Updated Sep. 29, 2022, at 4:39 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Guardians have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
GuardiansGuardians87-68
White SoxWhite Sox77-7910.5
TwinsTwins76-8011.5
TigersTigers63-9224.0
RoyalsRoyals63-9324.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/29Thursday, Sept. 296:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1535+7+0=154249%
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15263+24=154751%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1452+371=148844%
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152620+24=153056%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145215+0=143736%
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
152610+24=154064%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Castillo, Max
Castillo
14529+0=144331%
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1526+34+24=158469%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1452+10+0=146234%
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1526+26+24=157666%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14528+0=144436%
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15263+24=154764%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
145213+0=143937%
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152620+24=153063%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1536+23+0=155948%1
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1525+24+24=157352%2
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
153561=152842%6
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1527+37+23=158758%5
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
152513+0=151255%10
TEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
146715+24=147645%4
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15233+0=152055%4
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14686+24=148645%2
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Morris, Cody
Morris
1522263=149347%6
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1470+23+24=151753%3
9/22Thursday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1520+38+0=155853%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15141+24=153747%2
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1518+23+0=154147%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1517+18+24=155953%2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1516122=150239%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1519+35+24=157861%7
9/19Monday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1506+26+0=153249%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1513+1+24=153851%11
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1504+11+0=151551%3
CLECLEGuardians
Morris, Cody
Morris
151530+24=150949%0
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15057+0=149850%6
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
151436+24=150250%7
9/17Saturday, Sept. 171:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
150715+0=149239%1
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+37+24=157361%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1508+43=150943%3
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1512+24+24=156057%4
9/15Thursday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1515+172=153055%8
CLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
151441+24=149745%2
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1492+8+0=150044%3
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1513+2+24=153956%5
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149310+0=148347%1
CLECLEGuardians
Morris, Cody
Morris
151129+24=150653%3
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
149413=149049%4
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
151035+21=149651%5
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1509+33+0=154252%4
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15063+24=152748%1
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1507+20+0=152750%6
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15074+24=152750%4
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1506+3+0=150947%7
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15081+21=152853%6
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Morris, Cody
Morris
150733+0=147448%1
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1454+7+24=148552%2
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1506+32+0=153860%4
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145510+24=146940%1
9/5Monday, Sept. 58:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1505+223=152452%6
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1456+30+21=150748%5
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1529+5+0=153450%6
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1507+6+24=153750%3
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1528+22+0=155057%4
CLECLEGuardians
Curry, Xzavion
Curry
150832+24=150043%0
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1526+331=155858%6
CLECLEGuardians
Morris, Cody
Morris
151030+24=150442%1
9/1Thursday, Sept. 16:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
149110+0=148138%3
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+31+24=156762%0
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14885+0=148339%4
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1515+21+24=156061%0
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1490101=147942%1
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1513+2+22=153758%5
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
151511+0=150441%0
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1519+21+24=156459%4
8/27Saturday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
151319+0=149438%4
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1520+35+24=157962%3
8/26Friday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1515+30+0=154550%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1519+0+24=154350%3
8/25Thursday, Aug. 254:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1516+243=153751%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151813+24=152949%3
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1513+0+0=151343%7
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1523+12+24=155957%0
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
151110+1=150241%3
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1525+13+26=156459%1
8/20Saturday, Aug. 206:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1516+3+0=151943%2
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1513+32+24=156957%0
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1517+52=152044%2
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1511+22+26=155956%5
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1450+0+0=145038%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1510+3+24=153762%8
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
144917+0=143237%4
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
151112+24=152363%3
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:45 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Bryan
Garcia
14477+0=144040%7
CLECLEGuardians
Curry, Xzavion
Curry
151329+24=150860%5
8/15Monday, Aug. 153:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
1448242=142236%1
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
151215+22=151964%4
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:37 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1509+30+0=153943%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1543+22+24=158957%2
8/13Saturday, Aug. 133:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1510+21+0=153147%1
TORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154215+24=155153%2
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
150642=150041%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15465+27=156859%0
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
150612+0=149455%4
DETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145217+24=145945%3
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
150513+0=149256%3
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145325+24=145244%2
