Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cubs have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers26-1491%77%
CardinalsCardinals23-183.554%21%
CubsCubs15-2410.55%1%
RedsReds11-2814.53%<1%
PiratesPirates16-2410.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 222:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1466+8+0=147446%
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1476+3+24=150354%
5/23Monday, May 236:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
147672=146745%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+22=150255%
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1476+17+0=149346%
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1478+18+24=152054%
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14767+0=146941%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1478+29+24=153159%
5/26Thursday, May 2612:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1476+0+0=147647%
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14785+24=149753%
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1476+3+0=147945%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152741+26=151255%
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14767+0=146941%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152716+24=153559%
5/30Monday, May 301:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1547+322=157759%
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1476+17+23=151641%
5/30Monday, May 307:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154745+0=150251%
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14767+24=149349%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15474+0=154356%
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1476+0+24=150044%
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1547+1+0=154856%
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1476+3+24=150344%
6/2Thursday, June 28:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+12=151051%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150049%
6/3Friday, June 32:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
6/4Saturday, June 41:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
6/5Sunday, June 57 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+01=147553%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+26=145847%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147653%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145647%
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147634%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+21=159666%
6/11Saturday, June 117:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147633%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159967%
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147633%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159967%
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+24=153956%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+21=149744%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154356%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150044%
6/15Wednesday, June 158:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154356%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150044%
6/16Thursday, June 162:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154356%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150044%
6/17Friday, June 172:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154211=154056%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150044%
6/18Saturday, June 182:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154156%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150044%
6/19Sunday, June 192:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154156%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150044%
6/20Monday, June 207:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+02=147452%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145848%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147653%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145847%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147653%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145847%
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147653%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145847%
6/24Friday, June 248:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+03=147341%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+22=153459%
6/25Saturday, June 252:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
6/26Sunday, June 262:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+22=147847%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150053%
6/29Wednesday, June 298:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150053%
6/30Thursday, June 308:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150053%
7/1Friday, July 12:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152453%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150047%
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152453%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150047%
7/3Sunday, July 32:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152453%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150047%
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+01=147537%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+22=157063%
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+04=147231%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161669%
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147631%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161669%
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147631%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161669%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147631%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161669%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143311=143140%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+22=149860%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143240%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150060%
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153423=152954%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150046%
7/15Friday, July 152:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153255%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150045%
7/16Saturday, July 162:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153255%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150045%
7/17Sunday, July 172:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153255%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150045%
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+4=148040%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+28=154860%
7/23Saturday, July 236:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147640%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154460%
7/24Sunday, July 2412:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147640%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154460%
7/25Monday, July 258:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+12=143240%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+21=149760%
7/26Tuesday, July 262:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143440%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150060%
7/28Thursday, July 289:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+02=147440%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+21=154460%
7/29Friday, July 2910:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147640%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154760%
7/30Saturday, July 309:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147640%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154760%
7/31Sunday, July 314:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147640%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154760%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+02=147441%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+23=153559%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
8/5Friday, Aug. 52:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+01=149149%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+22=149851%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149249%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150051%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149249%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150051%
8/8Monday, Aug. 88:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
145823=145343%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150057%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145644%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150056%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145644%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150056%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+02=147450%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+23=147750%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 136:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+2=147846%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+26=150654%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147646%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150454%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+02=147449%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148051%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148051%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148051%
8/19Friday, Aug. 192:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+11=154757%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+23=149943%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154857%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150043%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154857%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150043%
8/22Monday, Aug. 228:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+14=150851%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150049%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+01=147537%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+22=157063%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157263%
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+02=147437%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157063%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157063%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147637%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157063%
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+01=147541%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153659%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150053%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150053%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 82:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150053%
9/9Friday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+01=152253%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150047%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 102:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152353%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150047%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152353%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150047%
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+03=147339%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+21=155361%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147639%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155661%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147639%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155661%
9/16Friday, Sept. 162:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+1=146345%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+23=149955%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 172:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146244%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150056%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146244%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150056%
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+03=147344%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151356%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147644%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151656%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147644%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151656%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+03=147353%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+22=145647%
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147653%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145847%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147653%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145847%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147653%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145847%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+01=151953%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150047%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152053%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150047%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 292:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152053%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150047%
9/30Friday, Sept. 302:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150053%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 12:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150053%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150053%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+02=147446%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+22=150254%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147646%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150454%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147646%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150454%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Saturday, May 212:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14651+0=146445%7
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14786+24=149655%6
5/20Friday, May 202:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146214+0=144842%10
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1480+1+24=150558%6
5/19Thursday, May 197:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1461+314=148845%3
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+16+24=152255%1
5/18Wednesday, May 187:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
143711+0=142639%3
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14836+24=150161%2
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1439+2+0=144144%0
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
148118+24=148756%7
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
144212=143942%0
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
14784+20=149458%9
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
147710+0=146749%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146518+24=147151%2
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1475+2+0=147745%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1467+25+24=151655%2
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14772+0=147551%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146627+26=146549%4
5/11Wednesday, May 114:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147514+0=146142%7
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153642+24=151858%5
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1475+0+0=147535%4
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1535+24+24=158365%5
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
147264=146238%6
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153812+24=155062%0
5/8Sunday, May 87 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1594+10+0=160467%7
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
147413+24=148533%1
5/7Saturday, May 77:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159330+0=156359%6
CHCCHCCubs
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1475+3+24=150241%2
5/7Saturday, May 71:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1591+10+1=160264%7
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1477+0+29=150636%0
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1529+24+0=155358%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14784+24=149842%3
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1528+51=153255%3
CHCCHCCubs
Effross, Scott
Effross
14798+25=149645%1
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1477+14+0=149134%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1546+35+24=160566%0
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14799+0=147038%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154412+24=155662%9
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1482+23=148141%1
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154117+22=154659%11
4/28Thursday, April 287:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14831+0=148242%1
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154226+24=154058%5
4/27Wednesday, April 277:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148125+0=145633%6
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1545+12+24=158167%3
4/26Tuesday, April 267:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+121=149336%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1544+24+26=159464%3
4/24Sunday, April 242:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1444+3+0=144742%4
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14837+24=150058%3
4/23Saturday, April 232:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1449+11+0=146044%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14783+24=149956%21
4/22Friday, April 228:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14472+0=144541%4
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1480+2+24=150659%2
4/21Thursday, April 217:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1446+01=144545%4
CHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148126+24=147955%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:30 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1526+10+0=153652%8
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1483+18+24=152548%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
152511+0=151451%6
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14841+24=150749%5
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1527+161=154256%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14837+21=149744%4
4/17Sunday, April 173:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14824+0=147848%6
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14715+24=149052%4
4/16Saturday, April 168:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148322+0=146144%6
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1470+6+24=150056%9
4/15Friday, April 158:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1484+19+0=150349%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1469+21+24=151451%6
4/14Thursday, April 148:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
148253=147446%5
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1470+6+23=149954%2
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14842+0=148249%2
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1445+19+24=148851%6
4/12Tuesday, April 124:12 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14839+0=147451%2
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14464+23=146549%1
4/10Sunday, April 102:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1537+4+0=154152%5
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1484+19+24=152748%4
4/9Saturday, April 92:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1540+16+2=155859%0
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
148011+26=149541%9
4/7Thursday, April 72:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1542+321=157360%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14792+24=150140%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.