2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Guardians have a 1% chance of winning the World Series.
AL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | TwinsTwins20-15 | — | 57% | 41% | ||
![]() | White SoxWhite Sox16-17 | 3.0 | 55% | 38% | ||
![]() | GuardiansGuardians16-17 | 3.0 | 31% | 18% | ||
![]() | RoyalsRoyals12-20 | 6.5 | 3% | 1% | ||
![]() | TigersTigers12-23 | 8.0 | 2% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/17Tuesday, May 176:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +6 | +0 | =1483 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –10 | +23 | =1512 | 54% | ||
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +17 | +0 | =1494 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +5 | +24 | =1528 | 55% | ||
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | –1 | =1459 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –21 | +26 | =1504 | 56% | ||
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +10 | +0 | =1470 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +25 | +24 | =1548 | 61% | ||
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +9 | +24 | =1532 | 60% | ||
5/23Monday, May 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –10 | –3 | =1486 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –1 | +24 | =1577 | 63% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +5 | +0 | =1504 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –7 | +24 | =1571 | 60% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –21 | +0 | =1478 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +46 | +24 | =1624 | 70% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +25 | –3 | =1521 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +10 | +21 | =1491 | 46% | ||
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 48% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 48% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 48% | ||
5/30Monday, May 306:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –3 | =1458 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +23 | =1522 | 59% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 316:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 44% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 44% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 44% | ||
6/6Monday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –3 | =1465 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +22 | =1521 | 58% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 58% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 58% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | –3 | =1450 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 60% | ||
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 60% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 60% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 1211:35 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 60% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 148:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –1 | =1498 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +23 | =1484 | 48% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 158:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
6/16Thursday, June 163:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –3 | =1496 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +26 | =1613 | 66% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 66% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 66% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 217:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –2 | =1497 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +23 | =1542 | 56% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 227:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 56% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 231:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 56% | ||
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | –1 | =1520 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +21 | =1520 | 50% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 256:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +0 | =1521 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 50% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +0 | =1521 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 50% | ||
6/27Monday, June 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | –3 | =1516 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 281:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 297:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | ||
6/30Thursday, June 301:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | ||
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | –3 | =1571 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 43% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 26:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +0 | =1574 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 43% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +0 | =1574 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 43% | ||
7/4Monday, July 41:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –1 | =1498 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 48% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 48% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 61:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 48% | ||
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –1 | =1498 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +21 | =1482 | 48% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | –2 | =1525 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +21 | =1520 | 49% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 121:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | ||
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | –1 | =1459 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +26 | =1525 | 59% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +5 | =1504 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +29 | =1556 | 57% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 231:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 57% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 57% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 57% | ||
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –3 | =1496 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 57% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 57% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 57% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 57% | ||
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –3 | =1496 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +21 | =1552 | 58% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 301:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 58% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 58% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | –3 | =1461 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +21 | =1520 | 58% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 58% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 58% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | –3 | =1552 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 46% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +0 | =1555 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 45% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +0 | =1555 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 45% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 712:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +0 | =1555 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 45% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +1 | =1500 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +26 | =1486 | 48% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 48% | ||
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 48% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –2 | =1497 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 60% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 133:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 60% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 60% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | –2 | =1458 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +22 | =1521 | 59% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | –2 | =1525 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +26 | =1525 | 50% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 206:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 2112 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –2 | =1497 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +26 | =1566 | 60% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 59% | ||
8/25Thursday, Aug. 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –3 | =1496 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 54% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 54% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 54% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 54% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | –1 | =1431 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +22 | =1521 | 63% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 63% | ||
9/1Thursday, Sept. 16:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 63% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | –1 | =1499 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 54% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 53% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 4 | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 53% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –1 | =1498 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +21 | =1482 | 48% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +21 | =1540 | 56% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 56% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 56% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | –3 | =1534 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +21 | =1520 | 48% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +0 | =1537 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 48% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +0 | =1537 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 48% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | –3 | =1516 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +26 | =1525 | 51% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 171:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | ||
9/19Monday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –2 | =1497 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 58% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 57% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 57% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –3 | =1496 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –1 | =1530 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +23 | =1522 | 49% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 296:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –1 | =1460 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +8 | +0 | =1508 | 43% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +17 | +24 | =1558 | 57% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +26 | +0 | =1525 | 49% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –7 | +24 | =1535 | 51% | 2 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –17 | +3 | =1486 | 40% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +17 | +24 | =1557 | 60% | 12 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 108:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +6 | +0 | =1507 | 40% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +22 | +24 | =1578 | 60% | 4 | |
5/9Monday, May 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –11 | –2 | =1486 | 39% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +6 | +21 | =1561 | 61% | 9 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1549 | +25 | +0 | =1574 | 61% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –26 | +24 | =1496 | 39% | 4 | |
5/7Saturday, May 76:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1552 | –15 | +0 | =1537 | 52% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +5 | +24 | =1524 | 48% | 8 | |
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1550 | +21 | +2 | =1573 | 52% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +32 | +26 | =1555 | 48% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 56:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1551 | +11 | –2 | =1560 | 59% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –20 | +24 | =1500 | 41% | 6 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 45:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –15 | +0 | =1526 | 50% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +4 | +24 | =1523 | 50% | 6 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +26 | +3 | =1569 | 58% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –9 | +25 | =1512 | 42% | 4 | |
5/1Sunday, May 14:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –1 | +0 | =1493 | 51% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 49% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 304:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +33 | +0 | =1526 | 57% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –8 | +24 | =1478 | 43% | 1 | |
4/29Friday, April 299:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –15 | –2 | =1474 | 42% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +38 | +25 | =1526 | 58% | 8 | |
4/28Thursday, April 284:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +4 | +0 | =1497 | 46% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –24 | +24 | =1524 | 54% | 4 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 279:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –3 | +0 | =1491 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +25 | +24 | =1571 | 61% | 9 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 269:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –2 | +0 | =1494 | 42% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +2 | +24 | =1547 | 58% | 4 | |
4/25Monday, April 259:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +33 | –4 | =1526 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –2 | +24 | =1541 | 52% | 3 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –13 | +0 | =1486 | 36% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +11 | +24 | =1588 | 64% | 10 | |
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +2 | +0 | =1502 | 39% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +0 | +24 | =1577 | 61% | 5 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –18 | –2 | =1481 | 37% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1552 | –2 | +22 | =1572 | 63% | 4 | |
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +16 | +0 | =1555 | 55% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –7 | +24 | =1516 | 45% | 6 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 205:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –18 | +0 | =1522 | 51% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –5 | +24 | =1517 | 49% | 2 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 202:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | –31 | +3 | =1515 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +30 | +29 | =1554 | 56% | 11 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –10 | +0 | =1514 | 50% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –11 | +24 | =1511 | 50% | 1 | |
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –6 | +0 | =1517 | 49% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 51% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +16 | –2 | =1535 | 52% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –5 | +24 | =1520 | 48% | 1 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –7 | +0 | =1492 | 47% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –12 | +24 | =1511 | 53% | 3 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +30 | –3 | =1523 | 47% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1502 | +19 | +24 | =1545 | 53% | 5 | |
4/11Monday, April 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1495 | –8 | +0 | =1487 | 48% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1470 | +7 | +24 | =1501 | 52% | 7 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | +2 | +0 | =1493 | 49% | 17 |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –1 | +24 | =1497 | 51% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –8 | +2 | =1485 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1473 | +0 | +26 | =1499 | 52% | 1 | |
4/7Thursday, April 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +30 | –3 | =1520 | 52% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +8 | +24 | =1504 | 48% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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