2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/5Saturday, Nov. 58:03 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1546 | +32 | –1 | =1577 | 42% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1589 | +5 | +23 | =1617 | 58% | 4 | |
11/3Thursday, Nov. 38:03 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1588 | +23 | +0 | =1611 | 60% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1548 | –16 | +24 | =1556 | 40% | 2 | |
11/2Wednesday, Nov. 28:03 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1585 | +13 | +0 | =1598 | 50% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1551 | +21 | +24 | =1596 | 50% | 0 | |
11/1Tuesday, Nov. 18:03 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1590 | –3 | +2 | =1589 | 54% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1546 | –7 | +26 | =1565 | 46% | 7 | |
10/29Saturday, Oct. 298:03 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1549 | +38 | +0 | =1587 | 45% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1587 | +2 | +24 | =1613 | 55% | 5 | |
10/28Friday, Oct. 288:03 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1547 | +26 | +4 | =1577 | 37% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1589 | +26 | +28 | =1643 | 63% | 5 | |
10/23Sunday, Oct. 238:30 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1588 | –1 | +0 | =1587 | 45% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1569 | +17 | +24 | =1610 | 55% | 5 | |
10/23Sunday, Oct. 232:37 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1534 | +28 | +0 | =1562 | 42% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1545 | +36 | +24 | =1605 | 58% | 4 | |
10/22Saturday, Oct. 227:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Clevinger | 1537 | –8 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1543 | –21 | +24 | =1546 | 53% | 10 | |
10/22Saturday, Oct. 225:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1584 | +9 | –1 | =1592 | 46% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1573 | +16 | +23 | =1612 | 54% | 0 | |
10/21Friday, Oct. 217:37 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1539 | +16 | –2 | =1553 | 51% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1540 | –12 | +22 | =1550 | 49% | 4 | |
10/20Thursday, Oct. 207:37 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1574 | +6 | +0 | =1580 | 45% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1583 | –1 | +24 | =1606 | 55% | 3 | |
10/19Wednesday, Oct. 197:37 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1576 | –8 | –3 | =1565 | 37% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1581 | +26 | +27 | =1634 | 63% | 4 | |
10/19Wednesday, Oct. 194:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1543 | +32 | +0 | =1575 | 50% | 5 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1537 | +16 | +24 | =1577 | 50% | 8 | |
10/18Tuesday, Oct. 188:03 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1541 | +31 | +1 | =1573 | 46% | 2 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1539 | +26 | +29 | =1594 | 54% | 0 | |
10/18Tuesday, Oct. 184:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1530 | –10 | +0 | =1520 | 33% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1574 | +16 | +24 | =1614 | 67% | 5 | |
10/16Sunday, Oct. 167:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1572 | +15 | +0 | =1587 | 56% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1532 | –2 | +24 | =1554 | 44% | 2 | |
10/15Saturday, Oct. 159:37 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Anderson | 1610 | +3 | +0 | =1613 | 57% | 3 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1537 | +16 | +24 | =1577 | 43% | 5 | |
10/15Saturday, Oct. 157:37 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1574 | +7 | –2 | =1579 | 50% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1530 | +28 | +22 | =1580 | 50% | 6 | |
10/15Saturday, Oct. 154:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1580 | –2 | –2 | =1576 | 55% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1525 | +4 | +22 | =1551 | 45% | 0 | |
10/15Saturday, Oct. 152:07 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1575 | –1 | +0 | =1574 | 56% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1537 | –19 | +24 | =1542 | 44% | 8 | |
10/14Friday, Oct. 148:37 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1612 | +13 | +1 | =1626 | 60% | 1 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1534 | +16 | +25 | =1575 | 40% | 2 | |
10/14Friday, Oct. 144:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1580 | +25 | –1 | =1604 | 53% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1532 | +33 | +23 | =1588 | 47% | 9 | |
10/14Friday, Oct. 141:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1528 | +32 | +5 | =1565 | 39% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1576 | +19 | +29 | =1624 | 61% | 2 | |
10/13Thursday, Oct. 133:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1527 | +35 | +2 | =1564 | 42% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1578 | +0 | +26 | =1604 | 58% | 4 | |
10/12Wednesday, Oct. 128:37 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1531 | +31 | +0 | =1562 | 33% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1615 | +17 | +24 | =1656 | 67% | 3 | |
10/12Wednesday, Oct. 124:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1534 | +31 | +0 | =1565 | 44% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1578 | –7 | +24 | =1595 | 56% | 3 | |
10/11Tuesday, Oct. 119:37 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Clevinger | 1532 | –4 | –2 | =1526 | 26% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1614 | +15 | +31 | =1660 | 74% | 5 | |
10/11Tuesday, Oct. 117:37 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1529 | +0 | +3 | =1532 | 34% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1575 | +13 | +28 | =1616 | 66% | 4 | |
10/11Tuesday, Oct. 113:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1528 | +14 | +2 | =1544 | 32% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1577 | +35 | +31 | =1643 | 68% | 8 | |
10/11Tuesday, Oct. 111:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1532 | –9 | +3 | =1526 | 30% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1581 | +27 | +28 | =1636 | 70% | 6 | |