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1503+30+1=153458%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14544+26=147642%2
8/7Sunday, Aug. 712:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15653+0=156253%0
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1502+18+24=154447%1
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156712+0=155555%1
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15015+24=152045%4
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1565+2+0=156759%9
CLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
150223+24=150341%3
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1563+333=159360%6
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15048+24=152040%0
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
146915+0=145436%4
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1503+30+24=155764%7
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1467+24+0=149142%6
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1505+20+24=154958%3
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1468133=145240%5
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15046+21=151960%6
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Shaw, Bryan
Shaw
150224+0=147834%5
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1526+42+24=159266%3
7/30Saturday, July 301:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15046+0=149843%4
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1524+2+24=155057%6
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+263=152548%4
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15266+21=154152%1
7/28Thursday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1503+19+0=152248%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
15198+24=153552%4
7/27Wednesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15022+0=150042%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1520+9+24=155358%6
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Shaw, Bryan
Shaw
149925+0=147442%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
152318+24=152958%3
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
150073=149042%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1522+3+24=154958%3
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+31+0=153343%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1523+32+24=157957%6
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
150234+0=146838%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1522+5+24=155162%5
7/23Saturday, July 231:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1500+16+0=151645%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1524+3+24=155155%4
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14973+5=149941%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1527+5+29=156159%2
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1458+9+0=146743%0
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14956+24=151357%10
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145926+0=143338%5
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14943+24=151562%6
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
1460353=142235%0
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1493+10+24=152765%4
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1518+4+0=152252%2
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149412+24=150648%1
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1516+25+0=154157%7
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
149631+24=148943%0
7/12Tuesday, July 121:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
151714+0=150344%1
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1494+27+24=154556%4
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1519+172=153453%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14923+21=151047%8
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1494+0+0=149452%1
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1447+6+24=147748%5
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1491+9+0=150054%13
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
14501+24=147346%1
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1492151=147649%3
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1449+13+21=148351%4
7/6Wednesday, July 61:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1495+31+0=152654%2
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1460+11+24=149546%8
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1498+3+0=150157%4
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145732+24=144943%11
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
149929+0=147053%3
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145615+24=146547%5
7/4Monday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
150111=149955%1
DETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145411+24=146745%4
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15918+0=158358%0
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1499+2+24=152542%2
7/2Saturday, July 26:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15902+0=158861%6
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
150116+24=150939%1
7/2Saturday, July 212:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1588+161=160365%13
CLECLEGuardians
McCarty, Kirk
McCarty
150335+26=149435%4
6/30Thursday, June 301:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15223+0=151945%3
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+30+24=155655%5
6/29Wednesday, June 297:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
152313+0=151048%6
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1501+3+24=152852%7
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15216+0=151552%6
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
150324+24=150348%0
6/28Tuesday, June 281:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15221+0=152150%2
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15025+24=152150%3
6/27Monday, June 277:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1519+233=153951%11
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1505+5+24=153449%1
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
154414+0=153052%8
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
150715+24=151648%3
6/25Saturday, June 256:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
154230+0=151243%4
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1509+30+24=156357%2
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1541+111=155153%6
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1511+2+21=153447%3
6/23Thursday, June 231:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15119+0=150245%0
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15165+24=153555%1
6/22Wednesday, June 227:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1510+11+0=152143%11
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1518+29+24=157157%10
6/21Tuesday, June 217:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1509182=148940%6
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1519+18+23=156060%5
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1507+30+0=153741%5
LADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
158714+24=159759%3
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1509+5+0=151437%1
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1586+0+24=161063%7
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1507123=149232%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1587+11+26=162468%1
6/16Thursday, June 163:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1506+8+0=151456%4
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14525+24=147144%2
6/15Wednesday, June 158:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
150526+0=147951%7
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14547+24=147149%5
6/14Tuesday, June 148:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1504+311=153458%4
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1454+3+23=148042%3
6/12Sunday, June 1211:35 a.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
14384+0=143436%3
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1503+5+24=153264%6
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1436+38+0=147443%10
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
150610+24=152057%5
