2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Mariners are done for the season.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AstrosAstros106-56 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
MarinersMariners90-72 | 16.0 | ✓ | — | |||
AngelsAngels73-89 | 33.0 | — | — | |||
RangersRangers68-94 | 38.0 | — | — | |||
AthleticsAthletics60-102 | 46.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/15Saturday, Oct. 154:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1580 | –2 | –2 | =1576 | 55% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1525 | +4 | +22 | =1551 | 45% | 0 | |
10/13Thursday, Oct. 133:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1527 | +35 | +2 | =1564 | 42% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1578 | +0 | +26 | =1604 | 58% | 4 | |
10/11Tuesday, Oct. 113:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1528 | +14 | +2 | =1544 | 32% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1577 | +35 | +31 | =1643 | 68% | 8 | |
10/8Saturday, Oct. 84:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1526 | +11 | +0 | =1537 | 40% | 10 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1548 | +16 | +24 | =1588 | 60% | 9 | |
10/7Friday, Oct. 74:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1522 | +31 | –2 | =1551 | 38% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1552 | +37 | +24 | =1613 | 62% | 0 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1458 | –9 | +0 | =1449 | 38% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1521 | –15 | +24 | =1530 | 62% | 5 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Vest | 1459 | –13 | +0 | =1446 | 41% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Sheffield | 1520 | –37 | +24 | =1507 | 59% | 9 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1460 | +10 | +0 | =1470 | 41% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1519 | –8 | +24 | =1535 | 59% | 7 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1459 | –6 | –4 | =1449 | 36% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1521 | +7 | +24 | =1552 | 64% | 3 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1432 | +12 | +0 | =1444 | 33% | 10 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1525 | +16 | +24 | =1565 | 67% | 3 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1433 | –15 | +0 | =1418 | 29% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1524 | +24 | +24 | =1572 | 71% | 5 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1433 | –7 | –3 | =1423 | 32% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1523 | +8 | +24 | =1555 | 68% | 2 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1467 | +24 | +0 | =1491 | 44% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1522 | –15 | +24 | =1531 | 56% | 10 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1468 | +26 | +0 | =1494 | 42% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1521 | +5 | +24 | =1550 | 58% | 3 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Tinoco | 1465 | –14 | –2 | =1449 | 34% | 5 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1524 | +18 | +22 | =1564 | 66% | 0 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1526 | +29 | +0 | =1555 | 61% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Castillo | 1455 | –4 | +24 | =1475 | 39% | 13 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1525 | +10 | +0 | =1535 | 60% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1456 | –16 | +24 | =1464 | 40% | 5 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1527 | –15 | –4 | =1508 | 49% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1454 | +35 | +24 | =1513 | 51% | 5 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1526 | +10 | +0 | =1536 | 63% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1437 | –18 | +24 | =1443 | 37% | 5 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1527 | +12 | +0 | =1539 | 61% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1435 | +3 | +24 | =1462 | 39% | 2 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1529 | +31 | –2 | =1558 | 65% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1433 | –9 | +22 | =1446 | 35% | 4 | |
9/19Monday, Sept. 194:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1527 | +5 | +0 | =1532 | 54% | 9 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1495 | –12 | +24 | =1507 | 46% | 1 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1529 | –13 | +0 | =1516 | 50% | 1 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1493 | –3 | +24 | =1514 | 50% | 5 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1530 | +8 | +0 | =1538 | 48% | 1 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1492 | +37 | +24 | =1553 | 52% | 2 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:38 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1531 | +17 | –1 | =1547 | 56% | 7 |
LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1491 | –11 | +22 | =1502 | 44% | 8 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Clevinger | 1520 | +10 | +0 | =1530 | 43% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1529 | +28 | +24 | =1581 | 57% | 6 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1518 | +27 | –1 | =1544 | 48% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1530 | +4 | +26 | =1560 | 52% | 0 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1579 | –22 | +0 | =1557 | 53% | 7 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1529 | –16 | +24 | =1537 | 47% | 8 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 109:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1581 | +25 | +0 | =1606 | 57% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1528 | +5 | +24 | =1557 | 43% | 3 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1580 | +7 | –1 | =1586 | 51% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1529 | +23 | +26 | =1578 | 49% | 4 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1511 | –4 | +0 | =1507 | 39% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1531 | +33 | +24 | =1588 | 61% | 6 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1513 | +2 | +0 | =1515 | 44% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 56% | 3 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1512 | +11 | –4 | =1519 | 48% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1531 | –16 | +20 | =1535 | 52% | 2 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1529 | +5 | +0 | =1534 | 50% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1507 | +6 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | 3 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1528 | +22 | +0 | =1550 | 57% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Curry | 1508 | –32 | +24 | =1500 | 43% | 0 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1526 | +33 | –1 | =1558 | 58% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Morris | 1510 | –30 | +24 | =1504 | 42% | 1 | |
