Updated Oct. 2, 2022, at 10:36 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cubs are done for the season.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CardinalsCardinals92-67
BrewersBrewers84-758.05%
CubsCubs73-8619.0
RedsReds60-9932.0
PiratesPirates60-9932.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
148042=147448%
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1452+16+22=149052%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
148015+0=146550%
CINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
145210+24=146650%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14801+0=147952%
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14528+24=146848%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
14546+0=144840%1
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1478+19+24=152160%8
10/1Saturday, Oct. 12:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1455+24+0=147946%1
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1477+3+24=150454%2
9/30Friday, Sept. 302:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14574+0=145344%1
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14753+24=149656%6
9/29Thursday, Sept. 292:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1527+2+0=152957%0
CHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
147319+24=147843%2
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1529+28+0=155759%2
CHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
14714+24=149141%4
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1530+281=155757%1
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1470+16+24=151043%2
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14683+0=146551%8
PITPITPirates
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
1428+6+24=145849%3
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
14717+0=146454%0
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
142513+24=143646%6
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
147012+0=145854%6
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
142621+24=142946%5
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
146953=146151%3
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1427+7+22=145649%2
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1468+17+0=148551%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14648+24=148049%3
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14675+0=146247%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14656+24=148353%1
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1469+03=146648%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14621+21=148252%10
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145812+0=144644%4
CHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
14707+24=148756%3
9/17Saturday, Sept. 172:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
145625+0=143143%3
CHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
147217+24=147957%1
9/16Friday, Sept. 162:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1457+12+1=147045%1
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+14+23=150855%2
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1469+3+0=147238%6
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
155318+24=155962%3
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14669+0=145725%4
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1556+64+24=164475%1
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
146393=145131%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1558+8+21=158769%2
9/11Sunday, Sept. 118 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Brebbia, John
Brebbia (open)
1500+1+0=150152%4
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1465+0+24=148948%2
9/10Saturday, Sept. 102:20 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1498+8+0=150650%5
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1466+19+24=150950%2
9/9Friday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1500+271=152655%2
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14651+24=148845%4
9/8Thursday, Sept. 82:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
147214+0=145847%4
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14669+24=148153%3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
146911+0=145846%7
CHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
14696+24=148754%1
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14725+0=146747%3
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1466+1+24=149153%9
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1467+16+0=148338%0
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1537+6+24=156762%2
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1469+7+0=147635%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1536+27+24=158765%8
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1470121=145733%0
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1534+21+24=157967%8
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Farrell, Luke
Farrell
146831+0=143735%7
TORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154019+24=154565%5
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1469+13+0=148236%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1539+19+24=158264%5
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
1470102=145836%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15387+24=155564%5
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147112+0=145938%7
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15284+24=154862%9
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1473+6+0=147938%0
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1526+16+24=156662%7
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1471+131=148339%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1527+11+22=156061%3
8/25Thursday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153011+0=151950%8
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1474+19+24=151750%3
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1533+10+0=154357%1
CHCCHCCubs
Farrell, Luke
Farrell (open)
1471+2+24=149743%7
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
153018+0=151253%13
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14747+24=149147%3
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1532+25+0=155761%0
CHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
147214+24=148239%2
8/22Monday, Aug. 228:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1531+174=154457%1
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1473+1+24=149843%0
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1527+17+0=154455%5
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1474+8+24=150645%2
8/20Saturday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1528+10+0=153853%5
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1473+17+24=151447%6
8/19Friday, Aug. 192:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
1529321=149652%7
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147211+21=148248%8
8/18Thursday, Aug. 183:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147181=146245%3
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
148311+22=149455%2
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1470+1+0=147152%3
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1431+4+24=145948%2
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1469+7+0=147655%7
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143219+24=143745%5
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1470+202=148853%4
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1431+12+24=146747%5
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14716+0=146547%5
CINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14696+24=148753%8
8/13Saturday, Aug. 136:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14698+2=146345%7
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1472+1+26=149955%2
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
146832=146350%4
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
147373=146350%2
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1434+11+0=144543%2
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1466+5+24=149557%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1433+9+0=144240%6
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1468+22+24=151460%5
8/8Monday, Aug. 88:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1435+123=144445%3
