +30 | +0 | =1555 | 48% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1529 | +19 | +24 | =1572 | 52% | 4 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:45 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Bush | 1523 | –31 | +0 | =1492 | 38% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1531 | +24 | +23 | =1578 | 62% | 4 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1531 | –5 | +0 | =1526 | 61% | 4 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1424 | +3 | +24 | =1451 | 39% | 3 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1530 | +4 | +0 | =1534 | 61% | 7 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1425 | +7 | +24 | =1456 | 39% | 5 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1533 | +10 | –3 | =1540 | 61% | 2 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1422 | +14 | +26 | =1462 | 39% | 8 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 81:15 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1442 | +2 | +0 | =1444 | 31% | 11 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1536 | +20 | +24 | =1580 | 69% | 6 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Abbott | 1443 | +5 | +0 | =1448 | 32% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1536 | +20 | +24 | =1580 | 68% | 6 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:45 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1444 | +7 | +0 | =1451 | 36% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1534 | –8 | +24 | =1550 | 64% | 4 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:15 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1440 | +12 | –3 | =1449 | 34% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1538 | +3 | +24 | =1565 | 66% | 0 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1467 | +16 | +0 | =1483 | 38% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1537 | +6 | +24 | =1567 | 62% | 2 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1469 | +7 | +0 | =1476 | 35% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1536 | +27 | +24 | =1587 | 65% | 8 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1470 | –12 | –1 | =1457 | 33% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1534 | +21 | +24 | =1579 | 67% | 8 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1533 | –7 | +0 | =1526 | 56% | 5 |
CINReds | Minor | 1471 | –11 | +24 | =1484 | 44% | 3 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1535 | –7 | +0 | =1528 | 56% | 1 |
CINReds | Dunn | 1469 | –6 | +24 | =1487 | 44% | 5 | |
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1533 | +9 | –2 | =1540 | 59% | 13 |
CINReds | Anderson | 1472 | –14 | +22 | =1480 | 41% | 4 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 287 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1577 | –23 | +0 | =1554 | 46% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1531 | +24 | +24 | =1579 | 54% | 6 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1578 | +12 | +0 | =1590 | 52% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1530 | +23 | +24 | =1577 | 48% | 6 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1575 | +10 | –1 | =1584 | 56% | 11 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1532 | –8 | +22 | =1546 | 44% | 4 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1530 | –11 | +0 | =1519 | 50% | 8 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1474 | +19 | +24 | =1517 | 50% | 3 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1533 | +10 | +0 | =1543 | 57% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Farrell (open) | 1471 | +2 | +24 | =1497 | 43% | 7 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Woodford | 1530 | –18 | +0 | =1512 | 53% | 13 |
CHCCubs | Sampson | 1474 | –7 | +24 | =1491 | 47% | 3 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1532 | +25 | +0 | =1557 | 61% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Assad | 1472 | –14 | +24 | =1482 | 39% | 2 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 228:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1531 | +17 | –4 | =1544 | 57% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Smyly | 1473 | +1 | +24 | =1498 | 43% | 0 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1530 | –1 | +0 | =1529 | 51% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1471 | +29 | +24 | =1524 | 49% | 4 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1527 | –9 | +0 | =1518 | 55% | 16 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1474 | –18 | +24 | =1480 | 45% | 7 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1525 | +6 | –3 | =1528 | 56% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1475 | –14 | +21 | =1482 | 44% | 1 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1456 | +8 | +0 | =1464 | 35% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1523 | +23 | +24 | =1570 | 65% | 13 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1457 | +17 | +0 | =1474 | 38% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1521 | +16 | +24 | =1561 | 62% | 5 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1458 | +13 | –1 | =1470 | 39% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1521 | +2 | +26 | =1549 | 61% | 5 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1530 | –34 | +0 | =1496 | 43% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1519 | +5 | +24 | =1548 | 57% | 6 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1529 | +40 | +0 | =1569 | 51% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1520 | +20 | +24 | =1564 | 49% | 2 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1530 | –7 | +0 | =1523 | 45% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1519 | +15 | +21 | =1555 | 55% | 3 | |