9/1Thursday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1523 | –2 | +0 | =1521 | 54% | 7 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1453 | +14 | +24 | =1491 | 46% | 0 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1522 | –13 | +0 | =1509 | 56% | 5 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1454 | –13 | +24 | =1465 | 44% | 3 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1520 | +4 | –2 | =1522 | 56% | 9 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1456 | +2 | +23 | =1481 | 44% | 3 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1515 | –11 | +0 | =1504 | 41% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1519 | +21 | +24 | =1564 | 59% | 4 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1513 | –19 | +0 | =1494 | 38% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1520 | +35 | +24 | =1579 | 62% | 3 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1515 | +30 | +0 | =1545 | 50% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1519 | +0 | +24 | =1543 | 50% | 3 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 254:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1516 | +24 | –3 | =1537 | 51% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1518 | –13 | +24 | =1529 | 49% | 3 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1433 | +8 | +0 | =1441 | 35% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1520 | +4 | +24 | =1548 | 65% | 1 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1434 | +3 | –1 | =1436 | 32% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1519 | +21 | +23 | =1563 | 68% | 4 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1521 | +41 | +0 | =1562 | 63% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1437 | +10 | +24 | =1471 | 37% | 5 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1522 | +2 | +0 | =1524 | 59% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1436 | +2 | +24 | =1462 | 41% | 4 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1519 | –12 | +0 | =1507 | 54% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1439 | +18 | +20 | =1477 | 46% | 2 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1518 | +4 | +0 | =1522 | 54% | 11 |
LAAAngels | Toussaint | 1493 | –24 | +24 | =1493 | 46% | 7 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:38 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1515 | +20 | +0 | =1535 | 55% | 8 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1495 | –19 | +24 | =1500 | 45% | 2 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:38 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1513 | +42 | –3 | =1552 | 50% | 6 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1497 | +34 | +24 | =1555 | 50% | 2 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1515 | +2 | +0 | =1517 | 50% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1475 | +18 | +24 | =1517 | 50% | 5 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1516 | –9 | +0 | =1507 | 50% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1473 | +10 | +24 | =1507 | 50% | 7 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | +2 | –2 | =1515 | 55% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Sborz | 1475 | –15 | +22 | =1482 | 45% | 2 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1581 | +8 | +0 | =1589 | 54% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1513 | +20 | +24 | =1557 | 46% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1582 | +17 | +0 | =1599 | 53% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1512 | +38 | +24 | =1574 | 47% | 1 | |
8/8Monday, Aug. 810:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1580 | –7 | –4 | =1569 | 53% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1514 | +10 | +24 | =1548 | 47% | 4 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Davidson | 1493 | –25 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1513 | –9 | +24 | =1528 | 58% | 6 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1491 | +3 | +0 | =1494 | 44% | 7 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1516 | –1 | +24 | =1539 | 56% | 1 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Barria | 1491 | –15 | +0 | =1476 | 41% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | –2 | +24 | =1537 | 59% | 2 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1490 | +0 | –3 | =1487 | 40% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1516 | +18 | +22 | =1556 | 60% | 3 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1514 | +38 | +0 | =1552 | 39% | 7 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1586 | +20 | +24 | =1630 | 61% | 3 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1512 | +16 | +0 | =1528 | 39% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1588 | –5 | +24 | =1607 | 61% | 6 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1514 | –5 | –3 | =1506 | 38% | 2 |
NYYYankees | German | 1586 | –22 | +24 | =1588 | 62% | 7 | |
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | –6 | +0 | =1509 | 42% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1563 | –22 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | 3 | |
7/30Saturday, July 307:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1513 | –2 | +0 | =1511 | 39% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1564 | +4 | +24 | =1592 | 61% | 4 | |