10/9Sunday, Oct. 97:07 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1528 | +10 | +0 | =1538 | 42% | 6 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1550 | +6 | +24 | =1580 | 58% | 0 | |
10/8Saturday, Oct. 88:37 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1530 | +31 | +0 | =1561 | 50% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1525 | +12 | +24 | =1561 | 50% | 0 | |
10/8Saturday, Oct. 87:37 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Snell | 1530 | +19 | +0 | =1549 | 36% | 3 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1548 | +53 | +24 | =1625 | 64% | 7 | |
10/8Saturday, Oct. 84:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1526 | +11 | +0 | =1537 | 40% | 10 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1548 | +16 | +24 | =1588 | 60% | 9 | |
10/8Saturday, Oct. 812:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1528 | +21 | +0 | =1549 | 45% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1528 | +25 | +24 | =1577 | 55% | 1 | |
10/7Friday, Oct. 78:07 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1525 | +30 | –2 | =1553 | 37% | 7 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1553 | +41 | +26 | =1620 | 63% | 1 | |
10/7Friday, Oct. 74:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1522 | +31 | –2 | =1551 | 38% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1552 | +37 | +24 | =1613 | 62% | 0 | |
10/7Friday, Oct. 72:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1527 | +30 | –1 | =1556 | 48% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1528 | +14 | +23 | =1565 | 52% | 3 | |
10/7Friday, Oct. 712:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +17 | –1 | =1546 | 43% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1526 | +31 | +26 | =1583 | 57% | 2 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:20 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1454 | –3 | +0 | =1451 | 24% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1613 | +17 | +24 | =1654 | 76% | 6 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1458 | –9 | +0 | =1449 | 38% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1521 | –15 | +24 | =1530 | 62% | 5 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1506 | +14 | +0 | =1520 | 48% | 8 |
SDPadres | Stammen | 1527 | –31 | +24 | =1520 | 52% | 1 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1434 | –1 | +0 | =1433 | 34% | 2 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1551 | –28 | +24 | =1547 | 66% | 9 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1480 | +12 | +0 | =1492 | 38% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1526 | +27 | +24 | =1577 | 62% | 2 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1528 | –18 | +0 | =1510 | 38% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1577 | –6 | +24 | =1595 | 62% | 3 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Stephens | 1583 | –37 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | 9 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1470 | –39 | +24 | =1455 | 37% | 12 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1455 | –12 | +0 | =1443 | 37% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1525 | –10 | +24 | =1539 | 63% | 9 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1477 | –2 | +0 | =1475 | 51% | 15 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1455 | –10 | +24 | =1469 | 49% | 2 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1495 | –16 | +0 | =1479 | 46% | 10 |
CHWWhite Sox | Martin | 1508 | –21 | +24 | =1511 | 54% | 1 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Fleming | 1531 | –46 | +0 | =1485 | 44% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1504 | –2 | +24 | =1526 | 56% | 6 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1577 | –12 | +0 | =1565 | 61% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1461 | –2 | +24 | =1483 | 39% | 4 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1530 | –22 | +0 | =1508 | 58% | 3 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1431 | –6 | +24 | =1449 | 42% | 5 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Phelps | 1550 | –16 | +0 | =1534 | 56% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1487 | –17 | +24 | =1494 | 44% | 1 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1498 | +40 | +0 | =1538 | 61% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1438 | –2 | +24 | =1460 | 39% | 3 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 512:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Richards (open) | 1551 | +12 | +2 | =1565 | 60% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Baumann | 1485 | –14 | +26 | =1497 | 40% | 5 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Vest | 1459 | –13 | +0 | =1446 | 41% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Sheffield | 1520 | –37 | +24 | =1507 | 59% | 9 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1451 | –11 | +0 | =1440 | 22% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1617 | +18 | +24 | =1659 | 78% | 2 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1508 | +0 | +0 | =1508 | 49% | 2 |
SDPadres | Manaea | 1525 | –32 | +24 | =1517 | 51% | 6 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1499 | –11 | +0 | =1488 | 53% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1437 | +3 | +24 | =1464 | 47% | 2 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1436 | +11 | +0 | =1447 | 34% | 0 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1550 | –14 | +24 | =1560 | 66% | 8 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1530 | +0 | +0 | =1530 | 36% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1575 | +33 | +24 | =1632 | 64% | 10 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Winder | 1497 | –10 | +0 | =1487 | 45% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1506 | –9 | +24 | =1521 | 55% | 8 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1578 | +12 | +0 | =1590 | 63% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Tinoco (open) | 1460 | +13 | +24 | =1497 | 37% | 3 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1482 | +51 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1525 | –12 | +24 | =1537 | 51% | 3 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1533 | +9 | +0 | =1542 | 51% | 0 |
BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1501 | +13 | +24 | =1538 | 49% | 6 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1582 | –28 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1471 | –17 | +24 | =1478 | 39% | 1 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Assad | 1478 | –16 | +0 | =1462 | 49% | 2 |
CINReds | Cessa | 1454 | –11 | +24 | =1467 | 51% | 3 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1529 | –7 | +0 | =1522 | 60% | 8 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1432 | –4 | +24 | =1452 | 40% | 7 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1460 | +10 | +0 | =1470 | 41% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1519 | –8 | +24 | =1535 | 59% | 7 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1456 | –8 | +0 | =1448 | 36% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 64% | 5 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Abbott | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | 2 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1549 | –20 | +23 | =1552 | 66% | 4 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1577 | –7 | +0 | =1570 | 60% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1461 | +19 | +24 | =1504 | 40% | 4 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Urena | 1448 | –19 | +0 | =1429 | 21% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1619 | +15 | +24 | =1658 | 79% | 1 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1459 | –6 | –4 | =1449 | 36% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1521 | +7 | +24 | =1552 | 64% | 3 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1509 | +3 | –2 | =1510 | 44% | 4 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1524 | +6 | +24 | =1554 | 56% | 7 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1500 | +3 | –2 | =1501 | 59% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1436 | –16 | +21 | =1441 | 41% | 5 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1528 | +25 | –3 | =1550 | 43% | 3 |
HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1576 | –2 | +24 | =1598 | 57% | 0 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1498 | +14 | –2 | =1510 | 48% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1505 | –3 | +20 | =1522 | 52% | 3 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1483 | –35 | –4 | =1444 | 32% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1524 | +28 | +24 | =1576 | 68% | 6 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1535 | +20 | –4 | =1551 | 54% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1500 | +4 | +22 | =1526 | 46% | 4 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1576 | +1 | –3 | =1574 | 59% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1462 | +28 | +21 | =1511 | 41% | 1 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1550 | –19 | –2 | =1529 | 53% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1487 | +2 | +22 | =1511 | 47% | 1 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Elder | 1585 | –9 | –3 | =1573 | 63% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1468 | –7 | +21 | =1482 | 37% | 4 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Wesneski | 1480 | –4 | –2 | =1474 | 48% | 1 |
CINReds | Greene | 1452 | +16 | +22 | =1490 | 52% | 3 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1530 | +11 | –3 | =1538 | 61% | 2 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1430 | +8 | +21 | =1459 | 39% | 3 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1453 | +10 | +0 | =1463 | 34% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1526 | +26 | +24 | =1576 | 66% | 2 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 27 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1550 | +8 | +0 | =1558 | 43% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1584 | +0 | +24 | =1608 | 57% | 5 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1432 | +12 | +0 | =1444 | 33% | 10 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1525 | +16 | +24 | =1565 | 67% | 3 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1504 | +11 | +0 | =1515 | 42% | 2 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1525 | +19 | +24 | =1568 | 58% | 1 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1445 | +11 | +0 | =1456 | 25% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Anderson | 1622 | +2 | +24 | =1648 | 75% | 1 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Miller | 1464 | –25 | +0 | =1439 | 43% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Davidson | 1498 | –37 | +24 | =1485 | 57% | 8 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1483 | –19 | +0 | =1464 | 40% | 3 |
SFGiants | Alexander (open) | 1509 | +3 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | 4 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Anderson | 1454 | –6 | +0 | =1448 | 40% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1478 | +19 | +24 | =1521 | 60% | 8 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1428 | +10 | +0 | =1438 | 33% | 7 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1532 | +7 | +24 | =1563 | 67% | 5 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1467 | –6 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1525 | +12 | +24 | =1561 | 64% | 3 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1536 | –9 | +0 | =1527 | 42% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1575 | –17 | +24 | =1582 | 58% | 3 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Castillo | 1454 | –10 | +0 | =1444 | 31% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1525 | +34 | +24 | =1583 | 69% | 7 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:37 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1501 | +15 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1548 | +17 | +24 | =1589 | 60% | 6 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1526 | +27 | +0 | =1553 | 64% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1438 | –6 | +24 | =1456 | 36% | 1 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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