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1520 | –5 | +0 | =1515 | 53% | 6 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1459 | +15 | +24 | =1498 | 47% | 8 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1519 | +4 | +0 | =1523 | 53% | 9 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1461 | +16 | +24 | =1501 | 47% | 5 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1523 | +18 | –1 | =1540 | 62% | 5 |
COLRockies | Feltner | 1456 | –23 | +23 | =1456 | 38% | 16 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montas | 1581 | +1 | +0 | =1582 | 52% | 9 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1522 | +25 | +24 | =1571 | 48% | 12 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1582 | –21 | +0 | =1561 | 51% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1520 | +11 | +24 | =1555 | 49% | 1 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1584 | +7 | –1 | =1590 | 57% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1519 | –5 | +24 | =1538 | 43% | 4 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:45 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Newcomb | 1467 | –19 | +0 | =1448 | 37% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1518 | –3 | +24 | =1539 | 63% | 7 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 41:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1468 | +23 | +2 | =1493 | 40% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1517 | +19 | +26 | =1562 | 60% | 4 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Thompson | 1469 | –2 | –2 | =1465 | 37% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1515 | +23 | +23 | =1561 | 63% | 6 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Pallante | 1513 | –19 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1442 | +12 | +24 | =1478 | 48% | 0 | |
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1514 | –1 | +0 | =1513 | 56% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1441 | +9 | +24 | =1474 | 44% | 7 | |
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1513 | +19 | +0 | =1532 | 58% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1442 | +12 | +22 | =1476 | 42% | 2 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 277:07 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1510 | +21 | +0 | =1531 | 42% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1550 | +13 | +24 | =1587 | 58% | 1 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 267:07 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Pallante | 1512 | –17 | +0 | =1495 | 39% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1549 | –2 | +24 | =1571 | 61% | 10 | |
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1514 | +25 | +0 | =1539 | 54% | 3 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1469 | +20 | +24 | =1513 | 46% | 6 | |
7/23Saturday, July 236:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1512 | –8 | +0 | =1504 | 52% | 6 |
CINReds | Minor | 1470 | –6 | +24 | =1488 | 48% | 3 | |
7/22Friday, July 226:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1515 | +26 | +5 | =1546 | 58% | 5 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1468 | –8 | +29 | =1489 | 42% | 9 | |
7/16Saturday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1470 | –9 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1513 | +23 | +24 | =1560 | 64% | 11 | |
7/15Friday, July 158:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1471 | –5 | –3 | =1463 | 42% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Pallante | 1511 | –17 | +24 | =1518 | 58% | 7 | |
7/14Thursday, July 147:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Anderson | 1595 | –11 | +0 | =1584 | 57% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1513 | –1 | +24 | =1536 | 43% | 0 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 137:45 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1595 | +15 | +0 | =1610 | 57% | 7 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1514 | +26 | +24 | =1564 | 43% | 6 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 127:45 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | White | 1596 | –24 | –2 | =1570 | 58% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Hicks | 1513 | –20 | +24 | =1517 | 42% | 7 | |
7/11Monday, July 117:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1536 | +23 | +0 | =1559 | 51% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1510 | +22 | +24 | =1556 | 49% | 6 | |
7/10Sunday, July 102:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nelson | 1537 | –43 | +0 | =1494 | 47% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Pallante | 1509 | –15 | +24 | =1518 | 53% | 4 | |
7/9Saturday, July 92:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1536 | –24 | +0 | =1512 | 47% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1510 | –4 | +24 | =1530 | 53% | 0 | |
7/8Friday, July 88:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1535 | +32 | –3 | =1564 | 51% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1512 | +25 | +22 | =1559 | 49% | 0 | |