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1516 | +21 | +0 | =1537 | 38% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1562 | +35 | +24 | =1621 | 62% | 11 | |
7/28Thursday, July 288:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1517 | +14 | –4 | =1527 | 44% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1561 | –12 | +20 | =1569 | 56% | 4 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1476 | +26 | +0 | =1502 | 46% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1516 | –8 | +24 | =1532 | 54% | 4 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1476 | +3 | +0 | =1479 | 43% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | –12 | +24 | =1527 | 57% | 5 | |
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1477 | –13 | –3 | =1461 | 39% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1514 | –2 | +24 | =1536 | 61% | 4 | |
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1565 | +3 | +0 | =1568 | 50% | 8 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1516 | +31 | +24 | =1571 | 50% | 5 | |
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1564 | +32 | +0 | =1596 | 56% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1517 | +12 | +24 | =1553 | 44% | 1 | |
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1562 | –15 | –4 | =1543 | 50% | 5 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1518 | –4 | +27 | =1541 | 50% | 2 | |
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1517 | –4 | +0 | =1513 | 54% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1477 | –14 | +24 | =1487 | 46% | 2 | |
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1516 | +8 | +0 | =1524 | 57% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Howard | 1477 | –28 | +24 | =1473 | 43% | 2 | |
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1514 | +30 | +0 | =1544 | 56% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Bush (open) | 1479 | +0 | +24 | =1503 | 44% | 3 | |
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1513 | +0 | –3 | =1510 | 49% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1480 | +14 | +24 | =1518 | 51% | 5 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 136:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Swanson | 1512 | –32 | +0 | =1480 | 52% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1441 | –1 | +24 | =1464 | 48% | 1 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1511 | –5 | +1 | =1507 | 54% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1442 | +14 | +26 | =1482 | 46% | 4 | |
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Castillo | 1536 | –23 | +0 | =1513 | 45% | 5 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1510 | +10 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | 6 | |
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1537 | +29 | +0 | =1566 | 51% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1509 | +29 | +24 | =1562 | 49% | 2 | |
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1539 | –1 | +0 | =1538 | 52% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1507 | –10 | +24 | =1521 | 48% | 5 | |
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Banda | 1541 | –25 | –3 | =1513 | 48% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1505 | –1 | +23 | =1527 | 52% | 8 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 54:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1502 | +13 | +0 | =1515 | 40% | 6 |
SDPadres | Clevinger | 1538 | +24 | +24 | =1586 | 60% | 2 | |
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1499 | –9 | –3 | =1487 | 39% | 8 |
SDPadres | Manaea | 1542 | –1 | +23 | =1564 | 61% | 2 | |
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1429 | +37 | +0 | =1466 | 38% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1498 | +28 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 2 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1429 | +0 | +0 | =1429 | 39% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1498 | –18 | +24 | =1504 | 61% | 2 | |
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1427 | –8 | +0 | =1419 | 35% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 65% | 1 | |
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1428 | –3 | –4 | =1421 | 33% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1499 | +19 | +24 | =1542 | 67% | 8 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 294:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1457 | –2 | +0 | =1455 | 42% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1497 | –7 | +24 | =1514 | 58% | 9 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1458 | –7 | +0 | =1451 | 37% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1496 | +24 | +24 | =1544 | 63% | 2 | |
6/27Monday, June 2710:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1455 | +26 | –4 | =1477 | 44% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1499 | –2 | +21 | =1518 | 56% | 2 | |
6/26Sunday, June 264:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1500 | +1 | +0 | =1501 | 48% | 1 |
LAAAngels | Wantz | 1507 | –20 | +24 | =1511 | 52% | 2 | |
6/25Saturday, June 2510:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1498 | +21 | +0 | =1519 | 47% | 5 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1509 | +6 | +24 | =1539 | 53% | 3 | |
6/24Friday, June 249:38 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1497 | –8 | –2 | =1487 | 43% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1510 | +2 | +26 | =1538 | 57% | 3 | |
6/23Thursday, June 233:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1496 | +20 | +0 | =1516 | 55% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1429 | +31 | +24 | =1484 | 45% | 1 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 229:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1493 | –9 | +0 | =1484 | 53% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1432 | +8 | +24 | =1464 | 47% | 0 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1491 | +1 | –1 | =1491 | 56% | 8 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1434 | –12 | +26 | =1448 | 44% | 2 | |
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Rosenberg | 1510 | –20 | +0 | =1490 | 43% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1494 | +21 | +24 | =1539 | 57% | 0 | |