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14668+24=148255%6
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
147919+0=146046%3
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14686+24=148654%0
8/6Saturday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1481+4+0=148550%0
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14666+24=148450%4
8/5Friday, Aug. 52:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
1482261=145545%1
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1465+3+22=149055%2
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
146719+0=144837%2
STLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15183+24=153963%7
8/4Thursday, Aug. 41:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1468+23+2=149340%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1517+19+26=156260%4
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
146922=146537%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1515+23+23=156163%6
7/31Sunday, July 317 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14715+0=146637%0
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1510+20+24=155463%4
7/30Saturday, July 309:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14713+0=146843%4
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
150915+24=151857%5
7/29Friday, July 2910:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1470+20+0=149045%4
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151112+24=152355%2
7/28Thursday, July 289:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1471+22=147143%2
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15108+21=152357%4
7/26Tuesday, July 262:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143520+0=141540%2
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14706+24=148860%4
7/25Monday, July 258:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1436+82=144244%2
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14698+21=148256%3
7/24Sunday, July 2412:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14685+0=146343%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
152942+24=151157%3
7/23Saturday, July 236:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1465+20+0=148536%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1532+26+24=158264%2
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1460+4+4=146839%15
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153716+28=154961%2
7/17Sunday, July 172:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
155020+0=153058%2
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14597+24=147642%3
7/16Saturday, July 168:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1550+42+0=159266%4
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14594+24=147934%3
7/16Saturday, July 162:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1549+1+2=155257%2
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1460+18+26=150443%1
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1546213=152255%8
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
1463+1+24=148845%0
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
146617+0=144943%7
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1466+5+24=149557%1
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1464+51=146848%4
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14676+22=148352%2
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14682+0=146629%9
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1595+5+24=162471%11
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1469+15+0=148431%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1594+6+24=162469%4
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14695+0=146431%3
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159415+24=160369%4
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
1470224=144426%3
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1593+13+24=163074%5
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14689+0=145930%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1537+43+24=160470%1
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1465+2+0=146740%8
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
154028+24=153660%3
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1467+11=146738%2
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153913+22=154862%5
7/3Sunday, July 32:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
154241+0=150152%4
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14683+24=148948%2
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
154325+0=151856%1
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
146612+24=147844%3
7/1Friday, July 12:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
154411+0=153357%5
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14657+24=148243%6
6/30Thursday, June 308:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1471+6+0=147748%7
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1462+1+24=148752%15
6/29Wednesday, June 298:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14736+0=146748%3
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1460+0+24=148452%8
6/28Tuesday, June 288:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1472+282=149852%5
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14615+24=148048%3
6/26Sunday, June 262:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
14606+0=145437%6
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1516+9+24=154963%5
6/25Saturday, June 252:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14619+0=145235%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1515+22+24=156165%5
6/24Friday, June 248:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
145943=145238%3
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
15176+22=153362%0
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1460+3+0=146349%7
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1438+5+24=146751%8
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14579+0=144850%14
PITPITPirates
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
144116+24=144950%5
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
145914+0=144546%1
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1439+7+24=147054%7
6/20Monday, June 207:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Kilian, Caleb
Kilian
1462102=145048%1
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1435+2+24=146152%12
6/19Sunday, June 192:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
15529+0=154358%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14643+24=148542%0
6/18Saturday, June 182:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155411+0=154358%3
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1462+1+24=148742%6
6/17Friday, June 172:20 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1555+01=155463%0
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
146123+24=146237%1
6/16Thursday, June 162:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1552+19+0=157163%6
CHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
146211+24=147537%4
6/15Wednesday, June 158:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
154865+0=148350%19
CHCCHCCubs
Kilian, Caleb
Kilian
14664+24=148650%5
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1546+0+0=154658%12
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14686+24=148642%5
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1544+34=154358%4
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14693+21=148742%1
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147117+0=145430%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15791+24=160270%18
6/11Saturday, June 117:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
14732+0=147133%0
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15778+24=159367%8
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1474+4+3=148133%1
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1577+4+21=160267%2
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147661=146952%3
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
144010+26=145648%9
6/5Sunday, June 57 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1516+28+0=154457%5
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14778+24=149343%3
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151516+0=149951%7