7/7Thursday, July 77:20 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1510 | –21 | +0 | =1489 | 37% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Strider | 1560 | –3 | +24 | =1581 | 63% | 2 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 67 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1512 | +25 | +0 | =1537 | 39% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1559 | +29 | +24 | =1612 | 61% | 3 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 57:20 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Pallante | 1514 | –3 | +0 | =1511 | 43% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1557 | –19 | +24 | =1562 | 57% | 7 | |
7/4Monday, July 47:20 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1515 | +0 | –3 | =1512 | 43% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1555 | –15 | +22 | =1562 | 57% | 6 | |
7/3Sunday, July 37 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1517 | +26 | +0 | =1543 | 44% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1531 | +30 | +24 | =1585 | 56% | 4 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1515 | –19 | +0 | =1496 | 44% | 7 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1532 | –15 | +24 | =1541 | 56% | 6 | |
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1517 | +24 | –1 | =1540 | 54% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1531 | –44 | +24 | =1511 | 46% | 5 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 297:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1493 | +42 | +0 | =1535 | 50% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Pallante | 1518 | –10 | +24 | =1532 | 50% | 3 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1494 | –33 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1517 | +0 | +24 | =1541 | 61% | 5 | |
6/27Monday, June 277:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1497 | +15 | –3 | =1509 | 43% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1514 | +22 | +24 | =1560 | 57% | 9 | |
6/26Sunday, June 262:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Mills | 1460 | –6 | +0 | =1454 | 37% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1516 | +9 | +24 | =1549 | 63% | 5 | |
6/25Saturday, June 252:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1461 | –9 | +0 | =1452 | 35% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1515 | +22 | +24 | =1561 | 65% | 5 | |
6/24Friday, June 248:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1459 | –4 | –3 | =1452 | 38% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Pallante | 1517 | –6 | +22 | =1533 | 62% | 0 | |
6/23Thursday, June 232:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1519 | +6 | +0 | =1525 | 50% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1532 | –28 | +24 | =1528 | 50% | 6 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 228:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1517 | +25 | +0 | =1542 | 49% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1533 | –11 | +24 | =1546 | 51% | 4 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1516 | +11 | +0 | =1527 | 51% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Gonzalez | 1535 | –42 | +24 | =1517 | 49% | 2 | |
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1517 | +19 | –3 | =1533 | 42% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1534 | +37 | +22 | =1593 | 58% | 2 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Pallante | 1518 | –12 | +0 | =1506 | 41% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1537 | +7 | +24 | =1568 | 59% | 6 | |
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1514 | +6 | +0 | =1520 | 48% | 11 |
BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1540 | –33 | +24 | =1531 | 52% | 2 | |
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1515 | +26 | –1 | =1540 | 48% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1539 | –5 | +24 | =1558 | 52% | 6 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 157:45 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1434 | +13 | +0 | =1447 | 35% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1517 | +15 | +24 | =1556 | 65% | 4 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:45 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1436 | –17 | +0 | =1419 | 31% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1516 | +14 | +24 | =1554 | 69% | 9 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 141:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1437 | +1 | +0 | =1438 | 39% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1515 | –24 | +24 | =1515 | 61% | 3 | |
6/13Monday, June 137:45 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1438 | –5 | –2 | =1431 | 37% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Thompson | 1514 | –18 | +24 | =1520 | 63% | 7 | |
6/12Sunday, June 122:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1476 | +13 | +0 | =1489 | 41% | 7 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1515 | +9 | +24 | =1548 | 59% | 6 | |
6/11Saturday, June 112:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1476 | –1 | +0 | =1475 | 38% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1514 | +25 | +24 | =1563 | 62% | 5 | |
6/10Friday, June 108:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1478 | +28 | –2 | =1504 | 48% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Pallante | 1513 | –17 | +21 | =1517 | 52% | 2 | |
6/9Thursday, June 91:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1514 | +10 | +0 | =1524 | 42% | 1 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1532 | +26 | +24 | =1582 | 58% | 2 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Naughton | 1516 | –30 | +0 | =1486 | 39% | 3 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1530 | +6 | +24 | =1560 | 61% | 11 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1517 | +6 | –1 | =1522 | 45% | 2 |