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1508 | –30 | +0 | =1478 | 47% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Murfee | 1495 | –17 | +24 | =1502 | 53% | 0 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1507 | +6 | +0 | =1513 | 50% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1497 | –7 | +24 | =1514 | 50% | 2 | |
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1510 | +10 | +0 | =1520 | 48% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1494 | +18 | +24 | =1536 | 52% | 8 | |
6/16Thursday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1508 | +22 | –3 | =1527 | 52% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1496 | –9 | +24 | =1511 | 48% | 1 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 154:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1519 | +27 | +0 | =1546 | 54% | 5 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 46% | 0 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1521 | +24 | +0 | =1545 | 51% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1496 | +21 | +24 | =1541 | 49% | 5 | |
6/13Monday, June 1310:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1520 | –4 | –3 | =1513 | 49% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1497 | –3 | +24 | =1518 | 51% | 2 | |
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1535 | –39 | +0 | =1496 | 44% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1498 | +15 | +24 | =1537 | 56% | 0 | |
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1537 | +0 | +0 | =1537 | 52% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1497 | –1 | +24 | =1520 | 48% | 7 | |
6/10Friday, June 1010:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1536 | –11 | –3 | =1522 | 50% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1498 | +2 | +22 | =1522 | 50% | 3 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1496 | +22 | +0 | =1518 | 44% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1552 | –18 | +24 | =1558 | 56% | 3 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1497 | –5 | +0 | =1492 | 33% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1551 | +38 | +24 | =1613 | 67% | 4 | |
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1495 | +20 | –2 | =1513 | 41% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1553 | +1 | +21 | =1575 | 59% | 4 | |
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1494 | –4 | +0 | =1490 | 45% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1481 | +19 | +24 | =1524 | 55% | 5 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1495 | +0 | +0 | =1495 | 50% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1480 | –10 | +24 | =1494 | 50% | 3 | |
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1494 | +20 | –3 | =1511 | 50% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1481 | +7 | +24 | =1512 | 50% | 3 | |
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1493 | –5 | +0 | =1488 | 52% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1442 | +7 | +24 | =1473 | 48% | 6 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1496 | +24 | +0 | =1520 | 60% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1438 | –13 | +24 | =1449 | 40% | 9 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1493 | –12 | –2 | =1479 | 52% | 10 |
BALOrioles | Baker | 1441 | +0 | +22 | =1463 | 48% | 0 | |
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1548 | –5 | +0 | =1543 | 54% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1494 | –1 | +24 | =1517 | 46% | 1 | |
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1551 | –11 | +0 | =1540 | 51% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1492 | +17 | +24 | =1533 | 49% | 6 | |
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1554 | +46 | –2 | =1598 | 62% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1489 | –5 | +26 | =1510 | 38% | 6 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1452 | –2 | +0 | =1450 | 37% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1491 | +29 | +24 | =1544 | 63% | 2 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1451 | +0 | +0 | =1451 | 42% | 7 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1492 | –8 | +24 | =1508 | 58% | 5 | |
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Logue | 1451 | –4 | –3 | =1444 | 40% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1492 | +3 | +20 | =1515 | 60% | 7 | |
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1493 | +17 | +0 | =1510 | 44% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1526 | +0 | +24 | =1550 | 56% | 8 | |
5/21Saturday, May 214:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1494 | –1 | +0 | =1493 | 44% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Whitlock | 1525 | –17 | +24 | =1532 | 56% | 6 | |
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1496 | +28 | +0 | =1524 | 48% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1523 | –6 | +24 | =1541 | 52% | 7 | |
5/19Thursday, May 197:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1498 | –4 | –2 | =1492 | 43% | 6 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1521 | –2 | +24 | =1543 | 57% | 12 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 187:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1495 | +0 | +0 | =1495 | 36% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1547 | +21 | +24 | =1592 | 64% | 1 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1496 | +13 | +0 | =1509 | 41% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1546 | +2 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | 3 | |
5/16Monday, May 167:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1498 | +0 | –2 | =1496 | 43% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1544 | –24 | +21 | =1541 | 57% | 6 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1497 | +30 | +0 | =1527 | 48% | 8 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1534 | –15 | +24 | =1543 | 52% | 7 | |