CHCCHCCubs
Kilian, Caleb
Kilian
147910+24=149349%4
6/4Saturday, June 41:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
151728+0=148949%1
CHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
14779+24=149251%6
6/3Friday, June 32:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1514+13+0=152750%14
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1480+22+24=152650%5
6/2Thursday, June 28:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
1515172=149650%5
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14797+24=149650%7
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
154640+0=150652%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
147810+24=149248%4
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15474+0=154358%7
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14769+24=149142%8
5/30Monday, May 307:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154639+0=150752%3
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14786+24=149648%1
5/30Monday, May 301:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Small, Ethan
Small
1545402=150352%7
CHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
147910+23=149248%6
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1479+19+0=149842%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1523+10+24=155758%5
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14779+0=146840%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152512+26=153960%1
5/26Thursday, May 2612:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1481+0+0=148148%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14754+24=149552%20
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14827+0=147542%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1474+31+24=152958%4
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1479+17+0=149647%11
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1477+18+24=151953%4
5/23Monday, May 236:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
147772=146849%7
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
147923+22=147851%4
5/22Sunday, May 222:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1466+8+0=147446%4
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1476+3+24=150354%5
5/21Saturday, May 212:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14651+0=146445%7
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14786+24=149655%6
5/20Friday, May 202:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146214+0=144842%10
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1480+1+24=150558%6
5/19Thursday, May 197:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1461+314=148845%3
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+16+24=152255%1
5/18Wednesday, May 187:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
143711+0=142639%3
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14836+24=150161%2
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1439+2+0=144144%0
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
148118+24=148756%7
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
144212=143942%0
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
14784+20=149458%9
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
147710+0=146749%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146518+24=147151%2
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1475+2+0=147745%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1467+25+24=151655%2
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14772+0=147551%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146627+26=146549%4
5/11Wednesday, May 114:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147514+0=146142%7
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153642+24=151858%5
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1475+0+0=147535%4
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1535+24+24=158365%5
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
147264=146238%6
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153812+24=155062%0
5/8Sunday, May 87 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1594+10+0=160467%7
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
147413+24=148533%1
5/7Saturday, May 77:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159330+0=156359%6
CHCCHCCubs
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1475+3+24=150241%2
5/7Saturday, May 71:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1591+10+1=160264%7
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1477+0+29=150636%0
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1529+24+0=155358%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14784+24=149842%3
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1528+51=153255%3
CHCCHCCubs
Effross, Scott
Effross
14798+25=149645%1
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1477+14+0=149134%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1546+35+24=160566%0
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14799+0=147038%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154412+24=155662%9
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1482+23=148141%1
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154117+22=154659%11
4/28Thursday, April 287:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14831+0=148242%1
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154226+24=154058%5
4/27Wednesday, April 277:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148125+0=145633%6
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1545+12+24=158167%3
4/26Tuesday, April 267:20 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+121=149336%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1544+24+26=159464%3
4/24Sunday, April 242:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1444+3+0=144742%4
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14837+24=150058%3
4/23Saturday, April 232:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1449+11+0=146044%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14783+24=149956%21
4/22Friday, April 228:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14472+0=144541%4
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1480+2+24=150659%2
4/21Thursday, April 217:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1446+01=144545%4
CHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148126+24=147955%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:30 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1526+10+0=153652%8
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1483+18+24=152548%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
152511+0=151451%6
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14841+24=150749%5
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1527+161=154256%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14837+21=149744%4
4/17Sunday, April 173:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14824+0=147848%6
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14715+24=149052%4
4/16Saturday, April 168:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148322+0=146144%6
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1470+6+24=150056%9
4/15Friday, April 158:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1484+19+0=150349%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1469+21+24=151451%6
4/14Thursday, April 148:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
148253=147446%5
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1470+6+23=149954%2
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14842+0=148249%2
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1445+19+24=148851%6
4/12Tuesday, April 124:12 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14839+0=147451%2
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14464+23=146549%1
4/10Sunday, April 102:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1537+4+0=154152%5
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1484+19+24=152748%4
4/9Saturday, April 92:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1540+16+2=155859%0
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
148011+26=149541%9
4/7Thursday, April 72:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1542+321=157360%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14792+24=150140%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.