TBRays | Springs | 1529 | +1 | +26 | =1556 | 55% | 4 | |
6/5Sunday, June 57 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1516 | +28 | +0 | =1544 | 57% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1477 | –8 | +24 | =1493 | 43% | 3 | |
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Pallante | 1515 | –16 | +0 | =1499 | 51% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Kilian | 1479 | –10 | +24 | =1493 | 49% | 4 | |
6/4Saturday, June 41:20 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Oviedo | 1517 | –28 | +0 | =1489 | 49% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Swarmer | 1477 | –9 | +24 | =1492 | 51% | 6 | |
6/3Friday, June 32:20 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1514 | +13 | +0 | =1527 | 50% | 14 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1480 | +22 | +24 | =1526 | 50% | 5 | |
6/2Thursday, June 28:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1515 | –17 | –2 | =1496 | 50% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Thompson | 1479 | –7 | +24 | =1496 | 50% | 7 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 11:15 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1539 | +0 | +0 | =1539 | 50% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1513 | +0 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | 5 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 317:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Snell | 1540 | +1 | +0 | =1541 | 48% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1512 | +22 | +24 | =1558 | 52% | 3 | |
5/30Monday, May 302:15 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Martinez | 1542 | –45 | –4 | =1493 | 49% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Naughton | 1511 | –33 | +24 | =1502 | 51% | 6 | |
5/29Sunday, May 292:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1542 | +34 | +0 | =1576 | 53% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1513 | +18 | +24 | =1555 | 47% | 0 | |
5/28Saturday, May 282:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1545 | –15 | +0 | =1530 | 52% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1511 | –22 | +24 | =1513 | 48% | 8 | |
5/27Friday, May 278:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1546 | +2 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 48% | 4 | |
5/26Thursday, May 267:45 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1545 | –3 | –4 | =1538 | 46% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1511 | +27 | +26 | =1564 | 54% | 3 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 247:45 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1543 | +18 | +0 | =1561 | 55% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Hicks | 1513 | –15 | +24 | =1522 | 45% | 1 | |
5/23Monday, May 237:45 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1545 | +3 | –3 | =1545 | 49% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1511 | +17 | +21 | =1549 | 51% | 7 | |
5/22Sunday, May 2211:35 a.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1508 | –10 | +0 | =1498 | 57% | 18 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1436 | –10 | +24 | =1450 | 43% | 4 | |
5/21Saturday, May 216:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1507 | –19 | +0 | =1488 | 52% | 5 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1437 | +12 | +24 | =1473 | 48% | 4 | |
5/20Friday, May 206:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1506 | +25 | –2 | =1529 | 59% | 5 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1438 | +6 | +24 | =1468 | 41% | 3 | |
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 41% | 6 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1535 | +12 | +24 | =1571 | 59% | 7 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 187:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hicks | 1508 | –16 | +0 | =1492 | 37% | 4 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1533 | +31 | +24 | =1588 | 63% | 11 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:50 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1507 | –12 | +0 | =1495 | 45% | 4 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1534 | –27 | +24 | =1531 | 55% | 3 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1508 | +17 | –1 | =1524 | 52% | 1 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1533 | –45 | +26 | =1514 | 48% | 3 | |
5/15Sunday, May 157 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Rodon | 1528 | +28 | +0 | =1556 | 50% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1505 | +24 | +24 | =1553 | 50% | 15 | |
5/14Saturday, May 142:15 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Junis | 1529 | –27 | +0 | =1502 | 47% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1503 | +0 | +24 | =1527 | 53% | 4 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:15 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1527 | +11 | –2 | =1536 | 54% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Hicks | 1506 | –18 | +24 | =1512 | 46% | 2 | |
5/12Thursday, May 121:15 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Baker | 1436 | –7 | +0 | =1429 | 37% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1507 | –11 | +24 | =1520 | 63% | 2 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:45 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1437 | –23 | +0 | =1414 | 32% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1505 | +16 | +24 | =1545 | 68% | 10 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:45 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1436 | –9 | –3 | =1424 | 39% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Naughton | 1507 | –31 | +22 | =1498 | 61% | 3 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1508 | +3 | +0 | =1511 | 49% | 3 |