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1498 | –3 | +0 | =1495 | 40% | 4 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1533 | +11 | +24 | =1568 | 60% | 5 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1496 | –2 | –2 | =1492 | 37% | 2 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1535 | +29 | +22 | =1586 | 63% | 1 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1517 | –40 | +0 | =1477 | 41% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1498 | +15 | +24 | =1537 | 59% | 2 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1518 | +10 | +0 | =1528 | 47% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1497 | +30 | +24 | =1551 | 53% | 5 | |
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1514 | –7 | –4 | =1503 | 46% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1501 | +5 | +24 | =1530 | 54% | 0 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1534 | –20 | +0 | =1514 | 50% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1499 | –11 | +24 | =1512 | 50% | 2 | |
5/7Saturday, May 79:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1532 | +17 | +0 | =1549 | 53% | 8 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 47% | 2 | |
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Wisler (open) | 1531 | +0 | +0 | =1531 | 48% | 8 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1503 | +17 | +24 | =1544 | 52% | 7 | |
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +18 | –3 | =1545 | 49% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1504 | +30 | +20 | =1554 | 51% | 3 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 42:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Brash | 1505 | –25 | +0 | =1480 | 32% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1543 | +45 | +24 | =1612 | 68% | 7 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1507 | +3 | +0 | =1510 | 42% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1541 | +4 | +24 | =1569 | 58% | 4 | |
5/2Monday, May 28:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1508 | +3 | –3 | =1508 | 45% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1540 | –18 | +21 | =1543 | 55% | 3 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1506 | +16 | +0 | =1522 | 47% | 7 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1497 | +19 | +24 | =1540 | 53% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 306:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1508 | +31 | +0 | =1539 | 56% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1495 | –25 | +24 | =1494 | 44% | 3 | |
4/29Friday, April 296:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Brash | 1509 | –14 | –2 | =1493 | 51% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1494 | –26 | +21 | =1489 | 49% | 8 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1510 | +0 | +0 | =1510 | 45% | 1 |
TBRays | Springs | 1528 | –10 | +24 | =1542 | 55% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1511 | +3 | +0 | =1514 | 44% | 2 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1527 | +8 | +24 | =1559 | 56% | 3 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1509 | +11 | –2 | =1518 | 44% | 8 |
TBRays | Wisler (open) | 1530 | +0 | +26 | =1556 | 56% | 4 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1464 | +2 | +0 | =1466 | 36% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1508 | +31 | +24 | =1563 | 64% | 5 | |
4/23Saturday, April 239:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1466 | –5 | +0 | =1461 | 42% | 7 |
SEAMariners | Brash | 1506 | –9 | +24 | =1521 | 58% | 13 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1467 | +9 | –4 | =1472 | 42% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1505 | –2 | +24 | =1527 | 58% | 4 | |
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Hearn | 1460 | –2 | +0 | =1458 | 39% | 8 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1507 | +8 | +24 | =1539 | 61% | 6 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1462 | +13 | +0 | =1475 | 41% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1505 | +8 | +24 | =1537 | 59% | 4 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1463 | +19 | –2 | =1480 | 39% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1504 | +30 | +26 | =1560 | 61% | 6 | |
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1545 | +0 | +0 | =1545 | 54% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Brash | 1502 | –9 | +24 | =1517 | 46% | 7 | |
4/16Saturday, April 169:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1544 | +39 | +0 | =1583 | 58% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1503 | –2 | +24 | =1525 | 42% | 0 | |
4/15Friday, April 159:42 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1547 | –13 | –1 | =1533 | 51% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1500 | +5 | +20 | =1525 | 49% | 11 | |
4/14Thursday, April 142:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1497 | +7 | +0 | =1504 | 43% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lambert | 1546 | –19 | +24 | =1551 | 57% | 1 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 137:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1499 | +38 | +0 | =1537 | 50% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1545 | –31 | +24 | =1538 | 50% | 6 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Brash | 1500 | –12 | –2 | =1486 | 43% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Velasquez | 1544 | –34 | +24 | =1534 | 57% | 3 | |
4/11Monday, April 117:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 45% | 0 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1514 | –5 | +24 | =1533 | 55% | 4 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1503 | +13 | +0 | =1516 | 45% | 4 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1512 | +13 | +24 | =1549 | 55% | 10 | |
4/9Saturday, April 92:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1502 | +2 | +0 | =1504 | 42% | 4 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1513 | +23 | +24 | =1560 | 58% | 3 | |
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1501 | +37 | –3 | =1535 | 49% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1514 | +5 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | 1 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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