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
14361+0=143536%2
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1505+9+24=153864%3
6/9Thursday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
143873=142839%4
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
150424+24=150461%8
6/8Wednesday, June 87:25 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1480+11+0=149141%0
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+29+24=155559%4
6/7Tuesday, June 77:50 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
147918+0=146144%6
CLECLEGuardians
McCarty, Kirk
McCarty
150427+24=150156%3
6/7Tuesday, June 73:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1480+81=148744%3
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1503+5+24=153256%6
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
150215+0=148756%3
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
144117+24=144844%2
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1503+10+0=151354%4
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1439+22+24=148546%5
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+25+0=152760%6
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14416+24=145940%3
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1451+8+0=145945%0
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
150030+24=149455%4
5/31Tuesday, May 316:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1453+2+0=145540%3
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1498+6+24=152860%8
5/30Monday, May 306:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
145573=144542%3
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
149716+23=150458%7
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1498+11+0=150957%1
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
145819+24=146343%2
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1496+25+2=152357%8
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146011+26=147543%1
5/26Thursday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
1497233=147147%3
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1459+15+21=149553%4
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1497+7+0=150440%1
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15532+24=157560%2
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
149912+0=148738%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15524+24=157262%7
5/23Monday, May 238:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1496+73=150040%6
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15555+24=157460%1
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145710+2=144936%4
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1498+24+26=154864%2
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1459+121=147046%1
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149621+24=149954%6
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1478+16+2=149645%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1497+5+26=152855%2
5/17Tuesday, May 176:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1477+6+0=148346%5
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
149910+23=151254%4
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1500+8+0=150843%1
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1517+17+24=155857%3
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1499+26+0=152549%3
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15187+24=153551%2
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
150017+3=148640%8
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1516+17+24=155760%12
5/10Tuesday, May 108:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1501+6+0=150740%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1532+22+24=157860%4
5/9Monday, May 98:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1499112=148639%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1534+6+21=156161%9
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+25+0=157461%3
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
149826+24=149639%4
5/7Saturday, May 76:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155215+0=153752%2
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1495+5+24=152448%8
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1550+21+2=157352%8
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1497+32+26=155548%3
5/5Thursday, May 56:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1551+112=156059%5
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149620+24=150041%6
5/4Wednesday, May 45:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
154115+0=152650%5
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1495+4+24=152350%6
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1540+26+3=156958%5
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14969+25=151242%4
5/1Sunday, May 14:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14941+0=149351%7
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1460+0+24=148449%3
4/30Saturday, April 304:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1493+33+0=152657%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
14628+24=147843%1
4/29Friday, April 299:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1491152=147442%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1463+38+25=152658%8
4/28Thursday, April 284:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1493+4+0=149746%1
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
152424+24=152454%4
4/27Wednesday, April 279:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14943+0=149139%5
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1522+25+24=157161%9
4/26Tuesday, April 269:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14962+0=149442%1
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1521+2+24=154758%4
4/25Monday, April 259:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1497+334=152648%0
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
15192+24=154152%3
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149913+0=148636%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1553+11+24=158864%10
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1500+2+0=150239%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1553+0+24=157761%5
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
1501182=148137%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15522+22=157263%4
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1539+16+0=155555%3
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14997+24=151645%6
4/20Wednesday, April 205:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
154018+0=152251%1
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14985+24=151749%2
4/20Wednesday, April 202:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154331+3=151544%1
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1495+30+29=155456%11
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
152410+0=151450%8
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149811+24=151150%1
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15236+0=151749%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1499+2+24=152551%2
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1521+162=153552%4
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15015+24=152048%1
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14997+0=149247%7
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
149912+24=151153%3
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1496+303=152347%10
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1502+19+24=154553%5
4/11Monday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
14958+0=148748%10
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1470+7+24=150152%7
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1491+2+0=149349%17
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14741+24=149751%3
4/9Saturday, April 94:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14918+2=148548%0
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1473+0+26=149952%1
4/7Thursday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1493+303=152052%1
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1472+8+24=150448%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.