SFGiants | Junis | 1521 | –27 | +24 | =1518 | 51% | 4 | |
5/7Saturday, May 77:15 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1510 | –3 | +0 | =1507 | 43% | 7 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1519 | +14 | +24 | =1557 | 57% | 13 | |
5/6Friday, May 610:15 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hicks | 1509 | –25 | +0 | =1484 | 44% | 3 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1520 | –16 | +24 | =1528 | 56% | 2 | |
5/5Thursday, May 59:45 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1506 | +13 | –4 | =1515 | 50% | 7 |
SFGiants | Llovera | 1523 | –30 | +22 | =1515 | 50% | 1 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1504 | +18 | +0 | =1522 | 57% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1465 | –13 | +24 | =1476 | 43% | 0 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1506 | +4 | –2 | =1508 | 52% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1462 | +11 | +22 | =1495 | 48% | 7 | |
5/2Monday, May 21:15 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1463 | +11 | –2 | =1472 | 43% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1505 | –6 | +24 | =1523 | 57% | 1 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:15 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1461 | –33 | +0 | =1428 | 39% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Hicks | 1504 | –21 | +24 | =1507 | 61% | 7 | |
4/30Saturday, April 302:15 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1459 | +13 | +0 | =1472 | 40% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1506 | +12 | +24 | =1542 | 60% | 0 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:15 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1457 | +3 | +0 | =1460 | 37% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1509 | +20 | +24 | =1553 | 63% | 2 | |
4/28Thursday, April 287:45 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Castellanos | 1458 | –14 | –3 | =1441 | 37% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 63% | 8 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 271:15 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1535 | –18 | +0 | =1517 | 49% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1505 | –4 | +24 | =1525 | 51% | 10 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1533 | +5 | +0 | =1538 | 54% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Hicks | 1507 | –19 | +24 | =1512 | 46% | 0 | |
4/25Monday, April 257:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1532 | +29 | –3 | =1558 | 53% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1508 | +9 | +22 | =1539 | 47% | 2 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1510 | +24 | +0 | =1534 | 56% | 1 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1484 | –16 | +24 | =1492 | 44% | 4 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1508 | –3 | +0 | =1505 | 47% | 5 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1486 | +15 | +24 | =1525 | 53% | 0 | |
4/22Friday, April 226:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1506 | –4 | –3 | =1499 | 49% | 4 |
CINReds | Greene | 1488 | –5 | +22 | =1505 | 51% | 2 | |
4/21Thursday, April 216:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hicks | 1508 | –18 | +0 | =1490 | 45% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1487 | +11 | +24 | =1522 | 55% | 5 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1507 | +7 | +0 | =1514 | 48% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1488 | +18 | +24 | =1530 | 52% | 0 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1505 | +27 | –1 | =1531 | 55% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1490 | –22 | +26 | =1494 | 45% | 1 | |
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1506 | +0 | +0 | =1506 | 48% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1534 | –38 | +24 | =1520 | 52% | 6 | |
4/16Saturday, April 167:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1505 | –8 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1535 | –16 | +24 | =1543 | 57% | 1 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1501 | +4 | +0 | =1505 | 41% | 10 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1539 | +1 | +24 | =1564 | 59% | 1 | |
4/14Thursday, April 145:14 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1503 | +32 | +0 | =1535 | 45% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1537 | +10 | +21 | =1568 | 55% | 5 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:45 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1468 | –11 | –2 | =1455 | 39% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1502 | +4 | +26 | =1532 | 61% | 6 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1443 | +0 | +0 | =1443 | 38% | 9 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1505 | –2 | +24 | =1527 | 62% | 4 | |
4/9Saturday, April 92:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1444 | –5 | +2 | =1441 | 37% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1503 | +3 | +26 | =1532 | 63% | 6 | |
4/7Thursday, April 74:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1446 | +2 | –3 | =1445 | 35% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1501 | +28 | +24 | =1553 | 65% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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