Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Guardians have a 1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins20-1557%41%
White SoxWhite Sox16-173.055%38%
GuardiansGuardians16-173.031%18%
RoyalsRoyals12-206.53%1%
TigersTigers12-238.02%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/17Tuesday, May 176:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1477+6+0=148346%
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
149910+23=151254%
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1477+17+0=149445%
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1499+5+24=152855%
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145944%
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149921+26=150456%
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1460+10+0=147039%
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1499+25+24=154861%
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146040%
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1499+9+24=153260%
5/23Monday, May 238:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1499103=148637%
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15541+24=157763%
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1499+5+0=150440%
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15547+24=157160%
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149921+0=147830%
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1554+46+24=162470%
5/26Thursday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1499+253=152154%
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1460+10+21=149146%
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
5/30Monday, May 306:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145841%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+23=152259%
5/31Tuesday, May 316:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149956%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145644%
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149956%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145644%
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149956%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145644%
6/6Monday, June 67:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146542%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+22=152158%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146842%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152358%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146842%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152358%
6/9Thursday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+03=145040%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152360%
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145340%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152360%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145340%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152360%
6/12Sunday, June 1211:35 a.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145340%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152360%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+01=149852%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+23=148448%
6/15Wednesday, June 158:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
6/16Thursday, June 163:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+03=149634%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+26=161366%
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149934%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161166%
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149934%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161166%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+02=149744%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+23=154256%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149944%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154356%
6/23Thursday, June 231:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149944%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154356%
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+01=152050%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+21=152050%
6/25Saturday, June 256:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152150%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152350%
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152150%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152350%
6/27Monday, June 277:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151649%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152351%
6/28Tuesday, June 281:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151949%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152351%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151949%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152351%
6/29Wednesday, June 297:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151949%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152351%
6/30Thursday, June 301:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151949%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152351%
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+13=157157%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152343%
7/2Saturday, July 26:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157457%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152343%
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157457%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152343%
7/4Monday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+01=149852%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
7/6Wednesday, July 61:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+01=149852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+21=148248%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
152812=152551%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+21=152049%
7/12Tuesday, July 121:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152751%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152349%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152751%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152349%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152751%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152349%
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145941%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+26=152559%
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+5=150443%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+29=155657%
7/23Saturday, July 231:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155157%
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155157%
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155157%
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+03=149643%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154557%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154557%
7/27Wednesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154557%
7/28Thursday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154557%
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+03=149642%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155258%
7/30Saturday, July 301:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149942%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155558%
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149942%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155558%
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+03=146142%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+21=152058%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146442%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152358%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146442%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152358%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+13=155254%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152346%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155555%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152345%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155555%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152345%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 712:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155555%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152345%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+1=150052%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+26=148648%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+02=149740%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156860%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 133:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149940%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156860%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:37 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149940%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156860%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145841%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+22=152159%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
152812=152550%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+26=152550%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 206:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152751%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152349%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 2112 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152751%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152349%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+02=149740%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156660%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149941%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 254:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+03=149646%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152454%
8/26Friday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149946%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152454%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149946%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152454%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149946%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152454%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143311=143137%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+22=152163%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143237%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152363%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 16:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143237%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152363%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+21=149946%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152354%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150047%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152353%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 4SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150047%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152353%
9/5Monday, Sept. 58:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+01=149852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+21=148248%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149944%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+21=154056%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149944%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154356%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149944%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154356%
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153452%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+21=152048%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153752%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152348%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153752%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152348%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151649%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+26=152551%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 171:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151949%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152351%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151949%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152351%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151949%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152351%
9/19Monday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151949%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152351%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+02=149742%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155158%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155157%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155157%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+03=149651%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149951%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149951%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153051%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+23=152249%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153151%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152349%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 296:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153151%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152349%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+01=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1500+8+0=150843%1
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1517+17+24=155857%3
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1499+26+0=152549%3
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15187+24=153551%2
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
150017+3=148640%8
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1516+17+24=155760%12
5/10Tuesday, May 108:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1501+6+0=150740%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1532+22+24=157860%4
5/9Monday, May 98:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1499112=148639%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1534+6+21=156161%9
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+25+0=157461%3
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
149826+24=149639%4
5/7Saturday, May 76:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155215+0=153752%2
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1495+5+24=152448%8
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1550+21+2=157352%8
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1497+32+26=155548%3
5/5Thursday, May 56:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1551+112=156059%5
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149620+24=150041%6
5/4Wednesday, May 45:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
154115+0=152650%5
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1495+4+24=152350%6
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1540+26+3=156958%5
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14969+25=151242%4
5/1Sunday, May 14:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14941+0=149351%7
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1460+0+24=148449%3
4/30Saturday, April 304:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1493+33+0=152657%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
14628+24=147843%1
4/29Friday, April 299:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1491152=147442%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1463+38+25=152658%8
4/28Thursday, April 284:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1493+4+0=149746%1
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
152424+24=152454%4
4/27Wednesday, April 279:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14943+0=149139%5
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1522+25+24=157161%9
4/26Tuesday, April 269:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14962+0=149442%1
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1521+2+24=154758%4
4/25Monday, April 259:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1497+334=152648%0
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
15192+24=154152%3
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149913+0=148636%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1553+11+24=158864%10
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1500+2+0=150239%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1553+0+24=157761%5
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
1501182=148137%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15522+22=157263%4
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1539+16+0=155555%3
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14997+24=151645%6
4/20Wednesday, April 205:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
154018+0=152251%1
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14985+24=151749%2
4/20Wednesday, April 202:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154331+3=151544%1
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1495+30+29=155456%11
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
152410+0=151450%8
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149811+24=151150%1
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15236+0=151749%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1499+2+24=152551%2
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1521+162=153552%4
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15015+24=152048%1
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14997+0=149247%7
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
149912+24=151153%3
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1496+303=152347%10
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1502+19+24=154553%5
4/11Monday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
14958+0=148748%10
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1470+7+24=150152%7
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1491+2+0=149349%17
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14741+24=149751%3
4/9Saturday, April 94:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14918+2=148548%0
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1473+0+26=149952%1
4/7Thursday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1493+303=152052%1
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1472+8+24=150448%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.